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www.sensor-ip.org110/04/2008 www.sensor-ip.org

Peter Verweij, Stefan Sieber, Dirk Pohle, Johnny Roller, Katharina Fricke, Jan-Erik Wien, Katharina Helming, Cesare Pacini, Hördur Haraldsson et al. Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research e.V., Wageningen University and Research Centre, Green world research- amongst others

SIATSustainability Impact Assessment Tool

Methodology and Functionality of Prototype II

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Sustainability Impact Assessment of multifunctional land use

Structure

Rationale

Methodology

Development

Prototype II

Acknowledgements

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Rationale

Project aim – Focus for SIAT

To deliver ex-ante Impact Assessment Tools (SIAT) to support decision making on policies related to multifunctional land use in Europe and in targeted third countries (since Dec. 2006)

IA- Guidelines (EC 2005)

1 Identifying the policy problem

2 Defining the objective

3 Developing the main policy options

4 Analysing the impacts5 Comparing the options6 Outlining policy monitoring and evaluation

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Methodology

Land use

functions

Agriculture ForestryNature

ConservationTransport

Infrastructure Energy Tourism

Production Economic SocialEnvironmental Cultural Ecologic

Multifunctionality

Thresholds

Targets

Region x Region y Region ... Region ... Region ... Region n

SustainabilityChoice Space

SustainableDevelopment

Thresholds

Targets

Region x Region y Region ... Region ... Region ... Region nRegion x Region y Region ... Region ... Region ... Region n

SustainabilityChoice Space

SustainableDevelopment

Approach – SIAT Implementation

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Development

Methods – Complementary Application

Evolutionary rapid development & operational prototyping (Guida 1999)Requirement analysis by stakeholder involvement (Wiegers 2003).

(1) Reviewing and benchmarking of existing knowledge

(2) Adjustment of basic requirements

(3) Develop a simplistic Prototype

(4) Group discussions with end users

(5) Targeted input by expert interviews

(6) Final negotiation with regard to given capacities

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Prototype II

Classification – Novel Model ChallengesComparative static Meta-Model

Trade offs across 6 sectors

SIA, policy impacts / valuation

Response protocols & knowledge rules

Stakeholder-validation

Server-based application

Flexibility (OpenMI)

Approx. 30 indicators, NUTX-level

Indicators, LUF, Thresholds

Transparency, Traceability

Definition

Methods

Results

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Prototype II

Response Protocol – Functionality

Modelling framework

Indicator value

Interim results (land use)

Indicator 1

Indicator 2

Interim result

Policy variable

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Prototype II

System Integration – State of the Art

Conceptual Design

Software Architecture

GUI design

Visualisation (mapping,

graphs, bar charts etc.)

Policy Case, Instruments

Indicator knowledge rules

Thresholds

Fact sheets & information

sheets

End User Tool Knowledge basef(x)=3X3+2

Text: The idicator isthe knowledge thatImplies.

Current integration state:

- 105 fact sheets- Respective long versions- 10 indicators - 10 causal chains- 1 policy case, 3 instr.(+1 in process)

Current integration state:

- complete system integration

- (to display full storyline)- graphical re-design- new GUI

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Integrating conceptsEU Impact Assessment guidelinesMulti functionalitySustainable developmentResponse protocolsThresholdsTransparency

How to integrate ?

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Tool releases

Proto1: integration conceptualisationMethod: throw awayNo quality assuranceStand aloneSample dataSample model Single user database

Proto2: operationalisationEvolutionary developmentQuality assurance started Web basedReal dataconnected (response) models (OpenMI)

Database server

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Goods and services provided by different land uses, summarise most relevant soc, eco, env aspects

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What nextQuality Assurance (e.g. auditing)Operational issues (server availability, maintenance)Prototype 3 (2009)

Compare different policy optionsAdd

Policy casesBaselinesIndicators

Context sensitive fact sheets (e.g. indicators)Include back tracing (e.g. region specific response function)

Siat architecture: slot 13, Wednesday afternoon

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Acknowledgements

Joint product – We thank you so much!

M4

S I A TIntegration

M5Data & Indicator

Management

M6Sustainability Issues in

Sensitive Regions

M7Stakeholder Participation &

Insitutional Analysis

M1Scientific Co-ordination

M3Regional Sustainability

Problems, Risks &Thresholds

M2European Land Use Scenario Assessment & Forecasting

M4

S I A TIntegration

M5Data & Indicator

Management

M6Sustainability Issues in

Sensitive Regions

M7Stakeholder Participation &

Insitutional Analysis

M1Scientific Co-ordination

M3Regional Sustainability

Problems, Risks &Thresholds

M2European Land Use Scenario Assessment & Forecasting

Sensor consortium: targeted input for SIAT

Software architecture, conceptual design

(Peter Verweij, Johnny te Roller,

Bas vanMeuleBrouk, Rob Knapen)

Knowledge integration

(Dirk Pohle, Katharina Fricke et al.)

Scaling / Aggregation methods

(Cesare Pacini)

Causal chains

(Hördur Haraldsson, Harald Sverdrup)

Visualisation approach

(Ricardo Cabra, Bernhard Snizek, Stefan Seifert et al.)

39 institutes

Alterra

Zalf

DEART

LUND

LIFE + TUM

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