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Ciência. Economia. Política. Economia. Ciência. Política. Política. Ciência. Economia. The Lancet ,  Volume 360, Issue 9341 ,  19 October 2002 ,  Pages 1184-1185. The Lancet ,  Volume 360, Issue 9341 ,  19 October 2002 ,  Pages 1184-1185. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Ciência

Ciência

Economia

Política

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Economia

Política

Ciência

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Ciência

Política

Economia

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The Lancet, Volume 360, Issue 9341, 19 October 2002, Pages 1184-1185

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The Lancet, Volume 360, Issue 9341, 19 October 2002, Pages 1184-1185

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Anenberg et al Environ Health Perspect 118:1189-1195.

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Vörösmarty et al. Nature 467, 555-561 (29 September 2010)

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ANRUSSIAS.KOR

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20302025202020152010200520001995199019851980

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500

400

300

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fossil

renewable

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Variáveis ORO3 (0 – 69 g/m3) 0,1

O3 (70 – 116 g/m3) 0,3

O3 (117 – 185 g/m3) 2,3

O3 (186 – 291 g/m3) 2,0

PM10 (0 – 25 g/m3) 0,1

PM10 (26 – 62 g/m3) 0,3

PM10 (63 – 101 g/m3) 1,7

PM10 (102 – 166 g/m3) 4,0

Hum (0 – 28 %) 11Hum (29 – 44%) 3Hum (45 – 67%) 0,4Hum (67 – 86%) 0,4

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Variáveis Quartis (%) OR (p<0.05)

IC95%

Hum (0 – 28 %) Q1 (0 – 25) 13.1(0.03) 1.3:134.9O3 (117 – 185 g/m3) Q3 (50 – 75) 1.4 (0.77) 0.1:12.2

PM10 (63 – 101 g/m3) Q3 (50 – 75) 2.2 (0.45) 0.3:18.1

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Health co-benefits of policies

to tackle climate change

published November 2010

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The InterAcademy Medical Panel

• is the global network of the world's medical academies and medical sections of academies of science and engineering

• has 69 member academies

• is committed to improving health world-wide 

• IAMP activities focus on institutional collaboration to strengthen the role of all academies – to alleviate the health burdens of the world's poorest people;– to build scientific capacity for health; – to provide independent scientific advice on promoting health science and

health care policy to national governments and global organizations.

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Why this statement?

• New scientific evidence published by The Task Force on Climate Change Mitigation and Public Health a series of articles in the Lancet in November 2009

• Statement by UK Academy of Medical Sciences in 2010

• Special role of IAMP to bundle activities by national activities and lift them up on an international level

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People and academies involved

• International expert group:– Professor Detlev Ganten – Germany

(Chair)– Professor Sir Andrew Haines – UK – Professor Roseanne Diab – South

Africa– Professor Thomas Mettenleiter –

Germany– Professor Tony McMichael –

Australia– Professor Jonathan Patz – U.S.– Professor Paulo Saldiva – Brazil – Professor Stig Wall - Sweden

• statement signed by – 45 member academies – from 39 countries

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Climate change impacts on health

Source: http://www.who.int/globalchange/environment/en/

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Main messages

1. Climate change is a threat to human health.

2. That threat can be tackled by mitigating (abating) climate change and, meanwhile, by adapting to its unavoidable impacts.

3. Mitigation actions can themselves improve the health of the population taking those actions.

4. Those (bonus) co-benefits to health show that policies to mitigate climate change are not necessarily a social or economic cost.

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Example 1: household energy

• Health benefits of the Indian stove programme

Deaths from ALRI

Deaths from COPD

Deaths from IHD

Avoided in 2020 (%)

30.2% 28.2% 5.8%

Total avoided 2010-20

240,000 1.27 million 560,000

ALRI=acute lower respiratory infections. COPD=chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. IHD=ischaemic heart disease.

Source: Wilkinson et al. (2009)

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Example 2: urban transport

CO2-reduction measureMore active travel

and less use of motor vehicles

Increase use of low-emission motor

vehicles

Combination of active travel and

low-emission motor vehicles

DALYs in London

-7 332 -160 -7 439

DALYs in Delhi -12 516 -1 696 -12 995

• Health effects in 1 year (change in DALYs)

DALY= disability-adjusted life years Source: Woodcock et al. (2009)

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General recommendations• local and global improvement of health should be key

motivation for mitigating climate change• give health co-benefits greater prominence in

international negotiations• health ministers should promote mitigation strategies

that result in health co-benefits• encourage more international collaboration between

policymakers, scientists, health professionals and industry

• health community most provide leadership by reducing emissions from health systems

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Supporting material

• Comment in the Lancet from 26 Nov 2010• Lancet Series (2009) on Health and

Climate Change http://www.thelancet.com/series/health-and-climate-change