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Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions AMS-02 Antiprotons Reloaded Rolf Kappl Bethe Center for Theoretical Physics & Physikalisches Institut der Universität Bonn based on RK, Annika Reinert, Martin Wolfgang Winkler JCAP 10 (2015) 034, arXiv:1506.04145 Theory Seminar ULB Brussels, October 23th 2015

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  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    AMS-02 Antiprotons Reloaded

    Rolf Kappl

    Bethe Center for Theoretical Physics & Physikalisches Institut der UniversitätBonn

    based on RK, Annika Reinert, Martin Wolfgang WinklerJCAP 10 (2015) 034, arXiv:1506.04145

    Theory Seminar ULB Brussels,October 23th 2015

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Outline

    Motivation

    Cosmic Ray Propagation

    Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege

    Conclusions

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    AMS-02 – A Precision Experiment For Cosmic Rays

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Origin Of Cosmic Rays – Astrophysics At Work

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Primaries vs. Secondaries – Dark Matter?

    • PrimariesSpallation−−−−−−→ Secondaries

    • Dark matter annihilation

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Primaries vs. Secondaries – Dark Matter?

    • PrimariesSpallation−−−−−−→ Secondaries

    • Dark matter annihilation

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Primaries vs. Secondaries – Dark Matter?

    • PrimariesSpallation−−−−−−→ Secondaries

    • Dark matter annihilation

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Primaries vs. Secondaries – Dark Matter?

    • PrimariesSpallation−−−−−−→ Secondaries

    • Dark matter annihilation

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Primaries vs. Secondaries – Dark Matter?

    • PrimariesSpallation−−−−−−→ Secondaries

    • Dark matter annihilation

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Transport Of Cosmic Rays – Fokker-Planck

    • Two-zone diffusion model

    ∇(−K ∇Ni + Vc Ni) + ∂E (btot Ni − KEE ∂ENi) + Γann Ni = qi

    qi

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Transport Of Cosmic Rays – Fokker-Planck

    • Two-zone diffusion model

    ∇(−K ∇Ni + Vc Ni) + ∂E (btot Ni − KEE ∂ENi) + Γann Ni = qi

    qi

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Transport Of Cosmic Rays – Fokker-Planck

    • Two-zone diffusion model

    ∇(−K ∇Ni + Vc Ni) + ∂E (btot Ni − KEE ∂ENi) + Γann Ni = qi

    qi

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Transport Of Cosmic Rays – Fokker-Planck

    • Two-zone diffusion model

    ∇(−K ∇Ni + Vc Ni) + ∂E (btot Ni − KEE ∂ENi) + Γann Ni = qi

    qi

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Transport Of Cosmic Rays – Fokker-Planck

    • Two-zone diffusion model

    ∇(−K ∇Ni + Vc Ni) + ∂E (btot Ni − KEE ∂ENi) + Γann Ni =

    qi

    qi

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Bethe’s Legacy – Boron As A Tracer

    Bethe Center forTheoretical Physics Bethe, Phys.Rev. 55 (1939) 434-456• CNO cycle shows that boron is not produced in stars• Boron is produced by spallation of interstellar matter

    • Injected boron qBPropagation−−−−−−−→ Measured boron at AMS-02

    • Task:

    qB = 4π∑

    i∈{C,N,O,Ne,Mg,Si}

    ∫dT ′

    dσdT

    nISM Φi(T ′)

    Φi(T ′)

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Bethe’s Legacy – Boron As A Tracer

    Bethe Center forTheoretical Physics Bethe, Phys.Rev. 55 (1939) 434-456• CNO cycle shows that boron is not produced in stars• Boron is produced by spallation of interstellar matter

    • Injected boron qBPropagation−−−−−−−→ Measured boron at AMS-02

    • Task:

    qB = 4π∑

    i∈{C,N,O,Ne,Mg,Si}

    ∫dT ′

    dσdT

    nISM

    Φi(T ′)

    Φi(T ′)

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Cosmic Ray Primaries

    10-1 1 101 102 10310-13

    10-12

    10-11

    10-10

    10-9

    10-8

    10-7

    10-6

    10-5

    10-4

    10-3

    10-2

    10-1

    1

    101

    102

    T [GeV/n]

    Φ iTOA·T2.7

    [m-2sr

    -1 s-1 (G

    eV/n)1.7

    ]

    Carbon

    Oxygen·10-2

    Nitrogen·10-4

    Neon·10-6

    Magnesium·10-8

    Silicon·10-10

    CREAM-IIHEAOPAMELA

    ACE

    • We considered C, N, O,Ne, Mg, Si as the maincontributions for boronproduction

    • Fits to measured fluxes

    Φi(T ) = A(

    TT + b

    )cT−γ

    • Yet no AMS-02 data• Solar modulation

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Cosmic Ray Primaries

    10-1 1 101 102 10310-13

    10-12

    10-11

    10-10

    10-9

    10-8

    10-7

    10-6

    10-5

    10-4

    10-3

    10-2

    10-1

    1

    101

    102

    T [GeV/n]

    Φ iTOA·T2.7

    [m-2sr

    -1 s-1 (G

    eV/n)1.7

    ]

    Carbon

    Oxygen·10-2

    Nitrogen·10-4

    Neon·10-6

    Magnesium·10-8

    Silicon·10-10

    CREAM-IIHEAOPAMELA

    ACE

    • We considered C, N, O,Ne, Mg, Si as the maincontributions for boronproduction

    • Fits to measured fluxes

    Φi(T ) = A(

    TT + b

    )cT−γ

    • Yet no AMS-02 data• Solar modulation

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Interlude – Cosmic Rays In The Heliosphere

    • Force field approximation for solar modulation

    ΦTOA(T − Zφ) = (T − Zφ)2 + 2m(T − Zφ)

    T 2 + 2mTΦIS(T )

    • Force field parameter φ takes care of the solar activity

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Back To The Injection – Cross Sections Reloaded

    • Source term:

    qB = 4π∑

    i∈{C,N,O,Ne,Mg,Si}

    ∫dT ′ dσdT nISMΦi(T

    ′)

    • Parametrization from Webber et al., AJSS 144 (2003) 153• Large uncertainties, poor experimental data

    10-1 1 10130

    35

    40

    45

    50

    � [���]

    σ(���

    →�)[��]

    ���������� ��������

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Nuclear Physics Meets Astrophysics

    • Source term qB for boron determined• Fokker-Planck equation solved with semi-analytical

    approach in two dimensions Maurin et al., Astrophys.J. 555(2001) 585-596

    • With the fit to the carbon flux⇒ B/C ratio computed(Secondary/Primary ratio)

    • Scanned over a sample of random propagation parametersand kept only configurations which passed χ2 test

    Propagation parameters fixed with highest precision!

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    B/C Before AMS-02

    • Best data before AMS-02 from the PAMELA experimentAdriani et al., Astrophys. J. 791 (2014), 93

    • Clear trend but still large uncertainties

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    B/C In The AMS-02 Precision Era

    • Low experimental errors and data up to high rigidities• Still preliminary data⇒ Data quality will further increase

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    p̄/p Ratio With Old Propagation Parameters

    • p̄/p ratio computed with outdated (unknown?) propagationparameters

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Protons And Helium – Primaries Reloaded

    • Source term for p̄ production:

    qp̄ = 4π∑

    i∈{H,He}

    ∫dT ′

    dσdT

    nISM Φi(T ′)

    1 101 102 103 104 105

    103

    104

    T [GeV/n]

    Φ iTOA·T2.7

    [m-2sr

    -1 s-1 (G

    eV/n)1.7

    ] Proton

    Helium

    CREAM

    AMS-02

    • Fits to measured fluxes withspectral break

    Φi(T ) =(

    TT + b

    )c ∑k

    AkT−γk

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    New p̄ Production Cross Sections

    • Source term for p̄ production:

    qp̄ = 4π∑

    i∈{H,He}

    ∫dT ′ dσdT nISMΦi(T

    ′)

    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

    10-4

    10-3

    10-2

    10-1

    1

    xR

    f pp

    ®p

    o@m

    bGe

    V2

    D

    pT = 1.3 GeV

    pT = 0.9 GeV

    pT = 0.5 GeV

    pT = 0.1 GeVNA49 Data, Fit • New results from NA49

    experiment with hugephase space coverageAnticic et al., Eur. Phys. J.C65 (2010) 9

    • Tracking of uncertainties,hyperon ’feed-down’effects, isospin effects, ...RK and Winkler, JCAP 09(2014) 051

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    p̄/p Ratio With New Propagation Parameters

    • p̄/p ratio computed with new cross sections• New propagation parameters derived from boron⇒ Good

    agreement for antiprotons• No need for antiprotons from dark matter annihilation⇒

    Good probe to constrain dark matter models

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Outlook – Positrons, Better Cross Section Data, . . .

    1 101 1020

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    T [GeV]

    ΦTOA·T3 [

    m-2 s

    r-1s-1

    GeV

    2 ]propagation uncertaintiese+ best fit in sampleAMS-02 e+ data

    • Data on positrons can be used to further constrainpropagation parameters

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Outlook – Positrons, Better Cross Section Data, . . .

    10-1 1 10130

    35

    40

    45

    50

    � [���]

    σ(���→�)

    [��]

    ���������� ��������

    • New cross section measurements would dramaticallydecrease the uncertainty

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Outlook – Positrons, Better Cross Section Data, . . .

    10-1 1 10130

    35

    40

    45

    50

    � [���]

    σ(���→�)

    [��]

    ���������� ��������

    • New cross section measurements would dramaticallydecrease the uncertainty

  • Motivation Cosmic Ray Propagation Antiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under Siege Conclusions

    Conclusions

    • With AMS-02 the precision era for indirect dark matterdetection started

    • We estimated the antiproton background with very highprecision

    • The new antiproton data together with our backgroundcalculation will be a perfect probe for dark matter models

    Thank you for your attention!

    MotivationCosmic Ray PropagationAntiprotons Reloaded – Dark Matter Under SiegeConclusions