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An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux ([email protected])

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Page 1: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)

Susie Theroux ([email protected])

Page 2: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

ASCI development

• California'sbioassessmenttoolbox• CaliforniaStreamConditionIndex(CSCI)• SoCalAlgalIndexofBioticIntegrity(IBI)• AlgalStreamConditionIndex(ASCI)

• ASCIdevelopment:approach• ASCIdevelopment:statusanddeadlines

Page 3: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

CA’s ecological indicators

3

Invertebrates Fish

Algae

MultipleIndicators– BMIs,algae,fish,riparianvegetation

Multiplewaterbody types–largerivers,non-perennialstreams,lakes,wetlands

Californiafocus– perennialstreams,bugsandalgae

Page 4: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

California’s bioassessment programs

• Overtwodecadesofsamplecollection• StandardizedprotocolsandQA/QC• Annualtrainingsandauditsforallfieldcrews

Page 5: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

California stream bioassessment: bioindicators

Benthicmacroinvertebrates Algae

• Directlinktowaterchemistryandnutrientstressors

• Shortlifespan,rapidgrowthrateandrapidresponsetostress

• Respondtophysicalhabitat,pollutants,sediment,flowalteration

• Integrateecologicalconditionovertime

DiatomsSoft-bodied algaeCyanobacteria

Page 6: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

California Stream Condition Index (CSCI)

ReferenceDisturbed

• Predictiveindex• Site-specificreferenceexpectations

• Statewideapplicability

Page 7: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

SoCal Algal Index of Biotic Integrity (IBI)

ReferenceDisturbed

• Traditional(non-predictive)• Separateindicesdevelopedforsoft-

bodiedalgae,diatoms,andahybridofthetwo

Page 8: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

SoCal Algal Index of Biotic Integrity (IBI)

ReferenceDisturbed

Diatom Softs Hybrid

• Algalindicesrespondstronglytodisturbance

• Hybridindexmostsensitive

Page 9: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)

ReferenceDisturbed• Predictiveindex

• Consistenttooltouseacrossstate• Landscapesettinginformssite-specificreferenceexpectations• LargedatasetspansCaliforniaecoregions

Page 10: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

ASCI: Development approach

IDReferencesites

Taxonomiccompleteness

(O/E)

Ecologicalstructure(pMMI)

ASCI

Developmentdataset(Biology,GISdata)

Calibration

Validation

MirrorsCSCIdevelopmentapproach

Page 11: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

ASCI: Development approach

IDReferencesites

Taxonomiccompleteness(O/E)

Ecologicalstructure(pMMI)

ASCI

Developmentdataset(Biology,GISdata)

Calibration

Validation

MirrorsCSCIdevelopmentapproach

Diatoms SBA Diatoms SBA

Page 12: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

~2000stations,3800taxa• Years2008-2016• StormwaterMonitoringCoalition(SMC)• PerennialStreamAssessment(PSA)• ReferenceConditionManagementProgram(RCMP)• RegionalMonitoringCoalition(RMC)

Algaetaxonomy

ASCI: Development dataset

Spatialdata

Weather

Page 13: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Defining reference expectations

Whatshouldthebiologylooklikeatatestsite?

Page 14: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

ASCI: Reference site selection criteria

Metric Scale Threshold Unit

%agriculture 1k,5k,WS 3 %

%urban 1k,5k,WS 3 %

%agriculture+%urban 1k,5k,WS 5 %%Code21(developedveg) 1k,5k,WS 7,10 %

Roaddensity 1k,5k,WS 2 km/km2

Roadcrossings 1k,5k,WS 5,10,50 crossingsDamdistance WS 10 km%canalsandpipelines WS 10 %Producermines 5k 0 minesW1_HALL(rip.anthro.disturbance) site 1.5 -

ReferenceStressed

http://rpubs.com/stheroux/devdata

Page 15: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Dataset spans ecoregions in California

ChaparralCentral ValleyDeserts ModocNorth CoastSouth CoastSierra NevadaChaparralCentral ValleyDeserts ModocNorth CoastSouth CoastSierra Nevada

PC1(31.8%varianceexplained)

PC2(17.4%

varianceexplaine

d)

Environmentalvariables

Page 16: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Referencesites

Reference sites capture geographic gradients

PC1(31.8%varianceexplained)

PC2(17.4%

varianceexplaine

d)

Environmentalvariables

Page 17: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Reference sites by region

Allsites ReferenceSitesCentralLahontan 125 53

CentralValley 79 1

CoastalChaparral 353 55

DesertsModoc 87 26

InteriorChaparral 84 30

NorthCoast 168 60

SouthCoastMountain 236 39

SouthCoastXeric 621 26

WestSierra 148 66

Page 18: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

PredictiveMulti-MetricIndex(pMMI)

%motiletaxa %N-fixing%Cutolerant

Observedvs.Expectedtaxa(O/E)

Diatoms

Softs

ZHRCRUS

ASCI: two component index

Whoisthere? Whataretheydoing?

Page 19: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

How are we making predictions?

• Useenvironmentalvariablestopredictspeciesassemblages(O/E)andmetricvalues(pMMI)• Candidatepredictors(partiallist):

Location Topography Long-termclimate

Soils Minerology

Latitude Watershedarea

Catchmentprecip

Bulkdensity MgO content

Longitude Elevationrange

Localprecip Erodibility CaO content

Elevation Localtemp Permeability Scontent

Page 20: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Performance aspect Howdowemeasure?Sensitivity Bigdifferencesbetween referenceandstressedPrecision LowSDforreference sitesAccuracy ValidationreferencesitesBias Nobiasfromnaturalgradients

MockAS

CI

MockAS

CI

PSAregion

ASCI: evaluate performance

Page 21: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Status of ASCI: draft O/E

1. Biologicalcharacterization✔

2. Predictclustermembershipandcaptureprobabilitiesforeachtaxon✔

3. Selectionofexpectedtaxa

4. Combiningoftaxaintoanindex

Page 22: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Status of ASCI: pMMI in progress

1. Calculatemetrics✔2. Predictmetricvaluesat

referencesites✔3. Screenmetrics4. Selectmetrics5. Combinemetricsintoan

index

Page 23: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Status of ASCI: pMMI in progress

Autoecological Communitystructure Ecologicalguild Tolerance/Intolerance

Nuptakemetabolism

Achnanthidiumminutissimum

Highmotility ISA: mostsensitive

Saprobicclass CRUStaxa Lowmotility ISA:mosttolerant

Oxygenrequirement

ZHRtaxa Nonmotile Sedimenttolerant

Metricswehavecalculated(partiallist):

BCGLevels BCGid’ed taxaofinterest

Level1taxa Achnanthidium minutissimum; Hannaea arcus

Level3/4taxa Planothidium sp.; Surirella sp.;Pleurosira sp.

Level6 taxa Cyclotella meneghiniana, Gomphonemaparvulum,Nitschia inconspicua

BCGderivedmetrics:

Page 24: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Timeline

Description EstimatedDateIndexdevelopment- GraphsandtablessummarizingO/Emodel,MMImodelandASCImodelandvalidation

6/2017

OralpresentationoncomparisonofASCIperformancetootherindices

6/2017

GraphsandtablessummarizingASCIuseincontextofotherbioindicators

9/2017

Draftfinalreport 9/2017Finalreport 12/2017

Page 25: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

Summary: ASCI applications

• AlgalIndexwillleverageyearsofalgaetaxonomyandenvironmentaldata

• ASCIwillbeintegratedintoinStateandRegionalambientwadeablestreambioassessmenttoolkit

• ProvidecomplementaryinformationtoCSCIandotherbiointegritymeasures

• SupportStateWaterBoardcombinedbiostimulatoryandbiointegrityamendments

Page 27: An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI)€¦ · An Introduction to the Algal Stream Condition Index (ASCI) Susie Theroux (susannat@sccwrp.org) ASCI development

• Infrastructure:roads,railroads• Populationdensity• Hydromodification

• manmadechannels,canals,pipelines

• Landuse• Ag/Urbandevelopment• TimberHarvest,Grazing

• Firehistory,dams,mines• 303dlist,knowndischarges• Waterchemistry

Reference sites have few sources of human stress