hiroshi komiyama opening keynote speaker
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Hiroshi Komiyama Chairman of the Institute, Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc., Japan
President emeritus, University of Tokyo
TBLI CONFERENCETM ASIA2011 15 September 2011
The Revitalization for Japan
- The Platinum society-
Saturation of artifacts is the key concept
0.0113India
0.0232China
0.4941Germany
0.5031France
0.5131Britain
0.45138USA
0.4558Japan
No. of automobiles per population
No. of automobiles
( million)
Source: Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
Number of automobile ownership( 2007)
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1 .2
1 .4
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Ye a r
[ton
/]
一人当たりセメント生産量
人
J a p a n
C h in a
USA
Fra n c e
Saturation will come in 2 ~ 10 years in China Production of cement per person
Pro
du
ctio
n o
f C
emen
t p
er p
erso
n [
ton
]
Source: Production of Cement: UN Statistical year book
Population: UNSD Demographic Statistics
Automobile energy consumption to 1/10 at 2050
Vehicle Weight [kg]Data Source: Yahoo! Japan Autos
Fu
el C
onsu
mp
tion
[L
/km
]
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
US/European Cars Japanese Cars
Hybrid Cars
Electric & Fuel cells Cars
Energy efficiency is secondly important!
1960 1970 1980 1990Year
USDenmarkBelgiumFranceSweden
Source: Japan Cement Association
Japan
Ener
gy C
onsu
mpt
ion
per
ton
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
0
6,000(MJ/t)
theoretical value
Technology transfer can reduce emission
Cement
Investment for energy efficiency can be refunded!
Energy efficiency improvement by 3 times is feasible.
Energy Scenario and CO2
a) 19906.0G C-ton
1.5G
b) 2050 BAU case
c) Vision 2050
d) After 22nd Century
1.5G
22.0G C-ton
3.0G
Fossil resources
Non- Fossil resources
Data: from “Vision 2050”
CO2 369 ppm
CO2 600 ppm
CO2 460 ppm
CO2 280 ppm
4.5G C-ton
22nd century will be bright!
Manufac tur ingDai ly l i f e
Home
Transporta t ion
Off i ce
ⒸHiroshi Komiyama
Energy consumption by final use in Japan
Theoretical limit of transportation is zero!
Energy consumption in houses and offices
エネルギー・経済統計要覧 2009 年版より
Air-condi t ioner 28%
Water heat ing 30%
other s 24%
kitchen 8%
light ing 10%
Offices 50%: air-conditioner20%: lighting
Theoretical limit of air-conditioning is zero!
Houses
Water Heater
Heat -pump (Ecocute)
50%×4=200%
Fuel ce l l (Enefarm) 45% elec . + 40% hot water
Technology innovation in Japan
Komiyama ecohouse : using existing technologies!
81% reductionInvestment refunded in 12 years
Solar panel : 3.6 k W
Heat-pump water heater
Insulation : K=1.6 W/m2K
New air-conditioner
Ⓒ小宮山 宏
Hybrid car: 22.6km/l
New refrigerator & lightings
ENERGY 70%
FOOD 70% WOOD 100%
Self-Sufficiency in Japan at 2050
ⒸHiroshi Komiyama
WATER 100%
Komiyama’s Proposal
Japanese goal as well as 21st model of humanity
MINERAL 70%
present
東京屋形船案内http://www.t-yakata.com/tyh_dkship.htm
1967
環境省 図で見る環境白書 昭和57年http://www.env.go.jp/policy/hakusyo/zu/eav11/eav110000000000.html
Japan’s experience with Sumida river
Japan’s experience with Kitakyusyu
Source: Japan as a forerunner for addressing emerging problems in the world P27
0.2
4.9
3.4
0.8
3.1
0.7
1 .4
3.3
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.8
1 .2
1 .4
1 .6
4.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
日本
中国
カナダ
イタリア
フランス
ドイツ
イギリス
アメリカ
SOx NOx g/ W ]発電量あたりの ・ 発生量[ k h
NOxSOx
Source:http://www.tepco.co.jp/eco/report/lcl/01_2-j.html
http://www.braincoal.info/news_images/20100206ccs_yamada.pdf
Japan:2008
China:2000
Others:2005
Emission of Sulfur and Nitrogen from Thermal Power Plants
SOx, NOx [ g/kWh]
U.S.
U.K.
Germany
France
Italy
Canada
Japan
China
Shrinking earth
Aging society
Eco houseEco applianceEco carSolar panelWind mill
Barrier free building Health monitoringSafe mobility Senses supporting
Green & silver & golden growth
Exploding knowledge
Structuring knowledgeStructured knowledge- baseEducationLifelong learningValue creation
ⒸHiroshi Komiyama
ecological participation by all including seniors
lifelong learning
abundant in job opportunities
sustainable societycreated by green, silver, gold and various innovations
Platinum society is a vision of the 21st century
Platinum Network As of 2011,2/28
Tokyo wards
Governor joinsMayor joins
ⒸHiroshi Komiyama
Join in the quest for a platinum society
ⒸHiroshi Komiyama
Thank you
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