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PJM©2014 Cross Border Capacity Trading… Looking Back and Looking Forward Craig Glazer Vice President - Federal Government Policy PJM Interconnection IEA Expert Workshop V Regional Resource Adequacy January 15, 2015 Paris, France

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Page 1: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014

Cross Border Capacity Trading… Looking Back and Looking Forward

Craig Glazer

Vice President - Federal Government Policy

PJM Interconnection

IEA Expert Workshop V

Regional Resource Adequacy

January 15, 2015

Paris, France

Page 2: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 2

Presentation Outline

• PJM Overview

• U.S. Capacity Market Patchwork

• Cross - Border Capacity Trading

• Future Issues: Policy/Planning/Market Design

Page 3: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014

PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity

Market Design Fundamentals

Page 4: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 4

PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

www.pjm.com

KEY STATISTICS

PJM member companies 925+

millions of people served 61

peak load in megawatts 165,492

MWs of generating capacity 183,604

miles of transmission lines 62,556

2013 GWh of annual energy 791,089

generation sources 1,376

square miles of territory 243,417

area served 13 states + DC

externally facing tie lines 191

• 27% of generation in

Eastern Interconnection

• 28% of load in Eastern Interconnection

• 20% of transmission assets in

Eastern Interconnection

21% of U.S. GDP

produced in PJM

As of 9/1/2014

Page 5: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 5

PJM Functions

• Operate the bulk electric power grid for reliability

• Facilitate various electric markets

• Plan for transmission expansion

• Monitor the markets to ensure competitiveness

• Provide exceptional customer/member service

• Share best practices with neighboring and

international system operators

Page 6: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 6

PJM Backbone Transmission

www.pjm.com

Page 7: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 7

Nine Major North American RTOs / ISOs

www.pjm.com

Page 8: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 8

The U.S. Capacity Market Patchwork

• Forward Capacity Markets –

PJM/New England

• Annual Capacity Market –

New York

• State-Authorized Capacity

Procurement – Midcontinent ISO

• Energy-Only Markets—Texas,

California

www.pjm.com

Page 9: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014

PJM Capacity Market Overview

Page 10: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 10

PJM Maintains Reliability through Markets

Page 11: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 11

Highlights of RPM Auction Design

www.pjm.com

Forward

Commitment: PJM

invites resource-

specific sell offers for

planning each year,

three years in

advance.

Open to All

Resources: Products

that may be offered

include: existing and

planned generation;

planned transmission

upgrades; and

existing and planned

demand resources

Page 12: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 12

Highlights of RPM Auction Design (Cont.)

www.pjm.com

Single Clearing

Price: New

generation, new

demand response

alternatives, and

new transmission

solutions can

compete directly with

existing resources

Imports: Imports

recognized as

capacity resources

subject to reliability-

based import

limitations

Page 13: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 13

Impacts of the Capacity Market Patchwork –

PJM Solutions to Ensure Reliability

Page 14: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 14

Impacts of the Capacity Market Patchwork

Impact #1: Capacity Chases Price

• PJM moves from net exporter of capacity in

2007 (2,616 MW) to net capacity importer year

after market introduced (2,612 MW)

• Between 2012 and 2013 auctions capacity

imports jump 81% (8,412 MW for 2016 vs.

4,650 MW for 2015)

• Neighboring regions fall short of capacity

Page 15: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 15

Impacts of the Capacity Market Patchwork

www.pjm.com

Impact #2: Although firm transmission service

required, analysis did not take into account

risk of curtailment on intermediate systems

Page 16: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 16

Impacts of the Capacity Market Patchwork

Impact #3:

Internal reliability impacted due

to impact of curtailments beyond

importer’s control

Page 17: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 17

Impacts of the Capacity Market Patchwork

Impact #4:

Over-delivery of potential non-deliverable

resources leads to price suppression as

importing capacity chases price.

Page 18: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 18

PJM Initiated Solution

Establishment of a Capacity Import Limit

Goals

• Enable the market to

price deliverability

constraints in its

choice of resources

• Recognize realistic

limits on dependence

on neighboring

systems

Page 19: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 19

Features of the PJM Capacity Import Limit

• Timing Change: Curtailment risk

factored into initial capacity

procurements

• Modeling: Model total transmission

capability at the borders under PJM

Capacity Emergency Conditions

• Individual Interface Review:

Recognize separate limits at each border

Page 20: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 20

Features of the PJM Capacity Import Limit (cont’d)

• Recognize Existing Mutual Support: Import

limit established recognizing that mutual support

already used to reduce installed reserve margin

• Recognize Exceptions: Exceptions for

dynamically scheduled units (units not subject to

TLR-V curtailment)

- Emergency Assistance

Available (already

counted for in IRM)

Capacity

Import Limit

Total

Transmission

Capability =

Page 21: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 21

Features of the PJM Capacity Import Limit (cont’d)

• Make Realistic But Not Overly Conservative

Assumptions: Use non-coincident peaks for

each interface as not all borders experiencing

simultaneous emergencies

– Assume a level of coordinated support vs. all systems

simultaneously in emergency

• Ensure Consistent Rules for Internal and

External Resources: Must Offer Requirement

Page 22: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014

Lessons Learned

www.pjm.com

Page 23: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 23

Observations and Lessons Learned

• Selective introduction of

capacity markets reshuffles

resource mix

• Capacity imports are

important resources to

incorporate into a capacity

market

• Potential for curtailment by

neighboring systems must be

considered

Page 24: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 24

Observations and Lessons Learned (cont’d)

• Modeling of a capacity import limit should reflect

availability of mutual support and differences

across interfaces

• Ensure consistency of rules so as to avoid

market distortions from favoring/disfavoring

imported resources

Page 25: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014

Cross-Border Trading:

Future Regulatory Challenges and Opportunities

www.pjm.com

Page 26: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 26

Regulatory Challenges re:

Cross-Border Trading

Capacity Portability • Unit Specific Commitments vs. “Slice of

System” Capacity Obligation

• Pricing of Capacity Obligations:

Administrative, Cost-Based, Bid-Based?

• Binding call rights on transmission and

fixed rules on curtailment priorities

• Capacity Planning: Honoring each

nation’s policies vs. allowing for

portability of capacity resources across

borders

www.pjm.com

Page 27: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 27

An Added Complication:

Who Decides?

Page 28: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 28

Who Decides?

• States

– State Energy Policies:

Governors/legislators

– State PUCs

• FERC

– FERC Review of Planning • Order 890: Regulating Process

or Results?

• Environmental Agencies

– Non-attainment areas

– RGGI et al.

Page 29: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 29

Avoiding The Quagmire Of Inaction

“Hanging in mid-air”:

a dangerous place

Page 30: Cross Border Capacity Trading - looking back and looking …...PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Capacity Market Design Fundamentals 4 PJM©2014 PJM as Part of the Eastern Interconnection

PJM©2014 30

LET’S TALK…

Craig Glazer Vice President-Federal Government Policy PJM Interconnection Washington, D.C. , USA 1-202-423-4743 [email protected]