interim results 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 2009. AGENDA. Overview & Operating Environment Performance Long Haul Airline Short Haul Airline Domestic Tasman & Pacific Islands Other businesses Strategy Financial Management Outlook. OVERVIEW. Normalised earnings* $26m Operating revenue up 3.7% - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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INTERIM RESULTS 2009

»

INTERIM RESULTS 20092

AGENDA

• Overview & Operating Environment

• Performance

– Long Haul Airline

– Short Haul Airline• Domestic

• Tasman & Pacific Islands

– Other businesses

• Strategy

• Financial Management

• Outlook

»

INTERIM RESULTS 20093

OVERVIEW

• Normalised earnings* $26m

• Operating revenue up 3.7%

• Capacity reduced by 3.6%

• Net cash position of $1.4bn

• Domestic airport check in upgrade

* Normalised Earnings before taxation after excluding net gains and losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods

»

INTERIM RESULTS 20094

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

• Average jet fuel spot price was 36% higher

• Weakening passenger demand across all markets

• Increased competition on the Tasman

• NZ dollar weakening

»

INTERIM RESULTS 20095

KEY INFLUENCES ON PROFITABILITY

• Average hedged WTI fuel cost for the 6 months to December 2008 was US$100 per barrel.

$NZD (m)

26216135

(24)(48)

(199)

(27)

1674

(78)

159

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

NormalisedEarnings

Interim 2008

Traffic Yield Freight,Contract

Services &Other

Revenue

Labour Fuel Maintenance FinanceCosts

FX Gain onAcquisition

Other NormalisedEarnings

Interim 2009

14

(12)

Hedge TimingAdjustment

Reported NPBTInterim 2009

»

INTERIM RESULTS 20096

GROUP OPERATING PERFORMANCE

Ch

an

ge

in

Yie

ld

Lo

ad

Fa

cto

r M

ov

em

en

t

Group Year-on-Year Load Factor & Year to Date Yield Movements

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

-4 ppt

-2 ppt

0 ppt

2 ppt

4 ppt

6 ppt

8 ppt

10 ppt

Load Factor ppt Movement

FX Adjusted Yield Change

Yield Change

»

INTERIM RESULTS 20097

LONG HAUL PERFORMANCE

• Passenger numbers down 5.5%

• Capacity reduced by 5.7%

• Yields up 12.3%

• Load factor improved 1.3 percentage points

• Aggressive capacity management

»

INTERIM RESULTS 20098

LONG HAUL CAPACITY MANAGEMENT

Ch

an

ge

in

Ca

pa

cit

y

Lo

ad

Fa

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ov

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Long Haul Y.O.Y Capacity Change & Load Factor Y.O.Y Percentage Point Movement

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

-20 ppt

-15 ppt

-10 ppt

-5 ppt

0 ppt

5 ppt

Load Factor ppt Movement

ASK Change

Projected ASK Change

»

INTERIM RESULTS 20099

DOMESTIC PERFORMANCE

• Passenger numbers down 2.9%

• Capacity decreased by 1.9%

• Yield increased by 0.3%

• Load factor decreased by 0.3 percentage points

• New commercial accounts won

• Domestic airport improvements well received

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200910

TASMAN & PACIFIC ISLAND PERFORMANCE

• Passenger numbers decreased by 7.3%

• Capacity was held constant - 0.1% increase

• Yield increased by 6.4%

• Load factor down 5.3 percentage points

• Underlying market softening and increased competition

• In-flight entertainment upgrade programme complete

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200911

OTHER BUSINESSES

• CARGO

– Volumes down 13%

– Yield increase and FX benefit

– Freighter to be withdrawn 31 March 2009

• TECH OPS

– Increased third party work

– Acquisition of Tenix and Masling

– Falling NZD has increased competitiveness

• OTHER

– Acquisition of VCubed

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200912

COST FOCUS

• Reduced capacity in response to demand softness

• Labour initiatives

– Voluntary and compulsory redundancies

– Reduced working week and unpaid leave

– Reduction through attrition

• Reduced discretionary spend

• Reduced regional charter capacity

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200913

STRATEGY

PRIORITIES

• Closely matching supply to demand remains a top priority

• Being the leader in chosen markets

• New generation interior design for 777-300ERs and 787-9s

• Growing non-airline revenue sources

• Being an industry leader on environmental initiatives

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200914

FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

• $1.4bn cash on balance sheet excluding $190m restricted cash

• Gearing 52.7%, from 45.5% as at June 2008

• Limited debt repayments and no covenants or refinancing risk

• Interim dividend is 3.0 cents per share

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200915

FLEET MANAGEMENT

• 2 x Boeing 747-400s sold and leased back

• Next jet aircraft not due until November 2010

• Additional Boeing 777-300ER confirmed for 2012

• New delivery date and terms for Boeing 787-9 agreed

• Average operating fleet age of 7 years

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200916

CAPEX PROJECTION

1. Assumes NZD/USD = 0.53

2. 787-9 progress payments have shifted in line with announced delays

NZ

$ (m

)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

Including Option Aircraft

Excluding Option Aircraft

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200917

FUEL HEDGING*

• The second half of FY09 is approx. 72% hedged with the average

effective floor** at US$85.10 per barrel of WTI crude oil

• At current prices, average Singapore Jet fuel price would be

US$88 per barrel for the second half of FY09 compared with

US$123 in the first half

• The first half of FY10 is approx. 20% hedged with the average

ceiling of US$68.47 and average floor of US$45.20 per barrel of

WTI crude oil

* Fuel hedge position as at 22 January 2009

** The effective floor includes benefits from WTI bought put spreads

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200918

CURRENCY HEDGING

• Operating cash flow exposure for the second half of 2009

is 99% hedged at an average NZ$/US$ rate of 0.765

• The 2010 operating cash flow exposure is 71% hedged at

an average NZ$/US$ rate of 0.703

• US$370m of future capex commitments are hedged at

NZ$/US$ rate of 0.720 spot

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200919

OUTLOOK

• Competitive strength in core markets

• Greater benefit from lower fuel prices in second half of FY09

• Strong currency hedging position

• Global economic environment concerning

If current conditions and jet fuel prices continue, Air New Zealand expects to see financial performance significantly

improve in the second half of the financial year.

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200920

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW

* Normalised Earnings before taxation after excluding net gains and losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods

INTERIM

2009INTERIM

2008Dollar movement

Percentage movement

Operating revenue $2,419m $2,332m $87m 4%

Normalised Earnings* $26m $159m $(133)m (84)%

Net profit after tax $24m $115m $(91)m (79)%

Adjusted operating cash flow $113m $320m $(207)m (65)%

Net cash $1,417m $1,222m $195m 16%

Gearing 52.7% 48.6% (4.1) pts

Interim dividend 3.0cps 5.0cps 2.0cps (40)%

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200921INTERIM RESULTS 2009SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200922

INTERIM 2009 INTERIM 2008

Earnings before Taxation $14m $172m

Reverse net (gains) / losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods:

Fuel derivatives $101m $(14)m

Foreign exchange derivatives $(88)m $(2)m

Interest rate derivatives $(1)m $3m

Normalised Earnings before Taxation $26m $159m

HEDGES RELATING TO OTHER FINANCIAL PERIODS

»

INTERIM RESULTS 200923

NEW AIRCRAFT ARRIVALS

* Launch customer

** New delivery dates and terms agreed with Boeing for the 787-9s delivery

Aircraft Type FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

Boeing 777-300ER - - 3 2 - -

Boeing 787-9* - - - - 3** 2

Bombardier Q300 2 - - - - -

Beech 1900D 1 - - - - -

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