apre 3 t07
TRANSCRIPT
1
33rdrd QUARTER QUARTER 20072007
2
3
Highlights
10th Issue of Debentures (R$ 600.0 million) – October/07: CDI + 0.90% p.a., average life of 5.0 years and maturity of 6.0 years. Resources were used to pay in advance the balance of the 8th Issue of Debentures
Cost reduction plan: Voluntary Dismissal Program announced in October
Subsequent Subsequent EventsEvents
3Q073Q07
Adjusted EBITDA of R$ 558.9 million, 15.2% lower than 3Q06(R$ 1,452.9 million in 9M07)Net Profit of R$ 197.6 million, R$ 150.3 million higher than 3Q06 (R$ 703.1 million in 9M07)PIS/COFINS: reduction of approximately R$ 79.0 million per year of expenses on energy purchase due to the change in the taxation system by AES Tietê
2nd of Tariff Reset: average index of -8.43% applicable to the Company’s tariff since July 4th, 2007
Amendment of the 9th issue of debentures (R$ 250.0 million) – August/07:CDI + 1.75% p.a., average life of 9.4 years and maturity of 11.0 years
ANEEL did not approve the amendment to the bilateral contract with Tiete, that extended its maturity to 2028Dividends Payment (September/07): R$ 487.8 million relative to 1H07 earnings
4
3,195
1,6322,371
5921,658
7,790
9,448
636
8,150
1,870
3,455
1,6552,506
10,020
Residencial Industrial Commercial Public Sector andOthers
Free Clients Captive Market Total Market
3Q06 3Q07
1.4%1.4%8.1%8.1%
4.6%4.6%
12.8%12.8%
6.1%6.1%
7.4%7.4%1.4%1.4%
1.2%
80.1% 18.7%
Captive Consumers
Free Clients
Potentially Free Clients*
MarketConsumption Evolution (GWh) and Average Tariff
Consumption Evolution (GWh)**
(*) Aneel Resolution 247/07 (conventional sources)(**) Charts do not consider own consumption
% Total Market (3Q07) Average Tariff R$/MWh
- 6.6%267.3286.1TOTAL
- 5.4%223.6236.3Others
- 5.8%275.3292.3Commercial
- 5.4%240.0260.1Industrial
- 7.9%280.1304.0Residencial
V %3Q073Q06
5
99.299.199.097.5 99.2
2004 2005 2006 9M06 9M07
6.5
7.0 6.4 5.5 5.8 5.3
6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5
11.812.213.5 12.9 12.0
2004 2005 2006 3Q06 3Q07
Technical Losses Commercial Losses
40 b.p.40 b.p.
Operating Highlights
Collection Rate (% over Gross Revenue) Loss Reduction (%)
Collection Rate (9M07)
− Public Sector: 100.7%
− Private Sector: 99.0%
Cuts and Reconnections – Monthly average (3Q06 X 3Q07)
− Cuts – decrease from 126,000 to 115,000
− Reconnections - increase from 80,000 to 86,000
Fraud and Clandestine Connections (9M07)
− 223,000 inspections and 20,000 frauds detected
− 58,000 clandestine connections regularized
150 b.p.150 b.p.160 b.p.160 b.p.
Net growth of clients in 12 months: 172.7 thousand
(*) Current Technical Losses used retroactively as reference
6
48.8
41.4
416.5
256.6319.3
354.8
58.4
43.3377.7
403.6
459.8
298.0
2005 2006 9M07 2007 (e)Capex Self - Financed
Investments
3Q07: R$ 104.8 MillionInvestments (R$ Million)
13%
11%
9%
14%15%
38%
Costumer Service and System ExpansionInformation TechnologyMaintenanceSelf - FinancedOthersLoss Recovery
7
3.6% 1.7% 4.8% 1.6%
8.0%
-6.2%-4.3% -2.2%
9.9%
1.6%16.9%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
PIS/COFINS
Part A
Part B
IGPM
Eletropaulo’s Tariff Evolution
Tariff Evolution
2.1%
18.6%
11.6%
-8.4%
11.5%
Pending Issues – Tariff Reset
Provisory Reference Company
Administrative Appeal:
− Exclude all assets fully depreciated from the Gross RAB
− Depreciation between Oct/06 and Jun/07 by Replacement Value – increased accumulated depreciation and consequently reduced Net RAB
− X Factor – adjustment may change it from 2.42% to 1.57%
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873.0 830.1363.3 242.8
2,269.2 2,431.2
883.6 866.5
687.7 544.0
201.8173.5
3,829.9 3,805.3
1,420.4 1,311.1
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07
Other Operating Expenses Energy Purchase Transport
Results
5,160.1 5,258.2
1,803.5 1,767.9
3,138.9 3,190.5
1,102.9 957.5
8,299.0 8,448.7
2,906.4 2,725.4
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07
Net Revenue Deduction of Operating Revenue
Operating Expenses* (R$ Million)Gross Revenue (R$ Million)
0.6%0.6%
9M06 x 9M07:
− Total market increased (captive + free
consumers): 4.6%
3Q06 x 3QT07:
− Increase of 6.1% in the total market
− Tariff reset of -8.43% applied since July 4th, 2007
Energy Purchase Expense (3Q06 x 3Q07): − Increase of 1.1%
− Amortization of Liability CVA’s Basic Grid in 3Q06, reverting R$ 20.3 million of transmission charges
− However, there was a reduction of R$ 11.5 million related to energy purchase through Bilateral Contract with AES Tietê
Other Operating Expenses (3Q06 x 3Q07):− Reduction of 33.2%
− Extraordinary provision of R$ 120.9 million due to the final review of legal and administrative procedures in 3Q06
− Reduction of 51.7% of Private Pension Fund expenses motivated by actuarial surplus
7.7%7.7%
1.8%1.8%
6.2%6.2%
(*) Does not include depreciation
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EBITDA
− 9M06 x 9M07: 9.2%
− 3Q06 x 3Q07: 19.2%
1,330.2 1,452.9
383.2 456.7
582.2 400.3
275.7
658.9558.9102.2
1,912.4 1,853.1
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07
EBITDA Adjusts
EBITDA
(*) Adjusted EBITDA = EBITDA + Pension Fund + RTE + Contingency Provisions + Judicial Deposits
Adjusted EBITDA* (R$ Million)
3.1%3.1%
15.2%15.2%
37.1%
35.2%
36.5%
31.6%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
10
(300.7)
(52.9)(36.2)
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07
197.6
47.3
274.4
703.1
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07
317.6%317.6%31.6%31.6%
Results
Financial Result (R$ Million) Net Profit (R$ Million)
Improvement of financial result:
– Decrease in Financial Expenses:
- Reduction of R$ 695.2 million on gross debt
- Lower average cost (14.2 % p.a. in Sep/06 to
12.7 % p.a. in Sep/07)
- Reduction of Selic rate from 14.6% in 3Q06 to
11.5% in 3Q07
Market increase
− 3Q06 x 3Q07: 6.1%
− 9M06 x 9M07: 4.6%
Reduction of operational costs and
expenses
End of the recognition in the balance
sheet of the debt with the Pension Fund
27.2
156.3%156.3%
11
3,838
597523
1,023523
3,5823,777
2,9793,276
4,030
3,276
3,582
2Q07 3Q07 3Q06 3Q07
Long Term Short Term
Consolidated Debt
Short Term x Long Term (R$ Million)
Net Debt
4,4354,105
4,800
4,105
+10.0%- 18.7%
Quarterly Highlights - Debt
Gross Debt:
− Reduction of 14.5% (R$ 695.2 million)
Net Debt:
− Reduction of 18.7% (R$ 754.5 million)
Amendment of the 9th Issue of Debentures
Subsequent Events:
− 10th and 11th Issues of Debentures replacing the 8th
Issue
New terms and conditions
9th Issue 10th Issue 11th Issue*Date 20/8/2007 23/10/2007 23/10/2007Amount (R$ million) 250.0 600.0 200.0Interest Rate CDI + 1.75% CDI + 0.90% CDI + 1.75%Maturity (years) 11.0 6.0 11.0Average Life (years) 9.4 5.0 10.0(*) Approved by Board of Directors and being registered at CVM
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Fixed Rate
12.1%
Libor 1.3%
CDI/Selic 29.3%
IGP-DI 57.3%
15.2% 14.2%
11.1%11.9%
30-Jun-06 30-Sep-06 30-Jun-07 30-Sep-07
CDI
Consolidated Debt
Average Cost and Average Life1
04
.3%
10
2.6
%
10
5.3
%
11
3.0
%
97
.3%
10
9.9
%
5.4 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.9 6.4
3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 3Q07*
CDI Avg. Life - years
CDI Evolution**
*Including the 10th Issue of Debentures** Daily CDI
Pension Fund R$ 2,351 millionPrivate Creditors R$ 1,754 millionTOTAL R$ 4,105 million
Gross Debt – 3Q07
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R$ million 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07
Initial Cash 619 767 1.166 1.301 1.457 Operating Cash Flow 725 741 634 738 519 Investments (75) (85) (95) (94) (93) Net Financial Expenses (176) (91) (187) (130) (133) Net Amortization (158) (111) (71) (83) (225) Pension Fund Expenses (85) (55) (48) (48) (49) Income Tax (83) - (97) (99) (161) Dividends - - - (130) (485) Free Cash Flow 148 399 135 155 (627) Final Cash 767 1.166 1.301 1.457 830
Managerial Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow: reduction in the 3Q07 is due to the average tariff review index of -8.43% applicable since July 4th, 2007
Financial Expenses: semi-annual payments of interest of the 8th issue of debentures (R$ 59.0 million) and the Bond denominated in Reais (R$ 45.3 million)
Net amortization: R$ 200.0 million regarding the 8th issue of debentures
Dividends: payment of R$ 487.8 million on September 3rd, 2007 relative to 1H07 results
Income Tax: increase due to net profit of R$ 340.0 million in 2Q07
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Conclusion
Total Market increased 6.1% compared to 3Q06, amounting 10,020.1 GWh
Net Profit of R$ 197.6 million in 3Q07 and R$ 703.1 million in 9M07, compared to R$ 274.4 million in 9M06
Reduction of 18.7% in the consolidated net debt in the last 12 months
Extension of total debt’s average life from 5.4 years in 3Q06 to 6.4 years in 3Q07, considering the new issues of debentures
R$ 487.8 million of dividends paid on September 3rd, 2007 relative to 1H07 results
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16
Highlights
On November 12th, the Board of Directors approved the payment of R$ 141.1 million in dividends, which correspond to 100% of 3Q07 net earnings
− R$ 1.41 per 1,000 common shares− R$ 1.55 per 1,000 preferred shares
Approval from the United Nations of its Clean Development Methodology (CDM) - the proposal will allow reforesting 5,700 km of bordering lands
EBITDA of R$ 276.7 million in the 3Q07, stable when compared to 3Q06 (R$ 796.5 million in 9M07)
Net profit of R$ 141.1 million in the 3Q07, 1.6% lower than 3Q06 (R$ 443.7 million in 9M07)
Aneel did not approve the Amendment to the bilateral contract with Eletropaulo, that extended its expiration to 2028
Incorporation of Tietê Participações S.A. by AES Tietê effective as of September 30th, 2007
SubsequentSubsequentEventsEvents
3Q073Q07
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Energy Balance
Generation – MW Average Billed Energy – GWh
Increase of 7.2% in energy generated (9M07 x 9M06)
Generation was 25.9% higher than the assured energy (1,275 MW average)
Growth of 47.7% in the volume sold through CCEE/MRE
Current Price – Bilateral Contract with Eletropaulo: R$ 131.98/MWh
− July/07 - adjustment of 3.89% based on IGP-M’s variation
Tariff MRE – R$ 7.47/MWh
CCEE Tariff* – R$ 103.80/MWh* Average 3Q07
9,81810,520
8,311 8,296
1,308 1,583198
641
9M06 9M07
Eletropaulo MRE CCEE/Losses
1,0401,258 1,392 1,363 1,467 1,424 1,606
81%
98%109% 107%
115%112%
126%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 9M07Generation - MW Average Generation / Assured Energy
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Capex
R$ Million
Capex – 9M07: R$ 31.0 million
− Restoration and upgrade in equipments – R$ 19.2 million
− Environment (reforestation) – R$ 6.7 million
− Small Hydropower Plants – R$ 3.6 million
− Others (SAP, Hidroway etc.) – R$ 15 million
2007 Capex estimate was revised to R$ 52.5 million
− Postponement of investments in construction of three SHPPs located on the Jaguari Mirim River in the interior of the state of São Paulo, which together total 8MW of installed capacity
Investment in Small Hydropower Plants
− Acquisition of License to build three small hydropower plants in the State of Rio de Janeiro, with a total installed capacity of 52 MW and average 28.97 MW of assured energy, approved by ANEEL – forecasted investments of R$ 257 million in 2 years, from which R$ 18.2 million were already invested
− Environmental licenses already obtained
9M07
11.6%
62.3%
21.4%
2.3%2.4%
Equip. Environment. Hidroway IT SHPPs
12.4
21.927.5
46.5
31.0
52.5
2003 2004 2005 2006 9M07 2007 (E)
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Expansion Requirement
Requirement: increase installed capacity by at least 15% (400 MW), until December 2007:− Increase the installed capacity in São Paulo State; or
− Purchase energy from new plants, located in São Paulo, through long term agreements (at least 5 years)
Restrictions to increase the capacity:− State of São Paulo – no hydro resources and environmental restrictions to thermal plants
− Gas supply
− “New Model of the Electric Sector” (Law # 10,848/04)
Proposal from AES Tietê to the State Government of São Paulo:− To be supported by a specialized consulting company to produce a report in 12 months regarding
technical, financial, regulatory and environmental aspects of the expansion possibilities in the State of São Paulo and in compliance with the “New Model of the Electric Sector”
Neither ANEEL nor the State Government of São Paulo have sent a formal reply to AES Tietê with regard to this issue so far
20
50.6 48.8
113.4
32,3
108.1231.9
33.9
16.2 16.231.0
76.1 56.4
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07
Results
Net Revenues R$ Million
Costs and Operation ExpensesR$ Million
3.9% price adjustment granted in July/07 for the energy sold under the bilateral contract
Higher energy volume sold to CCEE / MRE
Reversal of the provision taken for COFINS litigations in the amount of R$ 5.4 million –3Q07
Sector Charges - increase of the transmission charge (TUSDgeneration) for the 2007/2008 cycle, since July/07, approximately R$ 11.0 million per quarter
103.682.4
356.8
272.1
Power Purchase and sector charges
Operational ExpensesDepreciation
+25.8%+25.8%
+31.1%+31.1%
+6.3%+6.3%
+6.1%+6.1%
1,040.61,104.5
342.6 364.1
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07
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EBITDA Margin
+0.1%
-- 2.7%
818.9 796.5
276.4 276.7
76.0%
78.7%
72.1%
80.7%
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07
Results
EBITDA – R$ Million
22
(76.0)(66.0)
(28.9)
(47.1)
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07
--13.2%13.2%
Results
Financial Results – R$ Million Net Income – R$ Million
9M06 x 9M07
− Positive impact, explained by the monetary gains accounting on PIS/Cofins, which totaled R$ 36.6 million in 2Q07
3Q06 x 3Q07
− Increase in the average IGP-M from 0.84% in 3Q06 to 2.57% in 3Q07
Payment of R$ 141.1 million in dividends, which correspond to 100% of 3Q07 net earnings
− R$ 1.41 per 1,000 common shares
− R$ 1.55 per 1,000 preferred shares
Ex-Dividends: November 22nd, 2007
Payment: November 30th, 2007
+63.0%+63.0%
--1.2%1.2%
--1.6%1.6%
141.1143.5
443.7449.0
38.8%
43.1% 40.2%
41.9%
9M06 9M07 3Q06 3Q07Net income Net Margin
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1,405.8
1,096.3
681.9
1,253.5
703.6676.5
0.7x
3.2x
2.0x
1.4x
0.7x 0.6x
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 9M07
Net Debt (R $ million) Net Debt / EBITDA
Debt
Net Debt – R$ Million
Cash availability = R$ 596.3 million (September, 2007)− Marketable securities with maturities lower than 90 days− Average rates around 100% of CDI
in R$ million
Amount Creditor Maturity Cost Collateral
1,296.2 Eletrobrás May, 2013 IGP-M + 10% p.a. Receivables
3.7 FunCesp III Sep, 2027 IGP-DI + 6% p.a. Receivables
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Managerial Cash Flow*
R$ Million 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07
Initial cash 777.2 673.6 691.0 686.6 574.3
Operating Cash Flow 289.9 279.6 287.9 307.9 248.9
Investments (7.7) (23.6) (9.7) (11.9) (9.3)
Net Financial Expenses (14.6) (18.8) (16.1) (18.0) (19.3)
Net Amortization (50.1) (44.8) (46.4) (48.3) (50.8)
Income Tax (15.9) (31.7) (220.1) (16.6) (9.8)
Dividends and Interests on Equity (305.3) (143.4) - (325.4) (141.9)
Free Cash Flow (103.6) 17.4 (4.4) (112.3) 17.8
Final Cash 673.6 691.0 686.6 574.3 592.1
(*) Parent Company
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Conclusion
Generation was 26% higher than assured energy in 9M07
Accumulated Net Revenues of R$ 1,104.5 million in 2007, 6.1% lower than those of the same period of 2006 (R$ 364.1 million in the 3Q07)
EBITDA of R$ 796.5 million in 9M07, decrease of 2.7% compared to 9M06 (R$ 276.7 million in 3Q07)
Net Income of R$ 443.7 million accumulated in 2007, reduction of 1.2% when compared to 9M06 (R$ 141.1 million in 3Q07)
Dividends payment of R$ 443.7 million, corresponding to 100% of 9M07* net earnings
– R$ 141.1 million, refer to 3Q07, to be paid on November 30th, 2007
* R$ 160.5 million refer to 1Q07 net earnings distributed in June, 2007 and R$ 142.1 million refer to 2Q07 net earnings distributed in September, 2007
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The statements contained in this document with regard to the business
prospects, projected operating and financial results, and growth potential are
merely forecasts based on the expectations of the Company’s
Management in relation to its future performance. Such estimates are highly
dependent on market behavior and on the conditions affecting Brazil‘s
macroeconomic performance as well as the electric sector and international
market, and they are therefore subject to changes.