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Page 1: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update

Mark Libby - CDM Manager

Curt Kaler - CDM Co-Lead Future Concepts

Mark Hopkins – CDM Co-Lead Future Concepts

Marshall Mowery - CDM Co-Lead Surface

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Page 2: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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FAA CDM Office

CDM Domestic combined with International Operations, includes International Data Sharing

One Manager

Two Full Time Team Leads, Two Part-Time

Two Staff Specialists

One Executive Assistant

NATCA CDM Representative

Page 3: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Global Collaboration

ATCSCC/EuroControl; Action Plan 26

Collaborating with ICAO on a global ATFM manual; Chapter on CDM

Working with various air navigation service providers (ANSP) to foster the concept of CDM

International Telcons; Planning, Hurricane, Volcanic Ash, CDM Roadshows

Page 4: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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CDM Working Group Structure

Flow Evaluation Team (FET) FAA/NBAA

Future Concept Team (FCT) FAA/DAL

Weather Evaluation Team (WET) FAA/JBU

Surface CDM Team (SCT) FAA/FDX

CDM Training Team (CTT) FAA/AWE

Page 5: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Flow Evaluation Team

Develop new Collaborative National Planning concepts (Automated)

Future Applications of Required Time of Arrival/Control Time of Arrival

Page 6: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Weather Evaluation Team

Developing and coordinating new weather forecasting products and procedures for Traffic Management

Page 7: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Future Concept Team

Developing Phase I of Collaborative Airspace Constraint Resolution (CACR)

Page 8: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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ICR - Integrated Collaborative Rerouting

LNK

IRW

ABI

ORIGINAL

EARLY INTENT

REQUIRED Future Concept Team

Page 9: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Select Best Route around FCASelect Best Route around FCA

Page 10: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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EWR1

EWR2

EWR3

EWR4

EWR5

EWR6

EWR7

EWR8

EWR9

EWR ROUTES

NRS (National Route System) Wind Routes

Page 11: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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JFK1/TEB1

JFK2/TEB2

JFK4/TEB4

JFK3/TEB3

JFK5/TEB5

JFK6/TEB6

JFK7/TEB7

JFK/TEB ROUTES

NRS (National Route System) Wind Routes

Page 12: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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SEVEN7System Enhancements for Versatile Electronic Negotiation

ConceptConceptConceptConcept

User generates list of prioritized multiple

options

TFM-S manages data exchange TM monitors capacity and

manages demand

Prioritized Option List

Dynamic Flight list

Constraint Definition

Automated messages

User generates list of prioritized multiple

options

TFM-S manages data exchange TM monitors capacity and

manages demand

Prioritized Option List

Dynamic Flight list

Constraint Definition

Automated messages

CTOPCTOPCollaborative Trajectory Options ProgramCollaborative Trajectory Options Program

TBO - Trajectory Based Operations

Page 13: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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SEVEN7System Enhancements for Versatile Electronic Negotiation

ConceptConceptConceptConcept

Interactive Dynamic Flight List (IDFL)Flow Constrained Area (FCA)

CTOPCTOPCollaborative Trajectory Options ProgramCollaborative Trajectory Options Program

Page 14: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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TOS - Trajectory Options Set

TOS for UAL234

RMNT: Route M inimum N otification T ime required by the user to accept the given trajectory

Initial Filed trajectory

ZKC_wx20-40 mins delay,

0-9 mins delay

10-19 mins delay,

20-40 mins delay

10-19 mins delay

RMNT = 60 mins

0-9 mins delay

RMNT =

RMNT = 60 mins

RMNT = 15 mins

RMNT = 15 mins

60 mins

0-9 mins delay

RMNT : Route M inimum N otification T ime required by the user to accept the given trajectory

Initial trajectory

ZKC_wx20-40 mins delay,

0-9 mins delay

10-19 mins delay,

20-40 mins delay

10-19 mins delay

RMNT = 60 mins

0-9 mins delay

RMNT =

RMNT = 60 mins

RMNT = 15 mins

RMNT = 15 mins

60 mins

0-9 mins delay

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ScheduledFiledActiveDelayedRe-routed

CTOP – Collaborative Trajectory Options Program

More flights get rerouted and delayed(shown in white & yellow)

Page 16: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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CTOP – Collaborative Trajectory Options Program

Demand through the ZKC FCAafter capacity dial up to 80%

ScheduledFiledActiveDelayedRe-routed

EXIT STRATEGY

Flights begin returning to their #1 option or original route

(white & yellow routes reducing and more green rout es appear)

Page 17: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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1. “Right Sizing”the Constraint

- Decision support: Where to draw the line?Where to set the dial?

CACR – Collaborative Airspace Constraint

Resolution

Page 18: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Framework for Weather Impacts in Decision Support

CIWS / CoSPAPrecipitation & Echo Tops

ForecastsPilot Model:

Probability of Deviation

Impact Forecasts

FCA Capacity Forecast Matrix

Forecast Weather Avoidance Field (WAF)

TranslationWeather

Airspace

Route / flow blockage

Capacity impacts

Decision Support

RAPT

Operational Needs

Performance Metrics

Decision support : Where to set the dial?

Page 19: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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TerminalTerminal En Route

Tactical Reroutes Less Than 45 MIN From Departure

Tactical Airborne Reroutes

2. Tactical Departure Constraint Resolution & Tactical Enroute Constraint Resolution

Page 20: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Surface CDM Team

Developing

Requirements Document for sharing airport surface data

Collaborating with EuroControl Airport-CDM Team to harmonize (where possible) Surface CDM Procedures

Page 21: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Summary of Major CONOPS Changes

• Alignment with NextGen Implementation Plan (NGIP) & FAA Response to RTCA Task Force Recommendations

• Alignment with industry CONOPS-writing standards

• Development of Departure Reservoir Management (DRM) and Departure Metering Procedures (DMP) concepts

• Time-Based DMP (assignment of TMAT)

• Count-Based DMP (assignment of TMAC)

Surface CDM Team (SCT) Update

Marshall Mowery, FAA Surface CDM

Mark Hopkins, Delta Airlines

Page 22: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Foundational Surface CDM Capabilities & Procedures

1. Improve Individual and Shared Situational Awareness to Manage Departures.

2. Tactically Manage Surface Movement and Departure Queues

3. Improve Situational Awareness to Manage Arrival Traffic Flows

4. Improve Analysis and Measurement of Surface Operations

5. Global Harmonization

Page 23: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Goals of Surface CDM

Establish a foundation for interoperability/global harmonization with other relevant Airport CDM programs

Identify policy considerations for each of the core capabilities

Align with the FAA’s NextGen “Solution Sets”

Flexible, transparent, quantifiable

Understand the “real” demand at an airport

Improve situational awareness

Disseminate timely and accurate airport surface operations information among Stakeholders in a standardized format

Page 24: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Goals of Surface CDM…

Archive and store data for post-operational retrieval and analysis by all Stakeholders

Identify measures and metrics which allow Stakeholders to measure the efficiency of the airport surface operation

Improve predictability by continuously monitoring capacity and demand

Improve NAS efficiency

Effectively improve timeliness of flight operations

Reduce the environmental impact of airport surface operations

Page 25: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Airport CDM Influence in CONOPS

Key Similarities

• Use of information sharing guidelines & similar milestones approaches. Shared milestones include, but not limited to:

Target off Block Time (TOBT)

Actual off Block Time (AOBT)

Actual Take off Time (ATOT)

Estimated Landing Time (ELDT)

Target Landing Time (TLDT)

Actual Landing Time (ALDT)

• Establishment of Key Performance Areas and Indicators

• Collaborative pre-departure sequencing and management of flight updates

• Incorporation of variable taxi times into prediction/planning

Page 26: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Airport CDM Influence in CONOPS…

Key Differences

• Surface CDM CONOPS establishes the metering point at the transition between the non-movement and movement areas (spots), whereas Airport CDM establishes the control point at the gate/stand.

• Surface CDM does not adopt Airport CDM’s Target Startup Approval Time (TSAT) turn-around milestone. Operators will determine startup time internally as necessary to adhere to established spot arrival times.

• Surface CDM equitably assigns departure opportunities to aircraft operators in the form of specific Target Movement area Entry Times (TMATs) or Target Movement area Entry Counts (TMACs), depending on which capacity allocation method best suits the needs of a particular operation.

• Within Surface CDM, the entity responsible for acting as the Departure Reservoir Coordinator (DRC) will be selected on an airport-by-airport basis, and may not necessarily be ATC/TFM.

• Surface CDM recognizes the FAA definition of taxi time as time in movement area, but also considers “out-to-off” performance. Airport-CDM defines taxi time as “out-to-off”.

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-Culture Change

-Runway and Taxiway Closures

-New and Challenging Configurations

-Airspace Constraints, Conflict with LGA

- 7 Terminals, Cargo and General Aviation Terminals

-145 Carriers, International and Domestic

-Existing Tools, funding, bureaucratic process

Page 28: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Page 29: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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� Support customers with effective surface

management in response to construction� Maintain similar throughput

� Mitigate increase in delays

� Increase Safety

� Provide a better passenger experience

Page 30: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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� Promote Culture Change –Exit First Come First Served

� Ration by Schedule through Equitable Allocation of Bucket Times

� Communicate and leverage strategic support from FAA

� Maximize surface efficiency by allocating bucket times based on true departure capacity for the configuration, first fix availability

� Enable more seamless configuration changes by reducing AOA congestion

Page 31: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Page 32: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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JFK Performance with MeteringSource: ASPM

2010 taxi out times were approximately 4 minutes less than in 2009

Page 33: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Gate Departure DelaySource: ASPM

More gate delay in 2010 compared to 2009

Page 34: Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Update · 2011. 4. 4. · Dynamic Flight list Constraint Definition Automated messages ... 20-40 mins delay 10 -19 mins delay RMNT = 60 mins 0-9

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Questions?