acemoglu, robinson and johnson

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    Wade C. Roberts, Ph.D.

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    They ask a question:Why are somecountries poorer than

    others? Fundamental explanationfor growth isinstitutions. North and Thomass quote:

    the factors we have listed(innovation, economies ofscale, education, capitalaccumulation etc.) are notcauses of growth; they aregrowth.

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    They place primary importance on economicinstitutions, such as structure of property

    rights and perfection of markets.

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    1) institutions matter for economicgrowth because they shape theincentives of key economic actors in

    society, in particular, they influenceinvestments in physical and humancapital and technology, and theorganization of production.

    Although geography and culturemay also matter, differences ineconomic institutions are the majorsource of cross-country differencesin growth and prosperity.

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    Economic

    institutions

    economicperformance,distribution ofresources.

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    2) Economic institutions are endogenous,determined by social choices. Those with

    most political power determine economicinstitutions.

    Political power economic institutions.

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    3) Distribution of politicalpower is also endogenous.Useful to distinguishbetween two components of

    political power: de jure(institutional) political powerand de facto political power. Political institutions de jure

    political power Distribution of resources defacto political power

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    Broad framework:

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    Example: property rightsdeveloped in Europe in the MiddleAges. The king had all power, and

    power to arbitrarily take yourproperty little incentive to investdue to such economic institutions.Accordingly, growth rates were lowand the distribution of resourceswas vastly unequal.

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    17th century merchantsand landed gentrystarted getting wealthy

    due to overseas andinternal trade. They wanted rights to

    their private property.

    King wanted to tax the*!&% out of them.

    Wealth increased theirpower.

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    Their de facto politicalpower overcamemonarch in English

    Civil War and theGlorious Revolution.

    Changed politicalinstitutions, which

    changed economicinstitutions which ledto growth and theindustrial revolution.

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    Good economicinstitutions growth.What are goodeconomic institutions? Those that provide

    security of property

    rights and relativelyequal access toeconomic resources to abroad cross-section ofsociety.

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    Good economicinstitutions comeabout by having:

    Political institutionsthat place checks onthose who hold power.

    Political power in thehands of a relatively

    broad group withsignificant investmentopportunities.

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    Bad institutions arisebecause the groups with

    political power benefitfrom the existence ofbad institutions.

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    THREEHYPOTHESES OFTHE

    FUNDAMENTALCAUSES OFGROWTH

    1- EconomicInstitutions

    Incentives to innovate,take risks, invest.

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    2- Geography

    Climate and laziness

    Geography and

    technology disease burden

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    3- Culture

    Religion

    National heritage

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    Acemoglu, et al argue thatthere is convincingempirical support for the

    hypothesis thatdifferences in economicinstitutions, rather thangeography or culture

    cause differences inincomes per-capita.

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    Is there acorrelationbetween

    propertyrights (risk ofexpropriation)and growth

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    The Korean

    Experiment

    A natural experiment

    in institutional change. North Korea

    abolished privateproperty of land andcapital, state notmarket

    South Korea private

    property and markets

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    Before the naturalexperiment of institutionalchange, note that bothshared the same history andcultural roots. Fewgeographic distinctionsbetween them, sharedclimate and diseaseenvironment. Similar

    geographies and mineralendowments. Both haveaccess to markets and similarcosts of transportation. Very homogeneous.

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    The only thing that issignificantly different isinstitutions. We have anatural experiment that

    controls for everything else. South Korea is member of

    OECD and North Korea issimilar to sub-Saharan Africa.

    Does this illustrate thatinstitutions influence growthand development?

    Does it make it the mostimportant factor?

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    The changeoccurred in 1970.What path dideach country

    take?

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    If poor countries are poorbecause they have badeconomic institutions

    why do they not changethem to betterinstitutions?

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    Is there really a connection between propertyrights (economic freedom) and wellbeing?

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    Lets check out the data: http://www.heritage.org/Index/Ranking.aspx

    Excel raw data

    2010 Index of Economic Freedom

    http://www.heritage.org/Index/Ranking.aspxhttp://www.heritage.org/Index/Ranking.aspx
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    2010 Index of Economic Freedom For over a decade, The Wall Street Journal and The Heritage

    Foundation, Washington's preeminent think tank, have tracked themarch of economic freedom around the world with the influentialIndex of Economic Freedom.

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    2010 Index of EconomicFreedom

    Since 1995, the Index has broughtAdam Smith's theories about

    liberty, prosperity and economicfreedom to life by creating 10benchmarks that gauge theeconomic success of 183 countriesaround the world. With its user-friendly format, readers can see

    how 18th century theories onprosperity and economic freedomare realities in the 21st century.

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    What is economic freedom? Economic freedom is the

    fundamental right of every human tocontrol his or her own labor andproperty. In an economically freesociety, individuals are free to work,produce, consume, and invest in anyway they please, with that freedomboth protected by the state andunconstrained by the state.

    In economically free societies,governments allow labor, capital andgoods to move freely, and refrainfrom coercion or constraint of libertybeyond the extent necessary to

    protect and maintain liberty itself.

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    What are the benefits ofeconomic freedom?

    Studies demonstrate importantrelationships between economic

    freedom and positive social andeconomic values such as per capitaincome, economic growth rates,human development, democracy,the elimination of poverty, and

    environmental protection.

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    How is economic freedommeasured? We measure ten components of economic freedom,

    assigning a grade in each using a scale from 0 to

    100, where 100 represents the maximum freedom.

    The ten component scores are then averaged togive an overall economic freedom score for each

    country. The ten components of economic freedomare:

    Business Freedom

    Trade Freedom

    Fiscal Freedom

    Government Spending

    Monetary Freedom

    Investment Freedom

    Financial Freedom

    Property Rights

    Freedom from Corruption

    Labor Freedom

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    1- Business Freedom

    Business freedom is a quantitative measure of the ability to

    start, operate, and close a business that represents the overall

    burden of regulation as well as the efficiency of government in

    the regulatory process. The score is based on 10 factors, all

    weighted equally, using data from the World Banks Doing

    Business study: Starting a businessprocedures (number)

    Starting a businesstime (days)

    Starting a businesscost (% of income per capita)

    Starting a businessminimum capital (% of income per

    capita)

    Obtaining a licenseprocedures (number)

    Obtaining a licensetime (days)

    Obtaining a licensecost (% of income per capita)

    Closing a businesstime (years)

    Closing a businesscost (% of estate)

    Closing a business

    recovery rate (cents on the dollar)

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    2- Trade FreedomTrade freedom is a composite measure ofthe absence of tariff and non-tariff barriersthat affect imports and exports of goods andservices. Different imports entering a

    country can, and often do, face differenttariffs. The weighted average tariff usesweights for each tariff based on the share ofimports for each good . The trade freedomscore is based on two inputs:

    The trade-weighted average tariffrate

    Non-tariff barriers (NTBs)

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    3- Fiscal FreedomFiscal freedom is a measure of the tax burdenimposed by government. It includes both thedirect tax burden in terms of the top tax rateson individual and corporate incomes and the

    overall amount of tax revenue as a percentageof GDP. Thus, the fiscal freedom component iscomposed of three quantitative factors:

    The top tax rate on individual income

    The top tax rate on corporate income

    Total tax revenue as a percentage of GDP

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    4- Government Spending

    This component considers the level of

    government expenditures as a percentage of GDP.

    Government expenditures, including consumption

    and transfers, account for the entire score.

    No attempt has been made to identify an ideallevel of government expenditures. The ideal level

    will vary from country to country, depending onfactors ranging from culture to geography to level

    of development.

    The scale for scoring government spending is

    non-linear, which means that government

    spending that is close to zero is lightly penalized,while levels of government spending that exceed

    30 percent of GDP receive much worse scores in a

    quadratic fashion (e.g., doubling spending yields

    four times less freedom), so that only really large

    governments receive very low scores.

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    5- Monetary FreedomMonetary freedom combines a measure ofprice stability with an assessment of pricecontrols. Both inflation and price controlsdistort market activity. Price stability

    without microeconomic intervention is theideal state for the free market. The score forthe monetary freedom factor is based ontwo factors:

    The weighted average inflation rate

    for the most recent three years Price controls

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    6- Investment FreedomIn an economically free country, there would beno constraints on the flow of investment capital.

    Individuals and firms would be allowed to move

    their resources into and out of specific activities

    both internally and across the countrys borders

    without restriction. Such an ideal country would

    receive a score of 100 on the investment freedomcomponent of the Index.

    In practice, most countries have a variety of

    restrictions on investment. Some have different

    rules for foreign and domestic investment; some

    restrict access to foreign exchange; some imposerestrictions on payments, transfers, and capitaltransactions; certain industries are closed to

    foreign investment. Moreover, labor

    regulations, corruption, red tape, weak

    infrastructure, and political and security

    conditions can also affect the freedom that

    investors have in a market.

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    7- Financial FreedomFinancial freedom is a measure of bankingsecurity as well as a measure ofindependence from government control.State ownership of banks and other financial

    institutions such as insurers and capitalmarkets reduces competition and generallylowers the level of available services.

    The Indexscores this component bydetermining the extent ofgovernmentregulation of financial services; the extent

    ofstate intervention in banks and otherfinancial services; the difficulty of openingand operating financial services firms (forboth domestic and foreign individuals); andgovernment influence on the allocation ofcredit.

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    8- Property RightsThe property rights component is an assessmentof the ability of individuals to accumulate private

    property, secured by clear laws that are fully

    enforced by the state. It measures the degree to

    which a countrys laws protect private propertyrights and the degree to which its government

    enforces those laws. It also assesses thelikelihood that private property will be

    expropriated and analyzes the independence of

    the judiciary, the existence of corruption within

    the judiciary, and the ability of individuals and

    businesses to enforce contracts. The morecertain the legal protection of property, thehigher a countrys score; similarly, the greater

    the chances of government expropriation of

    property, the lower a countrys score.

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    9- Freedom from Corruption

    Corruption erodes economic freedom byintroducing insecurity and uncertaintyinto economic relationships. The score forthis component is derived primarily from

    Transparency International's CorruptionPerceptions Index (CPI), which measuresthe level of corruption in 180 of the 183countries.

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    10- Labor Freedom The labor freedom component is a quantitative

    measure that looks into various aspects of the

    legal and regulatory framework of a country's

    labor market. It provides cross-country data on

    regulations concerning minimum wages; laws

    inhibiting layoffs; severance requirements; and

    measurable regulatory burdens on hiring, hours,and so on. Factors include:

    Ratio of minimum wage to the averagevalue added per worker

    Hindrance to hiring additional workers Rigidity of hours

    Difficulty of firing redundantemployees

    Legally mandated notice period

    Mandatory severance pay

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    The top 10: http://www.heritage.org/Index/TopTen.aspx

    http://www.heritage.org/Index/TopTen.aspxhttp://www.heritage.org/Index/TopTen.aspx