capital budgeting_lesson 1
TRANSCRIPT
8/3/2019 Capital Budgeting_lesson 1
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Introduction
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1. New Projects/Business
2. Replacement Decisions
Curr ent Outlays in long ter m assets
Benef its over a consider able period of
time
Decisions typically irr eversible
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1. Identify Relevant Outflows and
Inflows.
2. Estimation of the cost of capital(WACC/Opportunity Cost)
3. Make an investment decision
using decision rules
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` Non Discounting Techniques Accounting Rate of Return/ Aver age Rate of Return
Pay Back Period
` Discounting Technique Net Pr esent Value
Benef it Cost Ratio/Prof itability Index
Internal Rate of Return Discounted Pay back period
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A company is considering an investment proposal costing Rs
100,000. The facility has a life expectancy of 5 years and no
salvage value. The tax r ate is 35%. Str aight Line Depr eciation is
used. Prof its Bef or e Depr eciation and Tax ar e as f ollows:
Use 10 % Cost of Capital f or NPV and Prof itability Index
Year Profits before tax
and depreciation
1 200002 24200
3 26500
4 27500
5 40700
Microsoft OfficeExcel Worksheet
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[ Aver age Income(PAT)]
[ Aver age Investment]
Aver age Investment = Salvage Value + ½(Cost of Project-Salvage Value)
AverageInvestment
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` Acceptance/Re jection Criteria If Project ARR > target ARR, then the project is accepted
If Project ARR < target ARR, then the project is r e jected.
If Project ARR = target ARR, acceptance or r e jection will
not make a differ ence to the value of the f ir m` Advantages ± Easy to calculate, data easily
available
` Disadvantages ± Use accounting r eturns, inferior
to cash flows, ignor e time value
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` Time taken to r ecover the initial cost of investment
` Computation If cash flows in the f or m of annuity
Investment .Constant Annual Cash Flow (annuity)
Uneven flows ± compute cumulative cash flows and use
this to calculate the payback period
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` Acceptance/Re jection Criteria If payback period > target payback period, then r e ject the
project
If the payback period < target payback period, then
accept the project
If the payback period = target payback period,
acceptance or r e jection will not make a differ ence to the
value of the f ir m
` Advantages ± Helps to ascertain how quicklyinvestment is r ecover ed, easy to calculate
` Disadvantages ± Ignor es time value, fails to see
complete pictur e,
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` Pr esent Value of projects cash inflows minus the
pr esent value of projects cash outflow
NPV
={CI1/(1+k)1+CI2/(1+k)2+...+CIn/(1+k)n)} ± Co
CIi ± Cash Inflow at time n
CO ± Initial Investment
k- cost of capital
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` Acceptance/Re jection All independent projects with positive NPV accepted
Mutually Exclusive Projects ± project with largest NPV
accepted
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` Advantages
Considers all cash flows
Considers Time Value
Complies with ob jective of wealth maximization
Riskiness of project incor por ated
` Disadvantages
Discount r ate to be decided in advance
Expr essed in rupees not percentage
Cost of capital may not be constant
Cash flow estimation errors
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PI= PV/I
PV = Pr esent value of cash Inflows
I = Initial Investment
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` Accept/Re ject IF PI>1, then accept
IF PI<1 Re ject
IF PI= 1 Indiffer ent to the project
` Advantages Time Value, All cash flows consider ed
Reveals r elative prof it potential
Helps in capital r ationing decisions (next class)
` Disadvantages If initial investment amounts differ r esults contr adict with
NPV
Others same as NPV limitations
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Discount RateDiscount Rate
NPV =
0
N
P V
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` The r ate of r eturn that an investment gener ates
over its life.
` Cost of Capital f or which the NPV=0
{CI1/(1+k)1+CI2/(1+k)2+..+CIn/(1+k)n)} = Co
CIi ± Cash Inflow at time n
CO ± Initial InvestmentK ± irr
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` Find the aver age cash flows f or the project E.g 3 lakh per year f or 5 years = 3
`
Divide initial outlay by aver age cash flow E.g assume initial outlay = 10 lakh
We get 10/3 =3.33
` Find f rom the PVIFA, f ind the inter est r ate which
has a PVIFA value of 3.33 f or 5 years Approximately 15% (PVIFA ± 3.3522)
` Checking by using this value. PV of Cash Inflows = 3*3.3522 = 10.0566