apre 3 t09
TRANSCRIPT
3Q09 ResultsNovember, 2009
3Q09 main highlights
• 3rd Trimester 2009
– 1.2% increase in captive market consumption
– Ebitda totalized R$ 445 million, 15.5% above previous year
– Net earning totalized R$ 235 million, 58.7% above the 3Q08
– Aneel authorized a +14.88% average tariff readjustment, applicable from July,4 2009 on
– First installment of the agreement with São Paulo’s municipality amounting R$ 117.8 million, on August, 10 2009
• Subsequent Events
– Application to the Tax debt refinancing program (“REFIS”) with a P&L benefit of approximately R$ 250 million in 4Q09
– Award from Carta Capital magazine for most admired electric distributor in Brazil
– National Quality Award (PNQ), Company recognized as a reference in management by National Quality Foundation
– AES Brasil was chosen as one of the 20 model-companies by the Guia Exame the Sustentabilidade (Exame’s magazine
Sustainability Guide)
– AES Eletropaulo is among the three finalist of the IASC 2009 Prize (Aneel’s Index of Clients’ Satisfaction) in the
category of companies above 400,000 consumption units in the Southeast region
Captive market grew 1.2% on 3Q09
-7.6%
Free Clients
1,874 1,731
+1.2%
Captive Market
8,635 8,742
3Q093Q08Average Tariff of Sold Energy2 – R$ / MWh
+9.2%
275301
Residential
+6.0%
221 235
Others
+7.3%
267286
Captive Market
+7.8% -0.3%+1.0%-10.9%
Residential Industrial Commercial Public Sector and Others
Total Market
Consumption Evolution - (GWh)1
6682,5411,735
3,691
10,509
651
3,9781,545
2,567
10,473
3Q093Q08
3
276 289
Commercial
+5.5%
254 268
Industrial
+22.0%
64 78
TUSD
-2.5%
+4.7%
1 – Own consumption not considered 2 – Captive market + Tusd
Most important consumption classes
1 – Own consumption not considered 4
Residential - (GWh)
1Q09
3,494
2Q09
3,742
3Q09
3,978
+4.7%
9M08
10,70811,214
9M09
+3.2%
Commercial - (GWh)
Industrial - (GWh)
1Q09
1,327
2Q09
1,465
3Q09
1,546
-11.1%
9M08
4,8784,337
9M09
1Q09
2,657
2Q09
2,625
3Q09
2,567
9M08
7,6037,850
9M09
Captive Market¹ - (GWh)+1.9%
41Q09
8,118
2Q09
8,493
3Q09
8,742
+1.0%
9M08
25,10425,353
9M09
0
2
4
6
8
10
1-J
an
19-J
an
6-F
eb
24-F
eb
14-M
ar
1-A
pr
19-A
pr
7-M
ay
25-M
ay
12-J
un
30-J
un
18-J
ul
5-A
ug
23-A
ug
10-S
ep
28-S
ep
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
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an
19-J
an
6-F
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24-F
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14-M
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19-A
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7-M
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25-M
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23-A
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10-S
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28-S
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2
4
6
8
10
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19-J
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24-F
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25-M
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23-A
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10-S
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28-S
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15
20
25
30
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19-J
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14-M
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7-M
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25-M
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30-J
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18-J
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5-A
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10-S
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28-S
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14
18
22
26
30
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19-J
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24-F
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14-M
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1-A
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19-A
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7-M
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25-M
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12-J
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30-J
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18-J
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5-A
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23-A
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10-S
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28-S
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5
Previous year Actual Year
Industrial SectorAuto Sector Chemical
Metallurgical Rubber & Plastic Metal
Participation: 8.0% Participation: 7.1%
Participation: 2.3%Participation: 2.6%Participation: 4.0%
6
Collection rate and energy losses
97.899.599.1
200820072006
5.5 5.1
6.5 6.5
11.612.0
5.0
6.5
11.5
Commercial Losses Technical Losses1
3Q09
6.5
11.8
3Q08
6.5
11.6
200820072006 3Q082
101.3
3Q092
97.45.35.2
Collection Rate – % over Gross Revenue Losses – % last 12 months
• Collection rate (LTM): 97.9% (3Q08) x 101.4% (3Q09)• Cuts and Reconnection – Monthly Average (3Q08 X
3Q09) – Cuts: increase from 34,000 to 86,000– Reconnections: increase from 33,000 to 57,000
• Past due bill Credit Report (3Q09 Average): 427,000
• Fraud and Illegal Connections (3Q09)– 78,000 inspections and 10,000 frauds
detected– 25,000 illegal connections regularized
1 - Current Technical Losses used retroactively as reference 2 – Collection rate following the new methodology of calculation
7
SAIDI & SAIFI
9.208.907.87
2006 2007 2008
SAIDI (hours) SAIDI Aneel Target
11.01
3Q09³
11.81 11.34 10.92
2006 2007 2008 3Q08³
5.64 5.205.52
SAIFI (times) SAIFI Aneel Target
5.36
8.61 8.49 8.41
3o3o 3o 1o
9.19
3Q08³ 3Q09³
5.78
5º 1o
SAIDI¹ SAIFI2
• SAIDI Aneel Target 2009: 10.09 hours • SAIFI Aneel Target 2009: 7.87 times
1 – System Average interruption Duration Index 2 – System Average Interruption Frequency Index 3 - LTM Source: ANEEL, AES Eletropaulo and ABRADEE
ABRADEE ranking position among the 28 utilities with more than 500 thousand customers
Investments
8
Paid by customers
2006 2007 2008 2009e
301364
410
69378433
457
77
Capex
47
455
54
509
269
305
36
9M08
298
32426
9M09
45%
22%
16%
4%4%
8%
CAPEX – R$ million Investments 9M09
Customer service / System expansion
Paid by the clients
Losses recovery
Maintenance
IT
Others
Gross Revenue
Deductions to Gross RevenueNet Revenue
3Q08 3Q09
+7.7%
+9.0%
1,104
1,961
3,065
1,228
2,112
3,340
9
9M08 9M09
+5.7%
+6.4%
3,089
5,540
8,6293,329
5,855
9,184
Gross Revenue - R$ million
• Market comparison (3Q09 x 3Q08)
– +14.88% tariff readjustment from 07/04/2009
– Higher captive consumption between periods (+1.2%)
Operating expenses
PMS2 and Other Expenses
+4.6%
340
1,240
1,580
264
1,388
1,652
Energy Supply and Transmission Charges
10
3Q08 3Q099M08 9M09
+8,0%
901
3,479
4,380
919
3,760
4,678+6.8%
• Price per MWh Var. % (3Q09 x 3Q08)Tietê: 3Q08: R$ 149 3Q09: R$ 152 1.53%Itaipu: 3Q08: R$ 89 3Q09: R$ 92 3.37%Auctions: 3Q08: R$ 72 3Q09: R$ 87 20.83%Total AverageTariff: 3Q08: R$ 100 3Q09: R$ 108 8.00%
Operating Costs and Expenses1 - R$ million
1 - Depreciation not included 2 - Personnel, Material and Services
11
-27.9%
86
97
157
85
4
175
264
340
+11.5%
75
46
55
74
175157
58
24
31
32
35
4
97
15
33
(43)
-95.9%
Operating expenses evolution
PMS1 and Other Expenses - R$ million Personnel - R$ million Other Expenses - R$ million
11
3Q093Q08 3Q093Q08 3Q093Q08
Personnel and Pension Fund
Material and Third Party Services
Other Expenses
Personnel
Pension Fund
Labor Lawsuits
1 – Personnel, Material and Services 2 - Indemnification, Losses, Publicity, Banking Fees, IPTU, among others3 – Allowance for doubtful accounts
ADA3 and Write-Off
Provisions and Contingencies
Others2
12
3Q08
340
3Q09
264
Pension Fund
22
ADA1
And Write-
Off
Provisions and Contingencies
(19)
Others2
1
-22.3%
AgreementPMSP
(77)
(1)
Material and
Services
(2)
Operating expenses evolution
Operating Expenses – R$ million
1 - Allowance for doubtful accounts2 - Leasing and Rents, indemnifications, Losses, Publicity, Banking Fees, IPTU, among others
13
445
(148)151
385
+15.5%
20 (22)77 (17)
Variation of Ebitda
Ebitda – R$ million
3Q09Energy Supply and
Transmission Charges
Net Revenue
3Q08 Provisions and
Contingencies
Pension Fund
AgreementPMSP¹
Others²
1 - Agreement with the municipality of São Paulo2 - Personnel, Material, Third Party Services, ADA, Losses, among others
3Q08 3Q09
(67)
8
14
9M08 9M09
(102)
(39)
3Q09 x 3Q08 results
Financial Result - R$ million
• Average Selic:
– 12.9% (3Q08) x 8.8% (3Q09)
• Average balance of cash investments:
– R$1,432 million (3Q08) x R$ 1,082 million (3Q09)
• R$ 39.7 million financial income from part of the agreement with the municipality of São Paulo
235148
3T08 3T09
15
538
496
9M08 9M09
Net Income - R$ million
3Q09 x 3Q08 results
• Tariff readjustment of 14.88% in July, 2009
• Positive effect of R$ 76.6 million from the agreement with the municipality of São Paulo
• Dividends distribution of R$ 322.7 million regarding the first half of 2009
• Second installment of the 2008 complementary dividends to be paid in December 10, 2009 in the amount of R$ 307.3 million
+8.5% +58.7%
R$ 297 million paid as dividends in 3Q09
• The Company keeps its cash invested on Certificates of Deposit (CDs) and Government Notes, with average profitability of 102.6% of CDI on 3Q09
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09
1,454 1,373 1,536
613 491 301
(107) (126) (104)
(107) (37) (113)
(21) (40) (184)
(32) (46) (58)
(68) (80) (119)
(359) -
(81) 162 (278)
1,373 1,536 1,258
-
16
2Q09
1,258
448
(113)
(45)
(54)
(56)
(83)
(269)
989
(366)
3Q09
989
798
(116)
(98)
(35)
(53)
(45)
155
1,143
(297)
Managerial Cash Flow – R$ million
Initial Cash
Operating Cash Flow
Investments
Net Financial Expenses
Net Amortizations
CESP Foundation
Income Tax
Dividends
Free Cash Flow
Final Cash
Debt Profile
17
2006
3.7
2007
3.0
2008
2.5
2.1x
1.3x 1.2x5.7
6.8 7.1
CDI²
2.7
1.5x
3Q09
7.3
2.9
3Q08
1.4x
7.1
14.1% 14.7% 15.4% 14.8% 13.9%
2006
93.2%
2007
121.8%
2008
123.9%
3Q09
116.5%
3Q08
103.4%
Net Debt Average Cost2 and Average Term (Principal)
Net Debt (R$ billion) Net Debt/Adjusted Ebitda¹
1 - Accumulated 12 Months Adjusted EBITDA 2 – Brazil’s Interbank Interest Rate
Average Term - Years Effective Rate
Sustainable amortization schedule
• 99.7% of total debt in local currency
• 0.3% of total debt in foreign currency (R$ 10 million): 98% protected by hedge
1 - FCesp = Pension Fund2 – Exchange rate on 09/30/2009 – US$ 1.00 = R$ 1.7781 18
10
2009
341
524250 250 250
50 125375
78
62 66 70
75 80
1,532
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016-2028
Amortization Schedule – Principal – R$ million
Local Currency (ex FCESP)
FCESP1
Foreign Currency²
Capital market
19
2006 2007 2008
7,508
26,066 25,677
AES Eletropaulo2 X Ibovespa X IEE
IBOVIEEELPL6
9M09
21,187
90
110
130
150
170
dec-081 feb-09 apr-09 sep-09
9M0963.9%63.8%
46.0%
• A) 02/25/2009 – Finsocial and São Paulo municipality
agreement
• B) 04/16/2009 – Public Consultation of Tariff Reset
• C) 06/16/2009 – Second Periodic Tariff Reset Revision
mar-09 may-09jan-09
AA
BBCC
jun-09 jul-09 aug-09
Average Daily Volume2 - R$ thousand
1- Index –12/30/08 = 100 2 - Preferred shares class B adjusted by the dividends declared in the related period
The statements contained in this document with regard to the business prospects, projected operating and financial results, and growth potential are merely forecasts based on the expectations of the Company’s Management in relation to its future performance.Such estimates are highly dependent on market behavior and on the conditions affecting Brazil’s macroeconomic performance as well as the electric sector and international market, and they are therefore subject to changes..
3Q09 Results