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Bolton Locality Plan
High Level Implementation Plan
Version 1
1 April 2016
Contents
Content Page
1. Strategic Context 3 - 8
2. Target outcomes for 2020 9 - 11
3. Key priorities for delivery by April 2016 12 14
4. Overview of workstreams and delivery 15 16
5. Governance framework, including responsibilities for delivery 17
6. Workstream and detailed activity plan 18 - 30
7. Enablers of change 31 34
8. Financial plan 35 36
9. Timeline for implementation 37 39
10. Communications and engagement schedule 40
2
1. Strategic Context
The Bolton Locality Plan sits within the context of the Greater Manchester Devolution Programme which is aimed at driving the biggest and
fastest improvement to the overall health and wellbeing of the GM population by the end of 2020.
For Bolton, this plan sits within the GM context, but focusses on the elements which will be delivered locally, by all partners working
together to deliver significant transformation change. It makes reference to the elements which will be delivered through the North West
Acute Sector programme (under Healthier Together) and to the work programmes which are being developed and delivered on a GM
footprint.
The Locality Plan sits under the Vision Strategy. The latter being the 20 year strategy for the whole system reform across Bolton, including
the Economic Strategy and Health and Wellbeing Strategy. The enabling workstreams (of IT, Estates, Workforce, Innovation and
Engagement/Communication) underpin all of the strategies, including the NW Sector and GM programmes.
The diagram shown on page 17 illustrates the current Bolton Vision Governance Structure and priorities up to 2016/17 and where the
Locality Plan currently sits. The strategy and governance arrangements are currently under review and will become Boltons Vision 2020
and will focus on people and place and growth and reform. The Health and Wellbeing Strategy is also currently under review to ensure it
is aligned to both the refreshed Vision Strategy and the Locality Plan.
The Financial Position
There is an identified gap of 162m across the whole health and care economy in Bolton by 2020. Individual organisation and joint plans for
cost improvement (through efficiency and effectiveness programmes, focus on improving quality and outcomes and vertical and horizontal
integration opportunities) can reduce this recurrent gap by 84m (to 78m). With the requested 20m for the protection of social care this
gap would reduce to 58m. However, the residual gap will require the whole system to reform which will only be possible with transitional
investment particularly in early intervention and prevention services as well as in the estate and IT infrastructure.
Population Health Improvement Programmes
To commission for services to effectively meet the needs of the population of Bolton, we have segmented the locality population (of
300,000) into four tiers.
The agreed strategy in the Locality Plan is to pump-prime the new delivery models which will enable the longer term shift in the proportion
of funding from unplanned hospital admissions and long term care placements (reactive care in Tier 1 predominantly) to proactive and
preventative care (Tier 2 for the neighbourhood working, Tier 3 for the medium term and specifically Tier 4 for the longer term)
3
4
1. Strategic context (cont.)
Tier 1 (2%): multiple Long Term Conditions, frail elderly individual Multi-disciplinary care plans
Tier 2 (10%): developing significant risks associated with Long Term Conditions or frailty - need early intervention and tertiary
prevention to prevent/delay progress of condition and for over 65s: to stay well
Tier 3 (20%): secondary prevention and early identification: targeted interventions for individuals and communities at risk
Tier 4 - System-wide interventions to improve health and wellbeing and prevent future ill-health (primary prevention)
The top tier comprises of 2% of the population (6,000 people) who have two or
more long term conditions, are the high risk frail elderly or those at the end of
their life. There has been significant investment already made into services to
support the individuals within this Tier, including:
Admissions Avoidance
Redesigned Intermediate care services (home and bed based)
Services to support the most vulnerable and complex dependency
The second tier is the population that has started to become ill or frail, but
currently not requiring significant health treatment and/or hospital admission
(and therefore will not necessarily have a risk stratification score) but are
eligible for social care services. These individuals need preventative
interventions to stop them moving into the top tier within the next few years
requiring higher levels of health and social care resources. This is estimated to
be about 10% of the population (30,000 people).
The third tier is population wide early identification and prevention with
targeted interventions for individuals for those at risk of poor health and
wellbeing (20% of the population: 60.000 people). This tier includes a large
proportion of the population who are at risk of long term conditions, for example
due to smoking or being physically inactive, or who may already have long
term conditions, such as hypertension, but dont yet have social care needs,
and may not be accessing health services beyond primary care. Future
demand on health and social care services could be prevented or delayed
through targeted prevention and early intervention with this population.
Tiers 2 and 3 are where transformation of existing services together with
additional funding is required to commission new and enhanced interventions to
be delivered at individual or on a wider scale. A business case covering all
elements of the transformation programmes is in development. At high level this
includes the following:
Secondary and tertiary prevention, focusing on the specific long term conditions
(and their risk factors) which are most prevalent across the locality: heart
disease, respiratory disease and diabetes - delivered through Integrated
Teams wrapped around general practice (on a neighbourhood basis)
including Health Improvement Practitioners, ANPs, district nurses, pharmacists,
mental health practitioners and MSK practitioners. This will include signposting
people to the right provision of support, including social prescribing with a
focus on emotional wellbeing and physical activity, to enable individuals to
develop their health skills and knowledge to build their capacity to manage their
own health and wellbeing including stopping smoking, reducing alcohol harm,
eating healthily and becoming physically active. This will include Increasing
dementia diagnosis and improving care, preventing falls, providing GP
care to the frail elderly and ensuring people aged over 65 retain their
independence for as long as possible through physical and mental activity and
reducing social isolation through participation in activities/groups within the
community (to be delivered though expansion of the Staying Well programme
based around GP Practices and full roll out of the Safe, Warm and Dry
initiative).
Population Health Improvement Programmes (cont.)
Putting in place new service delivery models (with investment 23.75m over 5 years) aimed at reducing demand on the system for those currently in
Tiers 1 and 2 now will start to pay back within 1 year and has been calculated to deliver savings of 26.545 over 5 years).
1. Strategic Context (cont.)
5
Key programmes of work targeted at the tier 3
population include:
Integrated Team model (also supporting Tier 2 as
set out above), who will also focus on:
Increasing uptake of screening, including cancer
screening programmes, focusing on populations with
low uptake rates
Increasing uptake of vaccinations specifically flu
and childhood immunisation
Critical to the successful delivery of the new
neighbourhood models of care is community
development, capacity building and engagement.
These are essential to improving the health of the
population and reducing health inequalities. We will
work with communities which face the poorest health
outcomes, using asset based community
development approaches to build resilience and
empower communities to play an active role in
improving their own health and wellbeing. This will
include a focus on social prescribing, building on the
strengths of the voluntary, community and social
enterprise sector in engaging local communities,
including hard to reach groups, and improving health
and wellbeing. Additional investment could
accelerate the development of these social
prescribing and self-care programmes.
1. Strategic Context (cont.)
6
The fourth tier is system-wide primary prevention to promote good health and wellbeing across the population. This includes population-wide
strategies to promote good health and wellbeing and addressing the wider determinants of health. The Early Years New Delivery Model is key
to this and is a key call on the GM Transformation fund for all localities.
To secure a financia