china life corporate day presentations-4
TRANSCRIPT
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ForewordForeword
•• The characteristicsThe characteristics
•• Why we need to understand themWhy we need to understand them
•• How we analyze themHow we analyze them
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The distinctive characteristicsThe distinctive characteristics
of life insuranceof life insurance operatoinoperatoin
1.1. ProductsProducts
2.2. PremiumsPremiums
3.3. Marketing and salesMarketing and sales
4.4. Business operationsBusiness operations
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Products:Products:
1. Life insurance is an intangible product1. Life insurance is an intangible product
How do we understandHow do we understand ““ risks may or may not materializerisks may or may not materialize”” ??
Insurance policies are the product
A contract in natureRelated to birth, aging, illness, death and injuries.
Conclusion: A life insurance product is an intangible risk protection
obligation. The business of a life insurance company involves
risks related to birth, aging, illness, death and injuries. However,
these risks may or may not materialize.
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The meaning ofThe meaning of ““Intangible productIntangible product””::
Products:Products:
1. Life insurance is an intangible product1. Life insurance is an intangible product
••Insurance companies sell promises. AnInsurance companies sell promises. An
insurance policy is a proof of this promise.insurance policy is a proof of this promise.
Therefore, credibility is the foundation of theTherefore, credibility is the foundation of thebusiness of an insurance company.business of an insurance company.
•• A customer experiences the benefit of insurance A customer experiences the benefit of insuranceproducts through the service of the insuranceproducts through the service of the insurance
company. Customer service is, therefore, thecompany. Customer service is, therefore, the
core business of an insurance company.core business of an insurance company.
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•• The risks borne by an insurance company willThe risks borne by an insurance company willmaterialize.materialize.
•• Therefore, buyers can choose to buy or not toTherefore, buyers can choose to buy or not tobuy such products.buy such products.
•• The insured risks involve events that may orThe insured risks involve events that may ormay not happen.may not happen.
Products:Products:
2. The need for insurance is not obvious to2. The need for insurance is not obvious tobuyers.buyers.
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ImplicationsImplications::
•• Most buyers are reactive.Most buyers are reactive.
•• Since risks may or may not occur, sales isSince risks may or may not occur, sales is
more difficult.more difficult.
•• Adverse selection may occur. Adverse selection may occur.
Products:Products:
2. The need for insurance products is not2. The need for insurance products is notobvious to buyers.obvious to buyers.
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•• A life insurance company needs sales people. In the A life insurance company needs sales people. In theprimary market, the number of sales people is inprimary market, the number of sales people is in
proportion to sales.proportion to sales.
The meaning ofThe meaning of ““marketed by sales peoplemarketed by sales people””::
•• A unique sales team management model A unique sales team management model
•• Making the primary market a seller Making the primary market a seller ’’s markets market
Products:Products:
3. Sales of insurance products rely on sales3. Sales of insurance products rely on salespeople.people.
•• The targets of promotional activities are salespeople, notThe targets of promotional activities are salespeople, not
the actualthe actual ‘‘consumer consumer ’’..
•• Misrepresentation may occur.Misrepresentation may occur.
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•• Insurance covers life and health, which areInsurance covers life and health, which arenot commodities.not commodities.
•• An insurer buys a policy for financial An insurer buys a policy for financialcompensation, not for consumption.compensation, not for consumption.
Products:Products:
4. Life insurance products are not consumer4. Life insurance products are not consumerproducts.products.
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Implications:Implications:
Products:Products:
4. Life insurance products are not consumer4. Life insurance products are not consumerproducts.products.
•• Life insurance is not considered a basicLife insurance is not considered a basic
necessity by many.necessity by many.
•• Only people who have achieved a certain livingOnly people who have achieved a certain living
standard feel the need.standard feel the need.
•• Development of the industry is closely linked toDevelopment of the industry is closely linked to
market environment.market environment.
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•• FirstFirst--year premiumsyear premiums – – the value of output ofthe value of output of
an insurance companyan insurance company
•• The number of firstThe number of first--year policiesyear policies – – thethe
quantity of output of an insurance companyquantity of output of an insurance company
Premiums:Premiums:
1. The difference between first1. The difference between first--year premiumsyear premiumsand renewal premiumsand renewal premiums
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RenewalRenewal
premiumspremiums
FirstFirst--yearyear
premiumspremiums
TotalTotal
1st year 1st year 100100 100100
2nd year 2nd year 9090 5050 140140
% change% change (50%)(50%) 40%40%
• Measures the sales capability of an insurance company.
•First-year premiums are a key performance indicator for
an insurance company and a comparable among peers.
The significance ofThe significance of ““ firstfirst--year premiumsyear premiums”” ::
Premiums:Premiums:
1. The difference between first1. The difference between first--year premiumsyear premiums
and renewal premiumsand renewal premiums
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•First-year premiums are a growth driver for the following
year’s business.
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
FYP regular-premiums 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Renewal premiums 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Gross premiums 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Driving factor 50% 33% 25% 20%
•There is no increase of FYP, but gross premiumsincrease every year.
The significance of theThe significance of the ““ firstfirst--year premiumsyear premiums”” ::
Premiums:Premiums:
1. The difference between first1. The difference between first--year premiumsyear premiums
and renewal premiumsand renewal premiums
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The significance of theThe significance of the ““ renewal premiumsrenewal premiums”” ::
•• Measures the sustainability of an insuranceMeasures the sustainability of an insurance
company.company.
•• Determines the longDetermines the long--term nature of anterm nature of an
insurance companyinsurance company’’s business.s business.
Premiums:Premiums:
1. The difference between first1. The difference between first--year premiumsyear premiums
and renewal premiumsand renewal premiums
Companies A and B: Assuming a renewal rate of 100% different amounts of
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Year 1 2 3 4 6 7
3
2
1
1
42
2
Renewal Premiums 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
3/4
7
43/57
2
8
2
1
6
142 2 2
2 2 2
GP of A /
GP of B
2/2 4/6 5/8 6/10 7/
12
8/
14
1
5
36/64
12
36/64
5
2
1
3
82
2
38/62
4
2
1
2
62
2
40/60
2
2
1
0
22
2
50%/50%
5
Gross premiums 6
First-year premiums 2
First-year regular-
premiums
1
4
First-year premiums
First-year regular
premium
Renewal premiums
Gross premiums 10
Market share37/63
Company BRegular
premiums
account for 100%
of FYP
Company A
Single premiums
account for 50%
of the FYP
Companies A and B: Assuming a renewal rate of 100%, different amounts of
renewal premiums wil l lead to dif ferent gross premiums.
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Gross premiums 2 4 6 8 10Gross premiums 2 4 6 8 10 ……
New business 2 2 2 2 2New business 2 2 2 2 2 ……
Year 1 2 3 4 5Year 1 2 3 4 5 ……
Gross premium income tends to grow arithmetically.
How do premiums accumulate?How do premiums accumulate?
Premiums:Premiums:
2. Premium income is accumulative.2. Premium income is accumulative.
Why do premiums accumulate?Why do premiums accumulate?
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Gross premiums 2 2 2 2 2Gross premiums 2 2 2 2 2 ……
Single premiums 2 2 2 2 2Single premiums 2 2 2 2 2 ……
Year 1 2 3 4 5Year 1 2 3 4 5 ……
* Regular premiums are accumulative. Singlepremiums are not.
Premiums:Premiums:
2. Premium income is accumulative.2. Premium income is accumulative.
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How do premiums accumulate?How do premiums accumulate?
• Longer payment periods result in higher premiums accumulated
and higher sustainability for an insurance company.
• The higher the proportion of the accumulative part, the better the
premium structure is.
• Short-term regular premiums are not ful ly accumulative.
N/GN/G 100%100% 50%50% 33%33% 25%25% 20%20% 17%17%
Gross premiumsGross premiums (G)(G) 2 4 6 8 10 12
New BusinessNew Business (N)(N) 2 2 2 2 2 2
Year Year 1 2 3 4 5 6
Premiums:Premiums:
2. Premium income are accumulative.2. Premium income are accumulative.
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Annual premium 5 * Pm 12 * Pm
Monthly premium Pm Pm Pm Pm Pm Pm Pm Pm ……
Year 8 10 31/12 2 4
Organic growth of premiums
First-year premium income: 5 * Pm
Second-year Premium Income: 12 * Pm
(+140%)
Premiums:Premiums:
3. Organic growth of premiums3. Organic growth of premiums
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Financial year
31/121/1
Why do premiums grow organically?
Premiums:Premiums:
3. Organic growth of premiums3. Organic growth of premiums
Since the policy anniversary and financial year are
usually different, most policies would straddle two
financial years. Therefore, there will be a situation where
premiums received in the current financial year will be
less than the amount for the next premium renewal year.
Hence, there is a natural increase in premiums in thesecond year.
Policy anniversary
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Annual premium Annual premium 5 * Pm5 * Pm 12 * Pm (+140%)12 * Pm (+140%)
Monthly premium Pm Pm Pm Pm PmMonthly premium Pm Pm Pm Pm Pm PmPm Pm PmPm Pm …………
MonthMonth 88 1010 31/1231/12 2 42 4
The more premiums paid on a regular basis (except one-off
annual payments) in an insured year, the more natural growth of
the premiums in the next f inancial year.
The more regular premiums paid (except one-off annual
payments) in the second half of an insured year, the more
natural growth of premiums in the next financial year.
Organic growth of premiums:
Premiums:Premiums:
3. Organic growth of premiums3. Organic growth of premiums
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Guaranteed interest rates and guaranteed policy dividendGuaranteed interest rates and guaranteed policy dividendpayments are the cost of premiums of a life insurancepayments are the cost of premiums of a life insurancecompany.company.
Investmentincome
Customers
Investmentincome
Company
Property insurance
company
Premiums:Premiums:
4. Cost of premiums4. Cost of premiums
Life insurance
company
Company
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Implications:Implications:
•• Since premiums come with a cost, the use ofSince premiums come with a cost, the use ofcapital has a very significant impact on thecapital has a very significant impact on the
business operations of a life insurancebusiness operations of a life insurancecompany.company.
•• TheThe ““ costcost”” is deducted from the tax a lifeis deducted from the tax a lifeinsurance company pays.insurance company pays.
Premiums:Premiums:4. Cost of premiums4. Cost of premiums
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Volume
Sales
Profit
Companies in general
Volume
Profit
Life insurance companies
Sales
Sales:Sales:
1. Sales of new policies need proper control1. Sales of new policies need proper control
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Why do we need proper control?
* Costs in the first year of life insurance
policies are higher than in renewal years
* Insurance companies nowadays use
level premiums schemes
Sales:Sales:
1. Sales of new policies need proper control1. Sales of new policies need proper control
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Natural premium vs level premium
Natural premium
Level premium
Premium
Period
Insurance cost
(Expense loading)
Sales:Sales:
1. Sales of new policies need proper control1. Sales of new policies need proper control
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1) Two-year principle
1st year 120%—130%2nd year 70%—80%
—————————Two-year premium income
How do insurance companies control sales?
Therefore, if reserves are not set aside for two years ,
the policy wil l have no ……
Level premium
Period
Insurance cost
1 2 ……
Premium
Sales:Sales:
1. Sales of new policies need proper control1. Sales of new policies need proper control
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2) Budget management
Example Cost of new policy (assumption) 130%
Annual profit plan 80 million
Realizable profit 110 million
New policy premium plan 100 mil lion
What would happen if the new policy
premium reaches 120 million?
How do insurance companies control sales?
Sales:Sales:
1. Sales of new policies need proper control1. Sales of new policies need proper control
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* First-year premiums do not generate profit
* Premiums from policy renewal generate profit
These features are yet to be reflected in China’s life
insurance industry.
* More “ resources” should be allocated to new
first-year policies
Why do we need proper control?
Sales:Sales:
1. Sales of new policies need proper control1. Sales of new policies need proper control
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Companies in general
All customers are welcome
Life insurance companies
Increase premiums, accept with
conditions or even reject applications
Sales:Sales:
2. Careful selection of customers is essential2. Careful selection of customers is essential
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Why be selective
* Not everyone can be a customer of a
life insurance company
* Key to success: look for those who match
our criteria
* Application underwriting is essentialin the life insurance business
Sales:Sales:
2. Careful selection of customers is essential2. Careful selection of customers is essential
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Insurance companiesInsurance companies
Sale of policy Management (production) Service PSale of policy Management (production) Service Paymentayment
Companies in generalCompanies in general Purchase of raw materials Production Sales SPurchase of raw materials Production Sales Serviceervice
Business operations:Business operations:
1. Production comes after sales1. Production comes after sales
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Implications:Implications:
** Underscore the important role of sales agentsUnderscore the important role of sales agents
** Sales has the leading role in the companySales has the leading role in the company’’ssoperational chainoperational chain
** The companyThe company’’s development is driven by saless development is driven by sales
** Think aboutThink about ““ productionproduction”” before selling; never sellbefore selling; never sellany product that is unable to deliver any product that is unable to deliver
** Rules can be violatedRules can be violated
Business operations:Business operations:
1. Production comes after sales1. Production comes after sales
B i i
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Net risk ofNet risk ofInsurance?Insurance?
Net risk of insurance = Sum insuredNet risk of insurance = Sum insured – – reservereserve
Net risk of insurance is the actual risk borne by anNet risk of insurance is the actual risk borne by aninsurance companyinsurance company
Year Year
ReserveReserve
Sum insuredSum insured
Business operations:Business operations:
2. Risk declines over the years2. Risk declines over the years
B i tiB i ti
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Example: A = 1000, N = 10,Example: A = 1000, N = 10, RsRs for eachfor eachyear below:year below:
V1 = 0 R = 1000V1 = 0 R = 1000 -- 0 = 10000 = 1000V2 = 200 R = 1000V2 = 200 R = 1000--200 = 800200 = 800
V3 = 450 R = 1000V3 = 450 R = 1000--450 = 550450 = 550
………… …………
V9 = 890 R = 1000V9 = 890 R = 1000--890 = 110890 = 110
V10 = 1000 R = 1000V10 = 1000 R = 1000--1000 = 01000 = 0
Business operations:Business operations:
2. Risk declines over the years2. Risk declines over the years
B i tiB i ti
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Implications:
•• The longer an insurance policy has been in force,The longer an insurance policy has been in force,
the less risky it is for an insurance company.the less risky it is for an insurance company.•• Therefore, after Therefore, after --sales service to longsales service to long--termterm
customers is extremely important.customers is extremely important.
Business operations:Business operations:
2. Risk declines over the years2. Risk declines over the years
B i tiB i ti
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Companies in general:Companies in general:
Actual cost of raw materials Actual cost of raw materials
Actual cost of production Actual cost of production
Actual cost of sales Actual cost of sales
Estimated profitsEstimated profits
Life insurance companiesLife insurance companies
EstimatedEstimated mortality ratemortality rate
Estimated interest rateEstimated interest rate
Estimated additional costsEstimated additional costs
Estimated profitEstimated profit
Product pricesProduct prices
Product sold,Product sold,profits realizedprofits realized
Premium ratesPremium rates
Insurance policiesInsurance policies
terminated,terminated,profits realizedprofits realized
Business operations:Business operations:
3. Profitability hinges on anticipated costs3. Profitabil ity hinges on anticipated costs
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Business operations:Business operations:
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Implications:
A life insurance company operates with liabilities.
A life insurance company’s financial stability is
very important. Prudent business operations are the fundamental
management principle of a life insurance
company.
Business operations:Business operations:
4. Reserves are an obligation to customers4. Reserves are an obligation to customers
B i t t d fit bilit fB siness str ct re and profitabilit of a
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Business structure and profitability of aBusiness structure and profitability of a
life insurance companylife insurance company
In general:
• Product nature: For protection > Savings> Dividend-paying >
Derivative
• Duration: long term > short term
• Payment method: Regular > Single
• Distribution channel: agents > Bancassurance > group direct
sales
Conclusion: For protection, long-term, regular premium, agent
distributed channel