agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

11
IFPR I INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE Agricultural Modernization Experiences in Uganda Expert Group Meeting on Agriculture and Rural Transformation Godfrey Bahiigwa December 4, 2012 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

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Godfrey Bahiigwa, ReSAKSS-AW Coordinator, presented at Expert Group Meeting on Rethinking Africa’s Agriculture and Rural Transformation on December 4, 2012

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Page 1: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

IFPRI

INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE

Agricultural Modernization Experiences in Uganda

Expert Group Meeting on Agriculture and Rural Transformation

Godfrey Bahiigwa

December 4, 2012Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

Page 2: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

Outline of Presentation

Policy frameworks for agricultural transformation

Is transformation happening in Uganda’s agriculture?

Some lessons learnt over the years

Page 3: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

Uganda’s Agricultural Policy Frameworks (1)

Plan for Modernization of Agriculture (PMA): 2001-2008» Poverty focused, small scale farmer driven» Holistic approach to agricultural development» Government role limited to public goods

Rural Development Strategy (RDS): 2005-2007» Advocated for proactive government, but short-

lived

Page 4: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

Uganda’s Agricultural Policy Frameworks (2)

Prosperity for All (PFA): 2006 to date» Improved version of RDS» Elements of PMA in it» Used for political mobilization» Quietly fizzling away

Agricultural Sector Development Strategy and Investment Plan (DSIP): 2010-2015» Captures key elements of PMA, RDS, PFA» Focused more on role of ministry of agriculture» Supports all farmer categories» Not as popularized at the PMA» Commodity approach adopted for

implementation

Page 5: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

Indicators of Agricultural Transformation

Increasing productivity, sustained over several decades

Increasing incomes, sustained over several decades

Declining share of agriculture in GDP

Declining labor employed in agriculture

Page 6: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

Cereal yields have hardly changes in 30 years

19801982

19841986

19881990

19921994

19961998

20002002

20042006

20082010

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Uganda Cereal Yield Kenya Cereal Yield

Page 7: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

Per capita incomes started rising in last 10 years

19801982

19841986

19881990

19921994

19961998

20002002

20042006

20082010

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Per Capita GDP ($)

Page 8: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

Agriculture Share in GDP has declined, but not employment

19801982

19841986

19881990

19921994

19961998

20002002

20042006

20082010

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Ag. Value Added GDP (%) Non Ag GDP (%)

Page 9: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

19801982

19841986

19881990

19921994

19961998

20002002

20042006

20082010

63

64

65

66

67

68

69

70

71

72

73

66

69

72

66

Employment on Agric (%)

Page 10: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

Population is predominantly rural and changing slowly

19801982

19841986

19881990

19921994

19961998

20002002

20042006

20082010

80

82

84

86

88

90

92

94

Rural Population (%)

Page 11: Agricultural transformation in uganda december 3 4 2012

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION