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The Economist July 2oth 2013Contents 3

ílIcCrime is plunging.To keepitdown, governments shouldfocus on prevention, notpunishment: leader, page 9.The rich world is seeing lessand less crime, even in the faceof high unemployment andeconomic stagnation, page21. Itis getting easier topredict wrongdoing and spotlikely wrongdoers, page 24.When is it legalto shoot anunarmed black teenager?Page 27. The latest researchsuggests humans are notgenetically programmed tobe warriors, page 69

4hEIECOn01111St onll noDaily analysis and opinion fromour 19 blogs, plus audio and videocontent, debates and a dailychartEconomist.com/btogs

newsletters andmobile editionEconomist.com/emait

Print edition: available online by7pm London time each ThursdayEconomist.com/print

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TheEconomist

Volume 408 Number 8845

First published in September 1843to take part in "a severe contest betweenintelligence, which presses forward, andan unworthy, timid ignorante obstructingour progress. "

Editorial offices in London and also:Atlanta, Beijing, Berlin, Brussels, Cairo,Chicago, Hong Kong, Johannesburg, Los Angeles,Mexico City, Moscow, New Delhi, NewYork, Paris,San Francisco, Sáo Paulo, Singapore, Tokyo,Washington DC

6 The world this week

Leaders9 Crime

The curious case of the fallin crime

10 Reform in CubaSet the farmers andshopkeepers free

10 Youth unemployment inEuropeGuaranteed to fail

11 Afghanistan after 2014Why zero is not an option

12 SportTesti ng ti mes

Letters14 On Amartya Sen, defence

spending, Britain,immigration, France,sailing

Briefing21 Falling crime

Where have all theburglars gone?

24 Predictive policingDon't even think about it

United States27 Race and crime

Trayvon's legacy

28 The Whitey Bulger trialBadfellas

29 Walloping WalmartDC says no to cheap food

29 HomebrewingHops and change

30 DemographyBroke in the 'burbs

32 Lexi ngtonLatino Republicans

The Americas33 Cuba's economy

Money starts to talk34 Religion in Brazil

Earthly concerns

35 Crime in MexicoZeta zeroed

Asia37 Elections in Japan

Man with plan

38 Security in AfghanistanHolding their ground

39 Solomon 'standsAussie rules

39 Bangladeshi politicsJamaattomorrow

40 Lighting rural IndiaOut of the gloom

China41 Nuclear activism

Limiting the fallout42 Economic growth

Targets barely met42 Hedonism at the cinema

My generation

Milite East and Africa43 Afncan money transfers

Let them remit

44 Togo's electionA tale of two families

44 Egypt after the coupCan they restore calm?

45 Syria's rebelsIslamists compete

45 Gays in LebanonThey're notill

Europe46 The Italian government

Shirtsleeve time47 Greece, Portugal and the

euroIn the dumps

48 Spain's prime ministerRajoy there!

48 Alexei NavalnyGuilty as charged

49 CharlemagneData-privacy wars

2 6 `L,

11=111.111ialk

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Italy and the euro crisisFor the head of a governmentmeantto be living from day today, Enrico Letta has somestrikingly long-term plans,page 46. German-led plans fortacklingyouth unemploymentin Europe are fartoo timid:leader, page lo. Greece andPortugal still struggle to stickto their programmes, page 47

Cuba Setthefarmers andshopkeepers free, and letCubans benefit; leader, page10. Money starts to talk as thetempo of reform accelerates,page 33

Deafness Technology that Jetsdeaf people hear has adownside: itthreatens signlanguages, page 53. Lobbyistsand blind people are at oddsover copyright laws, page 54

► Contents continues overleaf

The Economist July 20th 2013Contents4

axoSrílthKiine

GlaxoSmithKlineA reminderof how hard it will be to tacklecorruption in China, page 56.For an American multinational,is exposureto China still agood thing? Page 64

L77-12Wall Street hobbled Americanbanks are in purgatory, page61. European banks feelpersecuted by Americanregulation, page 64

ree"~SportHow technology andmathematical Logic could helpstamp out cheating: leader,page 12. Sportsmen who takedrugs may be prisoners of adifferent game, page 71

Britain

50 How to run a cityThe wrong trousers

51 London's airportsGo west

52 BagehotA school blooms

International

53 Technology and the deafListen up

54 Blind-friendly booksBetween the Unes

54 Paying lawmakersRewarding work

Business

55 Higher educationThe attack of the MOOCs

56 Executive MBA rankingJoint highs

56 GlaxoSmithKline in ChinaBitter pi ll

57 Renewable energy inSpainThe cost del sol

58 Canadian retailingDrug deal

58 Internet accessCongestion on the line

59 TV everywhereThe travel channels

60 SchumpeterEntrepreneurship defined

Finance and economice

61 American banksThe triumph of lowexpectations

62 The trial of Fabrice TourreNot so fabulous

62 Older workersGlad to be grey

63 ButtonwoodSovereign ratings

64 American justice andforeign banksGloboCop

64 The SinodependencyindexChindependence

65 Banking in the cloudSilver

66 Free exchangeUnemployment andherding

Science and technology69 The origins of war

Old soldiers?

70 Marine ecologyWelcome to theplastisphere

70 Climate scienceSensitive information

71 Doping in sportAthlete's di lemma

Books and arts

7? Art about climate changeChilling

73 A memoir of winemakingIn the drink

73 Germany and the euroThe Merkel method

74 Russia's American empireHow the east was lost

75 "Fruitvale Station"An American tragedy

75 New fictionComfort food

80 Economic and financialindicatorsStatistics on 42economies, plus a closerlook at world grain stocks

Obituary82 Nadia Popova

Among the Night Witches

t

EP* "

PEFC certified

This copy of The Economistis printed en paper sourced

PEFC from sustainably managedforests certified by PEFC

PEFC/29-31-75 www.pefc.org

Orecycle

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Russia's ace aviatrix Ourobituary of Nadia Popova, aglamorous night-bomber

page 82

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