aviva uk: investor update december 2009

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  • 8/7/2019 Aviva UK: Investor Update December 2009

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    Investor presentation December 2009 3

    Contents

    33UK life inherited estate reattribution5

    18Avivas businesses2

    26Financial strength4

    86North America, Asia Pacific and Aviva Investors7

    37UK and Europe6

    8

    3

    1

    105Contacts

    24Executive management

    4Overview

    Page

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    Overview

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    Investor presentation December 2009 5

    10%

    40%

    15

    30

    H1 2000 H1 2009

    An increasingly global company

    (1) Total long-term savings new business sales and G.I. and health net written premiums

    34%

    32%

    24%

    5%

    47%

    21%

    9%

    17%

    6% 20%General

    Insurance

    80%Long

    Term

    Savings

    H1 2009 sales

    24.4bn (1)

    Asia Pacific

    North America

    UK Life

    Europe

    UK GI

    billion

    billion

    5%

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    Investor presentation December 2009 6

    Purpose

    Prosperity &

    peace of mind

    Strategic

    priorities

    Manage composite

    portfolio

    Build global Asset

    Management

    Allocate capital

    rigorously

    Multi-channel customer

    reach

    Boost productivity

    Targets

    Vision

    One Aviva,twice the value

    98% meet or beat COR

    500m cost savings by 2010

    Double IFRS EPS by 2012 at

    the latest

    1.5 2 x dividend cover on

    IFRS post tax operating

    earnings

    UK

    Market leadership

    Drive up profitability

    Generate capital

    Insurance excellence

    Operational excellence

    N. America

    Profitable growth

    Optimise business mix,

    growth & margin

    Diversify distribution and

    products Generate net capital

    returns

    Europe

    Scale, growth, capital

    Seize unique growth

    opportunities

    One Europe operating

    model Generate capital

    Asia Pacific

    Scale, growth

    Prioritised portfolio

    Regional operating

    model

    Investment required

    Asset ManagementAsset ManagementAviva Investors

    Globally integrated business Transform the investment model Increase third party business

    Our strategy

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    General insurance

    COR2Life and Pensions Margins

    2.1%

    1.7%

    2.8%

    1.0%

    2.1%

    2.1%

    2.6%

    0.5%

    UK

    Europe

    North America

    Group Total

    2.5% 2.3%Asia Pacific

    Focus on Margins vs Sales

    Life and Pensions margins maintained

    15% local currency reduction in sales due to a combination ofmarket conditions and management action

    Pricing and commission action reduces impact of growing

    customer demand for lower margin guaranteed products

    18.2bn17.5bn

    General

    insurance

    22%

    26%

    Europe

    Life

    UK Life

    General

    insurance

    21%

    36%

    33%

    HY1 2008 HY1 2009

    UK

    4.7bn

    7.1bn

    Europe

    NA/Asia

    UK

    6.0bn

    7.0bn

    Europe

    3.1bnNA/Asia

    3.9bn

    10 bn

    15 bn

    5 bn

    DL

    2.1bn

    DL

    1.8bn

    Sales

    6 months

    2009 %12 months

    2008 %

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    Focus on Profit vs Premiums

    General Insurance COR improved

    10% local currency reduction in premiums, excluding 2008 Dutch

    Healthcare premiums of 0.7 billion

    Cost and commission action taken to build sustainable

    profitability

    Evidence of rating improvement in challenging markets

    NWP5.1bn

    4.9bn

    General

    insurance

    22%

    26%

    Europe

    Life

    UK Life

    General

    insurance

    21%

    36%

    33%

    5 bn

    3 bn

    HY1 2008 HY1 2009

    UK

    1.1bn

    Europe

    NA/Asia

    UK

    2.8bn

    1.0bn

    Europe

    0.8bnNA/Asia

    0.9bn

    2.3bn

    DL

    0.6bn

    DL

    0.5bn

    General insurance

    COR2General Insurance CORs

    97%

    97%

    99%

    98%

    6 months

    2009 %12 months

    2008 %

    99%

    96%

    97%

    UK

    Europe

    North America

    Total General Insurance

    99%

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    Investor presentation December 2009 9

    Strong Cost Management

    Ahead of run rate 500

    million cost saving targets

    Eliminating cost over runs

    and reducing operational

    complexity in UK Life

    Closing 13 operational

    centres and simplifying

    product range in UK GI

    Cost reduction exercises

    across Europe

    35% reduction in group

    centre costs

    Customer service

    maintained

    9.0% - 239m

    Reduction inunderlying cost base

    1,500m

    1,700m

    1,900m

    2,100m

    2,300m

    2,500m

    2,700m2,622m

    72m(38m)

    148m 2,493m

    (80m)

    (118m)

    (75m)

    (38m)

    HY08Expense

    Base

    Forex+acq& disposal +Restructuring

    HY08

    Inflation Restructuring

    HY09

    HY09Expense

    Base

    UK Life UK GI Europe Other (inc. Group)

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    UK Life

    Driving up profitability

    14.0%10.6%New business IRR

    3.5%2.9%Life & Pensions margin(1,2)

    40m140mCost overrun

    +/-

    751m382mIFRS operating profit

    883m589mEV operating profit

    679m372mExisting Business operating return

    11,669m9,185mLife & Pensions sales (PVNBP)(1)

    20082005

    +27%

    +60bp

    +83%

    +50%

    +97%

    2005 shown on an EEV basis, 2008 on a MCEV basis. (1)Data shown on an EEV basis. (2)Margin pre cost of capital and taxation, 2008 margin unaudited, published MCEV margin 1.7%.

    71%

    Significant progress on delivering the One Aviva, twice the value agenda

    +340bp

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    UK Life

    Generating capital

    +/-

    704m365mFree surplus generation

    2.5%5.3%Strain % of L&P sales (PVNBP)(2)

    293m488mNew business capital strain(1)

    20082005

    -2.8pps

    +93%

    Delivering value to group

    -40%

    (1) New business strain includes initial capital strain and changes in required capital. (2) Life & Pensions sales calculated on an EEV basis for comparative basis.

    500m dividend paid over the last three years

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    Investor presentation December 2009 12

    UK General Insurance

    Transforming the business

    Execution of strategy is improving the

    quality of earnings

    Actively exiting poor performing business

    Rating increases above inflation on all

    major classes

    Improving current year profits

    Driving down distribution costs FY 200740%; FY 2008 37%; HY 2009 34%

    200 million cost savings delivered -

    ahead of target for further 150 million

    HY ROCE of 13.4%

    HY1 08 HY1 09 +/-

    Net written premium 2,589m 2,049m -21%

    COR 98% 99% +1pps

    Current year profit (1) 142m 159m +12%

    Current year claims ratio(1) 65.9% 69.6% +3.7pps

    Expense ratio 12.8% 11.7% -1.1pps

    Commission ratio 25.3% 21.9% -3.4pps

    Insurer of the year 1st 1st1st 6

    years

    running

    IFRS operating profit(2) 314m 282m -10%

    (2) Includes Aviva Re

    (1) Operating profit or claims ratio excluding prior year savings

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    Investor presentation December 2009 13

    Life & pensionsLife & pensions

    CompositeCompositeAvivas

    presence

    Aviva is uniquely positioned in Europe

    Share of GDP L&P PVNBP GI NWP

    H1 09 m H1 09 m

    France 14.5% Top 10 2,733 631

    Ireland 1.4% Top 5 478 Top 5 294

    Italy 11.7% Top 10 2,461 190

    Lithuania 0.2% Top 5 49 -

    Poland 2.7% Top 5 572 20

    Russia 8.5% Top 5 14 -

    Spain 8.1% Top 5 1,394 -

    Turkey 3.7% Top 5 134 53

    Czech Rep 1.1% 17 -

    Hungary 0.8% Top 10 26 -

    Slovakia 0.5% 1 -

    Romania 1.0% Top 5 41 -

    Belgium 2.6% Top 10 465 -

    Germany 18.6% 177 -

    Netherlands 4.4% Top 5 1,351 Top 5 758

    79.8% 9,913 1,946

    Source: IMF

    AvivaRegion

    Strengths in 15 markets

    Covering 80% of GDP and premium

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    A clear strategy to exploit the European opportunity

    Quantum Leap game changing for the industry

    Aviva Europe

    Delta Lloyd

    IPO strategic management

    Life & pensionsLife & pensions

    CompositeCompositeAvivas

    presence

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    Investor presentation December 2009 15

    From To

    Aviva Europes Quantum Leap

    Multiple, complex products

    Twelve federated businesses

    Multiple systems

    and processes

    Complex legal entity structure

    Sub optimal capital allocation

    and risk management

    Fungible capital, state of the art

    capital and risk processes

    Simplified structure under

    single holding company

    Shared systems

    and processes

    Customer centric product catalogue

    and shorter time to market

    One Pan European Business

    One Head Office

    Pan European distribution

    organisation

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    Key milestones in ongoing transformation

    Increasing financial flexibility

    Sale of Australian business completed

    Realises value from a business where Aviva had limited organic growth opportunities

    452 million selling price at 16 x IFRS earnings

    Reattribution of the inherited estate

    Over 800,000 customers will benefit from a 470 million payout

    Provides approximately 650 million of new business capital in the first 5 years

    Successful IPO of Delta Lloyd

    Total gross cash proceeds of approximately 1.0 billion for a 41% stake Significant strategic milestone

    New corporate governance framework consistent with Dutch market practice

    Enhances value and liquidity of retained stake in Delta Lloyd

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    Q3 2009 IMS update

    Managing for profit

    Worldwide long-term savings sales and life and pension sales1 both reduced by

    11% due to lower consumer demand and strategic actions to optimise profitability

    Group margin in line with full year 2008 at 2.1%

    General insurance COR of 98%, in line with meet or beat target

    Balance sheet strength at 30 September 2009

    Enhanced IGD solvency surplus of 3.7bn2

    25% increase in MCEV NAV per share at 520 pence from half year 2009

    1.1bn default provision against UK annuity book remains unutilised, with no

    material default experience

    Net unrealised gain of 0.4bn on debt securities in US business following

    improvement in US credit markets (31 Dec 2008: unrealised loss of 2.4bn)

    (1) PVNBP

    (2) Excludes 0.4bn uplift from sale of Australian business, additional 0.5bn from the Delta Lloyd IPO and deduction of 0.5bn for policyholder incentive payments

    as part of the reattribution

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    Avivas businesses

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    Investor presentation December 2009 19

    General Insurance

    Long Term savings

    Composite

    Manage the composite portfolio

    Diversity, cash flow, resilient product range

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    Aviva Investors

    A powerful global asset management business

    Globally integrated asset management business

    The third pillar of our composite model, rebranded Aviva Investors

    222 billion funds*, in 15 countries across North America, the UK,Europe and Asia Pacific

    Accelerate the transformation of our investment model

    Scalable central investment unit & small autonomous teams

    Enhance capability to sell & service clients across borders

    Invest in people, technology and solutions development

    Increase 3rd party business

    Accelerate profit contribution to Group* Aviva Investors assets under management as of 30 June 2009

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    Bancassurance

    Direct Sales

    Independent Agents

    Multi-distribution

    Increase customer reach

    Access to customers through preferred channels

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    Increase customer reach

    Over 90 bancassurance agreements

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    Investor presentation December 2009 23

    Growth In Life and Pensions assets by region

    Source: Aviva Research supported by Oliver Wyman

    Life & Pensions Assets 2007($bn)

    Life&PensionsAssetsCAG

    R(2007-2017) Area of bubble = Projected increasein Life & Pensions assets to 2017

    Avivas presence

    Strong

    GrowingAsia-Pacific (ex. Japan)

    North America Europe

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    Executive management

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    Investor presentation December 2009 25

    A highly capable and experienced executive team

    Andrew MossChief Executive

    Mark Hodges

    UK Life

    Tom GodlaskyNorth America

    John AinleyHuman Resources

    Igal MayerUK GI

    Anupam SahayStrategy

    Amanda MackenzieMarketing

    Andrea Moneta

    Europe

    Alain DromerAviva Investors

    Simon MachellAsia Pacific

    Philip ScottChief Financial Officer

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    Financial strength

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    Operatingprofits and

    other

    income

    Marketmovements(including

    FX)

    IGD surplusDecember

    2008

    Issueof hybrid

    debt

    at DL

    Issue ofHybrid debt

    Sale of DLHealth

    Dividends Value of non-

    regulated

    entities

    Othermovements

    IGD

    SurplusJune 2009

    Increasein CRR

    Action on the Balance Sheet

    IGD Solvency Surplus Significantly Strengthened

    3.0

    2.0

    1.0

    0

    2.0bn

    0.4bn

    0.2bn0.5bn

    0.1bn

    0.2bn (0.3bn)

    0.5bn (0.3bn)

    3.2bn

    4.0

    bn

    (0.1bn)

    IGD solvency surplus increased to 3.7bn* at 30 September 2009

    Equity hedges protect surplus: 40% fall in equities reduces surplus by 0.5bn, 40% rise increases

    surplus by 1.3bn

    1.1 billion default provision against UK annuity book remains unused at 30 September 2009

    * Excludes 0.4bn uplift from sale of Australian business, additional 0.5bn from the Delta Lloyd IPO and deduction of 0.5bn for policyholder incentive payments

    as part of the reattribution

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    Corporate Debt - Shareholder

    A high quality, diverse portfolio

    Just over 94% of corporate debt is investment grade or NAIC rated

    Minimal movement in rating grades

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    Fundmanagement

    Corporate

    / Regional

    costs

    Pensioninterest

    Debt costs(ex pension

    interest)

    HY1 09operating

    profit

    Life:new

    business

    HY1 08operating

    profit

    GILife:in-force

    Operating earnings up 12%

    to 1,685 million

    Life new business increase

    reflects lower volumes, offset by

    increased group margin

    Life in-force

    Lapse experience good

    in the light of economicconditions

    Credit spread narrowing

    and unwind of unrealised

    losses in France and US

    MCEV Operating Profit

    New business and in force book both generate strongearnings

    1,000

    500

    1,500

    1,509m

    1,685m

    (17)m

    15m

    17m (34)m

    (54)m(63)m

    m

    312m2,000

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    Operating earnings of 1,049

    million, down 14% on prior year

    Impact of debt costs and pension

    P&L costs

    Investment return for operating

    profit based on 10 year

    swap rate

    IFRS Operating Profit

    A lower asset and earnings base

    0

    Fundmanagement

    Corporate /

    Regional

    costs

    Pension

    P&L

    Cost

    Debt costs HY1 09operating

    profit

    LifeHY1 08operating

    profit

    GI

    1,223m

    1,049m

    (16)m(18)m 17m (40)m

    (54)m

    (63)m

    m

    1,000

    500

    1,500

    750

    1,250

    250

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    IFRS Profit After Tax

    Material decrease in investment losses and provisions

    IFRS

    H1 2009

    m

    H1 2008

    m

    FY 2008

    m

    Operating profit 1,049 1,223 2,297

    Investment variances Long term business 155 (636) (1,631)

    Investment variances GI and other (73) (308) (913)

    Impairment / amortisation of goodwill

    and intangibles(63) (93) (183)

    Profit on disposals 20 9 7

    Integration and restructuring costs (148) (132) (326)

    Exceptional items - (84) (551)

    Profit / (Loss) before tax 940 (21) (1,300)

    Tax (193) (63) 415

    Profit / (Loss) after tax 747 (84) (885)

    Profit after tax of 747 million

    No repeat of investment losses

    experienced in 2008

    Integration and restructuring costsincludes brand spend in 2009

    No repeat of exceptional items

    in 2008

    No further increase in provisions

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    UK life inherited estate

    reattribution

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    Inherited estate reattribution customer

    perspective

    A fair deal for customers

    Strong customer story over 800,000 customers benefit

    Just over 87% of eligible policyholders voted during election process,

    with 96% choosing to accept the offer

    Incentive payment of 470 million

    90% of eligible customers will receive between 214 and 1,230

    Customers will start receiving their payments from early November with

    most receiving them by the end of the year

    Around 70% of the value of the inherited estate paid to customers

    through special bonus and reattribution

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    Inherited estate reattribution shareholder

    perspective

    A good deal for shareholders

    Incentive payment flexed with size of estate Total estate value for reattribution of 1.25bn

    Based on average valuation of the estate at the end of June, July and August

    Policyholder incentive payment acquires:

    Assets backing the estate (1.5bn at 31.12.08)*

    Assets and Liabilities backing the cost of guarantees (3bn at 31.12.08)*

    * Based on 100% policyholder take-up

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    Inherited estate reattribution shareholder

    perspective

    Significant capital and return benefits

    Significant capital and earnings benefits:

    Provides 650m of new business capital strain funded from reattributedestate in first 5 years

    3 year cash payback

    One off 180m MCEV profit

    One off 80m IFRS profit

    Ongoing earnings of c30m on an MCEV basis and c45m IFRS per

    annum

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    UK and Europe

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    UK Life

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    UK Life

    Strategy

    Disciplined financial management and capital optimisation

    Generate greater value through enhanced interactions withexisting customers

    Drive significant profitable growth in our Risk business

    Reshape our distribution relationships for value and low cost

    acquisition

    Drive significant profitable growth in Corporate sector

    Seize the opportunity to become the most recommended insurer

    Distribution

    Strong multi-distribution capability through:

    Bancassurance joint venture with the RBS Group

    Strong Partnerships, e.g. CIS, Post Office

    Leading provider to IFAs, e.g. Bankhall, Sesame,

    Tenet and SimplyBiz

    Growing corporate channel - 17% of total new

    business in 2008 (2007: 8%)

    Well placed to benefit from the Retail Distribution Review

    H1 2009 Performance

    Life and pensions sales 21% lower at 4,735m as a result of

    actions to manage product mix, pricing and costs, and the effect

    of the economic downturn Commission reductions and business mix changes have

    contributed to a strengthened new business margin of 2.1%

    (H1 2008: 1.2%)

    IFRS life operating profit 14% lower at 368m driven by the fall

    in asset market values reducing with-profit results

    Life MCEV operating return of 345m, a 17% decreasereflecting lower expected returns from existing business

    On track to reduce costs by 100m by the end of 2009

    Current position

    A leading UK Life company, with 10.8% life and pensions

    market share at H1 2009 (H108: 10.4%)

    Broad product reach, top four position in our key markets

    Improving our service proposition to become a key

    differentiator

    Continuing to simplify our business model through

    outsourcing and e-commerce developments

    Received final approvals for the reattribution of the inherited

    estate

    United under a global brand - name changed to Aviva on

    1st June 2009

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    We have delivered our promises

    Rationalise costs

    Simplify the legacy

    Value out of service

    Manage retention

    Focussed on priorities, delivering the right things

    Develop the business

    Strong balance sheet

    Capital efficiency

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    Trading through the recession..

    Thriving in challenging markets

    Lower sales in a significantly

    contracting market

    Market share increase at higher margin

    Focus on profitability of new business

    while maintaining capital discipline

    resulting in increased margin

    Top 4 position in key markets

    1

    2

    3

    Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09

    PVNBP bn

    Pension Bonds & other Annuities Protection

    Quarterly Sales

    Quarterly sales (Life & Pensions PVNBP) on an MCEV basis. Life & Pensions market share based on ABI data.

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    while enhancing returns

    Reduced individual pension, group

    pension and bond commissions

    Growth of fee-based Employee Benefit

    Consultant business

    Customer service efficiencies

    E-Commerce enhancements

    Improved product mix

    Significantly leveraging pricing, commission and expenses

    0.0%

    0.5%

    1.0%

    1.5%

    2.0%

    2.5%

    3.0%

    HY1 2008 FY 2008 HY1 2009 Q3 2009

    New BusinessMargin Improvement

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    IPP & GPP, 33%

    IPP & GPP, 40%

    Corporate pensions, 6%

    Corporate pensions, 4%

    Protection exc. creditor,

    10%

    Individual Annuities, 15%

    Individual Annuities, 17%

    BPA, 7%

    BPA, 2%

    Bonds, 27%Bonds, 24%

    Other, 4% Other, 3%

    Protection exc. creditor,

    8%

    and moving our mix towards higher margin risk

    products

    Driving profitability, driving value

    Increase in individual annuities through innovative

    rating factor pricing

    Reduction in BPA proportion due to rigoroushurdle rate discipline:

    Compelling proposition to 50 EBCs

    Protection excluding creditor increased despite

    collapse in mortgage market:

    Excellent growth of Simplified Life product

    Individual and group personal pension rise

    supported by:

    market leading e-Commerce

    170 schemes secured in HY1 2009, 188mPVNBP

    Bonds impacted by management actions reducing

    commission, market conditions and CGT changesPVNBP share of portfolio

    Q3 2008 Q3 2009

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    Widening the income and expense jaws

    Increasing sales while growing

    margin

    Targeted cost reductions, driving

    out inefficiencies and reducingoperating expenses

    Lower, more flexible and variable

    cost base

    Expense over-run eliminated in 2009

    Life & Pensions Sales and Operating Expenses

    Growth

    Life & Pension sales calculated on an EEV basis for comparative basis.

    Operating

    Expenses

    L&P Sales

    -25%

    -15%

    -5%

    5%

    15%

    25%

    35%

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

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    Our focus on annuities is delivering benefits

    Extra rating factors (size/postcode/marital status & smoker status) delivering underwriting profit

    Increase speed to market and flexibility of rating changes

    Established strong BPA proposition

    Reduced capital in market place drives increased returns

    New business margin shown on an EEV basis.

    2.8%6.1%Capital strain %

    6796Capital strain m

    812Payback (years)

    16.7%9.5%IRR

    9.1%5.2%Margin

    +/-20082005New Business

    +3.9pps

    +7.2pps

    4 yrs

    -30%

    -3.3pps

    IRR benefits from improved pricing, lower expenses and capital efficiency

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    Our focus on protection is delivering benefits

    Highly competitive market with downward pressure on core mortgage and term products

    Improved re-insurance structures & reduced re-insurance costs

    Differentiated pricing by Channel / Distributor

    Implementation of enhanced rating factors

    IRR benefits from lower capital requirements from PS06/14

    5.1%12.5%Capital strain %

    58153Capital strain m

    46Payback (years)

    23.5%16.5%IRR

    7.8%9.2%Margin

    +/-20082005New Business

    +7.0pps

    2 yrs

    -62%

    -7.4pps

    -1.4pps

    IRR benefits from improved pricing, lower expenses and capital efficiency

    New business margin shown on an EEV basis.

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    Key actions to improve margins in pensions

    Increased operational efficiency reducing new business costs

    Commission levels reduced in 2008 and 2009 to date. Key actions include:

    GPP 3% reduction in initial commission, 0.05% increase in FOC charge Q4 08

    IPP single premium commission reduced by 0.5% to 6.0% Q1 09

    Implementation of customer agreed remuneration

    3.2%4.9%Capital strain %

    146148Capital strain m

    912Payback (years)

    12.4%8.2%IRR

    1.6%1.2%Margin

    +/-20082005New Business

    +0.4pps

    +4.2pps

    3 yrs

    -1%

    -1.7pps

    IRR benefits from improved pricing, lower expenses and capital efficiency

    New business margin shown on an EEV basis.

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    Key action in place to improve margins in bonds

    Persistency assumptions strengthened

    IFA commission rates reduced by 1% Q4 08

    Allocation rate reductions by up to 2% Q1 09

    Guaranteed Fund Commission reduction Q2 09

    IPG profit impacted by market volatility and withdrawn from 17th April 2009

    0.8%2.9%Capital strain %

    2677Capital strain m

    149Payback (years)

    7.7%9.7%IRR

    0.1%0.8%Margin

    +/-20082005New Business

    66%

    2.1pps

    -0.7pps

    -2.0pps

    5 yrs

    New business margin shown on an EEV basis.

    D li i ti l ll

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    Delivering operational excellence

    9,20012,500UK headcount

    4 star1 starDistributor service rating

    +/-

    68%49%Employee morale score

    75%60%Value on scale platforms

    68%38%Customer recommendation score

    420Core admin systems

    1,4851,032Policies per headcount

    2009 Q12005

    +44%

    +15pps

    +19pps

    -80%

    +3

    +30pps

    We have transformed our operating model

    -26%

    UK Lif l i di ti ti iti

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    UK Life: an evolving distinctive position

    2008 product positioning

    Consistent strategy & ruthless execution has delivered a distinctive position

    Pension 100%

    Pension 0%

    Risk 0%

    Risk 100%

    Savings 0%

    Savings 100%

    Aviva

    C t t f t t f t h i th id t

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    Context for strategy: factors shaping the mid term

    Industry past

    Growth funded by

    capital

    Single premium driving

    volume

    IFA channel pre-dominant

    A Day boom in personal

    pensions

    Steady growth inretirement needs

    Distributorconsolidation

    DB / DC

    NPSS

    Recession

    Demographics

    RDR & TCF

    Forces for change Threats & opportunities

    Capital conservation

    Margin squeeze

    Smaller IFA shop

    window

    IFA channel orphans

    Growing role of

    workplace in retirement

    Acceleration in at-retirement provision

    The next 3 - 5 years presents a mixture of opportunity and challenge

    Positioning based on deep insight

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    Positioning based on deep insight

    Our heartland is not only distinctive but also more profitable

    Overweight for UK

    Strong growth predicted

    8.6m unserved

    Higher average value

    Poor Comfor

    table

    Wea

    lthy

    Achiever

    s

    GettingB

    y

    Low

    Earners Supe

    rRich

    Family

    Pre-retired

    Retired

    Non-Family

    LifeStag

    e

    Wealth

    Opportunity from our existing customer base

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    Opportunity from our existing customer base

    Capitalise on untapped value from our existing customers

    40% have no active adviser

    Scaling back direct acquisition

    Re-directing advisory resource

    Generating leads from existing

    customers

    Industrialise to match

    opportunity

    UK Life customers by source, mExisting UK Life Customers (Millions)

    0.7m Partner

    customers

    3.5m

    customers

    have IFA

    1.3m Directcustomers

    1.4m customers

    with no adviser

    Opportunity from our unique risk capability

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    Opportunity from our unique risk capability

    We will drive significant growth in our high margin Risk lines of business

    Underlying market growth

    Individual annuity

    Life cover - underprovided UK

    Unrivalled capability

    Mortality and morbidity

    Asset / liability expertise

    Cutting edge risk science

    Combined understanding from Life,

    GI and Healthcare

    Market share H1 2009

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

    PMI

    Protection

    WP Annuities

    Annuities

    Source: ABI.

    Strong positions in key product sectors

    Protection Annuities

    Opportunity from our momentum in corporate

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    Opportunity from our momentum in corporate

    sector

    Drive profitable growth in the Corporate sector

    Proposition innovation, for example the Pension Tracker e-commerce capability

    Average scheme tender and secured case sizes up by at least 25%

    170 new GPP schemes secured in HY1 2009

    BPA foothold achieved, and solid relationships with 20-30 Employee Benefit

    Consultants

    Support of a global brand

    Full wind-down solutions

    Unrivalled combined capability of pensions, BPA and healthcare

    Opportunity from our distribution reach post RDR

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    Opportunity from our distribution reach post RDR

    Independents

    c. 10,000

    General Advisors10,000

    Banks, direct

    19,000

    IFA

    c. 21,000

    Tied / multi tied

    9,000

    Banks, direct15,000

    High net worth

    500k +

    Mass affluent

    100k 500k

    Middle market

    30k 100k

    Mass market

    0 30k

    Advisers Today Advisers 2013

    Provision gap

    We will shape our distribution portfolio for value and low cost of acquisition

    UK Life Strategy

    Commercial focus

    Leverage One-to-many

    channels

    Corporate

    Bulk acquisition (e.g. BPA)

    RBS JV

    Banks / building socsPost Office

    Other partners

    Grow in-house channel

    Our strategic focus

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    Our strategic focus

    5. Seize opportunity to become most recommended insurer

    4. Shape distribution portfolio for value & low cost acquisition

    3. Drive significant profitable growth in Corporate sector

    2. Drive significant profitable growth in our Risk business

    1. Capitalise on untapped value from existing customers

    Focussingon our

    distinctivecustomerheartland

    Global re-brand

    Distribution reach

    and flexibility

    All round

    proposition strength

    Unrivalled data and

    capability

    Scale of customer

    base opportunity

    We have clear strategic focus for 2010 - 2012

    UK General Insurance

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    UK General Insurance

    UK General insurance

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    UK General insurance

    Strategy

    There are 7 strategic priorities:

    Win the Customer

    Win the Broker

    Building Core Insurance Capability

    Claims Inflation Busting

    Delivering the Promise of Scale

    Lean Manufacturing

    Win our People

    Distribution

    H1 2009 Performance (UK GI only)

    General insurance operating profit of 247m

    General insurance COR of 99% (H1 2008: 98%) General insurance net written premiums (NWP) of

    2,049m (H1 2008: 2,589m), down 21%

    Distribution ratio improved to 34% (FY2008: 37%)

    including expense ratio of 11.7% (H1 2008: 12.8%),

    reflecting benefits from transformational programmes and

    actions undertaken to manage cost base

    Current position

    Operates in the mature UK market

    Aviva UKGI enjoys a 13% market share - the largest UKgeneral insurer

    Top one or two position in all our major classes

    Focus on insurance excellence

    Improving quality of earnings

    Diversified portfolio of products

    and distribution channels

    Commercial - Broker

    Commercial - Other

    Personal - Broker

    Personal - Partnership

    Personal - Direct

    RAC income stream

    UK General Insurance delivering transformational

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    MarketLeadership

    Drive up

    profitability

    Generate capital

    Insurance

    excellence

    Operational

    excellence

    UK General Insurance delivering transformational

    change

    A clear strategy focused around a number of key themes

    Reshaping our book to maximise our access to customers whilst delivering asustainable distribution ratio

    Transforming the operating model to deliver insurance excellence in the core

    areas of pricing, underwriting and claims handling

    All activity is underpinned by strict control of distribution and claims costs

    through delivering the promise of scale

    Developing an agenda for our people that supports and builds the Aviva brand

    from the inside out

    Tangible recent evidence of positive movement in rates Personal rating achieved in line with the market generally

    Achieved average premium increase of 6% in personal motor in HY 2009 Achieved average premium increase of 5% in homeowner in HY 2009

    Commercial rates continue to carry positive rate increases

    Overall rate increase in HY 2009 of 5%

    Current economic climate may be catalyst for market to harden

    Insurance Excellence in UK GI: 'Focus on Profit'

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    Personal Lines Marketplace

    - High unemployment levels and pressure on consumer finances drives price sensitivity and switching behaviour

    - Motor insurance purchase and research via aggregators now well established; beginning to grow in household

    We have a clear strategy- Repositioning Direct away from aggregators to provide direct customers with our best price

    - RAC panel launched to serve customers who wish to select their insurer through a trusted provider

    - Supporting independent brokers

    - Broker network established

    - Delivering Fast Trade trading platform directly into 3,000 of their offices

    - Partnerships where the partner has a unique moment of truth

    - Executing pricing sophistication

    Commercial Lines Marketplace

    - Business failures, shrinkage and restricted access to credit has subdued demand

    - Broker consolidation has slowed; rates rising slowly

    We have a clear strategy- Independent brokers are our distribution, leveraging UK underwriting footprint

    - Focus on transactional excellence

    - War for distribution

    Summary our business

    Insurance Excellence in UK GI: 'Focus on Profit'

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    The UK market leader

    Source: Datamonitor

    RSA

    6.6%

    Zurich

    5.5%Nat Farmers

    2.2%

    BUPA

    3.8%

    Allianz

    3.8%

    Lloyds BG

    4.4%AIG

    3.0%

    AXA

    7.1%

    Aviva

    12.9%

    RBSI

    11.4%

    Rest of market

    39.3%

    Consolidated market top 7 insurers haveover 50% market share

    Aviva is the largest P&C insurer in UK

    Top 1 or 2 position in all our major classes

    Unique business model

    - Balanced mix of personal andcommercial

    - Multi-distribution

    - Powerful brands

    Consistently delivering performance- 99% or better COR since 2003

    1

    - 4.4bn operating profit over last 6 years

    (1) Excludes impact of 2007 summer floods

    UK GI Market Share 2008

    Insurance Excellence in UK GI: 'Focus on Profit'

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    Unparalleled customer reach

    DIRECT BROKERS PARTNERS

    #1 in the SME market

    Insurer of the year2003 to 2008

    over 100 others

    Powerful brands

    3,000

    brokers

    RAC - Best roadsideassistance provider 2006 to

    2008

    Insurance Excellence in UK GI: 'Focus on Profit'

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    Delivering the Promise of Scale

    Halve IT costs On track for 350m committed cost

    savings

    Lean Manufacturing

    Mass customisation Service & process centre reengineering

    Win the Customer

    UKDI fightback

    RAC membership Partnerships moments of truth

    Win the Broker

    War for distribution

    Building Core Insurance Capability

    Sophisticated pricing Rating leadership Price & product optimisation

    Claims Inflation Busting

    Sustainable benefits year on year

    Win our People

    No1 for employees Build core insurance skills Pride & passion for insurance

    UK GIs 7 strategic priorities

    Insurance Excellence in UK GI: 'Focus on Profit'

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    Reshaping the book

    PERSONALLINES Multichannelapproach

    Directmeansdirect

    RACPanelforaggregators

    Regrowwithbrokers

    Pricecompetitivesophisticatedpricing

    COMMERCIALLINES Growsmall/medium

    independentbrokers

    Reducecommissionsignificantly

    Maintainpricingdiscipline

    RetainInsureroftheYear for7th year

    Sustainable growth andsustainable distribution cost

    Profitable & growingmedium sized brokers

    Unique package

    Increase marketshare

    With Mass Customisation we can point everyone to the same engine and each "partner"

    will get the correct product and price.

    Direct is Direct

    Leverage Membership Panels/ Aggregators

    Partners: Moments of Truth

    Personal Lines: A Crystal-Clear Strategy

    3rd Party Data

    All web applicationsare built on theNUD in a Boxstandard

    All partner integrationis provided usingNUD in a Pipe

    WebApplication

    IntegratedPartner

    Application3rd Party Data

    AvivaWeb

    CallCentreScreens

    PolicyAdministration Real-time

    Pricing

    PartnerIntegration

    PartnerWebs

    RAC Panel

    Store QTE

    DataFeedsPrice

    RiskBrokerWebs

    Small Brokers & National Accounts

    BrokerIntegration

    Quote

    MI

    MTA

    NB

    Brokers e-platform

    Platinum CoverGold CoverValue CoverBuildings &ContentsSumsInsuredSpecified InnerLimits

    Frozen Food

    Blanket

    Higher

    InnerLi

    mit

    Unlimited

    Blanket

    Blanket

    HigherInne

    rLimi

    t

    LowInne

    rLimi

    t

    400 Limit

    200 Limit

    Loss ofrent and a

    12,000 Limit

    6,000 Limit

    Unlimited

    1,000 1,000

    Single ProductPlatform

    Single Process

    One Price List

    Common

    Pricing/Products

    Financial strength &reassurance

    Truly global peer group

    Leveraged marketing

    Direct Fightback

    Direct is direct Sophisticated pricing

    Panel

    13 panel insurers 30-40% share

    Moments of Truth Profitable & growingsmaller brokers

    Unique package

    Increase marketshare

    Fast Trade e-broking portal

    Straight throprocessing

    Fast referrals

    ProductsPubs restaurants RAC

    RESCUE

    Manufacturing& wholesaling

    Shop & salon

    Property

    owners

    Self employed

    Officesurgery

    Insurance Excellence in UK GI: 'Focus on Profit'

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    Reshaping the book

    By 2011 our UKGI book will have changed

    Direct grows

    Brokers grow

    Partnerships fall

    RAC steady in Rescue but RAC panel growing significantly

    Motor grows

    Home falls Creditor falls

    Commercial lines grow

    Rightbalance of volume and profit

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    D li i th i f l

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    Delivering the promise of scale

    c900 Applications

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    Delivering the promise of scale

    Inflation

    C&E38m

    One-offs

    09 & 10Inflation

    One-offs

    Phase 2

    Cost

    150m

    Phase1 Cost

    Reduction

    2007 20102008 FY

    Phase 2 Target: 150m

    Operations IT

    2008 HY

    Phase1 Cost

    ReductionPhase2 Cost

    150m

    Reduction

    Phase 1 Target : 200m Sales & Marketing IT Support Services Change

    Full year 2008 ratio of 12.1% achieved

    Remaining phase 2 savings ahead of target

    Progress ahead of what was promised in October 2008

    Insurance Excellence in UK GI: 'Focus on Profit'

    S

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    Reshaping the book

    Focus on profit

    Sustainable distribution ratio

    Building core insurance capability

    Sophisticated pricing

    Focus on transactional excellence

    Cleanse the book of poor performing business

    Inflation busting

    Expect rating in line with market at or above inflation

    Delivering the promise of scale 265m cost savings delivered in 2008

    Expense ratio reduced to 12.1% in 2008

    Ahead of target for remaining committed cost savings

    Summary

    Europe

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    Europe in context

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    General Insurance

    Long Term savings

    Composite

    Significant part of the Aviva group

    Strong historic foundations

    Unique opportunity to establish a leadership position

    Clear execution strategies are already beginning to make a difference

    Poised to make a Quantum Leap

    Long-term savingssales

    GI and Health sales IFRS Operatingprofit

    HY1 2009 for long-term savings sales (present value of new business premiums and investment sales), GI and health sales (net

    written premiums) and IFRS operating profit (before group debt and interest costs)

    DL

    11%

    DL14%

    DL14%

    UK26%

    UK

    47%

    Europe Europe Europe

    50% 35% 44%

    Other

    regions

    24%

    Other

    regions 18%

    UK

    44%

    Other

    regions 12%

    Europe: Aviva is uniquely positioned

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    Developed markets

    Source: AXCO

    High potentialmarkets

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000

    GDP per Capita (PPP) ()

    LifeIn

    surancePenetration(GW

    P/GDP)%

    IrelandFrance

    Italy

    SpainPoland

    Czech Rep

    Hungary

    Romania

    Turke y Russia

    Belgium

    Netherlands

    Germany

    Lithuania

    Slovakia

    Market bubble sizeproportionate to premiums

    In different stages of development

    Strengths in 15 markets

    Covering 80% of GDP and premium

    Europe: Aviva is uniquely positioned

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    Capabilities across all product

    lines and distribution channels

    In different stages of development

    Strengths in 15 markets

    Covering 80% of GDP and premium

    With an enviable competitivefootprint

    Source: CEA, 2009

    Life Distribution Models

    Aviva Europe

    Single operating model

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    Single operating model

    Markets focused on distribution with a

    strong centralised support

    Synergies in IT, operations, customer

    service with pan European sharing of

    services

    Centralisation of production, keeping

    strong radar for each market/segment

    State of the art governance

    Customer management

    & Marketing

    Governance

    IT,Operation

    s&SharedService

    sDistribution

    Product

    In markets

    Pooled

    Aviva Europe

    Bancassurance

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    One single business model & governance across

    Europe (moved away from Federal structure)

    Rapid model to market Aviva in a box concept

    Exploiting huge mix opportunities to strengthen

    margins grow protection by 30%

    Significant growth opportunities, through existing

    partners at marginal cost

    Innovative shared service platform established in Spain

    Strong and successful track record in bancassurance

    across Europe

    Leading the market, leveraging existing

    relationships into GI and other product areas

    to triple GI contribution

    46 quality partners across Europe

    (17 JVs & 29 distribution agreements)

    Mutually compelling business model with robustexit clauses

    Strong margins, double the Aviva Group average

    Proven expertise

    Pan-European model drivescost reduction

    Strengthened marginsthrough optimised mix

    Strong organic growthat marginal cost

    Extending product reachto grow profits

    Bancassurance

    Yesterday Simplify & Innovate Tomorrow

    No. 1 bancassurer in Europe Common channel approach

    with specific partner offerings

    Leveraging uniquebancassurance model

    (already existing in Spain)

    Optimal product mix

    Undisputed leading partner of choice

    Cost per policy significantly reduced through

    roll-out of shared platform

    But, in common with our competitors:

    Federal model

    Focused on Life Insurance

    Aviva Europe

    Retail

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    Centralised sales services functionsCommon tools and methods (one front end,

    product bundling, dynamic pricing, remuneration

    system, etc.)

    Targeting a 30% increase in sales force productivity

    and 10% improvement in customer retention

    Single retail operating model with

    Customer retention centre of excellence

    (implemented):

    Top 5 life retail market shares in Ireland, France,

    Poland, Lithuania, Turkey, Romania and Russia

    Large and profitable life back-book generating

    two-thirds of European Life IFRS OP

    Strong sales capacity:

    Strong presence,highly profitable

    franchise

    Improved customerprofitability & retention

    Stronger performancemanagement and better

    capital allocation

    Lower network costs

    Retail

    Yesterday Simplify & Innovate Tomorrow

    A significant platform to build from: 9 million customers

    18,000 financial advisors

    (of which 10,000 in own networks)

    12 European markets

    7bn life sales (PVNBP)

    2.5bn GI sales

    Strong and profitable GI business

    One European distribution

    organisation unit run as a profit

    centre

    Selling all product lines

    Using the same methods

    and tools

    Managed in a consistent

    manner

    Integrated channel management (implemented):

    Central retail function for Europe

    Single ownership of retail channel in all marketsRetail P&L

    Performance review process & benchmarking

    (implemented):

    Aviva Europe

    Shared services a lever of Operational Excellence

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    1 core platform common IT architecture and systems

    3 datacentres in 2 markets (minimum for resilience)

    1pan-European network (data & voice) and 1 intranet

    Common chart of accounts

    Common HR system and process

    Single portfolio of change (implemented)

    Centralised procurement and supplier management

    (implemented) Disparate change to portfolio management

    Rationalised document management, reducing costs and

    ensuring consistency

    Leveraging best practice to drive down cost of GI claims

    Inconsistent approach to purchasing spend

    12 new business and 15 claims processes

    Multiple localised IT processes and systems:

    Lower unit costs andIncreased efficiency

    Improved customer &distributor satisfaction

    and advocacy

    Doing it once and keepingit simple. Future growth at

    lower incremental cost

    Superior, sustainableperformance

    Shared services a lever of Operational Excellence

    Yesterday Simplify & Innovate Tomorrow

    12 IT, HR, Customer Services and Finance

    organisations

    Running efficiently managed as markets

    Best of breed processes within-market

    67 core systems in 12 markets

    20 datacentres in 12 markets

    12 telephony platforms and 29 intranets

    Paper-based workflow, many handoffs and

    workarounds

    Simplify organisation,

    processes & systems

    Innovative core platformtechnology

    Leveraging best practice

    Shared services centres single pan-European IT, HR,

    Customer Services and Finance functions:

    Concentrating on scale, synergies and efficiency

    Best of breed rolled out to all markets

    Streamlined and effective IT:

    12 general ledgers on different technology

    platforms and 12 local GAAPs

    Multiple HR administration systems

    Aviva Europe

    Governance, Capital & Risk Management

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    Varied approach to reinsurance purchasingReinforce risk as second line of defence

    Simplified product design

    Increased ease and speed to market

    Delivered pan-European product catalogue focussed

    on customer needs

    Centralised reinsurance purchasing

    Capital allocated on basis of a single business

    Capital allocated to individual markets

    Risk management focused on individual

    markets

    Over 1000 active products

    , p g

    Yesterday Simplify & Innovate Tomorrow

    Organised on legally distinct subsidiary basis Reinforces separate nature of individual

    business

    Supported by multiple systems

    Separate product development in markets

    Governance focused on individual markets

    Simplify legal entity structure

    and product offering

    Strengthen governance

    and risk framework

    Centralise investment

    management

    Single holding companyLegal and management structures aligned to One Europe

    Efficient access to new markets

    Tax and capital efficiency

    Established centres of excellence with strengthened

    governance on product design

    Effective cash flow management across Europe

    Over 110bn funds under management Separate relationships with investment

    managers

    Over 70% of funds managed by

    Aviva Investors

    Gearing up to meet Solvency II

    Improved risk management across Europe

    Tax and capitalefficient

    Product improvements driveretention and satisfaction

    Pan-European risk andcapital management

    Improved productperformance and margins

    Increased Aviva Investor share of funds managed

    Improved product performance

    France

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    Strategy

    Reshape our portfolio with more profitable unit-linked

    products

    Life: build innovative and comprehensive product offeringbased on best advice at point of sale

    Ongoing focus on efficiency to leverage the cost base

    GI: To increase profitability and expansion of the agent

    network through cross selling opportunities

    Distribution

    HY 2009 Performance

    Total PVNBP sales of 2.4bn (HY08: 2.1bn)

    Value of new business (Gross) of 72m

    Value of n ew business margin of 3.0% (HY08: 3.4%)

    reflecting sales mix

    Life MCEV operating return up to 377m (HY08: 241m)

    Life IFRS operating profit of 122m (HY08: 145m)

    GI and Health operating profit of 36m (HY08: 30m)

    despite French storms

    Improvement in GI only COR of 95.8% (HY08: 96.2%)despite storms which were partly offset by reserve margin

    releases

    Current position

    Life: top 10 position in the market (5% market share)

    Life: multi-channel distribution selling comprehensive

    range of savings, pensions, protection & investmentproducts

    Life: strong partnership with the AFER Association

    Life: Bancassurance partnership with Crdit du Nord

    GI: 2.3% market share, personal, small commercial &

    health through tied agents and direct channels

    H Y 2009 PVN BP

    AFER

    49%

    CreditduNord

    27%

    OtherAviva

    20%

    Protection

    4%

    Ireland

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    Investor presentation December 2009 81

    Strategy

    Completing the rebrand from Hibernian to Aviva, and

    leveraging on improvement in brand awareness

    Optimise our sales volumes consistent with our focus on

    prudent capital management and seeking the greatest

    returns on capital

    Health: grow the health business to triple membership

    GI: continue to develop our internet presence to ensure our

    distribution remains a competitive advantage

    Increase operational efficiencies and reduce costs as a

    platform for profitable growth

    Distribution

    HY 2009 Performance

    Sales (PVNBP basis) down 39% to 0.4bn consistent with

    the market (down 40% on APE basis) due to reduced

    demand for unit-linked products, as customers deterred by

    volatile equity markets. Life MCEV operating profit down 55% to 18m (HY08:

    40m) reflecting lower VNB and lower expected returns on

    existing business

    Life IFRS operating profit stable at 29m (HY08: 28m)

    GI COR of 94% (HY08: 98%) due to lower claims

    frequency and lower number of large claims. Health contributed 23m NWP

    Current position

    Largest composite insurer in Ireland

    Combined Hibernian/Ark business ranks 4th in life &

    pensions market with 14% share, 1st in GI with 16% share

    and 3rd in Health with 10% share following the acquisition ofVIVAS in 2008 (up from 8% at FY 08)

    Competitive market in GI with some competitors pricing for

    volume

    Life: broad product range with new funds launched in 2009

    Hibernian Aviva Health is the fastest growing healthcare

    insurer in Ireland and increased the number of newmembers by more than 40% to 222,000 at HY 09 (HY 08:

    156,856), outperforming competitors.

    -46%

    -30%

    Distribution analysis of PVNBP

    BrokerBroker

    Bank

    Bank

    -

    250

    500

    750

    2008 2009

    PVNBPm

    Italy

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    Investor presentation December 2009 82

    Strategy

    Optimise our sales volumes consistent with our focus on

    prudent capital management and seeking the greatest returns

    on capital Increase protection business in Life and GI

    Continue to develop agent and independent financial advisor

    network

    Leverage strong bancassurance relationships and heighten

    brand awareness to increase penetration with existing

    partners to continue growth

    Distribution

    Strong contribution of Aviva Assicurazioni Vita Spa since

    acquisition through Unione de Banche

    Banca Marche deal expired at the end of May 2009 and

    will not be renewed

    HY 2009 Performance

    Outperformed both Life and GI market, whilst improving margin and

    COR demonstrating value of bancassurance model

    PVNBP sales up 68% to 2.2bn reflecting customer demand for

    products with guaranteed return in current economic climate,

    Value of new business margin of 3.7% (HY08: 2.7%) reflecting a

    focus on the more profitable credit protection business

    Life MCEV operating return of 120m (HY08: 101m) reflecting

    improved VNB

    Life IFRS operating profit of 37m (HY08: 37m)

    Continued growth in GI NWP reflecting new bancassurance

    agreement with Banco Popolare

    Current position

    Top 10 position in the market

    Strong bancassurance presence underpinned by Aviva

    Assicurazioni Vita (formally UBI Vita) acquired in June2008, which contributed sales of 359 million at HY 09

    Growing agent and independent financial advisor network

    Brand awareness up 7% to 16% at HY09 (HY08: 9%)

    HY 2009 PVNBP m

    0 400 800 1200 1600

    Other

    UniCredit

    Unione de Banche

    Banca M arche

    Banco Popolare

    Spain

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    Investor presentation December 2009 83

    Current position Top 5 position in the market with 7% market share

    Market leading bancassurance distribution through a

    unique and innovative shared service platform -enabling organic growth through existing partners at

    marginal cost

    Major protection provider, resulting in strong new

    business margin

    Half Year 2009 PVNBP m

    0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

    Non bancassurance

    Caja Murcia

    Caja de Granada

    Caja Espana

    Unicaja

    Caixa Galicia

    Bancaja

    HY 2009 Performance

    HY09 performance negatively impacted by the current

    unfavourable economic climate

    HY08 included one-off impacts of the Caja Murcia risk

    portfolio transfer and regular premium pension transfer PVNBP sales of 1.2bn (HY08: 1.3bn). Excluding Caja

    Murcia one-off impacts, HY08 was 1.1bn

    Value of new business (gross tax/post CoC) of 78m

    (HY08: 116m), with a margin of 6.3% (HY08: 9.0%).

    Excluding Caja Murcia risk one offs, the margin at HY08

    was 7.2%.

    Life MCEV operating return of 154m (HY08: 173m).Excluding Caja Murcia one-offs, HY08 was 139m

    IFRS operating profit of 71m (HY08: 74m)

    Distribution

    Primarily through bancassurance network giving

    nationwide distribution

    Strategy

    Maintain top 5 position

    Further develop bancassurance relationships and

    continue to develop agent and broker business Focus on customer retention with aim to improve lapse

    experience

    Develop and launch new products with a focus on high

    margin and the preservation of capital

    Leveraging new shared service centre to create

    sustainable efficiencies

    Poland

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    Investor presentation December 2009 84

    Strategy

    Maintain a market leading positions in life and pension

    markets

    Refocusing sales force on protection and unit linked

    products following pension legislation change

    Leverage the joint venture with Bank Zachodni WBK*

    Re-brand to Aviva commenced in first half with new

    interim name CU Aviva.

    Grow GI business through direct motor launch and new

    JV with BZ WBK.

    *Launched in 2008 through a network of 400 branches with 1.4m potential new

    customers

    Distribution

    Strong direct sales force of over 3,300 agents

    Opportunities to develop sales through bancassurance

    partner Bank Zachodni WBK

    Group business distributed through specialist sales team

    HY 2009 Performance

    Life and pensions sales have declined to 0.6bn (HY08:

    1.0bn) reflecting high bancassurance sales in 2008.

    Value of new business (gross) of 27m

    Value of new business margin (gross) of 4.9% (HY08:

    3.3%) due to change in business mix

    Life MCEV operating earnings down to 92m (HY08:

    114m) reflecting lower expected return and value of

    new business.

    Life IFRS operating profit of 72m (HY08: 76m)

    Current position

    Leading long-term savings business since 1992

    Largest pension provider in Poland representing a 25%

    market share

    Strong presence in Poland underpinned by more than

    3.5 million customers

    Re-brand to Aviva scheduled for the end of 2009,

    currently trading as Aviva Commercial Union

    Anticipated regulatory change will significantly reduce

    caps of fees of large pension provides. This impact has

    been taken into account prudently within the MCEV

    Distribution analysis of PVNBP

    RetailRetail

    Bank

    Bank

    -

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    2008 2009

    PVNBPm

    Delta Lloyd

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    Strategy

    Delta Lloyds local listing will enable it to take advantage of

    opportunities locally as the market consolidates

    Reputation built on Delta Lloyds strong financial position

    and management of financial risks, avoiding reliance on

    state/shareholder support Achievement of efficiency gains in 2009 and 2010 will

    enable DL to be profitable in its competitive market

    Strategic solution for Germany is being considered

    Distribution

    HY 2009 Performance

    PVNBP life and pensions sales lower at 1.8bn (HY08:

    2.1bn which included substantial group pensions

    contracts).

    Value of new business (gross) worsened to 34m loss(HY08: 29 million loss)

    Life MCEV operating return of 329m (HY08: 35m)

    IFRS life operating profit higher at 148m (HY08: 134m)

    GI operating profit of 59m with COR of 97%

    Current position

    Top 5 position in the Netherlands and Belgium for Life new

    business; also operations in Germany

    Top 5 position in the Netherlands for GI

    Multi-channel, multi-label distribution sellingcomprehensive range of long-term savings and general

    insurance

    ABN AMRO joint venture to continue with expansion to

    cover Fortis network

    Disposal of health insurance operations on 1 Jan 2009,

    while providing future cross-selling opportunities

    0 250 500 750 1000

    Belgium

    Germany

    ABN AMRO (bancassurance)

    OHRA (direct)

    Delta Lloyd Life (intermediary)

    General Insurance

    HY 2009 Life PVNBP & GI GWP m

    North America, Asia Pacific and

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    Aviva Investors

    Aviva North America

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    North America - focus on greater capital efficiency

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    Profitable growth

    Optimise

    business mix,growth & margin

    Diversify

    distribution and

    products

    Generate net

    capital returns

    Sustainable footprint in the US having doubled scale in 2008, a year

    ahead of target

    Meeting US customer needs with increased annuity guarantees and

    unique wellness features in Life products

    #1 in indexed life insurance and fixed indexed annuities in the US

    #2 in general insurance in Canada

    Enhance profitability

    Focus on higher margin products

    Heightened focus on capital efficiency by moderating pace of growth inindexed annuities in the US

    Aim to maintain market leading position

    North AmericaH1 2009 Performance

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    Doubled scale in 2008, 1 year aheadof target

    Q2 2009 sales reflect managementactions taken to moderate annuitysales including re-pricing, commissioncuts and production limits

    Life insurance sales remain resilientwhile rest of the life market has seensignificant drop

    No funding agreements in H109 so to

    use capital to support annuity sales

    US Life Volume PVNBP Canadian GI Volume - NWP

    Good top line growth fromincreasing commercial lines

    market share Undertaken significant changes

    to improve operational efficiency,reduce costs and improveservice

    Delivered a combined operatingratio of 97%, ahead of the group

    target

    millions

    Steady operating profit despite

    unprecedented economic

    turmoil

    GI profits reflect improvement

    in underwriting results

    Life profits impacted by market

    conditions

    IFRS Operating Profit

    -

    250

    500

    750

    1,000

    H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2009

    *

    -

    50

    100

    H1 2008 H1 2009

    US Life Canada GI

    CAGR 4% *

    millions

    millions

    -

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    Q1

    2008

    Q2

    2008

    Q3

    2008

    Q4

    2008

    Q1

    2009

    Q2

    2009

    Annuities Life Funding agreements * on a local currency basis

    North America2009 Priorities

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    Focus on profitability, productivity and capital efficiency

    Optimise business mix and margins Diversify distribution and products

    Enhance margins and increase new business return on capital

    Focus on capital efficiency

    Leverage product and distribution strengths to capture life

    insurance market share and manage annuity relationships

    Excel in underwriting and enhance profitability

    Diversify by product and geography

    Generate net capital returns

    North

    AmericaRegion

    AvivaUSA

    Aviva

    Canada

    USA

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    Investor presentation December 2009 91

    Current position

    Doubled sales within two years of acquisition of formerAmerUs business and one year ahead of target

    Aviva USA became the first provider ever to

    simultaneously hold the #1 spot for sales of indexed lifeand indexed annuities

    Retained #1 position in both markets for 3 consecutivequarters

    Over 1500 employees supporting customers in 50 states

    19% growth in customer account value

    H1 2009 Performance

    Financial performance affected by economic turmoil

    Sales reflect consumer demand for products with

    guarantees backed by a financially strong provider

    MCEV operating profit increased to 120m (H1 2008:

    74m)

    IFRS operating profit of 24m

    Strong AM Best ratings attractive to customers and

    distributors

    Distribution

    Highly effective distribution network

    Leverage proprietary product distribution relationships to

    optimize agent productivity and sales

    Focus on expanding Life sales through substantial

    Brokerage General Agent organisations Launched Wealthstar Alliance, an advanced markets

    channel focused on life sales primarily through CertifiedPublic Accountants (CPAs) to diversify distribution

    Strategy

    Maintain a strong position in indexed life and annuitymarkets

    Improve annuity margins

    Diversify product revenue and enhance margins by

    growing life insurance business Capitalise on growing savings and retirement

    demographics

    Leverage Avivas scale, strength, brand and globalcapabilities to exploit opportunities

    Prepare for 151A and diversification into registereddistribution channels

    Canada

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    Current position

    Canadas 2nd largest GI provider, with 9% market share

    Balanced portfolio of personal, commercial and specialty

    lines

    Top 5 position in all major provincial markets

    Strong specialty niche products & distribution

    Market leading claims service innovation - first insurer in

    the world to receive accreditation from the Commission on

    Accreditation for Rehabilitation Facilities

    Award winning internal training programs

    Innovative products and customer solutions

    3 million customers

    Over 3,000 employees with a nationwide presence

    H1 2009 Performance

    Strong financial performance in H1 2009

    NWP increased by 15% to 889m (4% increase on a local

    currency basis)

    COR improved to 97% (H1 2008: 98%) due to actions toreduce commissions and expense levels

    Operating profit up to 87m (H1 2008: 76m) reflecting

    increased sales volumes and improvement in underwriting.

    Distribution

    Strong independent broker relationships

    Broad distribution through 3,000 broker partners from

    coast to coast

    Largest broker-distributed group insurance provider in

    Canada

    Secured specialty niche partnerships with leading specialty

    brokers

    Strategy

    Optimise a diversified portfolio by product line and

    geography channel across the insurance cycle

    Deliver underwriting excellence to outperform the industry

    Leverage scale economies through common

    infrastructure, automation and centralised core functions

    Enhance profitability

    Build differentiated brand through innovative, customer

    centric insurance solutions and service

    Aviva Asia Pacific

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    Asia Pacific Remains an attractive growth region

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    Investor presentation December 2009 94Investor presentation November 2009 94

    Growth, Value

    Prioritised Portfolio

    Must Win markets Developing BUs

    Regional OperatingModel

    Grow the

    Business

    Manage the

    Business

    Profitably

    Support the

    Business

    ImproveGovernance and

    Control

    Asia-Pacific not immune to economic crisis Life and pension sales down 22% as customers remained cautious about investing

    in unit-linked savings products Lower investment sales reflected investor caution in volatile markets

    Asia Pacific remains an attractive growth region Insurance market growth expectations remain positive in key markets (0~5% in

    China for H2 09; 10-15% in India for 09-10).

    Asias economies to grow at 3.9% in 2009 and 6.4% in 20101

    Fundamentals strong with growing middle class and ageing population

    Increasing customer demand for protection & health products

    Sales have increased in the third quarter vs 2Q in most countries across the region

    Strategic focus in 2009/2010 Continued focus on capital preservation, expense management and customer

    retention leading to improved product profitability. Getting ready for market recovery in 2010. China: Continued growth, leveraging presence in 10 provinces and 40 city branches

    India: Improve agent productivity and adapt product mix to respond to change in

    customer needs

    Korea: Build on growth momentum and improve product profitability

    Singapore & Hong Kong: Profitable growth led by bank channel recovery.

    Taiwan and Malaysia: Leverage bank partners distribution power

    1 Source: Asian Development Bank (22 September 2009)

    Aviva Asia PacificFootprint at a glance

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    Investor presentation December 2009 95Investor presentation November 2009 95

    Developing BUs

    Must Win markets

    MalaysiaJV: 49:51

    with CIMB

    CIMB Aviva Life & Takaful,

    90% Life, 10% GI

    Taiwan

    JV: 49:51

    with First Group

    First-Aviva, 100% Life

    South Korea

    JV: 47:53 with Woori

    Woori Aviva 100% Life

    Sri Lanka

    51% Aviva owned subsidiary

    Eagle

    70% Life: 30% GI

    Singapore

    100% Aviva owned

    Life, Navigator, Health

    Hong Kong

    100% Aviva owned

    Life, Navigator (w.e.f 16 June

    2009)

    Building success in Asia Pacific

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    Investor presentation December 2009 96Investor presentation November 2009 96

    Ambition to build a high growth and value creating region driven primarily by

    Must Win markets of China and India

    Prioritised portfolio Must Win markets: Achieve leading position in

    China & India. Developing BUs: Bancassurance-led; balance

    growth and profit

    Regional operating model Grow the business organically (e.g. roll-out of

    Navigator and GI direct model) and inorganically

    (new market entries).

    Manage the business profitably through costefficient Shared Services, profitable regional

    propositions and increased customer persistency.

    Support the business by increasing talent bench

    strength, promoting the Aviva brand and creating a

    customer centric organisation.

    Improve governance and control by implementingglobal best practice in risk management and

    financial/actuarial functions.

    Strategic focus Competitive advantage

    Bancassurance expertise

    More than 50 bancassurance partners in region

    Share best practice across region

    Leverage growth potential in developing

    markets

    Strong regional and local management team

    Strong presence in must-win markets

    Regional Operating Model

    Costs savings and efficiency

    Share skills and services across region

    Leading wrap platform roll out in AsiaPacific

    Must Win Markets

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    Investor presentation December 2009 97Investor presentation November 2009 97* source: China Insurance Regulatory Commission; ** source: Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority

    China

    Aviva-COFCO Life Insurance (50% Aviva share) launched on 1 January 2003.

    No.4 in terms of total premium income among foreign players (15 th among all insurers) as at end of September 2009*.

    Multi distribution strategy: direct sales force, agencies, brokers, telemarketing and banks.

    13 non-exclusive bancassurance partners (national and local).

    Presence in 10 provinces/municipal cities with 40 city branches.

    Ambition to become a top 10 player (local & foreign).

    3Q09 underlying sales are lower arising from current market volatility coupled with lower future premium expected due

    to policyholders exercising premium holiday options.

    Key strategies in 2010

    Target High End market as core customer cluster; Improving control on channels; Optimize cost and efficiency through

    centralised shared services platforms; Implement localization and development of talent; Establish professional

    investment management capability.

    India

    JV partnership (26% Aviva share) with Dabur Group launched in June 2002.

    Ranked 11th among the private players in the market on FYP basis as at end of August 2009**.

    Multi distribution: 33 bancassurance partners, c.29,000 tied agents and alternative channels (incl. Telemarketing). 3Q09 sales substantially lower than PY primarily due to loss of major bancassurance partners in 2008 (via takeover) and

    the impact of negative investor sentiment on unit linked sales.

    Key strategies in 2010

    Agency expansion in selective high potential locations to maximise opportunities; Enhance agent/ sales manager

    productivity, aiming to maximize sales resource and effectively utilise existing infrastructure; Improve persistency; Improve

    the Business Model with particular emphasis on cost optimisation.

    Developing BUs

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    Investor presentation December 2009 98Investor presentation November 2009 98

    Singapore DBS partnership deal extended to 2015. Introducing Insurance Specialists model in DBS branches.

    Sales significantly impacted mainly due to market issues with bank channel sales arising from bank sales of Lehman bonds.

    Ranked 5th in Singapore on APE basis as at Q2 20091

    Hong Kong DBS partnership deal extended to 2015. Introducing Insurance Specialists model in DBS branches.

    Lower Q3 sales due to capital conservation strategy and bank channel sales impact of Lehman Bonds issue.

    Substantial increase of volumes through our successful partnership with Woori Bank.

    Korea to continue its aggressive multi-distribution expansion.

    South Korea

    Malaysia We have considerably improved our propositions and customer services by leveraging our regional shared servicesplatform.

    Life sales decreased largely due to the decision not to launch low margin tranche products through CIMB to preserve

    capital.

    Ranked 7th in Malaysia with 6.5% market share in terms of total new premiums as at Q2 2009 2.

    Taiwan Significant decrease in volumes due to our decision to change strategy to focus on profitable products.

    Our strategy is to improve our penetration of First Banks large customer base (over 5 million).

    We signed a distribution agreement with LOLC, a local leader in the leasing sector, increasing our motor business by c.

    50%

    We are implementing significant measures to reduce lapses and COR.

    Sales are adverse mainly due to weak consumer sentiment driven by market volatility in the first part of the year.

    Sri Lanka

    1. source: Life Insurance Association, Singapore; 2. source: Life Insurance Association, Malaysia;

    Aviva Investors

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    Aviva Investors executing the strategy

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    Aviva Investors

    Globally

    integrated

    business

    Transform the

    investment

    model

    Increase third

    party business

    Significant progress towards developing a global asset

    management business

    Launched in September 2008, 222bn funds under management at

    30 June 2009 and ranked top 20 institutional investor globally

    Net new business flows of 3bn in first half of 2009, with 2bn fromthird party clients

    Cross border sales gaining traction notably Global High Yield fund(Europe, UK and Taiwan) and Absolute Tactical Asset Allocation

    (Europe and UK, entering US).

    Building global ways of working - global credit research built andbeing used by over 130 investment professionals

    Aviva Investors today

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    Investor presentation December 2009 101

    North America

    12.8%

    AUM by geography AUM by asset class

    Data as of 30 June 2009

    222 billion in assets under management

    Australia 1.7%

    France

    27.6%

    Ireland 3.4%

    Poland 1.1%

    Spain 0.4%

    UK 53.0%

    Fixed income

    55.2%

    Equities

    19.9%

    Real estate

    9.8%

    Cash 10.7%

    Other 4.4%

    Internal 84.6%

    Institutional

    10.8%

    Intermediary 4.6%

    AUM by client

    Aviva Investors today

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    Investor presentation December 2009 102

    3.4%5.0%

    5.0%

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    FY 2008 H1 2008 H1 2009

    Aviva Group* Aviva Investors

    Profits

    inmillions

    Proportion of Aviva Investorsto Group IFRS operating profits

    222235236AUM bn

    11.6

    71%

    114

    1

    14

    35

    64

    FY

    2008

    1520Europe

    1210.9Cost: AUM bps

    79%65%Cost: income ratio

    (1)-Asia

    813North America

    1428UK

    Aviva Investors

    3661Total

    H1

    2009

    H1

    2008Operating profit m

    Operating profits of 36m reflects lower investment markets

    * Excluding Aviva Investors

    Business structured to meet client needs

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    Investor presentation December 2009 103

    Positioned for growth

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    Investor presentation December 2009 104

    Achieved to date:

    Third party and cross border sales progress made in cross border sales

    Investment performance - improving, with more work to do

    Continuing to transform and integrate the global business

    Attracting talent to lead a high performance organisation

    Contacts

  • 8/7/2019 Aviva UK: Investor Update Dece