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    Capacity and Facility

    Strategy

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    Capacity

    Capacity is the maximum output or volume a system canproduce, the maximum work that a system is capable ofdoing in a given period of time.

    By calculating the capacity, the company can determineif they are capable of completing the project within thetimeframe required.

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    Capacity

    The basic questions in capacity planning are:

    What kind of capacity is needed?

    How much is needed?

    When is it needed?

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    Capacity

    Capacity and facility in manufacturing decision areasincludes:

    1. Timing

    2. Amount

    3. Type

    4. Location

    5. Size

    6. Focus

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    Capacity

    Design or total capacity

    Maximum output rate or service capacity an operation,process, or facility is designed for

    Effective capacity

    Design capacity minus allowances such as meetings,maintenance and scrap

    Actual output

    Rate of output actually achieved, cannot exceedeffective capacity. It minus all avoidable losses.

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    Capacity

    Capacity Cushion:

    The amount of reserved capacity that a firmmaintains to handle sudden increases in demand

    or temporary losses of production capacity.

    Capacity Cushion = 1 - Utilization

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    Efficiency and Utilization

    Efficiency: It is the measure of how well a facility ormachine is performing when used

    Actual outputEfficiency =

    Effective capacity

    Utilization: It is the measure of planned or actual capacityusage of a facility, work center, or machine

    Actual outputUtilization =Total capacity

    Both measures are expressed as percentages

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    Efficiency Actual output

    Effective capacity

    37244134

    90.08%

    =

    = =

    Efficiency Actual output

    Effective capacity

    46225437

    85.01%

    =

    = =

    Ice Cream Division Canned Food Division

    TotalCapacity

    7896 hrs

    PlannedLoss

    3762 hrs

    EffectiveCapacity

    4134 hrs

    ActualOutput

    3724 hrs

    AvoidableLoss

    410hrs

    TotalCapacity

    7896 hrs

    PlannedLoss

    2459 hrs

    EffectiveCapacity

    5437 hrsActualOutput

    4622 hrs.

    AvoidableLoss

    815hrs

    Utilization Actual output

    Total capacity

    3724

    789647.16%

    =

    = =

    Utilization Actual output

    Total capacity

    4622

    789658.54%

    =

    = =

    Utilization and efficiency measures for two divisions of a

    food processing company

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    Capacity Strategy Formulation

    Capacity strategy for long-term demand will depend on ..

    Expected demand patterns

    Expected growth rate and variability of demands Facilities

    Cost of building and operating

    Technological changes

    Rate and direction of technology changes Behavior of competitors

    Availability of capital and other inputs

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    In the real world, we need to manage this

    capacity

    but this is too complex to

    start out with

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    How to learn capacity management by

    meditating about

    Funnel Sand

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    What are the problems with these two

    production systems?

    200 grains/minute

    100 grains/minute

    DEMAND = 200 grains/minute

    100 grains/minute

    200 grains/minute

    DEMAND = 100 grains/minute

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    Creating a balanced production system can be fairly

    easy in simple systems

    200 grains/minute

    200 grains/minute

    each100 grains/minute

    200 grains/minute

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    Bottleneck processing stage is defined by

    400 grains/minute

    200 grains/minute

    100 grains/minute100

    100

    100

    200

    200

    200

    400

    400400

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    Easy to identify the bottleneck stage(s) by

    observing where inventory builds up

    200

    200

    200

    400

    100

    100

    400

    100

    400

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    Basic funnel management questions of

    interest?

    How much sand should we allow into the systemof funnels?

    Should we limit the amount of sand that we

    put in?

    How many funnels should we have?

    How big should our funnels be?

    What kind of funnels should they be? When should we add funnels?

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    There are several ways to increase capacity

    100 grains/minute

    modify your funnel or

    get a bigger funnel

    400 grains/minute

    scale up

    4 funnels X 100 grains/minute = 400 grains/minute

    scale out

    get more funnels

    change technology

    to big-mouth funnel

    400 grains/minute

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    Typical Questions to Adjust Capacity

    How many machines should be purchased?

    How many workers should be hired?

    Consequences of a 20% increase in demand?

    How many counters should be opened to maintaincustomer wait below 10 minutes?

    How many assembly stations are needed to maintainbackorders below 20?

    How often will all 6 operating rooms be full?

    How will congestion at Jinnah International Airportchange if 10th runway is built?

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    Adjustments to Capacity

    Increase capacity by:

    Adding extra shifts

    Scheduling overtime or weekends

    Adding equipment and/or personnel

    Reduce load by:

    Reducing lot sizes

    Holding work in production control

    Subcontracting work to outside suppliers

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    Adjustments to Capacity

    Reduce capacity by:

    Temporarily reassigning staff

    Reducing the length of shifts

    Eliminating shifts

    Increase load by:

    Releasing orders early

    Increasing lot sizes

    Making items in the facility which is normally outsourced

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    Economies of Scale

    Economies of scale is the best operating level.

    It is the point where it costs less per unit to produce highlevels of output.

    It occurs when fixed costs are spread over large number

    of units The more products a work center can produce while not

    increasing the fixed costs maximizes the profit.

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    23

    Output rate (patients per week)

    Economies & Diseconomies of

    Scale

    250-bed

    hospital

    A

    verageunitco

    st

    (dollarsperpatient)

    500-bed

    hospital

    Economies

    of scale

    750-bed

    hospital

    Diseconomies

    of scale

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    Diseconomies of Scale

    Diseconomies of scale occurs when fixed costs increasewith number of units being produced, examples:

    Higher rework

    More equipment breakdown

    It occurs when higher production results in increasedcosts.

    For example, by operating the machinery at 100% of thetime may increase profits for a period of time, if the

    practice is continued the machinery will eventually breakdown which will ultimately increase costs.

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    Capacity Timing and Sizing

    Following are the common capacity strategies:

    1. Capacity Lead Strategy(Expansionist strategy)

    2. Capacity Lag Strategy(Wait-and-see strategy)

    3. Average Capacity Strategy

    (Combination of strategies)

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    Capacity Lead Strategy

    In anticipation of demand, capacity is increased. This is an aggressive strategy and is used to lure

    customers away from competitors.

    Units

    Capacity

    Time

    Demand

    Capacity lead strategy

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    Capacity Lead Strategy

    For example, a hospital may decide to hire moreregistered nurses that is need in anticipation of increasedneed in the future. This strategy is used to lure customersaway from the competitors who may not be anticipating the

    demand or who cannot meet the demand.

    The hospital may decide to hire the registered nursesbefore a competing hospital hires them. The hospital wouldhave hire costs with the increased staff but they maydecide it is worth the higher costs to ensure the staff will bethere when needed.

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    Capacity Lag Strategy

    Increase capacity after demand has increased.

    This is a conservative strategy and may result in loss ofcustomers.

    You assume customers will return after capacity hasbeen met.

    Maintains little or no capacity cushion

    Units

    Capacity

    Time

    Demand

    Capacity lag strategy

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    Capacity Lag Strategy

    If the output of the company is unique and competition is veryweak, the company may choose to use this strategy. If competition is great and the customer would have other optionsto obtain the product from, the company would benefit fromusing a different strategy.

    Example: If the hospital used this strategy they wouldnt hireregistered nurses until they had an increased census in patients.The hospital would save the money in salaries; however, theywould take a chance on not being able to hire any registered

    nurses. They have to send patients to other facilities or admitthem and provide lesser quality care because they wouldnt havethe staff to care for the patients.

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    Average Capacity Strategy

    Average expected demand is calculated and capacity isincreased accordingly.

    This is the most moderate strategy.

    Trying to match capacity and demand

    Units

    Capacity

    Time

    Demand

    Average capacity strategy

    Example: Using thisstrategy, the hospital wouldhire registered nurse

    gradually as the patientcensus started to increases.

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    Example - 1

    A local road construction company needs to develop engineeringspecifications prior to doing any pre-surfacing preparation. Thecompany has been awarded the bid on four projects. They have oneengineer. It takes 4 hours per mile to develop the engineeringspecifications. The first project is 30 miles long and must be completed

    by March 15th. The second project is 20 miles long and must becompleted by April 1st. The third project is 5 miles long and must becompleted by May 1st. The fourth project is 15 miles long and must becompleted by May 23rd. It is now February 15th. The engineer works a40 hours week and is very experienced so he operates at 100%efficiency. Assume one project can not be started until the previous

    project is completed.

    Does the engineer have enough time to accomplish thespecifications on time?

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    Engineering Calculations (Capacity)

    Numbers of hours = 40

    Shifts = 1

    Efficiency = 100%

    Utilization = 4/5 = 80%Capacity = 40 x 1 x 0.8 x 1.00 = 32 hours

    Project 1 capacity = 4 (weeks) x 32 = 128

    Project 2 capacity = 2 (weeks) x 32 = 64

    Project 3 capacity = 4 (weeks) x 32 = 128

    Project 4 capacity = 3 (weeks) x 32 = 96

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    Engineering Calculations (Load)

    Project 1 = 30 x 4 hours per mile = 120 hours

    (start by February 15th must be completed by March 15th)

    Project 2 = 20 x 4 hours per mile = 80 hours

    (startM

    arch 16th

    must be completed by April 1st

    )Project 3 = 5 x 4 hours per mile = 20 hours

    (start April 2nd must be completed by May 1st)

    Project 4 = 15 x 4 hours per mile = 60 hours

    (start by May 2nd must be completed by May 23rd)

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    Engineering Calculations (Load %)

    Project 1 = 120/128 = 94%

    Can be completed

    Project 2 = 80/64 = 125%

    Can not be completed on schedule unless load/capacity

    adjustments are made. Project 3 = 20/128 = 16%

    Can be completed

    Project 4 = 60/96 = 63%

    Can be completed

    Systems with a Load Percent over 100 will not completeassignments on time without adjustments to the system.

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    Solutions to Overloaded Conditions

    Eliminate unnecessary requirements.

    Reroute jobs or labor.

    Splitting the job between two systems.

    Increase normal capacity. Subcontract.

    Increase efficiency.

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    Steps in the Capacity Planning

    Process

    1. Estimate capacity requirements

    2. Evaluate capacity gaps

    3. Identify alternatives4. Conduct financial analysis

    5. Assess key qualitative issues

    6. Select one alternative and implement7. Monitor results

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    Systematic Approach to Capacity

    Decisions

    For one service or product processed at one operationwith a one year time period, the capacity requirement, M,is

    Capacityrequirement =

    Processing hours required for years demand

    Hours available from a single capacity unit(such as an employee or machine) per year,

    after deducting desired cushion

    M=Dp

    N[1 (C/100)]

    where

    D = demand forecast for the year (number of customers serviced orunits of product)

    p = processing time (in hours per customer served or unit produced)

    N= total number of hours per year during which the process operates

    C= desired capacity cushion (expressed as a percent)

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    Setup times may be required if multiple productsare produced

    Capacityrequirement

    =

    Processing and setup hours required foryears demand, summed over all services

    or productsHours available from a single capacity unitper year, after deducting desired cushion

    M=

    [Dp + (D/Q)s]product 1 +[Dp + (D/Q)s]product 1 +

    +[Dp + (D/Q)s]product n

    N[1 (C/100)]

    where

    Q = number of units in each lot

    s = setup time (in hours) per lot

    Systematic Approach to Capacity

    Decisions

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    Estimate Capacity Requirements

    Di = number of units forecast per year, item i

    Pi = processing time (hours per unit orcustomer), item i

    Qi = lot size, item i

    Si = set-up time, item i

    N = total number of hours per year during

    which process operates,

    C = desired capacity cushion.

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    Example-3: Identify Gaps

    Arizona Grill is experiencing a boom in business. Theowner expects to serve a total of 80,000 meals this year.Although the kitchen is operating at 100% capacity, thedining room can handle a total of 105,000 diners/year.Forecasted demand for the next 5 years is as follows:

    What are the capacity gaps in Arizona Grills kitchenand dining room through year 5?

    Year 1 90,000 meals Year 4 120,000 mealsYear 2 100,000 meals Year 5 130,000 mealsYear 3 110,000 meals

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    Solution: The kitchen is currently the bottleneck at a capacityof 80,000 meals/year. Based on the forecast, the capacity gapfor the kitchen is:

    Before year 3, the capacity of the dining room (105,000) isgreater than demand. In year 3 and subsequently, there are

    capacity gaps for the dining room:

    Year 1 90,000-80,000 =10,000 Year 4 120,000-80,000 =40,000

    Year 2 100,000-80,000 =20,000 Year 5 130,000-80,000 =50,000Year 3 110,000-80,000 =30,000

    Year 3 110,000-105,000 =5,000

    Year 4 120,000-105,000 =15,000

    Year 5 130,000-105,000 =25,000

    Example-3: Identify Gaps

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    Develop Alternative

    The next step is to develop alternative plans to

    cope with projected gaps.

    One alternative, called the base case, is to do

    nothing and simply lose orders from any

    demand that exceeds capacity.

    Other alternatives are various timing and

    sizing options for adding new capacity.

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    Tools for Capacity Planning

    Quantitative Approaches

    Break-even Analysis Decision Tree Analysis

    Present-value Analysis

    Computer Simulation

    Waiting Line Analysis

    Linear Programming.

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    Break-even Analysis

    Break-even analysis is based on categorizing productioncosts between those which are "variable" (costs thatchange when the production output changes) and thosethat are "fixed" (costs not directly related to the volumeof production).

    Total variable and fixed costs are compared with salesrevenue in order to determine the level of sales volumeor production at which the business makes neither a

    profit nor a loss (the "break-even point").

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    Break-even Analysis

    In this diagram, the line OArepresents the variation ofincome at varying levels of

    production activity("output").

    OB represents the totalfixed costs in the business.

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    Break-even Analysis

    Fixed costs are those business costs that are not directlyrelated to the level of production or output. In other words,even if the business has a zero output or high output, thelevel of fixed costs will remain broadly the same. In thelong term fixed costs can alter.

    Examples of fixed costs:

    - Rent and rates

    - Research and development- Marketing costs- Administration costs

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    Break-even Analysis

    Variable costs are those costs which vary directly with thelevel of output. A distinction is often made between"Direct" variable costs and "Indirect" variable costs.

    Direct variable costs are those which can be directly

    attributable to the production of a particular product orservice and allocated to a particular cost centre. Rawmaterials and the wages those working on the productionline are good examples.

    Indirect variable costs cannot be directly attributable toproduction but they do vary with output. e.g. machinehours, maintenance and certain labour costs.

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    Break-even Analysis

    Break-even analysis is a useful tool to study the relationshipbetween fixed costs, variable costs and returns.

    A break-even point defines when an investment will generate

    a positive return.

    Break-even analysis computes the volume of production at a

    given price necessary to cover all costs.

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    Break-even Analysis

    ExampleA farmer wants to buy a new combine rather than hire a customharvester. The total fixed costs for the desired combine are$21,270 per year. The variable costs (not counting theoperator's labor) are $8.75 per hour. The farmer can harvest 5

    acres per hour. The custom harvester charges $16.00 per acre.How many acres must be harvested per year to break-even?

    Fixed costs (F) = $21,270Savings (S) = $16/A

    Variable costs (V) = $8.75/hr / 5 A/hr = $1.75/AB-E = $21,270 / ($16/A - $1.75/A) = $21,270 / $14.25/A = 1,493Acres

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    Decision Tree Analysis

    Ref word file.