broadband indicators ict4all november 23 rd , 2009 hammamet , tunisia
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Broadband Indicators
ICT4All November 23rd, 2009Hammamet, Tunisia
Facts Using Indicators• The number of broadband subscribers around the globe,
on either fixed or mobile connections, is likely to exceed one billion for the first time during 2009. (OECD)
• For every 10 percentage-point increase in broadband penetration, GDP growth can increase by up to 1.38 percent (World Bank 2009)
• One fibre optic strand the width of a human hair currently has the capacity to support 3 billion simultaneous phone conversations. That is equivalent to every person in the world on the phone with someone else at the same time (OECD).
• Performance/price of broadband connections is continuing to double every 12-15 months on average (OECD).
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ICT Core IndicatorsThe “ICT Core Indicators” are the international common denominator
• A4 - Fixed broadband Internet subscribers per 100 inhabitants• A5 - Mobile broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants• A6 - International Internet bandwidth per inhabitant
(bits/sec/person)• A8 - Fixed broadband Internet access tariffs (per month), in
US$, and as a percentage of monthly per capita income• HH11 - Proportion of households with access to the Internet
by type of access (narrowband, broadband (fixed, mobile))• B9 - Proportion of businesses using the Internet by type of
access (narrowband, broadband (fixed, mobile))
The Partnership on Measuring ICT for Development
Indicators Logic Model
Outcomes • Intermediate effects of outputs on clients
Outputs• Immediate products and
services produced
Activities• Tasks undertaken to
transform inputs to outputs
Inputs• Financial, human, and
material resources
Impacts• Long-term, macro,
widespread improvement in society
Impl
emen
tatio
nR
esul
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Binnendijk, 2000
Rural Rollout of Broadband Example
Outcomes• Time savings for rural inhabitants; Cost
savings for rural inhabitants; Increase in broadband-enabled SME activity in rural areas; Increase in ICT skills in rural areas
Outputs • Increase in % of population covered by broadband services; increase in bandwidth available in rural areas
Activities • Rolling out the network
Inputs• Money, engineers, Private
Sector partner, hardware, software, USF, Regulation
Impacts• Increase in GNI/cap in
rural areas; reduction of poverty
Impl
emen
tatio
nR
esul
ts
Binnendijk, 2000
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Specifically BroadbandPublic Sector View: Policy
• Sector Structure:Competition / Regulation
• Penetration / Usage• Universal Access / Rural• Quality, Speed• Affordability• BB Applications / BB as
Enabler of other Sectors / BB as Service Delivery Tool
• Education / Skills
Private Sector View: Profit• New Subscribers• Technology types• Network speed• Spectrum allocation• Next generation, Killer Apps• Capex, Investment• ROI, ARPU• Performance to Price ratio• Investment Climate / Risk
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Sector Structure / Competition / Regulation• Sector Structure – Monopoly, Partial, Competition
E.g. for Fixed Wireless Broadband, Ethiopia = M; Algeria = P; Ghana = C. (ITU)
• Number of OperatorsEgypt: Number of Broadband operators = 8 (NTRA)
• Unbundling the Local Loop? • Universal Access?• Spectrum Management?
In short Indicators on policies and regulations that close market
gaps and make markets work, often not quantitative
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Penetration / Usage• Overall Penetration
Fixed / Mobile Broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants (ITU)
• IndividualHouseholds with broadband access (%) (OECD)
• BusinessesBusiness broadband penetration (OECD)
• Community Access (kiosks, post office, schools)Schools with Broadband Access (% of total schools) ITU 2008
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Broadband Subscribers in Egypt and Turkey
NTRA 2009
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Quality / Speed• International Internet bandwidth per inhabitant
(bits/sec/person)• Average advertised download speeds, by
technology (e.g. DSL, Cable, Fibre)• Average advertised upload speeds, by technology • Fastest advertised connection offered by the
incumbent operator • Bit/data cap limits, average among surveyed firms
with caps, by technology
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Universal CoverageMbps / Have and Have-Nots in the UK
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Affordability• Variety due to packages with different speeds,
bit caps, technology, billing methods of post/prepaid.
• ITU uses price baskets. • OECD has uses average monthly subscription
price for very (a) low-speed, (b) medium-speed, (c) high-speed, (d) very high-speed connections
• Tariffs as % of GNI/cap• What we would like to see is low prices as % of
GNI/cap = affordable broadband.
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Fixed Broadband Tariffs in EU
Analysis Mason. Ultra-fast broadband means downstream bandwidth of 30Mbps or more.
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MNA Broadband Prices
Arab Advisors Group (residential, 256 kbs)
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Affordability of Residential Broadband
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BB as Enabler• Quantify the impact on delivery of through
Applications – eHealth, Distance Learning, m-Banking
• Study of BB as enabler of other Sectors, e.g. through Trade
• Requires: Digital literacy, ICT skills development, ICT Education, Private Sector Development.
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Private Sector Focus: Technology
• Wired: VDSL/ADSL, cable networks, fiber optic, Powerline
• Wireless: Mobile 3G 4G, WiMAX, Satellite• International (submarine), domestic (backbone) and last
mile• Sharing infrastructure (roads, electricity, water,
sewerage, railroads, towers, ducts)• E.g. Fibre networks are likely to generate 20–30% more
ARPU than DSL networks (Analysys Mason 2009).
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Analysis Mason
Typical costs of providing WiMAX coverage for a large population using 2.5GHz or3.5GHz spectrum: to provide good outdoor coverage using 3.5GHz, rather than 2.5GHz, spectrum results in a substantial 33% increase in associated costs. If indoor coverage is added to the equation, the cost of using 3.5GHz spectrum is 73% higher than if using 2.5GHz spectrum
Mobile Broadband: Spectrum / Costs Factors
Thank you
Anat Lewinalewin@worldbank.org
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