ct national report 2q10
TRANSCRIPT
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2nd Quarter 2010
National OceTrends Report
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2 | Cassidy Turley
Contents
U.S. Ofce Sector Analysis .......................................................................3-5
Investment Sales ........................................................................................6
Net Absorption by Metro ..........................................................................7-8
Vacancy Rates by Metro .........................................................................9-10
Asking Rents by Metro ........................................................................11-12
Inventory by Metro ..............................................................................13-14
Methodology ............................................................................................15
*Updated July 12, 2010
Kevin ThorpeChie Economist
2101 L Street, NW, Ste. 700
Washington, DC 20037
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• For the rst time in 2 years, the demand or oce space exceeded what was returned to
the market. Net absorption was +6.5 million square eet in the second quarter o 2010,
the rst period o positive demand since the rst quarter o 2008.
• The U.S. economy created 95,000 oce-using jobs in the second quarter o2010. Assuming 200 square eet per worker, the math suggests the market should
have absorbed 19.0 million square eet or the quarter. The discrepancy between
actual absorption and estimated absorption based on job growth is largely due to a
phenomenon called shadow space (i.e. businesses are simply lling up existing space
that they weren’t using during the recession).
• For the most part, demand kept pace with new supply, and as a result, national oce
vacancy remained fat compared to the previous quarter at 16.9%. Still, this is the
highest vacancy has been since 1993. O the 80 major metros tracked, 42 posted
increases in vacancy, 33 markets posted declines, and 5 markets posted no change.
• National rents are stabilizing, but not appreciating. Average asking rents ell $0.17
rom the rst to the second quarter o 2010 to $21.56. Eective rents, which strip outTIs and ree rent, remained fat at $17.65.
• The development pipeline has slowed dramatically. There is currently 32.8 million
square eet under construction, compared to 49 million square eet that delivered in
2009, and 61.1 million square eet that delivered in 2008.
• Investment sales have recently taken on a brighter hue. From Jan-May o 2010, U.S.
oce sales volume was $7.42 billion, up 39% compared to this same period one
year-ago. Cap rates continue to compress, and are down over 100 basis points rom
their peak in December o 2009. Demand remains robust or core product in top tier
markets such as New York, Washington DC, San Francisco, and Boston. Pricing in
these markets has moved up dramatically since hitting a low point in 2009. Sales o
value-add properties are ew and ar between and the challenge o price discovery or
these assets continues.
U.S. Oce Sector Analysis
U.S. Absorption vs. Vacancy U.S. Ofce-using Employment
Source: BLS Source: Cassidy Turley Research
Market Indicators2nd Quarter 2010
Net Absorption +6.5 M
Asking Rents $21.56
Vacancy
UnderConstruction
16.9%
32.8 M
2010
Q2
12-month
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Absorption Vacancy
Kevin Thorpe, Chie Economist
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Office-using
Market Overview
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Asking Rents
Selected Metros, 2nd Quarter 2010
Rents%
Change
(y/y)
New York, NY $50.19 -4.9%
Washington DC $48.39 2.1%
San Mateo County, CA $31.32 -6.5%
San Jose, CA $31.20 -8.8%
San Francisco, CA $30.82 -16.2%
Suburban VA $29.64 -0.3%
Los Angeles, CA $29.51 -6.1%
Fairfeld, CT $29.18 -8.3%
Miami, FL $28.78 -2.7%
Boston, MA $28.27 -8.3%
San Diego, CA $27.96 -6.8%
West Palm Beach, FL $27.89 -2.3%
Seattle, WA $27.27 -5.4%
Suburban MD $26.52 -3.5%
Long Island, NY $26.41 -0.4%
Westchester, NY $25.71 -10.9%
Northern New Jersey $25.36 -4.9%
Ft. Lauderdale, FL $24.98 -1.9%
Austin, TX $24.87 -1.6%
Chicago, IL $24.70 -2.7%
Oakland-East Bay, CA $24.58 -2.9%
Source: Cassidy Turley Research
• As expected, the U.S. economy has experienced some recent setbacks as it transitions
rom a stimulus-led recovery to a sel-sustaining expansion. Private sector job growth in
particular has been disappointing, creating a meager 98,000 jobs per month rom Jan-
June 2010, well below the 125,000 jobs needed to keep the unemployment rate stable.
Even under bullish economic scenarios, unemployment will not reach pre-recession
levels prior to 2013.
• History suggests a double dip scenario is highly unlikely. Post WWII business cycles
consistently show that recovery periods are bumpy and uneven, and are oten raught
with setbacks. However, rarely do these setbacks result in a double dip recession.
There has only been one double dip recession since 1938 (the double dip o 1980
& 1982). More oten than not (9 out o the last 10 business cycles) recessions are
ollowed by a 5-7 year period o economic expansion.
• Uncertainty related to government policy is inhibiting job growth. Lack o clarity
regarding the regulatory environment (healthcare reorm, nancial regulatory reorm,
taxes, and energy policy) has slowed the statistical relationship between rising corporate
prots (which are up 34% compared to a year-ago) and job creation. Corporate
prots typically lead job creation by 6 to 9 months – but this relationship is trackingmuch slower in the current recovery. This, in combination with jitters surrounding the
European debt crisis, has the majority o business leaders delaying aggressive hiring.
• The growing uncertainty will slow the recovery in the oce sector, but will not derail
it. U.S. real GDP will grow 3.1% in 2010, and the growth rate will be similar in 2011.
Oce-using job growth will continue to be slow in 2010, but as businesses regain
condence in the sel-sustaining expansion, hiring will pick up in greater numbers in
2011 in order to keep pace with growing demand. For the oce market, 2010 will
be the year o positive demand or oce space, 2011 will be the year o stabilizing
vacancy, and 2012 will be the year o rental appreciation.
U.S. Oce Sector AnalysisMarket Outlook
Double Dip Recessions Are Rare
Real GDP, % Change Annualized
Just 1 double dip
recession since
post WWII
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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DC Metro & New York City Stand Tall
YTD 2010 Net Absorption
Absorption as % o Inventory
Q2 2010
Source: Cassidy Turley Research Source: Cassidy Turley Research
Regional SummaryThe South region led all regional markets,
recording +4.9 million square eet o
absorption. The Washington DC Metro
led the way with +1.7 million square
eet o positive demand. The gain was
largely due to several new deliveries thatwere pre-leased - mostly to the Federal
Government - rom deals signed prior to
the second quarter o 2010. However,
strong job creation in the DC metro also
helped the region absorb 316,000 square
eet o sublease space. O the 32 markets
tracked in the South, 19 registered positive
absorption. Vacancy in the South region
declined 10 basis points when compared
to the previous quarter to 16.3%. Asking
rates in the south remained fat at $20.81
in the second quarter o 2010.
The West region also recorded a signicant
improvement in demand in the second
quarter o 2010. Net absorption registered
+1.18 million square eet, marking the rst
period o positive absorption since the third
quarter o 2007. San Jose led the region
with +987,000 square eet o absorption,
ollowed by Denver-Aurora with +833,000
square eet. Vacancy in the West remained
fat at 17.3% in the second quarter o 2010
compared to the previous quarter, while
asking rents inched down rom $23.59 to
$23.52 over the same period.
In the Midwest region, net absorption
registered +365,800 square eet in the
second quarter o 2010, a signicant
turnaround rom the -2.3 million square
eet recorded in the previous quarter.
However, the bulk o this improvement
was concentrated in one metro area—
Chicago, which posted +1.2 million
square eet. Other than Chicago, only
3 metros in the Midwest posted positive
gains (Minneapolis, Omaha, and Tulsa).
Vacancy in the Midwest rose 20 basispoints rom the previous quarter to 18.9%.
Asking rents ell slightly rom $18.82 to
$18.54 over the same period.
The Northeast region registered +55,000
square eet o absorption in the second
quarter o 2010. New York City led the
country with +2.2 million square eet o net
demand. For the year, New York City has
absorbed 4.7 million square eet, which is
not ar o the absorption levels recorded
during the boom period o 2004 to 2006.
Other markets that recorded positive
demand included New Haven, Portland,Rochester, and Syracuse. Vacancy in the
Northeast region increased 10 basis point
rom the previous quarter to 15.5%, and
asking rents ell rom $23.48 to $23.31
over the same period.
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
S a l t L a k e C i t y
N a s h v i l l e
A u s t i n
S a n J o s e
S a n M a t e o
D e n v e r
W a s h i n g t o n D C
N e w Y o r k , N Y
S u b u r b a n V A
P h o e n i x
S u b u r b a n M D
S a n D i e g o
S a n F r a n c i s c o
C i n c i n n a t i
B o s t o n
I n d i a n a p o l i s
L a s V e g a s
W i c h i t a
U.S. Oce Sector Analysis
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New York, NY DC Metro Rest of U.S.
M i l l i o n s S q u a r e F e e t
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Oce sales have experienced a marked
increase in activity, but the market
remains biurcated between core product
and value-add and top tier markets vs.
secondary/tertiary markets. Sales activity
in May represented the highest volume o
closed sales so ar in 2010. In all, dollarvolume registered $1.9 billion in May, an
increase o 124% rom April. Moreover, the
momentum is expected to continue as piles
o cash begin to move o o the sidelines.
According to the Federal Reserve, in March
nonnancial companies had $1.84 trillion o
cash on reserve and commercial banks had
over $1 trillion in excess reserves. Thus ar,
the prime target or investors has been core
product in top tier markets. For the rst
hal o 2010, sales o signicant properties
in Manhattan, Washington, DC, Boston,
San Francisco, and Southern Caliornia
accounted or over 70% o total oce
sales volume in the U.S. Pricing has been
pushed up rapidly as numerous investors
chase quality assets in these markets. A ew
examples o high-end purchases include:
1350 Eye St. NW in Washington DC, which
sold or $549 ps; Two Constitution Square
in Washington DC which sold or $518 ps;
Manhattan Tower, New York, NY, which sold
or $636 ps; Six Times Square in New York,
NY which sold or $604 ps; and Lexington
Technology Park in Lexington MA, which
sold or $460 ps. Overall, transaction
prices on all signicant oce properties
rose 17.2% rom April to May -- to $188
ps. Owners are sensing a window o price
improvement, and as a result, they are
bringing a growing number o assets to the
market. Through May o 2010, buildings
on the market were up 29% compared to
a year-ago. Despite the general positive
trend in investment sales, there is a clear
lack o value-add properties selling. O the247 oce transactions that have closed in
2010, less than 10% all into the value-add
category.
The issue o distressed assets is not going
away; in act, the problem has become
more pronounced in the last two months.
According to Real Capital Analytics, there
were an additional $9.3 billion listed as
distressed assets in May, up rom $5 billion
listed in April. However, more than hal
o the increase in May was related to the
transer o $4.9 billion in assets to specialservicing rom one hety portolio. As o
June 2010, the loan status o that portolio
was reported as “current”. Although the
levels o deaults and oreclosures continue
to rise, the severity o the problem varies
greatly by local market. In the majority
o the largest metros, distressed assets
represent less than 5% o total inventory.
Moreover, in most markets, the distressed
assets are concentrated in the suburbs,
which are viewed as a separate product
relative to CBD properties; thus, the impact
on overall pricing has been negligible.The chart below shows distressed assets
as a percentage o inventory or selected
metropolitan areas.
Investment Sales
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Cassidy Turley Research
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Cassidy Turley Research
Ofce Sales by Metro
January - May 2010
$ Volume(Millions)
AvgPPU
CapRate
Manhattan, NY $1,022.2 $312 6.1%
Boston, MA $651.0 $230 7.7%
Houston, TX $499.8 $181 10.4%
Northern NJ $388.3 $152 N/A
Washington, DC $336.4 $458 6.2%
San Francisco, CA $313.1 $284 5.6%
Suburban VA $253.4 $238 7.6%
Orange County, CA $249.3 $278 8.1%
San Jose, CA $223.1 $187 N/A
Chicago, IL $216.0 $98 10.1%
Los Angeles, CA $193.8 $206 8.3%
Suburban MD $175.9 $193 N/A
Denver, CO $174.4 $201 7.8%
Tampa, FL $157.2 $131 9.4%
Seattle, WA $153.5 $249 9.0%
Dallas, TX $131.0 $79 7.4%
San Diego, CA $124.5 $214 N/A
St Louis, MO $96.1 $69 N/A
Portland, OR $94.4 $179 9.2%
Charlotte, NC $63.9 $32 N/A
U.S. Ofce Sales Volume
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Cassidy Turley Research
Distressed Property
As a % o Total Inventory, May 2010
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
D a y t o n
S e a t t l e
D e t r o i t
D a l l a s
L a s V e g a s
P h o e n i x
P a l m B e a c h
H o u s t o n
L o n g I s l a n d
D e n v e r
M i a m i
P i t t s b u r g h
T a m p a
A t l a n t a
C o l u m b u s
B u f f a l o
B o s t o n
C h a r l o t t e
C l e v e l a n d
I n d i a n a p o l i s
M e m p h i s
A u s t i n
D C
C h i c a g o
L e x i n g t o n
D C V A b u r b s
G r e e n s b o r o
O r l a n d o
J a c k s o n v i l l e
P o r t l a n d
H a r t f o r d
C i n c i n n a t i
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
J 0 8 M
M J S N
J 0 9 M
M
J S N
J 1 0 M
M
B i l l i o n s
closed
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2007 2008 2009 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2010 Q1r 2010 Q2p
United States 53,320,000 -22,116,000 -62,586,000 -19,094,000 -14,224,000 -6,961,000 -3,720,000 6,502,000
Northeast 5,144,000 -15,407,000 -17,494,000 -6,599,000 -3,481,000 -362,000 1,571,000 55,000
Midwest 11,357,000 -588,000 -9,224,000 -1,674,000 -1,505,000 -3,235,000 -2,305,000 357,000
South 24,105,000 6,542,000 -13,721,000 -3,914,000 -3,825,000 -1,010,000 -1,481,000 4,909,000
West 12,714,000 -12,663,000 -22,147,000 -6,907,000 -5,413,000 -2,354,000 -1,505,000 1,181,000
Albuquerque, NM 137,000 12,000 -396,000 82,000 -178,000 -159,000 115,000 -156,000
Anaheim-Santa Ana, CA 349,000 -2,621,000 -3,949,000 -1,223,000 -731,000 -1,106,000 -23,000 -316,000
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA 3,751,000 174,000 -1,740,000 -347,000 -636,000 -217,000 -157,000 -121,000
Austin-Round Rock, TX 1,157,000 938,000 -131,000 60,000 133,000 -154,000 -137,000 623,000
Baltimore, MD 781,000 448,000 62,000 208,000 -126,000 682,000 -989,000 -28,000
Birmingham-Hoover, AL 429,000 449,000 -617,000 -112,000 -134,000 -269,000 -92,000 71,000
Boston-Cambridge, MA 2,115,000 293,000 -1,232,000 30,000 -267,000 -88,000 -316,000 -600,000
Bualo-Niagara Falls, NY 605,000 103,000 -130,000 5,000 -54,000 -67,000 -66,000 -8,000
Charleston-North Charleston, SC -51,000 172,000 -275,000 -129,000 -32,000 21,000 -20,000 161,000
Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC* 796,000 533,000 220,000 -112,000 -384,000 577,000 698,000 721,000
Chattanooga, TN-GA -120,000 15,000 -33,000 -12,000 -68,000 9,000 -109,000 44,000Chicago-Napervi lle-Joliet , IL 3,952,000 332,000 -3,223,000 -716,000 -373,000 -958,000 -1,026,000 1,175,000
Cincinnati-Middletown, OH-KY-IN 972,000 328,000 29,000 52,000 60,000 33,000 -183,000 -122,000
Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor, OH 572,000 -254,000 -438,000 -86,000 -59,000 -266,000 -62,000 114,000
Colorado Springs, CO 91,000 -340,000 -244,000 -38,000 -62,000 -155,000 210,000 102,000
Columbia, SC 61,000 124,000 -75,000 -34,000 -69,000 -42,000 -54,000 -103,000
Columbus, OH 723,000 678,000 -641,000 -159,000 -111,000 -345,000 -186,000 -80,000
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX 2,286,000 -240,000 -1,084,000 -480,000 -309,000 -223,000 -377,000 1,094,000
Dayton, OH -293,000 -195,000 -825,000 -312,000 - 55,000 -355,000 -184,000 -46,000
Denver-Aurora, CO 1,104,000 84,000 -2,075,000 -928,000 -554,000 -189,000 121,000 833,000
Detroit -Warren-Livonia, MI -384,000 -2,750,000 -1,534,000 -180,000 -388,000 -287,000 -368,000 -116,000
Fairfeld, CT 114,000 -771,000 -2,305,000 -497,000 -948,000 -180,000 -105,000 -714,000
Ft. Lauderdale, FL -255,000 -168,000 -947,000 -209,000 -273,000 -136,000 -63,000 -19,000Greensboro-Winston-Salem, NC 53,000 293,000 84,000 5,000 16,000 -62,000 -17,000 131,000
Greenville, SC 63,000 181,000 -367,000 -20,000 -92,000 -194,000 1 3,000 -27,000
Hartord, CT -56,000 -376,000 -412,000 -113,000 -33,000 -199,000 73,000 -122,000
Honolulu, HI -358,000 -183,000 261,000 183,000 -12,000 1 01,000 -5,000 139,000
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX 5,288,000 1,263,000 -481,000 -330,000 -99,000 -331,000 -200,000 -94,000
Indianapolis, IN 1,087,000 246,000 -652,000 -170,000 -283,000 -16,000 -28,000 -276,000
Jacksonville, FL 357,000 -257,000 -585,000 -237,000 -205,000 24,000 -143,000 171,000
Kansas City, MO-KS 1,482,000 318,000 -530,000 -68,000 -14,000 -197,000 -126,000 -15,000
Knoxville, TN 189,000 164,000 -204,000 -51,000 -68,000 -7,000 -16,000 234,000
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV 1,198,000 -66,000 -941,000 -191,000 -285,000 -289,000 -80,000 -237,000
Lexington-Fayette, KY 79,000 -144,000 15,000 50,000 43,000 -16,000 -27,000 -49,000
Little Rock-N. Little Rock, AR 100,000 -101,000 -142,000 -73,000 -62,000 -59,000 -15,000 -36,000Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA 1,123,000 -3,362,000 -4,514,000 -1,172,000 -1,453,000 -602,000 -1,235,000 -538,000
Louisville, KY-IN 287,000 -21,000 -364,000 -168,000 -98,000 19,000 -184,000 -155,000
Madison, WI 145,000 153,000 44,000 6,000 13,000 48,000 -1,000 -231,000
Memphis, TN-MS-AR 153,000 -58,000 -289,000 -136,000 -1,000 16,000 -193,000 143,000
Miami-Dade, FL -49,000 -535,000 -796,000 -349,000 -144,000 -2,000 -78,000 282,000
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 405,000 147,000 90,000 54,000 67,000 5,000 -60,000 -117,000
Minneapolis-St. Paul , MN-WI 887,000 -631,000 -1,799,000 -335,000 -42,000 -844,000 -164,000 49,000
Nashville-Davidson-Murreesboro, TN 1,199,000 1,151,000 -83,000 -205,000 169,000 177,000 6,000 535,000
New Haven-Milord, CT 226,000 -261,000 -1,488,000 -330,000 -517,000 -352,000 6,000 144,000
Net Absorption
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Net Absorption
2007 2008 2009 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2010 Q1r 2010 Q2p
New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA -208,000 -608,000 312,000 125,000 5,000 38,000 -89,000 -112,000
New York, NY 1,846,000 -13,792,000 -10,871,000 -4,267,000 -771,000 -588,000 2,491,000 2,172,000
Long Island, NY -123,000 694,000 733,000 -108,000 -63,000 612,000 -204,000 -209,000
Northern New Jersey 105,000 -1,363,000 -71,000 -583,000 -568,000 562,000 334,000 175,000
Central New Jersey -3,057,000 -804,000 -612,000 -700,000 -145,000 181,000 25,000 -142,000Oakland-East Bay, CA 481,000 -2,480,000 -1,210,000 -458,000 -431,000 59,000 -75,000 -64,000
Oklahoma City, OK 575,000 -189,000 126,000 78,000 40,000 -65,000 -65,000 -112,000
Omaha, NE-IA 152,000 -147,000 -154,000 41,000 -72,000 -64,000 36,000 141,000
Orlando, FL 286,000 -235,000 -1,242,000 -272,000 -331,000 -111,000 -137,000 63,000
West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL -194,000 381,000 -810,000 -134,000 -196,000 -236,000 -57,000 -89,000
Philadelphia-Camden, PA-NJ 2,000,000 -160,000 -1,160,000 -311,000 -237,000 -518,000 -432,000 -245,000
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 1,698,000 -1,072,000 -610,000 168,000 -148,000 -136,000 -66,000 183,000
Pittsburgh, PA 1,191,000 783,000 322,000 63,000 270,000 199,000 89,000 -119,000
Portland, ME -31,000 194,000 8,000 12,000 -82,000 40,000 -55,000 35,000
Portland-Beaverton, OR-WA 70,000 -655,000 -1,158,000 -388,000 -193,000 -145,000 -214,000 -133,000
Raleigh-Durham, NC 1,363,000 1,912,000 -142,000 -489,000 65,000 322,000 -185,000 211,000
Rochester, NY 69,000 -44,000 -87,000 -22,000 12,000 -71,000 -87,000 87,000Sacramento, CA 676,000 1,390,000 -105,000 -517,000 209,000 225,000 -84,000 -678,000
Saint Louis, MO-IL 1,496,000 702,000 -137,000 -13,000 -177,000 -175,000 19,000 -7,000
Salt Lake City, UT 355,000 -1,000 -559,000 -283,000 -108,000 -30,000 26,000 503,000
San Antonio, TX 1,047,000 476,000 303,000 355,000 15,000 51,000 -99,000 180,000
San Diego-San Marcos, CA 756,000 -789,000 -476,000 -404,000 -220,000 464,000 485,000 -193,000
San Francisco, CA 740,000 -1,306,000 -1,900,000 -635,000 -248,000 -170,000 -70,000 -254,000
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 1,653,000 -1,623,000 -1,322,000 -176,000 -71,000 -77,000 -155,000 988,000
San Mateo County, CA 867,000 -868,000 -640,000 -577,000 59,000 191,000 -52,000 310,000
Seatt le-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 1,555,000 1,223,000 -1,797,000 -304,000 -862,000 -244,000 -419,000 717,000
Suburban MD 732,000 -942,000 -686,000 148,000 -139,000 -271,000 -82,000 138,000
Suburban VA 1,970,000 1,279,000 -1,713,000 -665,000 -267,000 -109,000 415,000 607,000
Syracuse, NY 47,000 44,000 -120,000 -5,000 -101,000 -1,000 79,000 -14,000
Tampa-St.Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 698,000 -1,218,000 -2,080,000 -122,000 -594,000 -539,000 -38,000 58,000
Tucson, AZ 161,000 187,000 -354,000 -46,000 -55,000 -159,000 -15,000 -43,000
Tulsa, OK -209,000 550,000 -73,000 -25,000 -68,000 13,000 81,000 150,000
Ventura County, CA 57,000 -195,000 -157,000 -1,000 -70,000 69,000 28,000 18,000
Washington, DC 1,489,000 755,000 116,000 -231,000 88,000 85,000 928,000 960,000
Wichita, KS 160,000 487,000 547,000 213,000 -73,000 187,000 28,000 -113,000
Westchester, NY 95,000 53,000 -69,000 227,000 21,000 106,000 -261,000 -387,000
Methodology explained on page 15
p = preliminary
r = revision
*Unconfrmed absorption; not included in U.S. and Regional totals
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cassidyturley.com | 9
2007 2008 2009 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2010 Q1r 2010 Q2p
(Quarterly Average)
United States 13.0% 13.9% 16.0% 15.8% 16.3% 16.6% 16.9% 16.9%
Northeast 13.0% 13.4% 14.8% 14.6% 15.0% 15.0% 15.4% 15.5%
Midwest 15.4% 16.0% 17.8% 17.5% 18.1% 18.6% 18.7% 18.9%
South 12.6% 13.4% 15.4% 15.2% 15.7% 16.0% 16.4% 16.3%West 11.8% 13.6% 16.5% 16.4% 16.9% 17.2% 17.3% 17.3%
Albuquerque, NM 10.9% 11.5% 13.5% 13.0% 13.7% 14.3% 14.1% 14.7%
Anaheim-Santa Ana, CA 8.7% 12.5% 16.9% 16.6% 17.2% 18.4% 18.2% 19.5%
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA 14.9% 15.5% 17.5% 17.0% 18.2% 18.0% 18.5% 18.6%
Austin-Round Rock, TX 13.1% 15.9% 18.9% 19.0% 19.0% 19.2% 19.1% 18.3%
Baltimore, MD 16.4% 17.3% 18.8% 18.6% 19.5% 18.7% 20.3% 19.4%
Birmingham-Hoover, AL 11.4% 9.7% 10.6% 10.1% 10.5% 11.7% 12.3% 12.2%
Boston-Cambridge, MA 11.3% 11.3% 13.2% 13.2% 13.2% 13.3% 13.9% 13.8%
Bualo-Niagara Falls, NY 12.9% 12.1% 12.6% 12.2% 12.8% 12.9% N/A 13.5%
Charleston-North Charleston, SC 11.2% 13.8% 16.0% 16.4% 16.3% 15.6% 15.6% 14.5%
Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC 11.6% 11.5% 13.8% 13.3% 14.2% 14.9% 14.8% 14.6%Chattanooga, TN-GA 10.8% 13.4% 15.3% 14.5% 16.0% 16.6% 18.4% 17.9%
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL 15.6% 15.3% 17.0% 16.8% 17.4% 17.6% 17.7% 17.6%
Cincinnati-Middletown, OH-KY-IN 18.6% 18.9% 19.5% 19.4% 19.3% 20.2% 21.0% 21.3%
Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor, OH 16.7% 17.2% 17.7% 17.4% 17.7% 18.4% 18.6% 18.5%
Colorado Springs, CO 15.1% 16.9% 18.9% 18.6% 18.9% 19.5% 17.8% 17.4%
Columbia, SC 14.5% 14.1% 14.5% 14.0% 14.4% 15.8% 16.3% 16.7%
Columbus, OH 14.7% 14.6% 16.1% 15.6% 16.3% 17.5% 18.0% 18.2%
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX 16.0% 16.9% 19.3% 19.2% 19.7% 19.7% 20.4% 20.2%
Dayton, OH 20.2% 21.0% 25.5% 24.4% 26.8% 27.7% 28.1% 27.2%
Denver-Aurora, CO 15.0% 14.9% 18.1% 17.9% 18.6% 19.1% 19.0% 18.5%
Detroit-Warren-Livonia, MI 20.2% 21.9% 24.1% 23.9% 24.2% 24.4% 24.9% 24.9%
Fairfeld, CT 13.8% 15.3% 19.1% 18.5% 20.1% 19.1% 20.4% 21.5%Ft. Lauderdale, FL 9.4% 12.5% 16.6% 15.9% 17.3% 17.9% 18.2% 17.8%
Greensboro-Winston-Salem, NC 17.8% 18.5% 18.4% 18.5% 18.2% 18.5% 18.5% 18.9%
Greenville, SC 18.6% 17.3% 18.2% 17.7% 18.2% 19.3% 18.7% 19.2%
Hartord, CT 15.6% 16.9% 19.3% 18.9% 19.3% 20.6% 21.0% 21.4%
Honolulu, HI 6.3% 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 7.4% 7.1% 6.9% 7.2%
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX 11.9% 12.0% 14.1% 13.9% 14.5% 14.9% 15.1% 15.1%
Indianapolis, IN 18.1% 18.2% 19.9% 19.5% 20.3% 20.7% 20.7% 21.8%
Jacksonville, FL 14.3% 15.9% 19.0% 18.9% 19.7% 19.6% 19.9% 19.7%
Kansas City, MO-KS 16.6% 16.7% 19.4% 19.0% 19.9% 20.3% 20.6% 20.7%
Knoxville, TN 15.1% 12.9% 15.5% 15.4% 16.3% 16.7% 16.7% 16.8%
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV 11.9% 16.6% 21.4% 20.9% 22.3% 23.0% 23.4% 23.7%
Lexington-Fayette, KY 12.7% 16.1% 16.5% 16.3% 15.9% 16.1% 16.3% 16.8%Little Rock-N. Little Rock, AR 9.3% 9.6% 11.1% 10.8% 11.4% 11.9% 12.2% 12.3%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA 8.7% 9.7% 12.2% 12.1% 12.7% 12.8% 13.3% 13.5%
Louisville, KY-IN 13.4% 12.8% 13.8% 13.8% 14.2% 13.9% 14.7% 14.7%
Madison, WI 7.2% 8.3% 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.6% 9.7%
Memphis, TN-MS-AR 16.1% 15.7% 18.2% 18.2% 18.3% 18.7% 19.3% 18.9%
Miami-Dade, FL 8.2% 10.4% 13.8% 13.8% 14.3% 14.6% 15.2% 15.5%
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 13.0% 14.3% 16.3% 15.9% 16.7% 16.9% 17.0% 16.9%
Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI 16.1% 17.5% 19.5% 19.3% 19.8% 20.2% 20.4% 20.4%
Nashville-Davidson-Murreesboro, TN 10.3% 10.8% 14.0% 14.4% 14.1% 14.6% 15.9% 14.7%
Oce Vacancy Rates
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10 | Cassidy Turley
Oce Vacancy Rates
2007 2008 2009 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2010 Q1r 2010 Q2p
(Quarterly Average)
New Haven-Milord, CT 14.5% 14.2% 16.3% 15.7% 17.0% 17.1% 16.8% 16.9%
New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA 5.1% 7.2% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 8.5% 9.1%
New York, NY 7.1% 9.0% 13.0% 13.1% 13.4% 13.5% 13.5% 12.8%
Long Island, NY 12.4% 14.2% 16.4% 16.1% 17.0% 16.5% 16.6% 16.8%Northern New Jersey 12.2% 12.9% 13.1% 13.1% 13.5% 13.1% 13.2% 13.2%
Central New Jersey 14.2% 15.6% 16.6% 16.7% 16.8% 16.6% 16.4% 16.5%
Oakland-East Bay, CA 15.3% 15.2% 16.7% 16.8% 17.0% 17.0% 18.0% 18.0%
Oklahoma City, OK 15.0% 14.8% 15.7% 15.4% 15.4% 16.3% 16.6% 17.0%
Omaha, NE-IA 13.3% 12.7% 14.8% 14.8% 15.5% 15.7% 15.7% 15.6%
Orlando, FL 9.9% 11.5% 15.3% 14.8% 15.8% 16.2% 16.4% 16.9%
West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL 10.9% 14.1% 17.6% 17.1% 18.0% 18.7% 18.9% 19.0%
Philadelphia-Camden, PA-NJ 11.3% 11.8% 12.9% 12.9% 13.1% 13.5% 13.9% 14.0%
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 14.8% 20.9% 25.8% 25.7% 26.3% 26.6% 27.3% 27.6%
Pittsburgh, PA 16.9% 15.4% 15.4% 15.5% 15.5% 15.2% 15.3% 15.7%
Portland, ME 9.3% 8.0% 8.1% 7.7% 8.7% 8.2% 9.2% 9.0%
Portland-Beaverton, OR-WA 11.2% 11.0% 13.3% 13.3% 13.8% 13.9% 14.4% 14.5%Raleigh-Durham, NC 16.8% 16.1% 18.1% 18.5% 18.7% 18.7% 19.2% 19.7%
Rochester, NY 16.3% 15.6% 15.8% 15.8% 15.6% 15.8% 15.9% 16.1%
Sacramento, CA 12.7% 14.2% 15.8% 16.1% 16.3% 16.1% 16.3% 16.5%
Saint Louis, MO-IL 12.1% 12.1% 12.7% 12.3% 12.8% 13.6% 13.5% 13.5%
Salt Lake City, UT 10.9% 11.8% 14.4% 14.3% 14.5% 15.7% 15.6% 14.5%
San Antonio, TX 13.3% 13.6% 16.6% 16.7% 16.8% 17.0% 17.5% 17.0%
San Diego-San Marcos, CA 14.6% 18.2% 21.1% 21.0% 21.6% 21.1% 20.4% 20.3%
San Francisco, CA 10.4% 11.8% 15.0% 15.0% 15.3% 15.6% 15.7% 16.0%
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 10.3% 13.8% 18.6% 18.6% 18.7% 18.9% 19.1% 18.4%
San Mateo County, CA 13.0% 14.3% 18.2% 18.9% 18.7% 18.1% 18.3% 17.1%
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 8.7% 9.6% 14.2% 13.6% 15.3% 16.4% 17.2% 17.0%
Suburban MD 10.5% 12.5% 14.5% 14.0% 14.9% 15.2% 15.4% 15.2%Suburban VA 10.4% 12.0% 14.0% 13.7% 14.3% 14.8% 14.7% 14.3%
Syracuse, NY 10.2% 11.9% 13.0% 12.8% 13.1% 13.2% 12.6% 13.0%
Tampa-St.Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 15.4% 14.1% 14.5% 14.4% 14.8% 14.6% 15.2% 15.1%
Tucson, AZ 9.5% 11.5% 13.5% 13.3% 13.5% 14.0% 14.1% 14.3%
Tulsa, OK 18.6% 17.8% 17.4% 17.3% 17.6% 17.6% 17.5% 17.1%
Ventura County, CA 8.8% 12.9% 17.3% 17.1% 18.1% 17.4% 17.6% 17.6%
Washington, DC 7.2% 7.8% 10.0% 9.6% 10.3% 11.7% 11.5% 11.7%
Wichita, KS 14.9% 15.9% 17.5% 17.3% 18.0% 17.8% 17.4% 18.4%
Westchester, NY 16.4% 16.4% 16.4% 16.4% 16.4% 16.1% 17.5% 18.3%
Methodology explained on page 15
p = preliminary
r = revisions * Vacancy = Direct + Sublet
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cassidyturley.com | 11
2007 2008 2009 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2010 Q1r 2010 Q2p
(Quarterly Average)
United States $22.05 $22.69 $21.97 $22.08 $21.87 $21.63 $21.73 $21.56
Northeast $24.72 $25.32 $24.14 $24.31 $24.01 $23.60 $23.48 $23.31
Midwest $18.10 $18.53 $18.57 $18.55 $18.58 $18.55 $18.82 $18.54
South $20.63 $21.12 $20.86 $20.91 $20.77 $20.77 $20.81 $20.81West $24.98 $26.00 $24.45 $24.72 $24.28 $23.70 $23.59 $23.52
Albuquerque, NM $15.85 $16.44 $16.42 $16.40 $16.37 $16.58 $16.14 $16.27
Anaheim-Santa Ana, CA $30.77 $29.59 $26.32 $26.68 $26.16 $25.16 $24.83 $23.98
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA $20.40 $20.90 $20.32 $20.34 $20.06 $20.10 $20.10 $20.03
Austin-Round Rock, TX $24.61 $25.83 $25.24 $25.27 $25.00 $25.19 $25.18 $24.87
Baltimore, MD $23.57 $23.36 $22.97 $23.37 $22.87 $22.58 $22.38 $22.86
Birmingham-Hoover, AL $17.81 $17.86 $17.93 $18.04 $17.88 $17.70 $17.75 $17.72
Boston-Cambridge, MA $30.62 $31.84 $30.08 $30.84 $30.26 $28.06 $27.76 $28.27
Bualo-Niagara Falls, NY $15.55 $15.60 $15.79 $15.70 $15.71 $16.08 $16.22 $16.33
Charleston-North Charleston, SC $19.82 $19.52 $19.10 $19.12 $19.21 $18.79 $19.34 $19.25
Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC $19.82 $20.38 $20.41 $20.73 $20.29 $20.15 $20.31 $20.05Chattanooga, TN-GA $14.96 $14.71 $14.73 $15.09 $14.61 $14.21 $14.19 $14.26
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL $25.13 $25.84 $25.18 $25.38 $24.74 $24.82 $24.84 $24.70
Cincinnati-Middletown, OH-KY-IN $17.25 $17.57 $18.00 $18.03 $18.00 $17.89 $17.80 $17.82
Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor, OH $17.46 $17.65 $17.80 $17.74 $17.91 $18.05 $18.03 $18.19
Colorado Springs, CO $16.82 $16.95 $16.47 $17.00 $16.63 $15.17 $15.28 $15.35
Columbia, SC $15.16 $15.42 $15.69 $15.51 $15.85 $16.07 $16.05 $15.89
Columbus, OH $18.21 $18.79 $18.70 $18.80 $18.70 $18.51 $18.48 $17.54
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX $19.43 $20.01 $19.42 $19.41 $19.27 $19.26 $19.20 $18.94
Dayton, OH $18.43 $18.57 $18.57 $18.52 $18.64 $18.55 $18.67 $17.00
Denver-Aurora, CO $20.78 $21.72 $20.86 $20.98 $20.68 $20.35 $20.31 $20.28
Detroit-Warren-Livonia, MI $19.84 $19.48 $18.92 $18.92 $18.84 $18.77 $18.71 $18.72
Fairfeld, CT $31.61 $32.17 $31.58 $31.82 $31.49 $30.81 $29.95 $29.18Ft. Lauderdale, FL $25.68 $26.33 $25.33 $25.45 $25.32 $24.95 $25.24 $24.98
Greensboro-Winston-Salem, NC $15.36 $15.31 $15.39 $15.44 $15.46 $15.39 $15.24 $15.24
Greenville, SC $15.57 $15.55 $15.97 $15.79 $15.91 $16.39 $16.66 $16.18
Hartord, CT $19.93 $19.86 $19.49 $19.57 $19.27 $19.19 $19.16 $19.05
Honolulu, HI $19.98 $21.08 $23.57 $23.57 $24.54 $24.84 $25.53 $26.58
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX $21.62 $23.44 $23.32 $23.37 $23.14 $23.30 $23.64 $23.55
Indianapolis, IN $18.71 $20.49 $20.92 $20.75 $21.16 $21.19 $21.46 $21.20
Jacksonville, FL $18.05 $18.21 $18.28 $18.15 $17.91 $18.84 $18.04 $17.89
Kansas City, MO-KS $18.71 $19.16 $18.79 $18.94 $18.78 $18.57 $18.55 $18.46
Knoxville, TN $14.91 $15.60 $15.73 $15.73 $15.83 $16.10 $16.11 $15.94
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV $25.04 $25.19 $24.30 $24.67 $24.38 $23.14 $22.97 $22.77
Lexington-Fayette, KY $16.36 $16.40 $16.37 $16.32 $16.36 $16.52 $16.94 $16.82Little Rock-N. Little Rock, AR $14.92 $14.76 $14.59 $14.26 $14.36 $14.83 $15.03 $15.05
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA $31.21 $32.92 $31.11 $31.43 $30.76 $30.10 $29.80 $29.51
Louisville, KY-IN $14.91 $16.06 $15.84 $15.95 $15.86 $16.08 $16.16 $16.93
Madison, WI $15.61 $15.85 $16.15 $16.21 $16.12 $16.16 $16.56 $16.61
Memphis, TN-MS-AR $17.14 $17.63 $17.54 $17.47 $17.47 $17.52 $19.11 $18.96
Miami-Dade, FL $28.94 $30.82 $29.56 $29.57 $29.41 $29.21 $29.09 $28.78
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI $15.17 $15.33 $15.98 $15.88 $16.04 $16.18 $16.25 $16.30
Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI $22.06 $23.07 $22.77 $22.73 $22.73 $22.70 $25.35 $24.65
Nashville-Davidson-Murreesboro, TN $18.66 $19.61 $19.79 $20.24 $19.78 $19.70 $18.05 $19.92
Asking Rents
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12 | Cassidy Turley
Asking Rents
2007 2008 2009 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2010 Q1r 2010 Q2p
(Quarterly Average)
New Haven-Milord, CT $20.11 $20.34 $20.50 $20.63 $20.48 $20.75 $20.70 $20.43
New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA $15.98 $15.95 $15.22 $15.13 $15.17 $15.38 $15.79 $15.51
New York, NY $61.15 $64.47 $52.68 $52.78 $51.42 $50.96 $50.41 $50.19
Long Island, NY $26.95 $27.17 $26.44 $26.51 $26.16 $26.37 $26.15 $26.41Northern New Jersey $27.17 $27.29 $26.45 $26.66 $26.33 $25.80 $25.53 $25.36
Central New Jersey $25.03 $25.07 $23.95 $24.08 $23.92 $23.62 $23.68 $23.48
Oakland-East Bay, CA $25.18 $25.75 $24.99 $25.32 $25.28 $23.93 $24.60 $24.58
Oklahoma City, OK $14.33 $14.02 $13.96 $13.97 $13.95 $13.96 $13.84 $13.69
Omaha, NE-IA $15.71 $16.13 $16.74 $16.40 $17.20 $16.99 $16.91 $16.92
Orlando, FL $21.47 $21.99 $21.31 $21.53 $21.12 $20.76 $20.33 $20.23
West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL $28.45 $29.00 $28.28 $28.54 $28.05 $27.55 $28.05 $27.89
Philadelphia-Camden, PA-NJ $22.86 $23.49 $23.44 $23.57 $23.35 $23.23 $23.23 $23.05
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ $26.06 $26.07 $23.80 $23.88 $23.35 $23.00 $23.16 $23.03
Pittsburgh, PA $18.92 $19.24 $19.34 $19.29 $19.43 $19.29 $19.53 $19.49
Portland, ME $13.69 $14.34 $14.53 $14.39 $14.74 $14.72 $14.80 $14.49
Portland-Beaverton, OR-WA $20.47 $21.09 $20.84 $20.91 $20.96 $20.65 $20.55 $20.58Raleigh-Durham, NC $18.90 $19.46 $19.05 $19.00 $19.00 $18.85 $18.70 $18.70
Rochester, NY $14.56 $15.04 $14.81 $14.91 $14.84 $13.77 $14.02 $14.12
Sacramento, CA $23.40 $23.88 $22.80 $22.92 $22.68 $22.68 $22.32 $22.08
Saint Louis, MO-IL $18.70 $18.49 $18.62 $18.66 $18.52 $18.50 $18.77 $18.89
Salt Lake City, UT $17.49 $18.15 $18.08 $18.03 $18.11 $18.19 $18.00 $17.82
San Antonio, TX $18.21 $18.97 $18.98 $18.93 $18.81 $18.76 $18.99 $18.98
San Diego-San Marcos, CA $32.52 $32.85 $30.09 $30.00 $29.64 $28.92 $28.08 $27.96
San Francisco, CA $39.11 $41.43 $34.66 $36.77 $33.01 $31.07 $30.72 $30.82
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA $31.56 $35.52 $33.57 $34.20 $32.88 $31.80 $31.80 $31.20
San Mateo County, CA $36.78 $41.22 $33.39 $33.48 $32.76 $32.28 $31.20 $31.32
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA $27.97 $30.27 $28.54 $28.82 $28.15 $27.26 $27.40 $27.27
Suburban MD $26.82 $27.15 $27.46 $27.49 $27.31 $27.18 $26.66 $26.52Suburban VA $30.89 $31.24 $29.74 $29.74 $29.68 $29.18 $29.30 $29.64
Syracuse, NY $14.55 $14.74 $14.58 $15.02 $14.07 $14.38 $14.16 $14.16
Tampa-St.Petersburg-Clearwater, FL $21.03 $21.48 $21.14 $21.32 $21.01 $20.84 $20.67 $20.61
Tucson, AZ $20.57 $21.11 $20.92 $21.05 $21.08 $20.32 $20.28 $20.18
Tulsa, OK $14.09 $14.49 $14.63 $14.63 $14.67 $14.56 N/A $15.63
Ventura County, CA $25.09 $26.23 $24.69 $24.85 $24.51 $24.08 $24.31 $24.22
Washington, DC $45.48 $47.60 $47.54 $47.40 $47.12 $47.83 $48.22 $48.39
Wichita, KS $11.83 $12.11 $12.11 $11.94 $12.04 $12.26 $12.27 $12.22
Westchester, NY $28.16 $29.18 $28.36 $28.86 $28.70 $27.03 $26.83 $25.71
Methodology explained on page 15
p = preliminary
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Inventory Vacant Stock Inventory Change YTD U/C (2010 Q2)
National Total 4,514,566,000 742,531,000 22,698,000 32,827,000
Albuquerque, NM 13,899,000 2,043,000 515,000 56,000
Anaheim-Santa Ana, CA 82,291,000 16,056,000 0 100,000
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA 141,136,000 26,227,000 0 190,000
Austin-Round Rock, TX 40,221,000 7,376,000 30,000 91,000Baltimore, MD 70,347,000 13,647,000 413,000 1,372,000
Birmingham-Hoover, AL 18,270,000 2,237,000 0 22,000
Boston-Cambridge, MA 124,157,000 17,097,000 717,000 1,378,000
Bualo-Niagara Falls, NY 20,451,000 2,761,000 0 40,000
Charleston-North Charleston, SC 7,518,000 1,092,000 0 20,000
Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC 43,003,000 6,278,000 2,105,000 153,000
Chattanooga, TN-GA 4,790,000 859,000 54,000 0
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL 243,626,000 42,923,000 608,000 575,000
Cincinnati-Middletown, OH-KY-IN 32,415,000 6,904,000 0 1,178,000
Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor, OH 34,973,000 6,469,000 44,000 63,000
Colorado Springs, CO 14,892,000 2,590,000 0 0
Columbia, SC 10,691,000 1,789,000 0 0Columbus, OH 26,514,000 4,812,000 100,000 522,000
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX 154,524,000 31,226,000 1,549,000 1,329,000
Dayton, OH 13,399,000 3,645,000 0 180,000
Denver-Aurora, CO 88,699,000 16,390,000 1,031,000 661,000
Detroit-Warren-Livonia, MI 75,050,000 18,712,000 84,000 407,000
Fairfeld, CT 58,147,000 12,502,000 500,000 475,000
Ft. Lauderdale, FL 27,021,000 4,819,000 0 0
Greensboro-Winston-Salem, NC 17,826,000 3,371,000 95,000 48,000
Greenville, SC 8,766,000 1,680,000 86,000 0
Hartord, CT 24,522,000 5,254,000 86,000 22,000
Honolulu, HI 26,183,000 1,892,000 385,000 0
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX 161,302,000 24,406,000 338,000 2,271,000Indianapolis, IN 31,963,000 6,968,000 87,000 140,000
Jacksonville, FL 24,800,000 4,896,000 0 89,000
Kansas City, MO-KS 46,936,000 9,716,000 35,000 171,000
Knoxville, TN 6,501,000 1,092,000 51,000 89,000
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV 25,628,000 6,086,000 0 611,000
Lexington-Fayette, KY 4,718,000 795,000 0 0
Little Rock-N. Little Rock, AR 10,002,000 1,234,000 0 49,000
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA 195,352,000 26,289,000 65,000 27,000
Louisville, KY-IN 20,145,000 2,961,000 0 0
Madison, WI 22,062,000 2,142,000 0 0
Memphis, TN-MS-AR 19,329,000 3,658,000 50,000 0
Miami-Dade, FL 41,932,000 6,479,000 1,495,000 1,070,000Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 31,061,000 5,249,000 0 130,000
Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI 70,843,000 14,452,000 33,000 0
Nashville-Davidson-Murreesboro, TN 33,922,000 4,987,000 369,000 42,000
New Haven-Milord, CT 11,707,000 1,973,000 146,000 0
New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA 35,503,000 3,228,000 32,000 110,000
New York, NY 449,068,000 57,481,000 3,244,000 5,328,000
Long Island, NY 70,228,000 11,798,000 0 0
Northern New Jersey 146,410,000 19,326,000 137,000 20,000
Central New Jersey 103,895,000 17,143,000 68,000 0
Inventory
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Inventory
Inventory Vacant Stock Inventory Change YTD U/C (2010 Q2)
Oakland-East Bay, CA 67,407,000 12,133,000 0 0
Oklahoma City, OK 17,282,000 2,942,000 41,000 1,996,000
Omaha, NE-IA 17,596,000 2,748,000 224,000 85,000
Orlando, FL 32,546,000 5,494,000 376,000 195,000
West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL 23,414,000 4,458,000 132,000 479,000Philadelphia-Camden, PA-NJ 111,517,000 15,662,000 214,000 663,000
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 67,617,000 18,662,000 924,000 274,000
Pittsburgh, PA 49,138,000 7,694,000 102,000 698,000
Portland, ME 18,157,000 1,633,000 0 19,000
Portland-Beaverton, OR-WA 41,025,000 5,948,000 453,000 315,000
Raleigh-Durham, NC 46,087,000 9,056,000 0 77,000
Rochester, NY 15,103,000 2,436,000 229,000 0
Sacramento, CA 82,588,000 13,627,000 181,000 0
Saint Louis, MO-IL 50,701,000 6,845,000 -34,000 770,000
Salt Lake City, UT 30,020,000 4,346,000 262,000 555,000
San Antonio, TX 27,941,000 4,748,000 266,000 482,000
San Diego-San Marcos, CA 72,244,000 14,665,000 32,000 273,000San Francisco, CA 84,014,000 13,442,000 0 187,000
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 72,432,000 13,298,000 562,000 0
San Mateo County, CA 31,661,000 5,414,000 0 0
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 81,718,000 13,932,000 1,368,000 2,644,000
Suburban MD 74,986,000 11,375,000 0 362,000
Suburban VA 152,373,000 21,837,000 270,000 806,000
Syracuse, NY 12,594,000 1,641,000 60,000 0
Tampa-St.Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 41,327,000 6,221,000 127,000 88,000
Tucson, AZ 5,843,000 836,000 40,000 259,000
Tulsa, OK 20,103,000 3,446,000 0 95,000
Ventura County, CA 8,243,000 1,452,000 0 145,000
Washington, DC 121,164,000 14,176,000 2,317,000 2,331,000
Wichita, KS 8,611,000 1,581,000 0 0
Westchester, NY 42476000 7,773,000 0 0
Methodology explained on page 15
p = preliminary
** © Reis Services, LLC 2009 4Q
Reprinted with the permission o Reis Services, LLC
All rights reserved.
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Methodology
Methodology
Cassidy Turley’s quarterly estimates are derived rom a variety o data sources, including its
own proprietary sample o market activity, historical and current inventory data rom Reis
LLC, Bureau o Labor Statistics Employment data, and other third party data sources. The
market statistics are calculated rom a base building inventory made up o oce properties
deemed to be competitive in the local oce markets. Generally, owner-occupied andederally-owned buildings are not included. Single-tenant buildings and privately-owned
buildings in which the ederal government leases space are included. Older buildings unt
or occupancy or ones that require substantial renovation beore tenancy are generally not
included in the competitive inventory. Vacant space is dened as space that is available
immediately or three months (90 days) ater the end o the quarter. Sublet space still
occupied by the tenant is not counted as available space.
The gures provided or the current quarter are preliminary, and all inormation contained in
the report is subject to correction o errors and revisions based on additional data received.
Explanation o Terms
Total Inventory: The total amount o oce space (in buildings greater than 10,000 square
eet) that can be rented by a third party.
Total Space Available: The sums o new, relet, and sublet space that is unoccupied and
being actively marketed.
Vacancy Rate: The amount o unoccupied space (new, relet, and sublet) expressed as a
percentage o total inventory. (Total Unoccupied Space divided by Total Inventory.)
Absorption: The net change in occupied space between two points in time. (Total occupied
space in the previous quarter minus total occupied space in the present quarter, quoted on
a net, not gross, basis.)
Eective Rents: Gross average asking rents - average concessions.
Disclaimer
This report and other research materials maybe ound on our website at www.cassidyturley.
com. This is a research document o Cassidy
Turley in Washington, DC. Questions related
to inormation herein should be directed to
the Research Department at 202-463-2100.
Inormation contained herein has been
obtained rom sources deemed reliable and
no representation is made as to the accuracy
thereo. Cassidy Turley is one o the largest
commercial real estate service providers
in the U.S., with 420 million square eet o
managed space in 58 locations and $13
billion in completed transactions or 2009.
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KeyStatistics
• 58 oces
• 72 international oces*
• 2,800 associates
• 900 brokers
• 2009 transactions
– Gross transaction volume$13 billion
– Gross capital marketsvolume $4.1 billion
• 420 million s propertymanagement portolio
• 25,000+ Corporate Services
locations and 152 million s
*Through GVA Grimley Partnership
We are Cassidy Turley
One o the nation’s largest commercial real estate services rms, Cassidy Turley enjoys a
history o 100 years o successul client relationships. Our team o proessionals is dedicated
to consistently delivering integrated, tailored solutions that produce superior results andchampion your business goals. We become your partner and advocate, and are passionate
about achieving long-term success on your behal.
Real Market Knowledge
• In every market where we do business, we have in-depth, local market knowledge that
enables us to advocate eectively or our clients
• Many o our associates have honed their skills in their respective markets or years, and
even decades.
Real Connections
•
Our proessionals have deep ties to our communities and our industry, which givesCassidy Turley a competitive advantage when it comes to really understanding what the
market is doing—and more importantly where it is heading.
• In order to better serve our clients’ needs in EMEA and Asia Pacic, Cassidy Turley is
proud to partner with GVA Grimley, a respected market leader in its geographies.
Real Passion
• In a partnership with Cassidy Turley, you gain a champion who will be as ocused on
advocating your goals as you are.
• We believe in long-term, person-to-person relationships and an unwavering
commitment to our clients’ success.
Real Results
• We believe that hands-on problem solving is undamental, and we are committed to
delivering integrated, tailored solutions that provide maximum, measurable outcomes.
• You can depend on us or world-class expertise, service and execution, wherever you do
business.