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2009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference Space Based Measurements for Long-Term Global Space Based Measurements for Long-Term Global Monitoring of Atmospheric CO 2 David Crisp Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology May 13, 2009 1 Copyright 2009 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged

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Page 1: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

2009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

Space Based Measurements for Long-Term GlobalSpace Based Measurements for Long-Term Global Monitoring of Atmospheric CO2

David Crisp Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology

May 13, 2009

Slide 12009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

Copyright 2009 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged

Page 2: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Requirements for Observing CO2 from Space

• Precise in situ measurements of CO2 and other greenhouse gases are now being made from a global network of ground based stations.

• This network has expanded continuously over the past 50 years and now provides the accuracy and coverage needed to define global CO2 trends.

• It still lacks the spatial and temporal resolution needed to map CO2 sources and sinks on regional scales over the globe.

– The network is particularly sparse in the tropics and over the oceans.

• One way to fill these gaps is to make global measurements of atmospheric CO2 from space.

• This is a particularly challenging remote sensing measurement because the presence of surface sources and sinks must be inferred from the small spatial and temporal variations that they produce in the background CO2di t ib ti

Slide 22009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

distribution.

Page 3: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Solar Near IR and Thermal IR CO2 SoundersThermal

• Solar and thermal IR measurements of CO2 address complementary science issues– AIRS,TES (NASA) and IASI (ESA) measure CO2

above the mid troposphere

Thermal

above the mid-troposphere▪ Describe the vertical profile of CO2 in the

upper troposphere and lower stratosphere▪ Directly measure the greenhouse forcing by Solar

M. Chahine 2008

Directly measure the greenhouse forcing by CO2 in the present climate

– Solar NIR instruments (SCIAMACHY, GOSAT, OCO) are most sensitive to CO near the groundOCO) are most sensitive to CO2 near the ground▪ Optimized for identifying and quantifying

surface sources and sinks ▪ Provides insight needed to predict future rates

R. Kawa 2008

Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO2 buildup and climate impacts

– Combining solar NIR and thermal IR measurements could provide insight into

Slide 32009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

measurements could provide insight into atmospheric transport

Page 4: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Spatial Sampling Needs: CO2 Weather

Slide 42009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

Page 5: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Cooperative Air Sampling Network

Slide 52009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

Page 6: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Spatial Sampling by GOSAT (Ibuki)

GOSAT will collect 56000 soundings over its 3 day ground repeat cycle

Slide 62009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

• GOSAT will collect ~56000 soundings over its 3-day ground repeat cycle• At least 10% of these are expected to be sufficiently cloud free to retrieve XCO2

Page 7: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Effects of Clouds

PCTM/GEOS-4PCTM/GEOS 4 (Randy Kawa, GSFC)

Clouds and aerosols reduce the spatial sampling, making it harder to resolve the spatial ariations in CO associated ith “carbon eather ”

Slide 72009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

variations in CO2 associated with “carbon weather.” [Anna Michalak and Alanood Alkhaled, U. Michigan].

Page 8: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

The Importance of Precision

The nominal, regional scale XCO2 precision targets for the OCO and GOSAT instrumentsOCO and GOSAT instruments (blue and green, as indicated) are compared to the XCO2cross-section measured by yrecent transects of the NSF HIAPER aircraft (S. Wofsy, private communication, 2009).

While both missions were expected to improve on their minimum accuracyminimum accuracy requirements, OCO was optimized to resolve the subtle latitude dependent variations in

Slide 82009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

pCO2, like those shown here.

Page 9: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Connecting the Space Based CO2 Measurements to the Ground-Based Standard: TCCON

• A critical element of this strategy was the Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON)(TCCON)– High resolution FTS’s measure the

absorption of direct sunlight by CO2 and O2, in the same spectral regions used by th TANSO FTSthe TANSO-FTS.

– Over-flights of TCCON stations by aircraft carrying in situ instruments calibrated with WMO referenced gasesF 

Tower

calibrated with WMO referenced gases used to validate TCCON results. ▪ Aircraft CO2 profiles extending from the

boundary layer to the middle troposphere are integrated to derive a value of X44

7‐m W

LEF

are integrated to derive a value of XCO2. – Simultaneous TCCON FTS and TANSO-

FTS measurements will be compared to transfer the WMO standard to the

4

Park Falls, WI FTS

Slide 92009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

spacecraft measurements.

Page 10: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Current Coverage of the TCCON Network

The TCCON Network now includes stations spanning latitudes from 79 N

Slide 102009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

The TCCON Network now includes stations, spanning latitudes from 79 N (Spitsbergen Ny) to Lauder New Zealand, and is expanding.

Page 11: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Validating Space based CO2 measurements against the Ground base in situ Network

• To further validate these space-based measurements, they can be assimilated into global carbon source/sink inversion models to derive near-surface CO2 fields that can be validated against measurements from the C SCooperative Air Sampling Network.

Measurements of XCO2 from SCIAMACHY for three years

XCO2 SCIAMACHY XCO2 CarbonTracker

(2003 to 2005) compared to estimates of total XCO2 from the NOAA Carbon Tracker d t i il ti tdata assimilation system. Annual averages are shown [Schneising et al., 2008].

Note: The color scales reflect higher variability in SCIAMACHY XCO2 (12.5 ppm) compared to CarbonTracker X (6 0 ppm)

Slide 112009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

CarbonTracker XCO2 (6.0 ppm).

Page 12: Crisp ESRL 2009 Space based XCO2 Measurements 20090510 · 2009-05-10 · R. Kawa 2008 Provides insight needed to predict future rates of CO 2 buildup and climate impacts – Combining

Conclusions

• Space-based remote sensing instruments hold substantial promise for future long-term, space-based monitoring of CO2 and other greenhouse gases

– The principal advantages of these systems are▪ Spatial coverage (especially over oceans and tropical land)

S li d it ( d d t l CO2 th )▪ Sampling density (needed to resolve CO2 weather)

• To reach their full potential, the space based measurements must be th hl lid t d t d t t th i d fthoroughly validated to demonstrate their accuracy and range of validity.

• Ground based in situ and remote sensing instruments will continue to play an essential role, providing– Ground truth for the space based instruments

Slide 122009 ESRL Global Monitoring Annual Conference

– Insight into processes controlling surface fluxes of CO2