conservation action planning process target viability/integrity: an iterative process
TRANSCRIPT
Conservation Action Planning Process
Target Viability/Integrity:An Iterative Process
Defining Your Project
Developing Strategies &
Measures
Implementing Strategies &
Measures
Using Results to Adapt & Improve
Developing Strategies & Measures
· Target viability· Critical threats· Situation analysis· Objectives & actions· Measures
What is “viability”?ViabilityViability of a conservation target is the measure to which the target is…….
resistant to change in its structure and composition in the face of external stresses and
What is Viability?
resilient – able to recover upon experiencing occasional severe stress
Why Assess Viability?
(1) To clearly define targets (esp. ecological systems)
(2) Science-based foundation for establishing current status of a target and setting desired future condition (goals)
(3) Helps to identify stresses to the ecological integrity of each target and understand with more precision how these threats disrupt the target
(4) Assists in developing good objectives and focused strategies
(5) Guides the design of monitoring protocol and measures of success
(6) Helps identify critical knowledge gaps about the system
Viability analysis has three steps
Step One. Define Key Ecological Attributes
Step two. Identify indicators of status of these Attributes
Step three. Rank the indicators
Select: KEY ECOLOGICAL ATTRIBUTES
Aspects of the conservation target (species, community or ecological system) that clearly define or characterize the target and determine its distribution and variation over space and time.
Characteristics of the target, that if eliminated or significantly altered, would result in the demise of the target or would shift it into something quite different.
Step One
Characteristics of Conservation Targets – assigned to categories of……Size
• Area or abundance• Minimum dynamic area
Size• Area or abundance• Minimum dynamic area
Condition • Composition (e.g., native vs. nonnative)• Structure (e.g., age)• Biotic Interactions (e.g., reproduction)
Condition • Composition (e.g., native vs. nonnative)• Structure (e.g., age)• Biotic Interactions (e.g., reproduction)
Landscape Context • Dominant environmental regimes (e.g. fire, hydrology)• Connectivity (e.g., access to habitats/resources, ability to
disperse, migrate, re-colonize)
Landscape Context • Dominant environmental regimes (e.g. fire, hydrology)• Connectivity (e.g., access to habitats/resources, ability to
disperse, migrate, re-colonize)
FocalTarget
CategoryKey
Attribute
Mangrove Forest
Size Habitat Size
KEA for Mangrove Forest
FocalTarget
CategoryKey
Attribute
Coral Reef ConditionPresence of
Invasive species
KEA for Coral Reef
Tips for Selecting Key Ecological Attributes• Pick factors that are critical for long-term viability…
Characteristics, if degraded, would seriously jeopardize the target’s ability to persist for 100+ years?
• When in doubt, pick characteristics that can be or are likely to be affected by human activities
• Look for a few really key ecological attributes … versus many desirable or descriptive characteristics
Key Ecological Attributes are what’s important…….
• Pick factors that are critical for long-term viability… Characteristics, if degraded, would seriously jeopardize
the target’s ability to persist for 100+ years?
• When in doubt, pick characteristics that can be or are likely to be affected by human activities
• Look for a few really key ecological attributes … versus many desirable or descriptive characteristics
Key Ecological Attributes are what’s important…….
Indicators are measurable aspects of the Key Ecological Attribute that inform us of its status or “health”
Second Step: Select Indicators
Indicators are what you measure
Key Attribute: Circulatory system Indicator: Blood pressure
FocalTarget
CategoryKey
AttributeIndicator
Mangrove Forest
Size Habitat Size% of original forest
Indicator for Mangrove Forest
FocalTarget
CategoryKey
AttributeIndicator
Coral Reef ConditionPresence of
Invasive species
Crown of thorns on reef
Indicator for Coral Reef
Look for indicators that ... • Strongly relate to the status of the key ecological attribute
• Are efficient & affordable to measure
• Where you can reasonably define what constitutes “Good”
• Desirable indicators ...– Might provide an early warning to serious stresses– Might assess two or more key ecological attributes
e.g. Presence of young cypress in a floodplain forest as an indicator for both hydrological regime & reproduction of dominant species
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
CategoryKey
AttributeIndicator Poor Fair Good
Very Good
Targetname
- Size- Condition- Landscape Context
Key Attribute A
Indicator 1 Criteria for Poor
Criteria for Fair
Criteria for
Good
Criteria for Very Good
Very Good: Ecologically
desirable status; Requires little intervention for maintenance
Fair:Outside acceptable range
of variation; Requires human intervention
Good:Indicator w/in acceptable range of variation; Some intervention required for
maintenance
Poor: Restoration
increasingly difficult; May result in extirpation
Step Three: “Ranking” Target Viability
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
CategoryKey
AttributeIndicator Poor Fair Good
Very Good
Mangrove Forest
Size Habitat Size% of original forest
< 25 25-50 51-75 > 75
Viability Ratings for Mangrove Forest
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
CategoryKey
AttributeIndicator Poor Fair Good
Very Good
Coral Reef ConditionPresence of
Invasive species
Crown of thorns on reef
Lots Few None
Viability Ratings for Coral Reef
CONDITIONSIZE
LANDSCAPECONTEXT
CONDITIONSIZE
LANDSCAPECONTEXT
Target A Viability
Target B Viability
Target C Viability
Target D
Viability
CONDITIONSIZE
LANDSCAPECONTEXT
CONDITIONSIZE
LANDSCAPECONTEXT
Biodiversity Health or Landscape Functionality
Overall “Picture” of Project Viability
Final Product: Target Viability
Summary
Grade Weight Grade Weight Grade Weight
1 Eucalypt woodlands Fair 1 Good 1 Very Good 1
2 Malleefowl Fair 1 Fair 1 Fair 1
3 Priority flora of the greenstone rangesGood 1 Fair 1 Fair 1
4 Succulent steppe mosaic Good 1 - 0 Very Good 1
5 Critical weight mammals Good 1 Poor 1 Poor 1
6 Shrublands Fair 1 Good 1 Good 1
7 - 1 - 1 - 1
8 - 1 - 1 - 1
Site Biodiversity Health Rank
Viability Rank
Condition Size
Northern Wheatbelt Woodlands
Conservation TargetsLandscape Context
Good
Fair
Fair
Very Good
Good
Fair
Good
-
-
Conducting the Assessment
An iterative process with “successive approximations”Begin with a “credible first iteration” -- your first approximation
• Identify 3 - 5 really key ecological attributes for each focal target (maybe one each for size, condition and landscape context)
• Determine what you’ll measure for each attribute – indicator
• Discuss and describe what would constitute a “good” status
• Rate the “Current Status” for each attribute, based on informed expert opinion + available information
• Present your initial findings to colleagues/experts for review
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute IndicatorCurrentStatus
LandscapeContext
Example - 1st Pass
• Grassland focal target identified• Fire regime = Key Attribute (Landscape Context)• Fire frequency = Indicator• Dense woody cover suggests not enough fire• Current status deemed not viable - assigned “Fair”
FairGrassland Target
Fire regime
Fire frequency
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
grassland - Type X
Landscape Context
fire regime fire frequency not
enough fire
1st Pass - table
1st pass results in Indicator Rating table
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
grassland - Type X
Landscape Context
fire regime fire frequency not
enough fire
grassland - Type X
Landscape Context
fire regime fire frequency > 10 years5-10 years
Phone call to local grassland expert indicates natural fire frequency of 5-10 years.
2nd Pass
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
grassland - Type X
Landscape Context
fire regime fire frequency not
enough fire
grassland - Type X
Landscape Context
fire regime fire frequency > 10 years5-10 years
grassland - Type X
Landscape Context
fire regime% grassland with 5-10 yr fire return
<25% 25-50% 51-75% >75%
• % of the area that is burned at acceptable frequency deemed important
• Decision made > 50% of area = viable or key attribute = “Good”
• Current status is < 50% is burned at this interval
3rd Pass
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
grassland - Type X
Landscape Context
fire regime fire frequency not
enough fire
grassland - Type X
Landscape Context
fire regime fire frequency > 10 years5-10 years
grassland - Type X
Landscape Context
fire regime% grassland with 5-10 yr fire return
<25% 25-50% 51-75% >75%
The project team could have settled on any one of these 3 alternatives as part of their initial CAP plan
Flexible level of detail
1
2
3
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair Good Very Good
grassland - Type X
Size
Size/extent of characteristic communities / ecosystems
aerial extent in acres
> 100,000
acres
How important is it to fill out all ratings in this case where Current & Desired
status is Very Good?
Probably Not Important!- Unless grassland area is threatened by large-scale habitat destruction. - In this case, determining the Fair rating might guide efforts to determine how much to save
Incomplete is OK!
General Guidance• View main purpose as capturing the current state
of knowledge
• Don’t worry about information gaps
• Don’t focus on filling out all indicator ratings
• Can return during later planning stages to add more detail (if necessary)
Accept uncertainty!
Indicator Ratings
Bold=Current Italics=Desired
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
Landscape Context
Availability of medium to large trees for nesting
Number of large trees low density of large trees
high density of large trees
Condition Natural predation (e.g.
by Red-tailed Hawk & Yellow Boa)
Nest predation between March and July
>50% of nests predated
10-50% of nests predated
<10% of nests predated
Size Population size Number of individuals per sample
point decrease from
Davis' 2001 baseline
>= from Davis' 2001 baseline
Condition Population structure Fledging rates (use predator monitoring data): number of successful nests
Very good
Size Availability of large forest blocks for population refuges
Average Block Size measured from satellite imagery or aerial photography (every 5 yrs)
Decreasing average block size
increasing average block size
A Reasonable First Pass Example
Target: Black-billed and Yellow-billed Parrots – Cockpit Country
• Select one target from your project area.
• Develop 3 - 5 key ecological attributes
• Identify one indicator for each key ecological attribute
• Develop indicator rating criteria for one indicator (based on your collective expert opinion) – Define “good” and the current status
• Qualitative ratings are OK! (e.g. “Lots of in-stream barriers”, “not enough fire” etc.)
Breakout Group Instructions: Viability Assessment
Task
• What are the key attributes you selected?• Why is each attribute “key” for the target?• Which key ecological attributes did you select
indicators for?• What indicators were selected?• Which indicator did you develop rating criteria for?• How confident are you in your rating?
Very Briefly Report Back:
Breakout Group Instructions: Viability Assessment
What follows are a set of additional examples you might want to substitute in the presentation for your use. Or you might want to use an example from a previous project you have worked on.
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute IndicatorCurrentStatus
Example - 1st Pass
• American eel focal target identified
• Population size & dynamics = Key Attribute (size)
• Number of adult (silver) eel harvested = Indicator
• Few mature (silver) eels caught by fisherman during out-migration.
• Current status deemed not viable - assigned “Fair”
FairDiadromous fish
Size Population size & dynamics
# of adult (silver) eel harvested
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
Diadromous Fish SizePopulation size & dynamics
Number of adult (silver) eel harvested
No eels caught during
out migratio
n
Few mature
eels caught during out-
migration
1st Pass - table
1st pass results within Indicator Rating table
2nd PassIndicator Ratings
Bold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
Diadromous fish Size
Population size & dynamics
# of adult (silver) eel harvested
No eels caught during
outmigration
Few mature eels caught
during outmigratio
n
Diadromous fish Size
Population size & dynamics
# of adult (silver) eels harvested/night
< 1,000 lbs/night
>1,000 lbs/night
Conversation with local eel expert indicates silver eel harvest used cover the bottom of weirs with eels, approx 1,000 lbs a night.
3rd PassIndicator Ratings
Bold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
Diadromous fish
SizePopulation size & dynamics
# of adult (silver) eel harvested
No eels caught during out-
migration
Few mature eels caught during out-migration
Diadromous fish
SizePopulation size & dynamics
# of adult (silver) eels harvested/night
< 1,000 lbs/night
>1,000 lbs/night
Diadromous fish Size
Population size & dynamics
% fish biomass
< 25% 25 – 35% 35 – 50% > 50%
• % of fish biomass deemed to be important• Decision made > 35% biomass = viable KEA
= “Good”
Flexible level of detail
1
2
3
>1,000 lbs/night
< 1,000 lbs/night
# of adult (silver) eels harvested/night
Population size & dynamics
SizeDiadromous fish
> 50%35 – 50%25 – 35%< 25% % fish biomassPopulation size & dynamics
SizeDiadromous fish
Few mature
eels caught during
out-migration
No eels caught during out-
migration
# of adult (silver) eel harvested
Population size & dynamics
SizeDiadromous fish
Very Good
GoodFairPoorIndicatorKey AttributeCategoryFocal
Target
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
The project team could have settled on any one of these 3 alternatives as part of their initial CAP plan
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
Catches from the
Sea
From Viability assessment in
Indonesian village
• Catches from the Sea identified as a focal target for fish caught for local consumption and sale
• Key attribute & indicator selected• Fisherman observe that catch is much less than they
remember in recent times• Current status considered not viable (Fair)
XPopulation size
Fish catch per day
Size
Indicator RatingsBold=Current Italics=Desired
FocalTarget
Category Key Attribute Indicator Poor Fair GoodVery Good
Catches from the
SeaSize Population size
fish catch per day
catch = 0
1 - 30 strings of
fish
From Viability assessment in
Indonesian village
• Interviews indicate current harvest < 30 strings of fish
• Ten years ago, harvest yielded up to 200 strings of fish
• > 100 considered Very Good
• 31-100 considered Good
> 100 strings of fish
31-100 strings of fish
Size/Minimum Dynamic Area
for Northern Appalachians Matrix Forests
DISTURBANCES:
(4 X's the historic severe-destructionpatch size)
SPECIES:(25 X's the mean female home range)
0 2 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 // 75 //
Scaling Factors and Reserve Size
Neotropical birds
HurricanesTornados
Barred Owl F isher*
Lynx*
Fires (NH)
Moose*
Downbursts
Spruce Grouse
Fires (SF)?
Marten
Fires (SF)?
Bobcat *
Acres (000’s)
Systems Viability Worksheet Mount Grant
Size ConditionLandscape
Context Grade Grade Grade
Surface Water Good 1 Good 1 Fair 1 Good
Riparian Forests and Shrublands Very Good 1 Good 1 Good 1 Good
Montane Meadows Good 1 Fair 1 Good 1 Good
Springs and Seeps Very Good 1 Good 1 Good 1 Good
Sagebrush/Pinyon Woodlands Good 1 Fair 1 Fair 1 Fair
Greater Sage Grouse Fair 1 Poor 1 Fair 1 Fair
Subalpine and Alpine Systems Very Good 1 Very Good 1 Good 1 Very Good
Lakeshore Wetlands Good 1 Fair 1 Good 1 Good
Site Biodiversity Health Rank Good
Viability Rank
Systems(Target) Viability
Final Product: Target Viability Summary
• Key Ecological Attributes– Critical component of target’s life history, physical or
biological processes, composition, structure– Clearly define target– Limit its distribution– Determine its natural variation over space and time– On a time scale of 50-100+ years
• Viability Indicators– Measurable entities used to assess the status of
Key Ecological Attribute(s).
• Indicator Rating Categories– Criteria to enable objective status assessments
Viability Assessment: Fundamentals