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    Disruptive Innovation

    of Democracy

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    Disruptive Innovation of Democracy

    -Uday Dandavate, October 18, 2013

    While congress party of India and the BJP are preoccupied guarding

    their own turf and aiming to encroach rival territories during the

    forthcoming elections to Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh,

    Chhattisgarh and Mizoram state assemblies, the true importance of

    these election will be revealed by the ripple effect they could cause

    leading up to the Lok Sabha elections early next year.

    Studying the emerging patterns of election results of state assembly

    elections over the past two decades it becomes clear that issues of

    governance and regional identity increasingly influence endorsement

    or rejection of the party in power by the electorate. The BJP has

    already discovered from the recent Karnataka assembly elections

    that the Modi factor was not able to salvage the reputation of a

    government sullied in corruption- issue of governance in their own

    state was more important for people of Karnataka than the Gujrat

    model marketed by Mr. Modi in Karnataka. If this pattern were to

    hold true voters of Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh

    and Mizoram should be expected to vote based on the performance

    of their respective governments and along issues of identity playing

    out in the respective region. However the election in Delhi is

    promising to be a different situation.

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    Since 2011 Delhi has been at the center of global media attention due

    to various spontaneous protests by citizens, reminiscent of the Arab

    Spring. Be it the Lok Pal movement or the spontaneous outrage

    against a rape of Nirbhaya, it is clear that citizens are increasingly

    getting frustrated by established political parties. They are taking to

    streets to affect change through spontaneous mobilization.

    There are differences of opinion amongst intelligentsia about the

    significance of Anna Hazares emergence on the national scene as a

    catalyst of disruption in the political space. His detractors scoff at him

    for simplistic thinking, lack of long-term vision, and for his inability to

    grasp complexity of making a democracy work. When a group led by

    Arvind Kejriwal decided to pursue electoral battles to bring about

    change, Anna himself dissociated from this option and instead

    decided to stay focused on grass root level outreach to educate and

    inspire youth to participate in nation building. The parting of ways

    between Anna and Arvind Kejriwal was touted by the skeptics as

    dissipation and disintegration of the movement. No matter where one

    belongs in relation to ones opinion of Anna Hazare or Arvind

    Kejriwal, one fact remains- that citizens of remotest parts of India

    have watched with great interest the upsurge of popular protests in

    Delhi. The ripples of the events in Delhi have resonated with masses

    in remotest corners of India.

    The restlessness and eagerness witnessed during these protests is a

    perfect opportunity for those of us who feel stifled by the congress

    party and BJPs machinations of reducing our electoral options to

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    electing Mr. Modi or Mr. Rahul Gandhi as a Prime Minister. One

    aspect of the protests in Delhi was significant- established political

    leaders were either absent or were driven away by the protesters

    when they tried to join the bandwagon. It is clear that people are

    craving for a future that does not involve parties and leaders who

    have a vested interest in preserving the current corrupt system.

    People in the street were particularly appalled by near unanimity

    amongst the political parties in bringing to the parliament a bill that

    overturned Supreme Court judgment disenfranchising criminal

    politicians. For many of the progressive individuals who are involved

    in grass root level movements and institution building, Delhi elections

    provide an opportunity to demonstrate to the established political

    parties, that when offered a choice, masses are ready to dump the

    politicians who have been party to building a corrupt system of

    governance.

    Recent opinion polls indicate that, with two more months to go, Delhi

    election is likely to see emergence of Aaam Adami party with

    significant presence. The support for the party is growing amidst

    Delhi voters. It is going to spoil the prospects of both the Congress

    and BJP. If elections were held today the party would win 18 seats in

    a 70-member house. This support to the AAP has grown significantly

    within a month of two polls and will very likely change as the

    campaigns of all the three parties gain momentum over the next two

    months. Additionally, largest percentage of voters want Arwind

    Kejriwal to be the Chief Minister of Delhi, followed by Vijay Goel of

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    BJP. Congress party candidate Shiela Dixit is trailing behind both

    Kejriwal and Goel.

    Another significant opinion poll conducted nationally suggests that

    Congress party will face a historical route if Lok Sabha elections were

    held today. Though the BJP would emerge as the largest party, the

    regional parties together will be the largest block in the Parliament.

    Both these polls are indication of simmering discontent of masses

    against the established national political parties. No matter how the

    parties spin their media messages, no matter how last minute

    government largesse is dished out to people, the nation is ready for

    change. The nation is ready to test the untested and established

    political parties should have reasons to be afraid.

    What are the implications for those of us who want to reject the

    corrupt, dynastic, top-down model of the Congress party and the

    Hindu Nationalism packaged in unsustainable development offered

    by the RSS? Delhi elections offer an opportunity to unsettle the

    applecart. It provides the opportunity to clear the way for peoples

    juggernaut. Its time to look closely at every candidate for his or her

    individual merit rather than to vote for minions of the two dictatorial

    leaders. It is time to make a statement that there can be a future

    alternative that does not include either the congress or the BJP. My

    request to the progressive forces is to work for the defeat of both the

    Congress and the BJP and help people gain confidence in

    experimenting with new possibilities. Let Delhi election be the catalyst

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    of change that we all want to see in the long term. It is a perfect

    moment for Disruptive Innovation of democracy in India.