contango and backwardation
DESCRIPTION
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Tired by searching
meaning of
contango and
backwardation
over the internet?
Confused in understanding concept of contango and backwardation by referring innumerable websites over the web? But the question still remains, How to understand contango and backwardation in simple language?
Confused in understanding concept of
contango and backwardation by
referring innumerable websites over the
web?
But the question still remains, How
to understand contango and
backwardation in simple language
Don’t worry! This presentation gives you a gist of contango and backwardation
Lifesaving Concepts
Commodity
Market
Commodity
Derivative
Future
contract
Spot
Price
Premium
Future
price
In certain energy and commodity markets contango and
backwardation terms are used. If we get more into deep
into it; we can say that especially in the crude oil market
these terms are used. In many books you can see only
theoretical definitions but in practical that concept is
much different.
There are two concepts of contengo-
• Contengo
• Normal Contengo
Contango refers to the situation
where the Future prices of
stock are higher than the
current spot price.
It refers to phenomena where
Future price is higher than
expected Future spot price
(Expected market Price) in the
market.
If you understand contengo by heart then you can easily predict the meaning of backwardation. Simply it is opposite to contengo. Backwardation can occur if the markets have oversupply of commodities. Backwardation is bearish indicator it also indicate an immediate shortage.
There are two concepts of backwardation
• Backwardation
• Normal Backwardation
Backwardation Definition
It refers to the market situation where the Future prices are lower than the current spot prices for a
particular commodity.
Normal Backwardation
It refers to phenomena where Future price is less than expected
future spot price (Expected market Price) in the market.
Difference between Contango and Backwardation
Basis Contango Backwardation
Definition Contango refers to the situation
where the Future prices of stock
are higher than the current spot
price
It refers to the market
situation where the
Future prices are lower
than the current spot
prices for a particular
commodity.
Future Curve Upward Sloping Downward Sloping
Price Difference Future Price > Spot Price Future Price < Spot Price
Most Happen in
Case of
Commodity
Oil
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