SMART INCO-MEDSMART INCO-MED44thth Management Board Management Board

Meeting,Meeting,September 12-14 2004, September 12-14 2004,

Hammamet, TunisiaHammamet, Tunisia

SMART INCO-MEDSMART INCO-MED44thth Management Board Management Board

Meeting,Meeting,September 12-14 2004, September 12-14 2004,

Hammamet, TunisiaHammamet, Tunisia

DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austriakurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.atEnvironmental Software & Services A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen

DDr. Kurt Fedra ESS GmbH, Austriakurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.atEnvironmental Software & Services A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen

Wednesday, September 12Wednesday, September 12

09:00-09:15 Welcome (CNT)

09:15-10:15 Project Status (ESS)

10:15-10:45 Coffee break

10:45-11:30 WP 4 data compilation (SUMER)

11:30-12:00 Case study: EGYPT

12:00-12:30 Case study: LEBANON

12:30-13:00 Case study: TUNISIA

13:00-13:30 Case study: TURKEY

09:00-09:15 Welcome (CNT)

09:15-10:15 Project Status (ESS)

10:15-10:45 Coffee break

10:45-11:30 WP 4 data compilation (SUMER)

11:30-12:00 Case study: EGYPT

12:00-12:30 Case study: LEBANON

12:30-13:00 Case study: TUNISIA

13:00-13:30 Case study: TURKEY

Wednesday, September 13Wednesday, September 13

13:30-15:00 Lunch

15:30-16:00 Case study: JORDAN

16:00-17:00 TELEMAC, user support

17:00-19:00 TELEMAC and LUC/RRM/WRM:

parallel break-out sessions

13:30-15:00 Lunch

15:30-16:00 Case study: JORDAN

16:00-17:00 TELEMAC, user support

17:00-19:00 TELEMAC and LUC/RRM/WRM:

parallel break-out sessions

Thursday, September 14Thursday, September 14

08:00-09:00 On-line models (LUC, RRM)

10:30-10:00 WRM modeling

10:00-10:15 Coffee break

10:15-12:15 Indicators and scenarios

(FEEM, UATLA, SOGREAH)

12:15-13:00 Dissemination, Exploitation

13:00-14:15 Lunch break

08:00-09:00 On-line models (LUC, RRM)

10:30-10:00 WRM modeling

10:00-10:15 Coffee break

10:15-12:15 Indicators and scenarios

(FEEM, UATLA, SOGREAH)

12:15-13:00 Dissemination, Exploitation

13:00-14:15 Lunch break

Thursday, September 14Thursday, September 14

14:15-16:00 next 6 months (Reporting)next meeting (Malta ? Alexandria in February ?,Model workshops ? any other business

14:15-16:00 next 6 months (Reporting)next meeting (Malta ? Alexandria in February ?,Model workshops ? any other business

SMART: Project Overview SMART: Project Overview 09:15 – 10:1509:15 – 10:15• 3 year duration to August 2005

• Started: September 2002

Current PM: 25 of 36

Or more than 2/3 !!!

• 3 year duration to August 2005

• Started: September 2002

Current PM: 25 of 36

Or more than 2/3 !!!

SMART: time tableSMART: time table

SMART: Work Plan PhasesSMART: Work Plan Phases

1. Requirements analysis, data availability, specifications

2. Data compilation, tool development

3. Parallel case studies4. Comparative evaluation,

dissemination.

1. Requirements analysis, data availability, specifications

2. Data compilation, tool development

3. Parallel case studies4. Comparative evaluation,

dissemination.

SMART SMART

SMART: Milestones SMART: Milestones

1 PM 09 End of preparatory phase, first workshop – DELAYED (1 month)

2 PM 12 Methods and tools prototypes ready, start of operational phase

3 PM 18 Case studies implemented, first results of scenario analysis ???

4 PM 24 Analysis and assessment phase initiated

5 PM 30 Case studies completed, final comparative analysis

6 PM 36 Project and reporting completed

1 PM 09 End of preparatory phase, first workshop – DELAYED (1 month)

2 PM 12 Methods and tools prototypes ready, start of operational phase

3 PM 18 Case studies implemented, first results of scenario analysis ???

4 PM 24 Analysis and assessment phase initiated

5 PM 30 Case studies completed, final comparative analysis

6 PM 36 Project and reporting completed

SMART: work packages SMART: work packages

WP 01: Requirements and constraints analysis

completed

WP 01: Requirements and constraints analysis

completed

SMART: work packages SMART: work packages

WP 02: Socio-economic framework and guidelines

nominally completed, indicator definitions and data compilation/analysis

not yet completed

WP 02: Socio-economic framework and guidelines

nominally completed, indicator definitions and data compilation/analysis

not yet completed

SMART: work packages SMART: work packages

WP 03: Analytical tools, models

SOGREAH, PM 3-18• TELEMAC (ongoing work)

• WaterWare (LUC, RRM, WRM)

Nominally completed, web implementation of LUC, RRM, WRM complete, but no fully operational (calibrated) or complete scenarios yet. HOW TO PROCEED ?

WP 03: Analytical tools, models

SOGREAH, PM 3-18• TELEMAC (ongoing work)

• WaterWare (LUC, RRM, WRM)

Nominally completed, web implementation of LUC, RRM, WRM complete, but no fully operational (calibrated) or complete scenarios yet. HOW TO PROCEED ?

SMART: work packages SMART: work packages

WP 04: Data compilation and analysis

SUMER leads, PM 6-24Includes parallel sub-tasks, one for

each case study/country

SHOULD BE COMPLETED !!!

WP 04: Data compilation and analysis

SUMER leads, PM 6-24Includes parallel sub-tasks, one for

each case study/country

SHOULD BE COMPLETED !!!

SMART: WP04 SMART: WP04

1. Develop meta-data structure

2. Formats, technical specifications

3. Coverage and resolution (space and time)

4. Develop checklists

5. Monitor compilation

6. DATA BASE IMPLEMENTATION (with ESS)

7. Comparative analysis (completeness, consistency, plausibility)

1. Develop meta-data structure

2. Formats, technical specifications

3. Coverage and resolution (space and time)

4. Develop checklists

5. Monitor compilation

6. DATA BASE IMPLEMENTATION (with ESS)

7. Comparative analysis (completeness, consistency, plausibility)

SMART: WP04 SMART: WP04

OBJECTIVE and PRODUCT (the PLAN):

Common, consistent data baseExtensive documentation/Meta data !On-line access and analysisAccessible from the project web site with

interactive display and basic on-line analysis tools: GIS, TimeSeries

Map server at CEDARE – Egypt CS example on-line – any data submitted ?

OBJECTIVE and PRODUCT (the PLAN):

Common, consistent data baseExtensive documentation/Meta data !On-line access and analysisAccessible from the project web site with

interactive display and basic on-line analysis tools: GIS, TimeSeries

Map server at CEDARE – Egypt CS example on-line – any data submitted ?

SMART: WP04 SMART: WP04

1.Common Land Use classification (CORINE)

2.Common soil classification (FAO)

3. INDICATORS (WP2/WP10): FEEM/UATLA: TO BE FINALIZED

1.Common Land Use classification (CORINE)

2.Common soil classification (FAO)

3. INDICATORS (WP2/WP10): FEEM/UATLA: TO BE FINALIZED

SMART: WP05-9 SMART: WP05-9

Scenario definitions (for all models !) :1.Base line (calibration)

2.Business as usual

3.Worst case

4.Optimistic

Scenario definitions (for all models !) :1.Base line (calibration)

2.Business as usual

3.Worst case

4.Optimistic

Scenarios Scenarios (LAST comments ?)(LAST comments ?)Conversion into a database is

impossible with current data;There is no quantitative data for Jordan (only

schematic description of each scenario);The variables used differ between cases, NO

consistent/comparable set of indicators yet;For some issues important for the scenarios

there is no information;Some countries use quantitative data and

others qualitative data for the same variables.

Conversion into a database is impossible with current data;

There is no quantitative data for Jordan (only schematic description of each scenario);

The variables used differ between cases, NO consistent/comparable set of indicators yet;

For some issues important for the scenarios there is no information;

Some countries use quantitative data and others qualitative data for the same variables.

SMART: work packages SMART: work packages

WP 05 – 09 Case Studies

Respective partner, PM 12-30,

Overlaps with data compilation

Actual case study work to have started in September 2003

WHICH WAS 12 MONTHS AGO and there are six months to go !!!

WP 05 – 09 Case Studies

Respective partner, PM 12-30,

Overlaps with data compilation

Actual case study work to have started in September 2003

WHICH WAS 12 MONTHS AGO and there are six months to go !!!

SMART: work packages SMART: work packages

WP 10: Comparative analysis

FEEM, PM 24-36

Requires input from all case studies (FEEM presentation)

Based on indicators and scenario definitions ??

WP 10: Comparative analysis

FEEM, PM 24-36

Requires input from all case studies (FEEM presentation)

Based on indicators and scenario definitions ??

SMART: work packages SMART: work packages

WP 11: Dissemination and exploitation

ESS, PM 3-36 (Web server)EXPLOITATION STRATEGIES:CONTINUOUS UPDATES for

the plans per partner and country.

WP 11: Dissemination and exploitation

ESS, PM 3-36 (Web server)EXPLOITATION STRATEGIES:CONTINUOUS UPDATES for

the plans per partner and country.

WP 11: DisseminationWP 11: Dissemination• Web site (images, links, contributions: Web site (images, links, contributions:

don’t be shy, don’t be shy, please do send materialplease do send material such such as case study descriptions/extensions !!!as case study descriptions/extensions !!!

• Meetings, conferences, scientific and Meetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature technical literature (CONFERENCES ?)(CONFERENCES ?)

• Local workshopsLocal workshops• NETWORKINGNETWORKING

– Informal network, start with a Informal network, start with a

commoncommon address data base – address data base – on-line ?on-line ?NOTHING SUBMITTED YET ?????NOTHING SUBMITTED YET ?????

• Web site (images, links, contributions: Web site (images, links, contributions: don’t be shy, don’t be shy, please do send materialplease do send material such such as case study descriptions/extensions !!!as case study descriptions/extensions !!!

• Meetings, conferences, scientific and Meetings, conferences, scientific and technical literature technical literature (CONFERENCES ?)(CONFERENCES ?)

• Local workshopsLocal workshops• NETWORKINGNETWORKING

– Informal network, start with a Informal network, start with a

commoncommon address data base – address data base – on-line ?on-line ?NOTHING SUBMITTED YET ?????NOTHING SUBMITTED YET ?????

WP 11: DisseminationWP 11: Dissemination

•Web site, other Web site, other material ?material ?

•Meetings, Meetings, conferences, conferences, scientific and technical scientific and technical literature, manuscriptsliterature, manuscripts

•Local dissemination Local dissemination workshops (planning ?)workshops (planning ?)

•SMART: the eBook ?SMART: the eBook ?

•Web site, other Web site, other material ?material ?

•Meetings, Meetings, conferences, conferences, scientific and technical scientific and technical literature, manuscriptsliterature, manuscripts

•Local dissemination Local dissemination workshops (planning ?)workshops (planning ?)

•SMART: the eBook ?SMART: the eBook ?

Case StudiesCase Studies

GIS Map ServerGIS Map Server

GIS Map ServerGIS Map Server

WP 10: EvaluationWP 10: Evaluation

Aggregated into Sustainability Indicators

1. Economic efficiency

2. Environmental compatibility

3. Equity (intra- and intergenerational)

Aggregated into Sustainability Indicators

1. Economic efficiency

2. Environmental compatibility

3. Equity (intra- and intergenerational)

WP 10: Scenario EvaluationWP 10: Scenario Evaluation

Aggregated into Sustainability Indicators with RULES:

IF Sup/Dem >= 1.0

AND Reliability >> 80%

AND …….. == high/medium/low

THEN EEF = HIGH

Aggregated into Sustainability Indicators with RULES:

IF Sup/Dem >= 1.0

AND Reliability >> 80%

AND …….. == high/medium/low

THEN EEF = HIGH

WP 10: EvaluationWP 10: Evaluation

Aggregated into Sustainability Index with RULES:

IF EEF == high (medium, low)

AND ENC == high (medium, low)

AND SEQ == high (medium, low)

THEN SUSTAINABILITY = HIGH

Aggregated into Sustainability Index with RULES:

IF EEF == high (medium, low)

AND ENC == high (medium, low)

AND SEQ == high (medium, low)

THEN SUSTAINABILITY = HIGH

WP 10: EvaluationWP 10: Evaluation

Evaluation process is open for inspection and participation: easy to understand and change RULES

OBJECTIVE: not to offer the ultimate assessment for SUSTAINABILITY, but a framework for structured discourse and user participation

LOCAL USER GROUPS ???

Evaluation process is open for inspection and participation: easy to understand and change RULES

OBJECTIVE: not to offer the ultimate assessment for SUSTAINABILITY, but a framework for structured discourse and user participation

LOCAL USER GROUPS ???

WP 10: Decision SupportWP 10: Decision Support

Comparative analysis of cases/scenarios in terms of the indicators;

Participatory approach:

Stake holders define criteria, objectives, constraints, and expectations

– DSS tool finds the nearest feasible solution in the set of alternatives.

Comparative analysis of cases/scenarios in terms of the indicators;

Participatory approach:

Stake holders define criteria, objectives, constraints, and expectations

– DSS tool finds the nearest feasible solution in the set of alternatives.

WP 10: Decision SupportWP 10: Decision Support

Participatory approach:

Stake holders need to be defined, contacted, involved !!!

WE NEED AT THE VERY LEAST:

“Updated” address lists

for each case study region.

Participatory approach:

Stake holders need to be defined, contacted, involved !!!

WE NEED AT THE VERY LEAST:

“Updated” address lists

for each case study region.

WP 10Decision SupportWP 10Decision Support

Reference point approach:Reference point approach:

nadirnadirnadirnadir

utopiautopiautopiautopia

A1A1

A2A2

A3A3

A4A4

betterbetter

efficient efficient pointpoint

criterion 1criterion 1

crite

rion

2cr

iterio

n 2 A5A5

dominateddominated

A6A6