bro q1 presentation 2008
TRANSCRIPT
Broström Q1 Presentation 2008
Lennart Simonsson, CEOAnders Dreijer, Deputy MD
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 2
Agenda
• Q1 2008 in words
• Q1 2008 in figures
• Fleet development
• Market trends
• Outlook 2008
• Summary
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 3
Q1 in words
• Volatile and weak freight market during first quarter of 2008
– Unseasonably mild weather in the major consumption areas in Europe and North America led to lower consumption of fuel oil, with lower freight rates as a result, both in European and trans-Atlantic traffic.
– Due to the mild weather, the normally stronger winter market in the Baltic Sea did not transpire.
– Low export volumes of Russian oil products.
– Asian traffic in Small and Intermediate tonnage had stable development during the period, while the Medium Range segment was characterised by high volatility and lower freight rates.
– Earnings hurt by the high price of bunker oil and the weak US dollar.
– Overall favourable result of the renewal of contracts of affreightment during the first quarter.
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 4
Q1 in words
• Change in transport capacity
– The BRO ANNA and the BRO AGNES, both 17,000 dwt, were delivered during the first quarter and are now operating in European traffic.
– The GAN-SABRE, 51,000 dwt, was delivered in January and is operating in Asian traffic.
– An agreement was reached on the sale of the BRO ERIK (37,000 dwt) to a partner. Delivery will take place in May 2008. The sale will give rise to a gain of SEK 65 m and a cash contribution of SEK 140 m, which will be recognised in the second quarter report.
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 5
Income Statement
Q1 Q1 Full yearSEK m 2008 2007 2007Net sales 872 926 3 504EBITDA 155 301 1 037EBIT 59 218 664Profit after financial items 2 173 450Net profit 6 151 427
Earnings per share, SEK 0,09 2,26 6.50
ROCE 2,6% 13,7% 9.8%Cash flow/share * 0,52 3,72 11.55
Dividends paid 258Repurchases of treasury shares 12 85 135
Free cash, end of period 747 993
*) from operating activities before dividends
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 6
Broström – a global logistics company
57 vessels in European trade
23 vessels in Asia
9 vessels in the Atlantic
89 vessels
+ 13 vessels to be added within next 15 months
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 7
Fleet Growth
Newbuildings on order on 31 March 2008
Name Delivery Dwt Ownership Partner
BRO ALMA 2008 17,000 100%
GAN-SKY 2008 17,000 C/M Dünya
CPO FRANCE 2008 37,000 C/M Offen
CPO SWEDEN 2008 37,000 C/M Offen
CPO GERMANY 2008 37,000 C/M Offen
CPO NORWAY 2008 37,000 C/M Offen
CPO RUSSIA 2008 37,000 C/M Offen
CPO ITALY 2008 37,000 C/M Offen
CPO FINLAND 2008 37,000 C/M Offen
CPO ENGLAND 2008 37,000 C/M Offen
NB EDWARDS 2008 19,500 C/M Donsötank
NB 386 2009 7,500 50% Thun
NB 387 2009 7,500 50% Thun
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 8
Broström’s Fleet of Tanker Vessels- April 2008
Small Intermediate Handy/MR GRAND5-10 kdwt 10-30 kdwt 30-60 kdwt TOTAL
Active vessels Wholly/Partly owned 14 23 17 54Commercial Management 1 19 6 26Bareboat charter in 3 3Time charter in 2 4 6
TOTAL ACTIVE 15 44 30 89
Vessels on order Wholly/Partly owned 2 1 3Commercial Management 2 8 10
TOTAL ON ORDER 2 3 8 13
GRAND TOTAL 17 47 38 102
Wholly/Partly owned61%
Commercial Management
29%
Bareboat charter in3%
Time charter in7%
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 9
Market Trends
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 10
Oil Price
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 11
US Product Demand
US Product demand is increasing and exceeds
previous year !
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 12
US Gasoline Stocks
US Gasoline stocks are coming down from
historically high levels -
requiring increased imports
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 13
Global Refinery Margins
Refinery margins are in an upward trend !
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 14
Spot Market Earnings
Increased demand for transportation contributes to
increased vessel earnings
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 15
Baltic Clean Tanker Index
Baltic Clean Tanker Index exceeds previous year and 4-year-average
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 16
Vessel Values
• Contributors to maintained strong vessel values
– Steel prices
– Strong dry bulk tonnage demand
– High ship yard capacity utilisation
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 17
Ship Values
Newbuilding Prices & Shipvalues
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan-
02M
ar-0
2M
ay-0
2Ju
l-02
Sep-
02N
ov-0
2Ja
n-03
Mar
-03
May
-03
Jul-03
Sep-
03N
ov-0
3Ja
n-04
Mar
-04
May
-04
Jul-04
Sep-
04N
ov-0
4Ja
n-05
Mar
-05
May
-05
Jul-05
Sep-
05N
ov-0
5Ja
n-06
Mar
-06
May
-06
Jul-06
Sep-
06N
ov-0
6Ja
n-07
Mar
-07
May
-07
Jul-07
Mill
ion
US$
47,000 dwt - NB contract47,000 dwt - NB resale 45,000 dwt - 5yr 45,000 dwt - 10yr 45,000 dwt - 20yr
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 18
Surplus value of the Broström fleet
• Market valuation of
– Existing vessels
– Newbuilding contracts
– Call options of vessels
• Average based on two external brokers
• As per 31 December 2007 the market value exceeded book value by approximately SEK 2.7 billion
– SEK 41/share
• Booked values as per 31 December 2007
– Equity incl equalisation reserve SEK 40/share
– Deferred tax SEK 7/share
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 19
Outlook 2008
Datum: 29 april 2008
Årsstämma 2008
Sida 20
Outlook 2008
• The start of the second quarter of 2008 has been characterised by a continued weak freight market in Broström’s market segments, even though some improvement has been noted.
• Broström's strategic position for 2008 and onward has been further strengthened through acquisitions and investments made in recent years.
• The underlying long-term trend for Broström’s market segments is judged to be positive, even though major fluctuations may occur from time to time.