the big trends: what the next 2 years will look like

Australian Homeland Security Research Centre

The big trends: What the next 2 years will look like

Topics1. Trends for risks

2. Trends for PPRR activities

3. Changes to work of practitioners

1. Trends for risks

• Failure to manage the rating process will cause the risks to spiral out of control

Trend 1: Increasing number of risks

Implication:

1. Trends for risks

• Pressure on practitioners will increase• Practitioners will avoid the risk rating

process

Trend 2: Increasing demand for immediate response to new risks

Implications:

1. Trends for risks

• Risk perception and reality must be addressed by practitioners

Trend 3: Growing gulf between risk perception and risk reality

Implication:

1. Trends for risks

• Practitioners must work across boundaries on institution-wide risks

Trend 4: Growing need to have focus on cross-boundary risks

Implications:

1. Trends for risks

• Prepare for pandemic influenza: refer to Gaye Cameron’s and Dr. Michael Hills’ presentations

Trend 5: Growing need to address non-traditional risks

Implications:

1. Trends for risks

• Engage with the Muslim Community

Trend 6: Growing need to address non-traditional risks

Implications:

1. Trends for risks

Members of the local Muslim community pray at Monash as part of the Eid-ul-Fitr festival.

• Prepare for a terrorist incident

Trend 7: Growing need to address non-traditional risks

Implications:

1. Trends for risks

2. Trends for PPRR activities

• Educate stakeholders on catastrophic incidents

• Practitioners review assumptions in business continuity plans

Trend 8: Growing attention given to catastrophic incidents

Implications:

2. Trends for PPRR activities

• Institution must improve their response time and expect mis-information

• Practitioners must improve PR skills

Trend 9: Accelerating speed of information flows at incident

Implications:

2. Trends for PPRR activities

• Drills should be realistic and engaging• Different procedures should be prepared to

reflect change threat levels

Trend 10: Changes to preparation arrangements

Implications:

2. Trends for PPRR activities

Changes to preparation arrangements

2. Trends for PPRR activities

A commuter fleeing the scene of an explosion on a bus in London's Tavistock Square stopped to take this picture with his camera phone. Images like this were among the first to reach the public immediately following the July 7 terrorist attacks.

The London Guardian newspaper said the use of camera phones in aiding coverage of the attacks marked "the true birth of the 'citizen reporter.'"

Photograph by Harel Seligmann

• Minimise frequency of unnecessary evacuations and their impacts

Trend 11: Changes to response arrangements

Implication:

2. Trends for PPRR activities

3. Changes to the work of practitioners

• Keep up-to-date with risk and technical changes

• Improve interpersonal skills• Deliver big picture value

Implications:

3. Changes to the work of practitioners

Trend 12: Changes to work

• Prepare for a review

Trend 13: Questioning the benefits of the security dollar

Implications:

3. Changes to the work of practitioners

More information

2006

The big trends for tertiary institutions’ security

www.homelandsecurity.org.au