airbus innovation 2011
TRANSCRIPT
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The future of Air Transport
Alan PardoeHead of Marketing Communications
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AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Aviation is economically vital to our modern world
8% of world GDP
32 Million Jobs
Over 40% of international tourists travel by air
Source : ATAG The economic and social benefits of Air Transport
Share time
with friendsand family
Discover new
horizons andcultures
Increase
opportunitiesand business
Resolve
global issues
Open new
markets
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1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
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2
4
6
8
10
12
Air travel remains a growth market
World annual traffic (RPKs - trillions)20-year
world annualtraffic growth
4.8%
ICAOtotal traffic
AirbusGMF 2011
Air traffichas doubled
every 15 years
Air trafficwill doublein the next
15 years
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20-year demand for almost 27,900 new aircraft
20-year new deliveries of passenger and freight aircraft
Market value of $3.5 trillionPassenger aircraft ( 100 seats) Jet freight aircraft (>10 tons)
1,780 very large aircraft
6,910 twin-aisle aircraft
19,170 single-aisle aircraft
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Average annual oil prices have rebounded
Average annual oil prices have rebounded to 2008 values
Source: EIA, IHS Global Insight (August 2011), Airbus
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20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
History Forecast
Oil price (Current US$)
Average AnnualPrice
Per Barrel
>$120
Average annual WTI oil price (US$ per bbl)
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New industry challenges
New challenges require close monitoring
All forecasts predict an increase in oil price
Fuel is the predominant cost item
EmissionsTrading Scheme starts in 2012Additional charges with emissions quota
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Aviation consistently reduces fuel burned
Fuel burn reduced by 70% since the birth of the jet airliner
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 20200%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1950
Relative Fuel Burn per seat
-70%
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90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Since 2000, air travel has grown 45%
the growth in fuel demand has remained relatively flat
Jet fuel demand data: CERA (millions of barrels of jet fuel), Source: ICAO, CERA, Airbus
Evolution of RPKs and jet fuel demand(Base 100 in 2000)
Traffic growth
Jet fuel demand
Traffic
+45%
Fuel
+3%
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Precise performance with advanced Navaids
Advanced NavAids save fuel
Continuous DescentApproach profile (CDA)
Required Navigation Performance (RNP)RNP Approach with shorter routing.
The aircraft FlightManagement Systemmanages the flight profileto match a Required time-of-arrival (RTA)allocated byATC
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Next Gen Air Traffic Management
Airbus (Quo Vadis) working to improve operational efficiency
Minimum CO2 in Terminal Manoeuvring Area
MINT uses GPS, on-board Flight
Management Systems, RNP, uplinkedwind nowcasts and ContinuousDescent Arrival.
21 Meters accuracy
Within 8 Seconds165 Kg Fuel saved
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Airbus alternative fuels policy
Aviation has no alternative the right fuel is needed at the right time
*Expected dates Projected target
3rd Generation renewable &sustainable
(biowaste, algae, jatropha)
2010*
50% Biomass-to-liquid blend
approval
2011*
100% GTL orBTL blendapproval
2013*
100%biofuel
approval
2030
30% of alljet fuelbiofuel
Timing
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Airbus Biofuel testing
Airbus, Lufthansa and Neste Oil launch worlds first daily
passenger flights using 50% blend of HygrogenatedVegetable Oil & Jet A1
Using an A321 on daily Frankfurt Hamburg services
working together with airlines and bio-jet specialists to industrialiseproduction & test in regular operation
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Well-defined Airbus single-aisle product strategy
Building on proven values
2012
Efficiency
Today
Sharklets
2015
A320neo
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A320neo
Low risk, minimum change aircraft 15% overall fuel burn reduction
Sharklets:
Fuel burn saving on long sectors
Improved field performance
New engines:
Bypass ratio 11 to 12
Up to 81 inch fan diameter
Lower SFC
Lower noise levels
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Open rotor engine technologyin another 25 years?
Ref: airinsight.wordpress.com Jan 31st 2011 podcast
...NASA Ultra High Bypass (UHB) Research Program Director ChrisHughes rates open rotor engines as .. generations beyond what isflying today with an EIS in the 2030-2035 timeframe.
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A320/A320neo compared
A320neo: new engine option from 2015
A320neo
81
More efficient enginesCFM LEAP-X
PW1100G
Sharklets
Efficient enginesCFM56-5B
IAE V2500
Wing tip fences
68
A320
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A320neo offers environmental benefits
Annual fuel savings of 15% equate to:
1.4 m litres of fuel: the consumption of 1000 mid size cars
3,600 tonnes of CO2
the CO2 absorption of 240,000 trees
NOx emissions 50% below CAEP/6
500nm more range
or 2 tonnes more payload
Aircraft noise up to 15dB below Stage IV
Significant environmental improvements
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A350 XWB
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An Intelligent Airframe by design
CFRPWings
Centre wing box and keel beam
Tail cone (Section 19)
Skin panels
Frames, stringers and doublers
Doors (Passenger & Cargo)
No corrosion & fatigue tasks
Titanium
High load frames
Door
surroundingsLanding gear
Pylons
No corrosion tasks
Al/Al-Li
19%
Titanium14%
Steel6%
Misc.8%
Composite
53%
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A350 XWB 25% lower fuel burn
Lightweight material airframe Latest generation engines State of the art aerodynamic Highly Integrated systems
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A350 XWB in 2011 - Focus on Sub-assembly
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Noiseregulations will impose additional costs on airlines
Future Chapter 5 regulations believed to be aiming for
5-10dB below Ch. 4
Increasing number of noise restricted airports
New industry challenges
New challenges require close monitoring
All forecasts predict an increase in oil priceFuel is the predominant cost item
EmissionsTrading Scheme starts in 2012Additional charges with emissions quota
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Aviation consistently reduces its noise impact
1st generationturbofans
2nd generationturbofans
Lateral Noise Level Corrected for Aircraft Thrust
Entry Into Service Date
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Turbojets
Aircraft noise reduced by 75%
20dB airportnoise reduction
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Four years of success four years of full flights25th October 2011 marks the fourth anniversary of the first commercial flight
* - Source: IATA Carrier Tracker November 2007 to June 2011
The Singapore Airlines A380 has proven exceptionally popular
with customers, with strong loads on all routes it serves.System-wide, more than 5 million customers have flown on
Singapore Airlines' A380s [...] on more than 13,000 flights.
SIA News Release1st July 2011
= 81%Average Load Factor
76.5%
IATA Industry average l.f.*
77.9%
SIA average l.f.*
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Aviation megacities across the globe will drive futureVLA demand
87 Aviation Megacities by 2030
VLA = Very Large Aircraft
2PEK
4LHR
9PVG
11NRT
3HKG
14FRA5
JFK
7SIN
6CDG
1
DXB10LAX
8DEL
12BKK
16
SYD
19SFO
20ICN
13BOM
18GRU
15SHA
17CAN
2030 top 20 airports in number of VLAs
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Two-level access - faster, better, space efficient
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Passenger expectation and Seat product trend
First ClassAn elite club,
Private world,
Service comes to me
Business ClassIncreased comfort
not compromising
density
Premium Eco. ClassIncreased comfort / seat
features and
value for money
Economy ClassIncreased density with
same feeling of comfort
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FIRST
Economy
Yield perpassenger
n th passenger
Product-drivenpassengers
Price-drivenpassengers
Revenue as driver for cabin product
Example: Full-service carrier
PremiumEconomy
Business
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Seat pitch
Seat pitch is the habitual measure of seat comfort
Seat pitch
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Knee
clearance+ 1 overprevious seat
Shin clearance+ 0.85 over
previous seat
Slim-line economy seats
Slim-line seats give more living space at a closer pitch
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A320 cabin innovation
Virgin America A320
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In-seat Living Spaceseat pitch + seat width
Humans exist in more than one dimension!
Seat pitch
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A320 Comfort, efficiency & flexibility
62
19
59
251718
Wider seat Wider aisle
7 W I D E R internal cabin
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A380 - the widest seats for greater comfort
An all-new Economy Class seat, offering passengers enhanced levels of comfortduring long haul travel.
Lesley Grant, Qantas Executive Manager Customer and Marketing
Emirates Qantas
Air France
Singapore Airlines
LufthansaKorean Air
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A350 XWB: Economy Class
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Premium Economy More pitch & width
38
38
38
36
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Premium Economy service: main characteristics
Priority check-in
Lounge access More pitch (38 average) and recline (9 average)
Personal TV (and larger screen: ~12)
PC plug
Better catering than Economy (i.e preflight drink) Comfort kit (amenities)
Priority boarding/disembarkment
More miles gained
More baggage allowance Priority baggage reclaim
Many features linked to pre/post flight services
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Types of business-class seats
Cradle Lie-flat Cocoon Full-flat Cocoon Innovative Full-flat
Herringbone Staggered
Examples of Innovative full-flat arrangements
Airline Specific
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Historical trend: business seat - space efficiency
Over 70% full-flat within five years
Datum
+50%
+33%
-20%
+100%
-30%
-50%
1980s 1990s 2nd Gen2000s 1st Gen
CradleLie flat to full flat
Cocoon Innovative
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New Flight Entertainment is coming onto market
Centralised IFE
Light IFE (LIFE)
Handheld Devices
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Traditional In Flight Entertainment offer is changing
Passengers can now upload or download content
Example shown : SIA tourist class, A330
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Game Changing technology readiness
2010 to 2020
Innovativestructure
Composites
Metallictechnologies
New engines
BiofuelsAlternative fuel
Sharklet
Aerodynamicsefficiency
SESAR/Next Gen (ATM)Green trajectoriesAir TrafficManagement
Advanced turbofan(Leap X and GTF)
Beyond 2025
Fuel celltechnology
Laminar Flow &
Smart wings
Innovativecockpit
NextGenerationturbofan
Open rotor
Nanotechnology
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Airbus Concept plane
Double doors for quicker
and easier boarding
Curved fuselageto improve flight
Mega-quiet blended enginesfor less fuel and emissions
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Airbus Concept plane
Ultra thin wings to betterglide through the air
U-shaped tail shield
for less ground noise
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Airbus Concept plane
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AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document. This document and all i nformation contained herein is the sol e property of AIRBUS S.A.S. No intellectual property rights are granted by thedelivery of this document or the disclosure of i ts content. This document shall not be reproduced or disclosed to a third party without the express written consent of AIRBUS S.A.S. This document and its content shall not beused for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied. The statements made herein do not constitute an offer. They are based on the mentioned assumptions and are expressed in good faith. Where the supportinggrounds for these statements are not shown, AIRBUS S.A.S. will be pleased to explain the basis thereof.AIRBUS, its logo, A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M are registered trademarks.