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A MULTICLASS QUEUEING MODEL IN THE MODERATE-DEVIATION HEAVY- TRAFFIC REGIME Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11, 2015 1

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Page 1: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

A MULTICLASS QUEUEING MODEL IN THE MODERATE-DEVIATION HEAVY-TRAFFIC

REGIME

Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics

University of Michigan

Financial Mathematics SeminarUniversity of Michigan

March 11, 2015

1

Page 2: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Contents

The Differential Game

The Model

Varadhan’s Lemma

The Approximation

2

Page 3: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Contents

The Differential Game

The Model

Varadhan’s Lemma

The Approximation

2

Page 4: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Model

Basic definitions

3

size of thei-th buffer

arrival processfinite 2nd moment

controlled serviceprocessfinite 2nd moment

controlled rejectionprocess

buffers

buffer 1 buffer 2 buffer 3 buffer 4

Page 5: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Model

Basic definitions

3

• Moderate-deviation rate parameters

• Arrival rates• Departure rates • The system is critically loaded

size of thei-th buffer

arrival processfinite 2nd moment

controlled serviceprocessfinite 2nd moment

controlled rejectionprocess

buffers

Proportion of time

that server i is busy

Page 6: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Model

Scaling

4

Page 7: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

(1) and (2) and

Assumption 1

5

The sequencesatisfies the moderate-deviation principle with rate parameters and rate function . That is, for every and every closed and open sets one has

The Model

Sufficient condition:

Page 8: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Model

Cost and value function

6

Alternative costs:

Scaling implies Technical difficulties

Non-stationary solutions

Value:

Cost:

Leads to a stationary robust control

discount factor

Page 9: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Model

Why Moderate-Deviation?

7

• While there are many diffusion-scaling papers, there are very few papers with the large/moderate-deviations scaling.

• In diffusion scaling the probability of overflow is of order 1, while in the large/moderate deviation the order is very low.

• In the large/moderate deviation we get a robust control.

• Unlike the large-deviation, which suffers from high complexity. Under the moderate-deviation, we solve the problem completely.

TO ADD COLORS LATER ON

AND TO SIMPLIFY THE POLICY LIKE IN THE 20MIN

Page 10: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Model

State space collapse

8

where is called the workload.

Cost

Page 11: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Model

Varadhan’s Lemma (intuition for the differential game)

9

Suppose that (with support ) satisfies the large deviation principle with the good rate function and let be a continuous function.

Assume further (to simplify the proof) that is compact.Then,

Intuition:

Page 12: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Model

State space collapse

10

where

Cost

Deterministic differential game

Cost:

Value:

AnticipatingElliot-Kalton

is related to

Page 13: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Theorem

11

The Model

Assume that and that Assumption 1 holds. Then,

where

To his end, we analyze the differential game…(We will refer only to the one dimensional case here and work with . )

Page 14: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Contents

The Differential Game

The Model

Varadhan’s Lemma

The Approximation

12

Page 15: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Differential Game

Intuition

13

Cost:

Value:

AnticipatingElliot-Kalton

Page 16: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Properties of the game

14

• Explicit expression for the value function .

• Optimal strategy for the minimizer

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.50

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.50

5

10

15

20

25

30

The Differential Game

Page 17: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Properties of the game

15

• Simple controls for the maximizer that achieves : - Stopping immediately as the dynamics hits zero, .

- until the first time the dynamics drop below and then decreases until the dynamics hit zero (solves PDE, independent of the minimizer choice). Also, the terminal time is smaller than .

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

• Under this control, if then the minimizer would prefer to reject immediately!

The Differential Game

Page 18: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Contents

The Differential Game

The Model

Varadhan’s Lemma

The Approximation

16

Page 19: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Varadhan’s Lemma

Varadhan’s Lemma

17

Suppose that (with support ) satisfies the Large deviation principle with the good rate function and let be a continuous function.

Assume further (to simplify the proof) that is compact.Then,

Intuition:

Page 20: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Varadhan’s Lemma (proof)

18

Lower bound:Fix . There is s.t.So,

and

Since is arbitrary

Varadhan’s Lemma

Page 21: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Varadhan’s Lemma (proof)

19

Upper bound:For every there is s.t.

Since is compact there is a finite cover ( independent of )

Varadhan’s Lemma

Page 22: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Contents

The Differential Game

The Model

Varadhan’s Lemma

The Approximation

20

Page 23: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Approximation

Deterministic differential game

21

Cost:

Value:

anticipating

Page 24: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

22

We prove it by showing that for every sequence one has

and that, there is a sequence of policies for which

The Approximation

We will refer only to the one dimensional case here, and work with …

Theorem

Assume that and that Assumption 1 holds. Then,

where

Page 25: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Lower bound

23

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

Notice that depends on the control. Now we consider asequence of controls . So, we consider .But how?

We would like to center around .

The Approximation

less than

Page 26: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Lower bound

24

Take

(3) Fix . There is an interval s.t.

(1) s.t. stopping afterwards is too expensive.

(2) Divide into small intervals:

(4) Divide, the interval into small time intervals. Recall that termination time of the game is smaller than . (5) Now, continue centering around the second part of . There is an interval s.t.

The Approximation

Page 27: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Lower bound

25

We focus on ‘s for which for a specific .Recall that there are only finitely many such .

The Approximation

is linear

Page 28: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Lower bound

26

So,

The Approximation

Page 29: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Service (from workload to buffers): W.o.l.g. assume that

Asymptotically optimal policy

27

Rejections: If overflow occurs (happens with low prob.) Otherwise, reject from buffer .

Low priority: let the cheapest buffer, which is not almost full (up to ) to be filled.Serve the others with rate higher than

The Approximation

Page 30: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

Asymptotically optimal policy

28

Buffer 1 Buffer 2 Buffer 3 Buffer 4 Buffer 5 Buffer 6

Assume and the buffers have the same sizes

The Approximation

cheapest buffer

Page 31: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

THANK YOU!

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Page 32: Asaf Cohen (joint work with Rami Atar) Department of Mathematics University of Michigan Financial Mathematics Seminar University of Michigan March 11,

The Model

State space collapse

3

where

Cost

Deterministic differential game

Cost:

Value:

anticipating is related to