disruptive innovation of democracy
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Disruptive Innovation
of Democracy
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Disruptive Innovation of Democracy
-Uday Dandavate, October 18, 2013
While congress party of India and the BJP are preoccupied guarding
their own turf and aiming to encroach rival territories during the
forthcoming elections to Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh,
Chhattisgarh and Mizoram state assemblies, the true importance of
these election will be revealed by the ripple effect they could cause
leading up to the Lok Sabha elections early next year.
Studying the emerging patterns of election results of state assembly
elections over the past two decades it becomes clear that issues of
governance and regional identity increasingly influence endorsement
or rejection of the party in power by the electorate. The BJP has
already discovered from the recent Karnataka assembly elections
that the Modi factor was not able to salvage the reputation of a
government sullied in corruption- issue of governance in their own
state was more important for people of Karnataka than the Gujrat
model marketed by Mr. Modi in Karnataka. If this pattern were to
hold true voters of Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh
and Mizoram should be expected to vote based on the performance
of their respective governments and along issues of identity playing
out in the respective region. However the election in Delhi is
promising to be a different situation.
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Since 2011 Delhi has been at the center of global media attention due
to various spontaneous protests by citizens, reminiscent of the Arab
Spring. Be it the Lok Pal movement or the spontaneous outrage
against a rape of Nirbhaya, it is clear that citizens are increasingly
getting frustrated by established political parties. They are taking to
streets to affect change through spontaneous mobilization.
There are differences of opinion amongst intelligentsia about the
significance of Anna Hazares emergence on the national scene as a
catalyst of disruption in the political space. His detractors scoff at him
for simplistic thinking, lack of long-term vision, and for his inability to
grasp complexity of making a democracy work. When a group led by
Arvind Kejriwal decided to pursue electoral battles to bring about
change, Anna himself dissociated from this option and instead
decided to stay focused on grass root level outreach to educate and
inspire youth to participate in nation building. The parting of ways
between Anna and Arvind Kejriwal was touted by the skeptics as
dissipation and disintegration of the movement. No matter where one
belongs in relation to ones opinion of Anna Hazare or Arvind
Kejriwal, one fact remains- that citizens of remotest parts of India
have watched with great interest the upsurge of popular protests in
Delhi. The ripples of the events in Delhi have resonated with masses
in remotest corners of India.
The restlessness and eagerness witnessed during these protests is a
perfect opportunity for those of us who feel stifled by the congress
party and BJPs machinations of reducing our electoral options to
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electing Mr. Modi or Mr. Rahul Gandhi as a Prime Minister. One
aspect of the protests in Delhi was significant- established political
leaders were either absent or were driven away by the protesters
when they tried to join the bandwagon. It is clear that people are
craving for a future that does not involve parties and leaders who
have a vested interest in preserving the current corrupt system.
People in the street were particularly appalled by near unanimity
amongst the political parties in bringing to the parliament a bill that
overturned Supreme Court judgment disenfranchising criminal
politicians. For many of the progressive individuals who are involved
in grass root level movements and institution building, Delhi elections
provide an opportunity to demonstrate to the established political
parties, that when offered a choice, masses are ready to dump the
politicians who have been party to building a corrupt system of
governance.
Recent opinion polls indicate that, with two more months to go, Delhi
election is likely to see emergence of Aaam Adami party with
significant presence. The support for the party is growing amidst
Delhi voters. It is going to spoil the prospects of both the Congress
and BJP. If elections were held today the party would win 18 seats in
a 70-member house. This support to the AAP has grown significantly
within a month of two polls and will very likely change as the
campaigns of all the three parties gain momentum over the next two
months. Additionally, largest percentage of voters want Arwind
Kejriwal to be the Chief Minister of Delhi, followed by Vijay Goel of
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BJP. Congress party candidate Shiela Dixit is trailing behind both
Kejriwal and Goel.
Another significant opinion poll conducted nationally suggests that
Congress party will face a historical route if Lok Sabha elections were
held today. Though the BJP would emerge as the largest party, the
regional parties together will be the largest block in the Parliament.
Both these polls are indication of simmering discontent of masses
against the established national political parties. No matter how the
parties spin their media messages, no matter how last minute
government largesse is dished out to people, the nation is ready for
change. The nation is ready to test the untested and established
political parties should have reasons to be afraid.
What are the implications for those of us who want to reject the
corrupt, dynastic, top-down model of the Congress party and the
Hindu Nationalism packaged in unsustainable development offered
by the RSS? Delhi elections offer an opportunity to unsettle the
applecart. It provides the opportunity to clear the way for peoples
juggernaut. Its time to look closely at every candidate for his or her
individual merit rather than to vote for minions of the two dictatorial
leaders. It is time to make a statement that there can be a future
alternative that does not include either the congress or the BJP. My
request to the progressive forces is to work for the defeat of both the
Congress and the BJP and help people gain confidence in
experimenting with new possibilities. Let Delhi election be the catalyst
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of change that we all want to see in the long term. It is a perfect
moment for Disruptive Innovation of democracy in India.