friedrich führ desertec foundation, director/vorstand friedrich.fuehr@desertec
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DESERTEC Concept: Clean power from deserts for a world of 10 billion people Turning a Vision into Reality. Friedrich Führ DESERTEC Foundation, Director/Vorstand [email protected]. DESERTEC Concept. DESERTEC-Konzept. The world with 10 billion people at about 2050. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
DESERTEC Concept:Clean power from deserts
for a world of 10 billion people
Turning a Vision into Reality
Friedrich FührDESERTEC Foundation, Director/Vorstand
DESERTEC-KonzeptDESERTEC Concept
The world with 10 billion people at about 2050
space
food
water
energy
climate
livelihoods
sufficient
manageable
insufficient
super-insufficient
self-destructing
fast changes
Fossil World 2050
4 times red light
Clean Power World – achievable with DESERTEC
Within 3000 km from deserts:
To more than 90% of world pop clean power from deserts available.
HVDC
via HVDC super grid to a World with 10 billion People
3000 km
Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009
World total demand 2050:
60 PWh/yScenario: 50% from deserts:
30 PWh/y collectors for
12,000 GW-el
from 450 x 450 km²= 0.55% of all deserts
= 1% of useful deserts distributed over “10,000” sites
10% loss
12,000 solar GigaWatt from Deserts
GLOBAL INTEREST coming up
• DESERTEC – INDIA
• (DESERTEC – CHINA)
• DESERTEC – AUSTRALIA
• DESERTEC - IRAN
• DESERTEC – ECOWAS (sub-Sahara)
• DESERTEC - EUMENA
Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009
Renewable Energy Scenario for EUMENA based on a grid interconnecting all renewable energy resources in this region
Studies by DLR forEUMENA region
MED-CSP TRANS-CSP for German gov‘t
CLUB OF ROMEWhite Book 2009www.desertec.org
Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009
Climate security:Decarbonization in EUMENA,
compatible with climate goal ∆T<2°
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Year
CO
2-E
mis
sio
ns
in
Mt/
y
Avoided
Import Solar
Photovoltaics
Wind
Geothermal
Hydropower
Wave / Tidal
Biomass
CSP Plants
Oil / Gas
Coal
Nuclear
-81%
-81%
Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Year
Ele
ctric
ity [T
Wh/
y]
Import SolarPhotovoltaicsWindGeothermalHydropowerBiomassWave / TidalCSP PlantsOil GasCoalNuclear
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Year
Ele
ctri
city
[T
Wh
/y]
DesalinationExport SolarPhotovoltaicsWindGeothermalHydropowerBiomassWave / TidalCSP PlantsOil / GasCoalNuclear
in MENA, including export to Europe and power for desalination
in EU-25, and17% import from MENA
By clean power from deserts EU gets clean firm capacity and may win 10-15 years in the fight against climate change.
Thanks to energy efficiency and renewable energies nuclear energy can be phased out completely, andgas and coal largely.
Power demand, and supply scenario (TWh/y) in MENA and EU
8
transition mix 2000-2050 6 times m
ore
Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009
Freshwater Crisis in MENA region:Deficits by Country (bn m³/y)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Year
Fre
shw
ater
Def
icit
[b
illio
n m
³/y]
BahrainYemenUAESaudi ArabiaQatarKuwaitOmanIranIraqSyriaLebanonJordanIsraelPalestineEgypt LibyaTunisiaAlgeriaMorocco
9
NILE
NILE
NILE
NILE
Global DESERTEC program phases for a rapid implementation
DESERTEC CSP DEPLOYMENT PLANA coarse implementation scheme:
Phase 1 HIGH SPEED MARKET PREPARATION6 Years 2010 -2015 policy driven
Phase 2 COLLECTOR PRODUCTION CAP. SCALE UP20 Years 2016– 2035 market driven
Phase 3 HIGH SPEED DEPLOYMENT20 Years 2031 – 2050 market driven
DESERTEC CSP DEPLOYMENT PLANA coarse implementation scheme:
Phase 1 HIGH SPEED MARKET PREPARATION6 Years 2010 -2015 policy driven
Phase 2 COLLECTOR PRODUCTION CAP. SCALE UP20 Years 2016– 2035 market driven
Phase 3 HIGH SPEED DEPLOYMENT20 Years 2031 – 2050 market driven
Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009
Fast completion of phase 1 = key to success !
Main task for DESERTEC Industrial Initiative
The world with 10 billion people at about 2050
11
space
food
water
energy
climate
livelihoods
sufficient
manageable
insufficient
super-insufficient
self-destructing
fast changes
Fossil World 2050
sufficient
sufficient
manageable
sufficient
stabilizing
stable
Clean Power World
4 times red light no red light
Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009
from
burden sharing
The new sustainability spirit for the DII:
creating a world that we can enjoy to live in
to
saving the planet:
the biggest business case ever
Friedrich Führ, Berlin 14.10.2009
13 13
14 14
Plan Solaire
Umweltminister-konferenz
e-parliament
D EU EMPA
JungBerg
KauchFell
1,700 members
PötteringHarmsPrody
Wiekmann
SchennachBouhrizi
Dr. Gerhard Knies HRH Prince Hassan
bin Talal of Jordan
Dr. Klaus Töpfer Anders Wijkman
Al Gore: „This is not pie in the sky, this can be done.“
First Step to
First Step to
Laila Georgy
Ministry of
Electricity and
Energy
First Step to
Jamila Matar
Head of Energy
Department
League
of Arab States
The DESERTEC concept forms the basis of the Desertec Industrial Initiative (DII)
Memorandum of Understanding (MoU)
25
•12 companies and the DESERTEC Foundation signed a Memorandum of Understanding.•The objective of this initiative is to analyse and develop the technical, economic, political, social and ecological framework for carbon-free power generation in the deserts of North Africa.
PublicInitiative
IndustrialInitiative
AcademicInitiative
Political Initiative
