kenya - ieej
TRANSCRIPT
KENYA
1
By
Mungai Kihara
Ministry of Energy
Renewable Energy Directorate
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COUNTRY OVERVIEW
2
Territory 582,646 Sq. Kilometres
Capital Nairobi
Population (m, 2017)
46.3 with over 65% youth
growth rate 2.1% Urban pop
24%
GDP Growth Rate
(2017)5.8% (Economic Survey 2017)
Official Languages Kiswahili and English
Nominal GDP (2016) US$ 71.6 billion
GDP Per Capita 1,576(US$, 2016)
Currency Kenya Shilling (“KES”)
Average Exchange
Rate
USD/KES: 101.2 (through
October 2017)
System of
Government
Multi-party democracy with five
(5) year election cycles since
1992
BordersUganda, Tanzania, Ethiopia,
South Sudan, Somalia
No. Of Households 8.4 Million (Approximately)
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ECONOMY:
Agriculture and Horticulture - products:• Tea, coffee, cut flowers,
• maize, wheat, pulses, fruit, vegetables, sugarcane;
• dairy products, beef, fish, poultry, eggs etc.
Industries:• Small-scale consumer goods (plastic, furniture, batteries,
textiles, clothing, soap, cigarettes, flour),
• agricultural products, oil refining; aluminum, steel, lead;cement, commercial ship repair, etc
Services:• Tourism, financial, transportation, communication etc
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Reserves of energy and mineral resources
Energy/Mineral Reserves (Approximately)
Geothermal 10000 MW of Electricity
Wind Average of above 8m/s wind speeds in the best areas
Solar Average of 6kW/m2 Irradiance
Crude Oil 500 Million Barrels
Coal 1 Billion Metric Tonnes
Limestone 55000 Metric Tonnes
Carbon Dioxide Gas 20000 Metric Tonnes
Fluorspar 50000 Metric Tonnes
Soda Ash 470000 Metric Tonnes
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Current energy policy and measures
• The Energy Act 2006
• The Energy Policy (Sessional Paper No. 4 2004)
• The Energy Bill
• The Draft Energy Policy
• The Feed in Tariffs Policy
• The Geothermal Strategy and Policy (Under Preparation)
• The Draft Renewable Energy Auction Policy
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Primary energy supply (Unit: ktoe)
7
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Energy Supply (ktoe)(2012)
Energy Supply (ktoe)(2013)
Energy Supply (kto(2014)
Energy Supply (ktoe)(2015)
Energy Supply (ktoe)(2016)
Primary Energy Supply
Local Production (Mainly Electricity)
Imports (Mainly Petroleum Products, coal and coke)
Exports (Mainly Petroleum Products)
Data from Economic Survey 2017
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Primary energy supply (Unit: ktoe)
8
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Energy Supply in2012 (ktoe)
Energy Supply in2013 (ktoe)
Energy Supply in2014 (ktoe)
Energy Supply in2015 (ktoe)
Energy Supply in2016 (ktoe)
Primary Energy Supply
Coal and coke Petroleum Products Electricity
Data from Economic Survey 2017
IEEJ:August 2018 © IEEJ2018
Final energy consumption (Unit: ktoe)
9
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
EnergyConsumption in
2016 (ktoe)
EnergyConsumption in
2016 (ktoe)
EnergyConsumption in
2016 (ktoe)
EnergyConsumption in
2016 (ktoe)
EnergyConsumption in
2016 (ktoe)
Final Energy Consumption
Industry Transport Domestic Government
Data from Economic Survey 2017
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Electricity generation (Unit: GWh)
10
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Generation Gwh(2012)
Generation Gwh(2013)
Generation Gwh(2014)
Generation Gwh(2015)
Generation Gwh(2016)
Electricity Generation
Hydro Thermal Geothermal Wind Imports Biogas
Data fro Kenya Power Annual Report
2016-17
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Energy Prices (Electricity Generation)
Technology Type
Plant Capacity (MW)
Energy Tariff($/kWh) at the Interconnection Point
Geothermal 35– 70 0.088
Wind 0.5 – 50 0.10Biomass 0.5 – 50 0.10Small Hydro 0.5 – 5 Firm -
Non-Firm 0.755.1 – 10 Firm 0.10
Non-firm 0.75Biogas 0.1 – 40 0.10Solar Grid 0.5-50 0.12
Off-grid 0.5 –10 0.20
11Data from Feed-In Tariffs Policy 2012
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Electricity Generation up to 2037
12
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
20
17
20
19
20
21
20
23
20
25
20
27
20
29
20
31
20
33
20
35
20
37
GWh
Low Reference High
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
20
17
20
19
20
21
20
23
20
25
20
27
20
29
20
31
20
33
20
35
20
37
MW
Low Reference High
Data from Draft LCPDP 2017-2037
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Energy-related investment for domestic and overseas
• Transmission
– Interconnectors
• Ethiopia Kenya 500kVDC
• Kenya Tanzania 400kV
• Kenya Uganda 400kV
• Generation– Geothermal
– Coal – 981MW
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Major difficulties and bottlenecks
• Lack of Reliable Data
• Disjointed Data
• Lack of Capacity
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Subjects you would like to study
• Energy forecast
• Energy supply and demand balancing
• Energy and power economics
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