supporting “climate-smart ranching” in ne oregon...
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Supporting “Climate-Smart Ranching” in NE Oregon: Implementation of Habitat Modeling through a Community-Based Observing Network (CBON) to Monitor and Manage Rangeland Resources Kyle R. Hogrefe Adviser: Hannah Gosnell Committee: Robert Kennedy, Jamon Van Den Hoek, …
Presenta(onOutline• StudyArea• ProjectGenesis• ResearchQues(ons• Intellectual/Prac(calMerri<• CurrentStatus–>Launch2017
Source:PreciousLandsWildlifeAreaDraIManagementPlanNovember2002
Project Genesis Dr.Gosnell• “IncreasingtheResilienceofRanchingandPublicLandsGrazingin
theBlueMountains,Oregon”• USFSfundedresearchincollabora(onwithMtnSEON,Universityof
Idaho.
CoreCollaborators• WallowaResources(WR)
• Interna(onalCenterfortheAdvancementofPastoralSystems(ICAPS)
• TheNatureConservancy(TNC)• UnitedStatesForestService(USFS)
• WallowaWhitmanNa(onalForest(WWNF)
• OSURequestfromICAPS• Assistanceimplemen(ngPHYGROW(PhytomassGrowthModel)
inWallowaCountytoenhanceadap(vecapacity• LivestockEarlyWarningSystem(LEWS)• EnhancementofPHYGROWcapacitytoassessecologicaloutcomes
ofgrazingmethods
(Source:h<p://blackland.tamu.edu/models/phygrow/)
(Source:Sheehyetal.2005)
PHYGROW-LEWSDataFlow
PHYGROWdataproductsareusedinaLEWSthatprovidesnearreal-(medatawarningoflowforagequan((esasclimatevaries(examplefromMongolia).
Output
Research Questions TheEcologicalRealmCanPHYGROWandLandTrendrbeintegratedtoenabletheassessmentoftheecologicaloutcomesofdifferentgrazingstrategies(atthelandscapescale)?• TowhatdegreecanLandTrendrtrackchangeinrangelandhabitats?Usingthisintegratedmodel,isitpossibleto:• Trackhabitatcondi(onsthatmarkthedistribu(onofnoxiousand/or
endangeredspecies?• Decoupletheeffectsofgrazingintensityandchangingweatherpa<ernson
habitatcondi(on?
• Accuratelyassesstheecosystemservicesprovidedbyrangelandhabitatsunderdifferentmanagementregimes?
TheSocialRealmHowdoranchersandotherrangelandmanagersusetheLEWSandothermodeloutputasadecisionsupporttool?Whatins(tu(onalbarrierspreventclimatesmartranchingdecisionssuggestedbuythemodels?HowcanaCBONenhancecollabora(onacrossins(tu(onalbarriersandincreaseadap(vecapacity?
LandTrendrData
(Source:h<ps://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov//vis/a010000/a011100/a011144/)
(Source:h<p://landtrendr.forestry.oregonstate.edu/content/how-landtrendr-works)
Intellectual / Practical Merritt CommunityBasedObserva(onNetworks(CBON)(Alessaetal.inReview)
• EyesNorthResearchCoordina(onNetwork(RCN)• Expansionofnetworkandadapta(onofbestprac(cesfromtheArc(cto
westernrangelands• WallowaCounty,OR;• RockCreekRanch:HaileyIdaho
• WhyaCBON?• InclusionofTradi(onalEcologicalKnowledgewithsurveyandsatellite
datainmodelingeffort• NetworkofHighFidelityObserversacrossLandscape• Prac(calapplica(on,projectlongevity,andsocialcapital• Integra(onofsocialcomponentofSESindataset
LandChangeScience:Challenges(Turneretal.2007)
• Detec(onof“Cryp(c”landchanges:biophysicalfactorswithinhabitats
• Integra(onofmul(scalespa(otemporaldatafrommanysources
• Understandinglinkagesbetweendistalandproximalcauses
• Causallinks:ecosystemprocesses,ecosystemservicesandbiodiversity
• Needto“couplethehumananbiophysicalsubsytems”
Intellectual / Practical Merritt ClimateSmartRanching:Principles(Reeves2014,Steenworth2014,Diaz2009,Scherr2012,Lipper2014)
Principles• Planfor,insteadofreactto,variableweathercondi(ons
• Enhancestockingrateflexibilitytomatchavailableresources
• Plannedgrazingtoimprovesoilmoisture,fer(lityandcarbonsequestra(on
• Strategicgrazingatalandscapescaletofollowop(malforageacrosshabitatsandeleva(on
• Coordinatedac(onbyranchers,researchers,civilsocietyandpolicymakerstowardsresilientpathways
• Trackingsocialandecologicalchangetodetermineifgoalsaremet
ResiliencyThinking:• Resiliency:AbilityofSEStoabsorbshockwithoutchangingthefundamental
natureofthesystems’essen(alfunc(ons,structures,iden(tyandfeedback.
• SESarecomplexintegratedsystemswithmul(plecomponentsthatoperateovermul(plescales.
• UnderstandtheSESanditsvariables• Embracediversitytoenhanceresiliency
Source:h<ps://www.sagegrouseini(a(ve.com/roots/
Current Status –> Launch 2017 FundingUSDANWandWOClimateHub• $45,000.00and50,000.00
• Fullfundingfor2017and2018FieldSeasons• PHYGROWandLandTrendrfieldsurveyswithAdopt-a-Pixel
betates(ng• Structuredinterviews• Outreachandcommunica(ons
Deliverables/Milestones• Applica(onofPHYGROWandLandTrendrmodelsto
WallowaCountyrangelandhabitats
• Modelintegra(onprovidingassessmentofecologicalintegrityofrangelandhabitatsandtheecosystemservicestheyprovide
• Interviewswithcoreranchingcollaboratorsassessing:1. Needforthesedecisionsupporttools2. Theins(tu(onalbarrierstotheiruse
• CBONwithfieldsurveyprotocolssupportedbyAdopt-a-Pixelcellphoneapp
• Workshopsandmee(ngstotrainandupdatestakeholdersandexpandCBONnetwork
• 2018SRMmee(ng,technicalreports,publica(ons
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
TASKIdentifycoreCBONcollaboratorsandco-developresearchgoals X X x x x XImplementPHYGROWandLandTrendrmodelsinWallowaCounty x x x x x x x x xCoordinateAdopt-a-Pixel/LandTrendrandPHYGROWdatacollectionprotocols x xAttendRangelandsCBONcoordinationworkshopinHailey,Idaho XProvidetrainingsonPHYGROWandAdopt-a-Pixelsurveyprotocols XOrganizeCBONmeetingtoengageadditionalexpertobservers;identifykeyvariablesofimporttocommunity;articulatemonitoringneeds;beginco-creatingadditionalquestionsandprotocols
X
Conductfieldsurveystoreassess2013-14sitesandprovideadatatime-stepforthePHYGROWmodeland“training”dataforLandTrendr.
x x x
Conductfocusgroupsonclimate-relatedchallengesandclimatesmartranchinginWallowa,andanticipatedbenefitsofadecisionsupporttool,withcoreparticipants(ICAPS,WWNF,TNC,WR)
x x x
ConductqualitycontrolofdatacollectionandincludedatainLandTrendrandPHYGROWmodels
x x x x
DraftarticleonhowlandchangescienceandCBONscaninformandsupportclimatesmartranching;Chapter1inHogrefe’sdissertation
x x x x x
HoldWallowaCounty/RegionalCBONmeetingtoupdatemembersandpresentearlyresults
X
HostcommunityworkshoptoprovideintroductiontoPHYGROW,LandTrendr,Adopt-a-Pixel;encouragepotentialobservers
X
Integratemodelstoimproverangelandassessmentandmonitoring x x x x x x x x x x x x x xCreateprojectwebsite x x x x xSubmitmsonhowlandsystemscienceandCBONscaninform“climate-smartranching”topeerreviewedjournal
X
Hostcommunityworkshoptointroduceprojectwebsite,describeaccesstoCBONdataandprovidemodelresults,andgiveinstructiononcontributionofdatawhileidentifyingnewCBONobservers
X
Hirearesearchassistanttohelpwithrangehabitatassessmentsurveys X x x x xProvidetrainingto2-3moreCBONobserverscoveringPHYGROWprotocolsandprovidetrainingtoallinterestedstakeholdersinLandTrendr/Adopt-a-Pixelprotocols
X
Conductfieldsurveystocompletecoverageof2013-14ICAPSsitesandexpandspatialcoveragewithagoalofsurveyingaminimumof60sites
x x x x
ProduceandprovideaprojectsummaryforNWCHandCBONPartners x x x XConductqualitycontrolofdatacollectedduringthefieldseasonanddocumentlessonslearned;integratedataintomodels
x x x x
DraftjournalarticleonimplementationandintegrationofPHYGROWandLandTrendrinWallowaCounty;Chapter2inHogrefe’sdissertation;SubmitinMay
x x x x x x x x X
HoldcombinedWallowaCounty/RegionalCBONmeetingtoupdatepartners;expandcollaboration
X x x x x x x x x x x x x
ContinuefieldsuveyefforttoincreasesamplesitedensitytosupporthigherresolutionPHYGROWmodelingandcontinuedadatpationofLandTrendrtorangelandapplications;applydatatomodels
x x x x x x x
TimelineforWallowaCountyrangelandhabitatmonitoringmodelandCBONdevelopment
WOCHFunding NWCHFunding2017 2018 2019
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