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Ministry of energy and coal Ministry of energy and coal industry of Ukraine industry of Ukraine Energy Energy polic of polic of policy of policy of UKRAINE UKRAINE UKRAINE UKRAINE Chief specialist Chief specialist Chief specialist Chief specialist Olena Olena IVANOVA IVANOVA IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

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Page 1: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Ministry of energy and coalMinistry of energy and coaly gyy gyindustry of Ukraineindustry of Ukraine

Energy Energy polic of polic of policy of policy of UKRAINEUKRAINEUKRAINEUKRAINE

Chief specialistChief specialistChief specialistChief specialistOlenaOlena IVANOVAIVANOVA

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 2: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Ukraine, the second-largest country in Europe, is located in Eastern Europe with a total area of 603,700 sq km.Ukraine shares boundaries with Belarus on the north Russia on with Belarus on the north, Russia on the east, the Black Sea on the south, Romania, Moldova, Hungary, and Slovakia on the west, and Poland on the north-west. Kyiv is the capital of Ukraine, which is located in the north central part of the country Current population is no the country. Current population is no more than 42 million people.GDP was 93 937 mln $ in 2016

Ukraine's location is one of strategic importance at the crossroads between Ukraine s location is one of strategic importance at the crossroads between Europe and Asia

Ukraine is going to be EU member-state

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 3: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Law "On Electricity Market of Ukraine" was adopted. Law will provide a transition to a new model of the electricity market.

Harmonization of legislation in line with EU with the Law of Ukraine "On thenatural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation inthe energy and utilities"gy

Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject of legal separationof business transportation, distribution and storage of natural gas and theimplementation of European regulations for proper operating of GTSimplementation of European regulations for proper operating of GTS.

Adoption a new Energy Strategy of Ukraine till 2035, which is to identifyand fix the main directions of the energy sector, the level of energy

it ffi i th t iti t th i d thsecurity, energy efficiency, the transition to the energy saving usage and theenergy consumption with the introduction of innovative technologies.

Concept of development of the coal industry and gas were adopted. Coal concept will optimize the structure of the coal industry and output it to the breakeven level and self-sustaining operation.

oncept will optimize the structure of the coal industry and output it to the b k l l d lf t i i ti

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 4: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Dynamics of the GDP of Ukraine Dynamics of the GDP of Ukraine from 2002 to 2016

GDP mln, USD2002 423932003 50133 7740 +18.3%2004 64883 14750 +29.4%2005 86142 21259 +32.8%2006 107753 21611 +25.1%2007 142719 34966 +32.5%2008 179992 37273 +26.1%2009 117228 -62765 -34.9%2010 136419 19192 +16.4%2011 163160 26740 +19.6%2012 175781 12622 +7.7%2013 183310 7529 +4.3%2014 131805 -51505 -28.1%

2015 90 615 41190 31 3%2015 90 615 -41190 -31.3%

2016 93 937 +3 322 +3,67 %

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 5: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Save the transit role of gas transmission system of Ukraine

Stimulate gas productionStimulate gas production

Harmonize Ukrainian legislation in line with EU

Ensure integration electric and gas sectors of Ukraine into the Europeanmarket

Diversify the sources and routes of energy supply(gas, oil, nuclear fuel, coal)Ukraine will buy coal from USA and Kazakhstan

According to the obligations Ukraine in the future should increase in thetotal balance of electricity the share of electricity from renewable

11% ( l 2%)sources to 11% (currently 2%)

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 6: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

20.5 21.4 20.5 19.9 20.118 7

25Total NJSC Naftogaz of Ukraine Others

18.2 18.717.2

16.0 15.915

20

2.3 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.25

10

02012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total20122012 – 20 5 bill cm

- 1,95%

Naftogaz of Ukraine (state company) and other private companies are responsiblef d i i Uk i Al i i l d i h i

20122012 20,5 bill cm20162016 – 20,1 bill cm

for gas production in Ukraine. Also our state company is involved with extraction,transportation, and refinement of natural gas and crude oil.Compare 2012 and 2016 Naftogaz decreased gas production on 12,6 %.B t in general total inde significantl not changed and in the f t re Ukraine isBut in general total index significantly not changed and in the future Ukraine isgoing to increase the own gas production(Concept of development of gas production in Ukraine until 2020).

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 7: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION IN UKRAINE,IN UKRAINE,20122012--20162016

TotalTotal, , bln cmbln cm

37,3% 22,0%

54.850.4

42.6

,,

33.8 33.2

29,2%11,5% Total2012 2013 2014 2015 20162015 2016

Total20122012 – 54,8 bill cm20162016 33 2 bill

- 39,4%

20162016 – 33,2 bill cm

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 8: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Natural gas transmission from 2012 till 2016billion cm Total - 2,5%

84.3 86.1

67 1

82.281.2 83.779.2

80

90

100

Total To countries of Europe To CIS countries 20122012 – 84,3 bill cm20162016 – 82,2 bill cm

62.267.1

59.464.2

40

50

60

70

3.1 2.4 2.8 2.9 3.00

10

20

30

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

TheThe capacitycapacity ofof tthhee GasGasTransmissionTransmission SystemSystem ofofUkraineUkraine isis::

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

• input: 302 bln cm / year• output: 178,5 bln cm /

year• Length of pipelines – 38,0

thousand km• 12 underground gas

storage facilities• 31,0 bln cm working

capacity• 1458 distribution stations

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 9: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Electric Power Of UkraineElectric Power Of Ukraine20152015--2016201620152015--20162016

Electric Power Generation, mln kWh Net power consumption mln kWh

50,2

00.3

36,4

80.0

49,9

95.4

35,9

17.3Total in Ukraine:

20120155 – 118 726,9 mln kWh20120166 – 118 258,0 mln kWh

- 0,4%

201555 462

38%

87 628

5,19

4.9

5,19

0.7- 0,4%

- 1,5%0 2% + 1 3%

TPPs, HPSs

87,62856%

6,809

1,5911%

6,1764%

3,34

2.3

6,80

7.0

747.

6

15

5,95

4.9

3,51

3.2

6,79

5.5

814.

1

15

6,03

1.9+ 5,1%

- 0,2%

+ 8,9%

+ 1,3%

- 0,03%56,61237%

NPPs

HPPs, SPPs

20164%

7 8

Indu

stry

Agric

ultu

ral

Con

sum

ers

Tran

spor

t

Сon

stru

ctio

n

icip

al a

nd

ic c

onsu

mer

s

non-

indu

stria

lns

umer

s

Popu

latio

n

80,95052%

6,5774% Alternative sources

Block stations and

Mun

dom

est i

Oth

er n co

Indexes Since 2016relative to the same period last year

+ / - %

9,1196%

1,5601%

other sources

Total in Ukraine: - 1,8%Electricity consumption (gross) 149 346,3 - 1139,6 99,2

Electric Power Generation 154 817,4 - 2847,8 96,2

Electricity exports 4 016,9 +375,3 110,3

Total in Ukraine:20120155 – 157 665,2 mln kWh20120166 – 154 817,4 mln kWh

9

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 10: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

55215 55310 5759359074 61023 63195 64187 64846

65348 65540 65610Future Generation

50000

60000 55215 55310

MW

40000

ledC

apac

ity, M

20000

30000

Inst

all

10000

02016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Total 55215 55310 57593 59074 61023 63195 64187 64846 65348 65540 65610NPPs 13835 13835 13835 13835 13835 15835 15835 15835 15835 15835 15835TPPs 6477 6501 6860 7155 7599 7915 7928 7953 7953 7966 7966Biogas PP 60 70 450 580 686 700 720 745 770 800 830WPP 440 450 1085 1382 1640 1670 1700 1720 1740 1760 1780SPP 365 375 1094 1393 1655 1680 1700 1720 1740 1760 1780PS GC 27803 27803 27803 27789 28040 27423 27556 27646 27701 27486 27486S GC 27803 27803 27803 27789 28040 27423 27556 27646 27701 27486 27486TPPs 4726 4767 4805 4878 4954 5108 5310 5465 5523 5523 5523PSPs 1509 1509 1661 2062 2614 2864 3438 3762 4086 4410 4410

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 11: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Future Green Generation

14000

16000

10000

12000

MW

8000

10000

dCap

acit

y,

4000

6000

Inst

alle

d

2000

4000

02016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Biogas PP 60 70 450 580 686 700 720 745 770 800 830WPP 440 450 1085 1382 1640 1670 1700 1720 1740 1760 1780SPP 365 375 1094 1393 1655 1680 1700 1720 1740 1760 1780TPPs 4726 4767 4805 4878 4954 5108 5310 5465 5523 5523 5523PSPs 1509 1509 1661 2062 2614 2864 3438 3762 4086 4410 4410

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 12: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Oil production in Ukrainemillion tons

3.2 3.12 9

4

Total NJSC Naftogaz of Ukraine Others

2.82.5

2.2

2.92.7

2.42.2

2.02

3

0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2

1

02012 2013 2014 2015 2016

According to the results 2016 Ukraine has reduced oil Ukraine has reduced oil production by 11.6% or 208.9 ths. tons compared to 2015 year -up to 1 million 596.7 thousand. tonnes.tonnes.Other oil and gas companies of the country in 2016 have reduced oil production by 54.5% (to 60.2 thousand. tons) - to 50.3 t ousa d. to s) to 50.3 thousand tons.

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 13: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

The coal industry of UkraineThe coal industry of Ukraine20152015 2016201620152015--20162016

4.8 І26,6Power coal8 4g co

al

In the context of the subordination of enterprises, mln tons

Total Coal Mining in Ukraine, mln tons

4.8 І26,6Power coal

2015

8.3 8,4

Cok

ing + 0,4%

+ 3 4%2.0 6.3Coking coal

31.4 32.5

Pow

er c

oal

+ 3,4%

4.2 9,5Power coal

P

1.6 2,0Coking coal2016

Total in Ukraine:20120155 – 39 7 mln tons

2015 2016

Enterprises of the Ministry of Energy and Coal Industry of Ukraine

Others

20120155 – 39,7 mln tons

20120166 – 40,9 mln tons

13

+ 2,8%

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 14: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

Natural Gas End-user Prices, USD / GJ

12.0

8.0

10.0

6.0

8.0

SD /

GJ

4.0

US

2.0

-2013 2014 2015 2016

Years

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Page 15: Chief specialist - IEEJ · natural gas market", "On the National Commission for state regulation in the energy and utilities" Process of restructuring "Naftogaz Ukraine" on the subject

REGARDING REGARDING THE INTERESTING THE INTERESTING SUBJECT FOR STUDYSUBJECT FOR STUDY

IEEJ:July 2017 © IEEJ2017

Contact :[email protected]