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Page 1: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Agri-Industry Summit 2017Thank you to our sponsors

10th and 11Th August 2017

Principle Sponsor

Gala Dinner Welcome Drinks

Coffee Cart

Artisan Showcase

Sponsors

Page 2: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Key Considerations in Attracting and Managing Investment in Agri Assets

InvestorsSyndexSyndicatesSyndicators

Page 3: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture

NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double primary industry exports in real terms from $32 billion in June 2012 to $64 billion by 2025. 

To achieve this, New Zealand's primary industries would have to grow at a rate of 5.5% a year through to 2025.

It was estimated at the time that our exporting businesses would need an extra $160 to $200 billion of new productive capital to reach this goal.

Page 4: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Major challenge….

 $30.0

 $35.0

 $40.0

 $45.0

 $50.0

 $55.0

 $60.0

 $65.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Primary Industry Exports Target(billions)

Target Actual Required Actual Trend

Growth required in subsequent years to reach the $64b target is 6.3% YoY

Source: MPI Situation and Outlook for Primary Industries March 2017

Page 5: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Major challenge….

“Farmers face significant challenges in raising sufficient capital to fund growth and support farm turnover. 

Farm debt levels are already high and limited external sources ofequity capital are available to farmers…. 

New structures for owning and operating farms need to be encouraged to attract investment from domestic and foreign investors and capital markets. 

These structures might include rapidly evolving equity partnerships, modern variants of share farming and use of off‐take agreements...”  

ANZ Greener Pastures 2012

Page 6: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

“Investment is vital for fuelling growth…

Higher rates of business investment can help drive productivity improvements and help our firms to grow and export…. 

While our rate of business investment is comparable to the OECD median, we need to lift it significantly if we are to improve productivity, grow our businesses and reach 

our overall target of increasing exports to 40% of GDP.”

MBIE ‐ Business Growth Agenda | TOWARDS 2025 

Major challenge….

Page 7: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Publically vs privately traded assets

Public MarketsCentralised, consolidated, regulatedHigh number of participantsInformation symmetry – continuous disclosure, transparencyPrice discoveryHomogenous (to a large extent within asset classes)High number of trades concluded very quicklyRelatively efficient 

Private MarketsDecentralised, fragmented, unregulatedReasonable number of participantsInformation asymmetry  ‐ limited disclosure, opaqueVery limited or no price discoveryHeterogeneousThinly traded market with trades conducted infrequentlyInefficient

What's the difference from a capital raising & trading perspective?

Page 8: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Growth in private markets

$3.6  $8.1 $21.6 

$45.9 $68.8 

$103.2 

$154.8 

$232.2 

$348.2 

 $‐

 $50.0

 $100.0

 $150.0

 $200.0

 $250.0

 $300.0

 $350.0

 $400.0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Total Funds Raised via Crowdfunding(NZ$ billions)

Actual ForecastSource: Massolutions 2015CF The Crowdfunding Industry Report

Page 9: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Investors typically interested  in agri assets…

Sophisticated and Institutional Investors, both domestic & international

• Superannuation/sovereign funds• Fund managers• Private Equity Funds• Family offices• High net worth Individuals• Private groups or syndicates• Iwi

Seeking “legacy” investments, access to returns from the “food story”, access to food supply, exposure to land

Page 10: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Investment in real agri assets

Agriculture

ArablePastoral HybridForestry Horticulture

Investment Universe

Traditional Investments

Cash & Equivalents

Bonds

Equities

Hedge Funds & Liquid Alternatives

Currencies

Private Equity & Venture Capital

Public Real Estate

Alternative Investments

Real Estate

Infrastructure

Energy

Metals & Mining

Real AssetsFinancial Assets

Futures & Derivatives

ETFs

Page 11: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Investment categories

AgriInvestment Universe

Private MarketAgri Land

Private MarketAgri Business

Private Market Agri Tech

Financial Assets Real Assets

Public Market Agri Equities & Futures

Private MarketAgri Infrastructure

Public Market

Agri Exchange Traded Funds

Private MarketHybrid

Page 12: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Investment in real agri assets

Exposure can be through: 

• Farm land

• The farm business, and

• A combination of the two more commonly know as an owner‐operator or hybrid model

Page 13: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Investment in real agri assets – Farm land only

• Investment benefits: 

• Access to a yield via the ongoing rental income

• Access to capital growth on the land

• Investment risk

• Can be volatile

• Illiquidity risk 

• Farming practices that jeopardise quality of the land

• Climate change

• Force majeure

Page 14: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Investment in real agri assets – Farm land only

500

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4000

Mar 96

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Mar 00

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REINZ Farm Price Index

Farm Price Index Dairy Farm Price Index Trendline Trendline

Page 15: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Investment in real agri assets – Farm business only

• Investment benefits: 

• Less capital intensive since the land is leased as opposed to owned

• Capitalise on efficiencies and productivity benefits

• Access to operating profits that are determined by commodity prices, production levels & operating expenses

• Investment risk

• Highly correlated with commodity prices so could be volatile – cyclical (futures could help in volatile periods) 

• Illiquidity risk 

• Weather, disease, climate change

• Force majeure

Page 16: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Investment in real agri assets

Some considerations: 

• There is a strong case to keep the land and the farm business separate since they are quite different assets

• Land provides : 

• Yield and capital growth

• Farm business provides : 

• Profits from operating efficiencies and improvements in production

Page 17: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Structuring agri assets for external investment capital

Key considerations: 

• Appropriate structure that provides for:

• The proportional ownership of the asset (shares or units)

• The transfer of ownership 

• The introduction of new shareholders

• The separation of ownership and operation

• The need for liquidity to enable succession, sell‐down of equity or exit for share‐or‐unit‐holders

Page 18: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

What are investors looking for …

Strong well articulatedClear Purpose

• Investors invest in the future• Need to be confident in ability of people to execute plan

Top PerformerOperational Excellence

• “Best in Class” on farm OR strategy to be the best• Demonstrated ability to get the most out of resource

Structure, management, operational staff have division of dutiesGovernance

• Structure, management, operational staff have division of duties

• High quality internal and external reporting (including audited financials)

Investors want to maximise certainty of the future

Transparent Credible 

Projections• Ability to demonstrate how/why projection is achievable• Track record of accurate projections including differentiation between Opex and Capex

Track record of creating value for shareholdersValue Creation 

& Performance

• Above market returns• Yield and capital • Benchmark and comparative measures

Need to be able to demonstrate a path to exitLiquidity

• Liquidity attracts a wider investor base• Liquidity reduces investors required returns through reduce the illiquidity risk

Page 19: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double
Page 20: Agri-Industry Summit 20174e3qn626agz21q7e122b6h2c-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/... · The opportunity for New Zealand agriculture NZ Government set an aspirational goal in 2012 to double

Agri-Industry Summit 2017Thank you to our sponsors

10th and 11Th August 2017

Principle Sponsor

Gala Dinner Welcome Drinks

Coffee Cart

Artisan Showcase

Sponsors