friedrich führ desertec foundation, director/vorstand friedrich.fuehr@desertec

DESERTEC Concept:Clean power from deserts

for a world of 10 billion people

Turning a Vision into Reality

Friedrich FührDESERTEC Foundation, Director/Vorstand

Friedrich.Fuehr@DESERTEC.org

DESERTEC-KonzeptDESERTEC Concept

The world with 10 billion people at about 2050

space

food

water

energy

climate

livelihoods

sufficient

manageable

insufficient

super-insufficient

self-destructing

fast changes

Fossil World 2050

4 times red light

Clean Power World – achievable with DESERTEC

Within 3000 km from deserts:

To more than 90% of world pop clean power from deserts available.

HVDC

via HVDC super grid to a World with 10 billion People

3000 km

Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009

World total demand 2050:

60 PWh/yScenario: 50% from deserts:

30 PWh/y collectors for

12,000 GW-el

from 450 x 450 km²= 0.55% of all deserts

= 1% of useful deserts distributed over “10,000” sites

10% loss

12,000 solar GigaWatt from Deserts

GLOBAL INTEREST coming up

• DESERTEC – INDIA

• (DESERTEC – CHINA)

• DESERTEC – AUSTRALIA

• DESERTEC - IRAN

• DESERTEC – ECOWAS (sub-Sahara)

• DESERTEC - EUMENA

Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009

Renewable Energy Scenario for EUMENA based on a grid interconnecting all renewable energy resources in this region

Studies by DLR forEUMENA region

MED-CSP TRANS-CSP for German gov‘t

CLUB OF ROMEWhite Book 2009www.desertec.org

Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009

Climate security:Decarbonization in EUMENA,

compatible with climate goal ∆T<2°

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Year

CO

2-E

mis

sio

ns

in

Mt/

y

Avoided

Import Solar

Photovoltaics

Wind

Geothermal

Hydropower

Wave / Tidal

Biomass

CSP Plants

Oil / Gas

Coal

Nuclear

-81%

-81%

Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Year

Ele

ctric

ity [T

Wh/

y]

Import SolarPhotovoltaicsWindGeothermalHydropowerBiomassWave / TidalCSP PlantsOil GasCoalNuclear

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Year

Ele

ctri

city

[T

Wh

/y]

DesalinationExport SolarPhotovoltaicsWindGeothermalHydropowerBiomassWave / TidalCSP PlantsOil / GasCoalNuclear

in MENA, including export to Europe and power for desalination

in EU-25, and17% import from MENA

By clean power from deserts EU gets clean firm capacity and may win 10-15 years in the fight against climate change.

Thanks to energy efficiency and renewable energies nuclear energy can be phased out completely, andgas and coal largely.

Power demand, and supply scenario (TWh/y) in MENA and EU

8

transition mix 2000-2050 6 times m

ore

Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009

Freshwater Crisis in MENA region:Deficits by Country (bn m³/y)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Year

Fre

shw

ater

Def

icit

[b

illio

n m

³/y]

BahrainYemenUAESaudi ArabiaQatarKuwaitOmanIranIraqSyriaLebanonJordanIsraelPalestineEgypt LibyaTunisiaAlgeriaMorocco

9

NILE

NILE

NILE

NILE

Global DESERTEC program phases for a rapid implementation

DESERTEC CSP DEPLOYMENT PLANA coarse implementation scheme:

Phase 1 HIGH SPEED MARKET PREPARATION6 Years 2010 -2015 policy driven

Phase 2 COLLECTOR PRODUCTION CAP. SCALE UP20 Years 2016– 2035 market driven

Phase 3 HIGH SPEED DEPLOYMENT20 Years 2031 – 2050 market driven

DESERTEC CSP DEPLOYMENT PLANA coarse implementation scheme:

Phase 1 HIGH SPEED MARKET PREPARATION6 Years 2010 -2015 policy driven

Phase 2 COLLECTOR PRODUCTION CAP. SCALE UP20 Years 2016– 2035 market driven

Phase 3 HIGH SPEED DEPLOYMENT20 Years 2031 – 2050 market driven

Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009

Fast completion of phase 1 = key to success !

Main task for DESERTEC Industrial Initiative

The world with 10 billion people at about 2050

11

space

food

water

energy

climate

livelihoods

sufficient

manageable

insufficient

super-insufficient

self-destructing

fast changes

Fossil World 2050

sufficient

sufficient

manageable

sufficient

stabilizing

stable

Clean Power World

4 times red light no red light

Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009

from

burden sharing

The new sustainability spirit for the DII:

creating a world that we can enjoy to live in

to

saving the planet:

the biggest business case ever

Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009

13 13

14 14

Plan Solaire

Umweltminister-konferenz

e-parliament

D EU EMPA

JungBerg

KauchFell

1,700 members

PötteringHarmsPrody

Wiekmann

SchennachBouhrizi

Dr. Gerhard Knies HRH Prince Hassan

bin Talal of Jordan

Dr. Klaus Töpfer Anders Wijkman

Al Gore: „This is not pie in the sky, this can be done.“

First Step to

First Step to

Laila Georgy

Ministry of

Electricity and

Energy

First Step to

Jamila Matar

Head of Energy

Department

League

of Arab States

The DESERTEC concept forms the basis of the Desertec Industrial Initiative (DII)

Memorandum of Understanding (MoU)

25

•12 companies and the DESERTEC Foundation signed a Memorandum of Understanding.•The objective of this initiative is to analyse and develop the technical, economic, political, social and ecological framework for carbon-free power generation in the deserts of North Africa.

PublicInitiative

IndustrialInitiative

AcademicInitiative

Political Initiative

Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009

Contact: friedrich.fuehr@desertec.org