a whistle-stop tour… © college of policing limited paul quinton & levin wheller society for...

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A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

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Page 1: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

A whistle-stop tour…

© College of Policing Limited

Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller

Society for Evidence Based Policing5 March 2014

Page 2: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Working with forces to generate trial evidence

Page 3: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

GMP collaboration – PJ training

Does procedural justice training improve how officers interact with victims?

• Perceptions of procedural justice can help foster legitimacy which, in turn, encourages public compliance & cooperation

• But what interventions help officers to interact with people in a ‘fairer’ way?

• GMP developed a communications skills training programme to improve police contact with victims of crime

− 360 officers randomly assigned to the treatment (training)− 240 officers randomly assigned to the control (no training)

• The training was found to have a positive impact on:

− Officer attitudes− Officer behaviour (measured in a simulated scenario)− Victim perceptions of interaction quality

Page 4: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Do BWV cameras change the way officers deal with domestic abuse incidents & reduce case attrition?

• Response officers in Essex attended 21k domestic abuse incidents between Oct 12 & Sep 13

• Attrition is an issue in domestic abuse cases

• Hester (2005) found, in Northumbria, that:

− 26% of incidents resulted in arrest− 7% of incidents resulted in a charge− 4% of incidents resulted in conviction − 0.5% of incidents resulted in a custodial sentence

• Theory of change

− More & better quality evidence gathered at the scene?− Change in officer, suspect & victim behaviour through process?

Essex collaboration – BWV cameras

Page 5: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Essex collaboration – BWV cameras

• 304 eligible response officers

− 80 randomly assigned to the treatment (cameras)− 80 randomly assigned to the control (no cameras)

Also possible to compare with 224 non-treatment officers

• Minimising potential for contamination

− An analytical focus on the incident rather than the officer− Sample stratified by location − Identifying incidents attended by multiple officers− Deployment to incidents is ‘blinded’− Single crewing policy

• Outcomes

− The proportion of incidents that are crimed & which result in charge, caution, conviction or other outcome

− Also monitoring early guilty pleas & victimless prosecutions

Page 6: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

MPS collaboration – BWV cameras

Do BWV cameras improve police/public contact & increase the proportion of incidents that result in a CJ outcome?

• Very limited evaluation evidence on ‘what works’ to reduce complaints & improve use of S&S

• Quality of contact is an important issue – legitimacy & public cooperation

• BWV is a potential game-changer…

− Reviewability of decisions− Officer visibility− After-the-event accountability

• The Rialto experiment

− A significant reduction in police use of force− A likely reduction in complaints

Page 7: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

MPS collaboration – BWV cameras

• 10 boroughs selected using a range of criteria

− No prior camera deployment, complaints, S&S, crime rates + contextual information (public confidence, officer numbers)

• Cluster randomised design

− 2 teams per borough randomly assigned to the treatmentAbout 500 officers with cameras

− 3 teams per borough randomly assigned to the controlAbout 750 officers without cameras

• Outcomes

− CJ outcomes – arrests, sanction detections, charges…− Complaints – number− S&S – number, hit rate, grounds & disproportionality− Officer attitudes & self-reported behaviour− Public attitudes & experience of contact?− Force assessment of cost savings

Page 8: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Putting trial evidence into practice

Page 9: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

College Blueprint…

Knowledge, Research and Education Directorate: “will ensure national standards of professionalism are underpinned by evidence and where there is no evidence, are clearly labelled so it is explicit to members on what they are basing their practice or decisions…”

Standards development team: to “ensure existing Authorised Professional Practice is up to date and incorporates a transparent and underpinning evidence base…”

Page 10: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

What does ‘good’ or ‘robust’ what works evidence look like?

Systematic Reviews(Based on level 3-5 studies)

5 Randomised controlled trials

4 Before/after measuresMultiple site comparisons

3Before/after measures

Two site comparisons

2Before/after measures

No comparison site

1One-off measureNo comparison site

Study designs increasingly rule out potential alternative causes

Statements about ‘what works’

Statements about ‘what’s promising’

Study designs cannot rule out potential alternative causes

Statements about possible impact

Page 11: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Systematic reviews

Taken from: Mazerolle, L., Bennett, S., Davis, J., Sargeant, E. and Manning, M. (2013) Procedural Justice and Police Legitimacy: A Systematic Review of the Research Evidence. Campbell Systematic Reviews 2013:1.

Overall, legitimacy interventions resulted in a large, significant increase in positive perceptions of police.

Page 12: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Cochrane Collaboration- Medicine/ Healthcare- Over 5,000 systematic reviews- Focus on specific interventions for specific

illnesses

Campbell Collaboration- Crime and Justice area- Only 58 systematic reviews - Focus on broad intervention strategies (hot

spots, problem solving), not specific tactics

Where are we now?

Page 13: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Where are we now re trials?

(the bread and butter of systematic reviews)

Page 14: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Rapid Evidence Assessments

• Use systematic principles and the same process as a systematic review…

• …but make compromises given available time and resources

• Pragmatic and transparent approach

Page 15: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

SiftingIdentifying truly relevant literature

181 empirical studies

SearchingIdentifying potentially relevant literature

11,960 abstracts

SynthesisSummarising what relevant literature tells us

41 studies with useful findings

Example of the two searches in the organisational change and business improvement REA

Rapid Evidence Assessments

Page 16: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

‘Proof of concept’ projects

• Testing the potential for collaborative, cross-departmental work

• Responding to the challenge of an increasing focus on evidence based policing

• Encourage skills transfer across the College

• Identify gaps in the evidence base for possible further investigation

• Part of a key work stream in the College’s role as a What Works Centre…

Page 17: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Cross-College Evidence Reviews

ReviewAbstracts Identified

Included Studies

Current Project Status

Public Order Tactics 500 38

Map and Review Drafted

Public Order “What Works” 1,400 60 Review Drafted

Public Order• What evidence is available around public

order policing tactics?• What works in public order policing?

Page 18: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Systematic Mapping…

Page 19: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

What is the evidence on Public Order Tactics?Country of focus

0

5

10

15

20

25

UK

USA

Canada

Europe

Multiple

Page 20: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

What is the evidence on Public Order Tactics?Research Method

0

5

10

15

20

Observations Interviews Secondary/ DocumentSurvey Scientific Newspaper analysisOther

Page 21: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Public Order Tactics Review

Tactics No of studies

Page 22: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Public Order Tactics – Mapped

Overall: There is only limited research available on public order policing tactics. Only 38 papers were found to be relevant and based on empirical methods.

Age: Most of the research (32/38 papers) has been published since 2000.

Methods: Most papers used qualitative research methods, typically involving observations (n=19) or interviews (n=18). Only one study used experimental methods.

Page 23: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Public Order Tactics – Mapped

Unit of study: Only five studies focussed directly on public order tactics. Instead, studies primarily focussed on an event or series of events (n=17) or the police more generally (n=10).

Tactics: Of the 30 approved public order tactics, only nine were mentioned in the research evidence identified for this map. The most frequently mentioned tactics were containment (n=5), Police Liaison Teams (n=3) and CS smoke (n=3).

Page 24: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Cross-College Evidence Reviews: Domestic Abuse

ReviewAbstracts

IndentifiedIncluded Studies

Current Project Status

Domestic Abuse (Risk) c. 7,500 628

Mapping in progress

• DASH form currently used in 42/43 forces in E&W…

• Number of other approaches identified so far…

- DA; DV-MOSAIC; DVSI; K-SID; ODARA.

Cross-College review team of 12 drawn from across research, APP and learning strategy.

Page 25: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Evidence Base CampPilot ran October & November 2013; Feb 2014

Area Abstracts returned

Available for synthesis

Useful Studies

Acute Mental Health Crisis

1,408 38 18

Barriers to career progression

1,205 46 23

Reducing theft from the person

844 58 25

Supporting mental well-being

1,229 72 41

Responding to prostitution

979 48 10

TOTAL 5,665 262 107

60 delegates from across the service – 5 priority areas mapped!!!

Page 26: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Some reflections so far…

• The scale of the challenge– Size of APP– Limits of policing research

• Resourcing REAs– Collaboration & skills transfer necessary

• Routinization & prioritisation– Where do we start?

• Valuing ‘experiential’ evidence– How do we capture this systematically?

• Being transparent about the ‘best available’ evidence

• What’s the best model for REA delivery???

Page 27: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

College support

Developing trial evidence…• Funding regional police/academic collaborations• Support to academic funding bids• Advice surgeries & peer review• More hands-on support to evaluate high risk, high cost or high

potential impact interventions• Research map

Putting trial evidence into practice…• The What Works Centre for Crime Reduction• Evidence base camp• Evidence-based champions• Master classes on evidence-based policing• The National Police Library, POLKA, the College website…

Page 28: A whistle-stop tour… © College of Policing Limited Paul Quinton & Levin Wheller Society for Evidence Based Policing 5 March 2014

Thank you!

Paul [email protected]

Levin [email protected]