business forum: nuclear & renewable energy - suciu
DESCRIPTION
Presentation at the US-Saudi Business Opportunities Forum (Dec 5-7, 2011, Atlanta, GA). Jim Suciu, President, Sales & Marketing, GE Energy presented "Nuclear and Renewable Energy: Building Resources for the Future," at the panel titled, "Nuclear and Renewable Energy: Building Resources for the Future."TRANSCRIPT
GE Energy
December 7, 2011 Atlanta, GA
Jim Suciu President, Sales & Marketing
GE Energy
Nuclear and Renewable Energy: Building Resources for the Future
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© 2011 General Electric Company
Canada &
USA = 2.7%
Latin
America
4.5%
Africa 5.6%
West Europe
1.6%
Asia and
Pacific
= 6.7%
Middle East
4.5%
Central & East
Europe [CEE] 4.3%
Three-speed world continues ...
High flyers
61 countries, $23 T GDP
(7.5% avg. GDP growth)
Moderate growth
114 countries, $43 T GDP
(2.7% avg. GDP growth)
Slow growth
13 countries, $10 T GDP*
(1.3% avg. GDP growth)
Average global growth for 2012-13 is 4.5% per year
Highlights
Sources: Oxford Economics, September 2011, and GE Energy GSP
• GDP is expected to grow about $6.4 trillion between 2011 & 2013
• The High flyers will account for ~$3.3 t or 52% of the increase
• Western Europe is the slowest growing region an will account for about 7% of the increase in global GDP
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© 2011 General Electric Company
Energy growth in Saudi Arabia
Electricity demand
3X By 2032
Peak demand
7% annually
Opportunity for energy diversification ... Renewables, Nuclear, Smart Grid
#22
World GDP
ranking
Source: GE Energy Marketing; Saudi Electricity Co., 2011
Renewables
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© 2011 General Electric Company
Future trend … next decade Renewable energy growth rate outshines all others
Notes & Sources:
• GDP in constant 2005 $ PPP, Oxford Economics
• Oil in barrels per day, FuelCOE base case forecast
• Natural Gas in cubic meters, FuelCOE base case forecast
• Coal in tonnes of oil equivalent, FuelCOE base case forecast
• Wind forecast from internal GE Energy estimate.
• Solar forecast from GTM Research
• Solar estimates range from 2011 to 2015
GDP
46% 4.3%
Oil
14% 1.5%
Coal
36% 3.5%
Natural gas
26% 2.6%
2011 … $70.0 trillion
2020 … $102.5 trillion
2011-2020 growth (%) CAGR (%)
Growth in global energy use Global output
Solar
375% 30%
Wind
300% 12%
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Thin film panels Record efficiencies … superior energy capture
Power electronics Reliable, 17,000+ running in
wind … smarter grid integration
Solar power plant Scalable 1MW blocks … low
system cost, faster installation
Differentiated
large scale solar
Rapid LCOE drop drives solar into mainstream
$0.50
$0.40
$0.20
$0.11
-0.08
0.02
0.12
0.22
0.32
0.42
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2000 2005 2010 2015
GE bringing differentiated technology and scale to solar
Unsubsidized LCOE $/kWh
Industry installs GW
Source: GE Marketing, EER, Navigant Consulting & Bloomberg
$0.08
ITC
Competitive
LCOE
19GW
16GW
1GW 0.2GW
© 2011 General Electric Company
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© 2011 General Electric Company
1.5-70
1.6-100
35
45
55
4 5 6 7 8 9
U.S. homes powered per turbine
GE wind product advancements
• Best in class efficiency
• “Game changing” capacity factor
• 2GW+ deals (since May „11 launch)
• Land constrained solution
• Energy production 30%+
• World‟s largest farms: Oregon: 845MW
Romania: 600MW
1.6-100
2.75-103
Energy Output (GWhrs)
Gro
ss C
ap
ac
ity
Fa
cto
r (%
)
Differentiated performance … high return business model
Source: GE Marketing, U.S. DOE EIA stats
420
2005
Wind speed = 7.5 m/s
700
2011
1.5-77
1.5-82
© 2011 General Electric Company
World‟s first Integrated Renewables Combined Cycle power plant MetCap Energy Investments selected GE to design the plant from a total equipment and
controls perspective. Using breakthrough FlexEfficiency* technology, GE engineers have
seamlessly integrated a next-generation 50 Hz 9FB gas turbine, a steam turbine, a generator,
22 MW of GE wind turbines and 50 MW of eSolar concentrated solar thermal tower technology
… all integrated by a GE Mark* Vle plant control system.
The power plant is expected to reach 69% plant efficiency and power more than 600,000 homes in Karaman, Turkey
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© 2011 General Electric Company © 2011 General Electric Company
Nuclear energy
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GE Hitachi Nuclear A joint venture between GE and Hitachi, with the majority owned by GE … GE Hitachi Nuclear employs more than 3,000 of the world‟s foremost nuclear engineers, scientists and technical experts in the
field of nuclear technology
• Built the first commercial nuclear reactor in the 1950s
• One of the world‟s foremost authority in boiling water
reactors
• Specializes in new plant construction, servicing existing
plants and providing clean energy fuel to customers
• September, 2011 unveiled its newest nuclear reactor,
the Economically Simple Boiling Water Reactor (ESBWR) …
this new technology incorporates Passive Safety Systems
allowing the reactor to cool itself with no power or intervention from workers for more than seven days
© 2011 General Electric Company
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© 2011 General Electric Company
GE Hitachi Nuclear is currently constructing two Advanced Boiling Water Reactor units in Lungmen, Taiwan.
These units, when fully operational, will
produce 1,350 MW each.
Representing the largest BWR Generation III project in the world … it will bring much needed electricity to the grid of this growing nation.
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© 2011 General Electric Company
Smart Grid
© 2011 General Electric Company
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© 2011 General Electric Company
A foundation for flexibility The integration of two infrastructures
Electrical infrastructure
Electrical infrastructure
Information infrastructure
• Embracing renewables
• Managing peak demand
• Driving increased efficiencies
• Reducing CO2 emissions
GE Energy Manufacturing Technology Center – Dammam, Saudi Arabia
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• Employing 800 people in the Kingdom and with its newest facility, the GE Energy
Manufacturing Technology Center, will support 2,000 jobs, of which 65% will be Saudis
• Supporting localized training … recently 29 Saudi Aramco engineers graduated from the
first training program hosted by Riyadh refinery and GE Oil & Gas university
• Operating six GE technology centers in the Kingdom
• Strengthening a four-tier GE-SEC relationship
• Partnering with SEC for the first GE-SEC technology summit
Energy‟s commitment to Saudi Continuing to be the Kingdom‟s energy technology partner of choice Fostering next generation talent and increased job creation
Advancing water reuse in Saudi
• “Water Reuse Summit” and MOU with Miahona
• Supporting Saudi‟s goal for sustainable
water supply and wastewater management requirements
GE has invested ~$300 million over the last 3 years in the Kingdom
© 2011 General Electric Company