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i Document of The World Bank Report No: ICR00003278 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IBRD-82830) ON A LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF US$150 MILLION TO THE HASHEMITE KINGDOM OF JORDAN FOR AN EMERGENCY PROJECT TO ASSIST JORDAN PARTIALLY MITIGATE IMPACT OF SYRIAN CONFLICT January 21, 2015 Social Protection and Labor Global Practice Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria Country Department (MNC02) Middle East and North Africa Region Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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i

Document of

The World Bank

Report No: ICR00003278

IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT

(IBRD-82830)

ON A

LOAN

IN THE AMOUNT OF US$150 MILLION

TO THE

HASHEMITE KINGDOM OF JORDAN

FOR AN

EMERGENCY PROJECT TO ASSIST JORDAN PARTIALLY MITIGATE IMPACT

OF SYRIAN CONFLICT

January 21, 2015

Social Protection and Labor Global Practice

Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria Country Department (MNC02)

Middle East and North Africa Region

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ii

CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS

(Exchange Rate Effective: July 31, 2014)

Currency Unit = Jordanian Dinar (JOD)

JOD 0.708 = US$ 1.00

US$ 1.41 = JOD 1.00

FISCAL YEAR

January 1–December 31

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

CIDA Canadian International Development Agency

CBJ Central Bank of Jordan

CPS Country Partnership Strategy

DRC Democratic Republic of Congo

DA Designated Account

FM Financial Management

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GOJ Government of Jordan

IEG Independent Evaluation Group

IMF International Monetary Fund

JFDA Jordan Food and Drug Administration

JPD Joint Procurement Department

JPRC Jordanian Petroleum Refinery Company

LPG Liquefied Petroleum Gas

MOF Ministry of Finance

MOH Ministry of Health

MOIT Ministry of Industry and Trade

MOPIC Ministry of Planning and International Cooperation

NEPCO National Electric Power Company

NGO Non-governmental Organization

PDO Project Development Objective

SBA Stand-by Arrangement

SPF State and Peace Building Fund

TB Tuberculosis

UNHCR United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees

UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund

WDR World Development Report

Acting Vice President: Gerard Byam

Senior Global Practice Manager: Arup Banerji

Country Director: Ferid Belhaj

Practice Manager: Yasser El-Gammal

Project Team Leader: Haneen Sayed

ICR Team Leader: Maniza Naqvi

iii

HASHEMITE KINGDOM OF JORDAN

EMERGENCY PROJECT TO ASSIST JORDAN PARTIALLY MITIGATE IMPACT

OF SYRIAN CONFLICT

Data Sheet ................................................................................................................................................. iv

1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design .......................................................................... 1

2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes .......................................................................... 9

3. Assessment of Outcomes ......................................................................................................................14

4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome .....................................................................................20

5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance .................................................................................20

6. Lessons Learned ...................................................................................................................................23

7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower ............................................................................................24

Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing ......................................................................................................26

Annex 2. Outputs by Component .............................................................................................................27

Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis .............................................................................................29

Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes .........................................32

Annex 5. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR .................................................34

Annex 6: Lessons Learned From Fiduciary Perspective...........................................................................40

Annex 7. List of Supporting Documents ..................................................................................................46

MAP ......................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.

iv

Data Sheet

A. Basic Information

Country: Jordan Project Name:

Emergency Project to

Mitigate the Impact of

Syrian Displacement on

Jordan

Project ID: P145865 L/C/TF Number(s): IBRD-82830

ICR Date: 12/08/2014 ICR Type: Core ICR

Lending Instrument: IPF Borrower:

Ministry of Planning

and International

Cooperation

Original Total

Commitment: US$150.00 million Disbursed Amount: US$149.7 million

Revised Amount: US$150.00 million

Environmental Category: C

Implementing Agencies: Ministry of Finance

Cofinanciers and Other External Partners: n.a.

B. Key Dates

Process Date Process Original Date Revised / Actual

Date(s)

Concept Review: 05/06/2013 Effectiveness: 08/21/2013

Appraisal: 06/04/2013 Restructuring(s): n.a. n.a.

Approval: 07/18/2013 Mid-term Review: n.a. n.a.

Closing: 07/31/2014 07/31/2014

C. Ratings Summary

C.1 Performance Rating by ICR

Outcomes: Satisfactory

Risk to Development Outcome: Low

Bank Performance: Highly Satisfactory

Borrower Performance: Satisfactory

C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR)

Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings

Quality at Entry: High Government: Satisfactory

Quality of Supervision: Satisfactory Implementing

Agency/Agencies: Satisfactory

Overall Bank

Performance: Satisfactory

Overall Borrower

Performance: Satisfactory

v

C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators

Implementation

Performance Indicators

QAG Assessments

(if any) Rating

Potential Problem Project

at any time (Yes/No): No NA None

Problem Project at any

time (Yes/No): No

Quality of

Supervision (QSA): None

DO rating before

Closing/Inactive status: Satisfactory

D. Sector and Theme Codes

Original Actual

Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing)

Health 40 40

Other social services (Social Protection) 60 60

Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing)

Child health 33 33

Health system performance 7 7

Nutrition and food security 37 37

Other economic management 7 7

Other social protection and risk management 16 16

E. Bank Staff

Positions At ICR At Approval

Acting Vice President: Gerard Byan Gerard Byam

Country Director: Ferid Belhaj Ferid Belhaj

Practice

Manager/Manager: Yasser El-Gammal Yasser El-Gammal

Project Team Leader: Haneen Ismail Sayed Haneen Ismail Sayed

ICR Team Leader: Maniza B. Naqvi Maniza B. Naqvi

ICR Primary Author: Maniza B. Naqvi Maniza B. Naqvi

F. Results Framework Analysis

Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document)

The project objective is to help the Borrower maintain access to essential health care

services and basic household needs for the Jordanian population affected by the large and

increasing influx of Syrian refugees.

vi

Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority)

Not Applicable

(a) PDO Indicator(s)

The PDO indicators and the intermediate outcome indicators reflect values at the baseline

level, original target values, and cumulative actual values achieved at completion.

Baseline levels are of the same magnitude as the completion levels, as the objective of the

project was to maintain the same level and coverage of access that the government has

been providing to the Jordanian population in terms of access to essential household

needs and medical services. Therefore, the number of beneficiaries at the baseline level

who received services from the government remained the same by the end of the project.

Indicator Baseline Value

Original Target

Values (from

approval

documents)

Formally

Revised

Target Values

Actual Value

Achieved at

Completion or

Target Years

Direct project beneficiaries

(number), of which women (%)

- beneficiaries of drugs and

vaccines

- beneficiaries of medical

treatments

6.23 million1

48.6%

6.23 million

48.6%

6.37 million

48.6%

Beneficiaries of safety net

programs (subsidies), of which

women (%)

2.5 million

48.6%

2.5 million

48.6%

2.5 million

48.6%

Children immunized (0–6

years) 97% 97% 97%

Per capita outpatient utilization

rates at Primary Health Care

Centers to remain at or above

baseline value

0.58% 0.58% 0.58%

Per capita inpatient admission

rates at hospitals to remain at or

above baseline value 1.10 1.10 1.10

Number of uninsured patients

from the northern governorates 0 2,500 See footnote2

1 This represents the population of Jordan. The subsidy is a universal subsidy. The project team relied on

this indicator as provided by the Ministry of Finance.

2 This subcomponent provided for financing of health care services for Jordanians in non-MOH health

facilities (US$20 million) if they were crowded out from MOH hospitals due to Syrian refugees. According

to the design, the project required that MOH provide evidence of this through an independent auditor to be

hired by the project. Due to delays in hiring the auditor, at the time of audit there were not enough cases.

Hence, there was underspending in the subcomponent and the ‘reallocation’ of the funds to drugs and

vaccines with Bank approval.

vii

referred to non-MOH facilities

for medical treatment

(b) Intermediate Outcome Indicator(s)

Indicator Baseline Value

Original Target

Values (from

approval

documents)

Formally

Revised

Target

Values

Cumulative

Actual Value

Achieved at

Completion or

Target Years

MOH warehouses in target

areas with no drug stock-outs

in the last week

7 2 2

Vaccination/medicines

purchased by the JPD as per

the Rational Drug List 90 112 117

Wheat purchased (Metric Ton) 44,972 64,811 77,773

LPG purchased (Metric Ton) 21,293,782 18,09,409 3,196,622

G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs

No. Date ISR

Archived DO IP

Actual

Disbursements

(US$, millions)

1 03/07/2014 Satisfactory Satisfactory 81.00

H. Restructuring (if any)

Not Applicable

I. Disbursement Profile

1

1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design

1.1 Context at Appraisal

Country Background

1. At the time of appraisal, the project approach responded to the emergency

caused by a huge increase in Syrian refugees, which threatened to set back Jordan’s

strong achievements in human development and poverty reduction. The crisis further

strained the government of Jordan’s (GOJ) already increasing fiscal and external balances.

In the summer of 2013, there was concern about the risk of major outbreaks of disease.

Jordan risked being unable to maintain its health and basic needs support for its citizens.

There was concern of possible social unrest due to an already strained economy and as a

result of the Syrian refugees who had crossed the border into Jordan, beginning 2011. By

January 2012, there was an influx of 3,063 people which swelled to 42,000 by August that

year. At the time of project effectiveness a year later, the refugee influx had taken on

emergency proportions, with a total number of registered 523,059 Syrian refugees in

Jordan after two years of the conflict in Syria3 and threatened to continue to increase. By

the time the project closed, an estimated 619,163 million Syrian refugees had crossed the

border into Jordan according to the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees

(UNHCR), by September 2014. At the time the UNHCR estimated that by the end of 2013,

the number of refugees in Jordan would surpass the one million mark, constituting more

than 16 percent of the population. The GOJ was concerned that achievements in health

would be reversed because diseases that had been eliminated in Jordan, for example,

measles and polio, had reappeared since the influx of refugees.

2. The project responded to the need for alleviating the strain on the economy

which had experienced large exogenous shocks over the past years and had resulted

in a sharp and unsustainable deterioration of its fiscal and external balances. Jordan

imports almost all of its input for electricity generation, mostly in the form of gas from

Egypt (contracted at preferential rates). Due to gas pipeline explosions, gas supplies from

Egypt had drastically shrunk in 2012 to 16 percent of contractual obligations. To meet its

generation needs, Jordan had to substitute cheap gas with expensive oil imports. This

resulted in a drastic and unsustainable widening of both the current account and the fiscal

balance deficits. Faced with mounting macroeconomic vulnerabilities, including a large

deterioration in its foreign exchange reserves, Jordan entered into an International

Monetary Fund (IMF) Stand-by Arrangement (SBA) program in August 2012. Given the

magnitude of the vulnerabilities and financing needs of the country, the SBA required

exceptional access from the IMF. Given Jordan’s low employment elasticity to growth, the

country’s already high unemployment rate further deteriorated, from 12.5 percent at end-

3 UNHCR Data: http://data.unhcr.org/syrianrefugees/country.php?id=107

2

2012 to 12.8 percent in the first quarter of 2013, with unemployment levels particularly

high among women and youth.

Sector Background

3. Universal subsidies for LPG and bread and free health care to the poor and

lower-middle-income groups are provided by the GOJ. The accelerating influx of

Syrian refugees since 2011 increased the demand for LPG and bread and increased the

costs (bill/aggregate cost) of vaccines, drugs, and medical treatment (annex 3). While some

of the Syrian refugees are living in camps, the large majority (estimated to be as much as

70 percent of refugees) are living in Jordanian communities. In addition to its commitment

not to close its borders, the GOJ decided early on to allow Syrian refugees access to public

services (health facilities, schools) and subsidies extended to Jordanian citizens (energy,

water, bread, and gas), hence putting pressure on delivery of services and public finances.

The immediate impact of the exponential increase in users over such a short period strained

the budget for subsidies and caused a depletion of Jordanian drugs and vaccination stocks.

Refugees attending the Ministry of Health (MOH) hospitals increased from 300 to 10,330

from 2012 to 2013; this was associated with a sharp increase in the number of surgeries

performed at these hospitals from 105 to 622. The GOJ is strongly committed to protecting

not only its poor and lower-middle-income citizens but also the refugees within its borders.

One of the elements of its poverty-reduction approach has been to provide access to basic

household commodities for the population, particularly bread and LPG household

cylinders (used for cooking and space heating). The bread and LPG cylinders programs are

simple in their design and enable all households living in Jordan to access basic necessities,

as these are universal untargeted programs.

4. Subsidy expenditures for health, bread, and LPG are channeled by the

Ministry of Finance (MOF) to the Ministry of Industry and Trade, (MOIT), Jordan

Petroleum Refinery Company (JPRC), and the MOH. The MOF manages the budget

for the subsidies program, which is more than half of the project, and implements the large

cash transfer program for subsidy compensation (supported by a World Bank project),4

which requires a large amount of budget handling, payments, and advanced information

technology (IT) systems. Owing to these considerations, the need to act with speed in an

emergency, and to not burden the GOJ system further, it was appropriate that the project

be implemented by the MOF.

5. The subsidies program for bread and LPG cylinders is simple in its design and

translates into price controls at the points of sale which enable all households in

Jordan to access basic necessities, as these are universal untargeted programs. Both

programs are on-budget, as opposed to subsidies on water or electricity so the link between

increased consumer demand and the GOJ budget is clearer. Bread and LPG are heavily

consumed products by Jordanian households. Poorer households spend a larger share of

4 National Unified Registry and Outreach Worker Program for Targeted Social Assistance

3

their total expenditure on these two products.5 They account for about 7 percent of poor

households’ total consumption but only 2 percent of the richest Jordanian households’ total

consumption. More specifically, Jordanian households in the bottom decile spend 3.6

percent of their expenditures on subsidized food items, whereas for the richest 3 deciles

this share falls to below 1 percent. Similarly, the poorest 20 percent of Jordanian

households spend 2.3 percent of their total spending on LPG compared to 1 percent for the

richest 20 percent households.6 Bread and LPG also account for a relatively large share of

poor households’ total spending so disruption to their supply would have a material impact

on these households.

6. One of the key sectors that is facing pressures as a result of the influx of Syrian

refugees is the health sector. According to Jordanian law, Jordanians are eligible for free

health care in MOH facilities, so while the MOH provides health services to the refugees,

efforts continue to maintain Jordanians’ access to health care services. To accommodate

the needs of the Jordanian population, the MOH has referred patients to non-MOH

hospitals at a higher cost than at its own facilities. The MOH’s system for referring patients

to non-MOH facilities is as follows: treatment of the uninsured is under the auspices the

Royal Diwan for Medical Services - Department of the Uninsured, based at the MOH. This

program is only for the uninsured Jordanians. The department has the responsibility of

receiving, reviewing, validating, and approving referrals to non-MOH facilities. Uninsured

patients referred from MOH providers for lack of availability of needed treatment have to

submit an application with a medical report to the department. The department first

conducts a screening to validate that the patient is uninsured and that he/she does not have

any other sources of coverage. Once verified, the department refers the patient to the MOH

employees’ clinic department to conduct a medical check-up to validate the medical

diagnosis and need for treatment. Based on the results, the MOH recommends the patient’s

referral to the most appropriate and cost-effective hospital. The referral documents are then

approved by the director of the department of the Royal Diwan for Medical Services.

Consequently, the MOH receives monthly bills from the hospitals with listings of all

patient names and invoices. The MOH has medical auditors who select 10 percent of the

bills for detailed review and auditing. The medical auditing is considered both a technical

and financial audit since it validates the appropriate utilization of services based on the

medical condition of the patient as well as the billing of these services according to the set

rates.

7. Continuity and sustainability of health service delivery in Jordan is at risk of

being compromised, and past achievements in the sector are potentially threatened. According to UNHCR data, 78 percent of the Syrian refugees are vulnerable, requiring

additional assistance. This includes women (49 percent), children under the age of 12 (40

percent), and elderly (2.1 percent). In addition, 23 percent of Syrian refugees have chronic

5 World Bank (2009, 2015).

6 World Bank. 2012. Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan: Options for immediate fiscal consolidation and longer

term fiscal consolidation. Report No. 71979-JO. Washington DC.

4

diseases or serious medical conditions that require medical follow up. Comparative

morbidity data show a different disease profile with increased levels of morbidity for

Syrians refugees than Jordanians which may affect the disease burden in the future.

According to Jordan’s national cancer statistics, Syrian refugees presenting with cancer at

health facilities rose from 134 in 2011 to 169 in the first quarter of 2013, representing a 14

percent increase in Jordan’s total cancer disease burden. Similarly, morbidity data from the

MOH show a rise in selected communicable diseases. For example, tuberculosis (TB) case

notification increased from 5 per 100,000 in 2009 among Jordanians to 13 per 100,000

among Syrian refugees in 2013. While no measles cases have been reported in Jordan since

2009, MOH data show that 18 Jordanians and 23 Syrians have been diagnosed with the

disease in 2013. Polio, which had been eliminated since 1999 in Jordan, was also detected

in two cases in 2013. Demand for services by refugees at MOH facilities has increased

significantly. MOH data show that the number of outpatient visits to MOH primary health

care centers (PHCCs) by Syrian refugees increased from 68 in January 2012 to 15,975 in

March 2013. Similarly and during the same period, the number of surgeries performed at

these hospitals went up from 105 to 622. With the higher demand for health services and

the GOJ’s policy to provide refugees with access to the country’s health care services, the

health sector is facing significant financial pressures and shortages, particularly in drugs

and vaccines, as these are being depleted at a faster rate.

Rationale for Bank Involvement

8. The appraisal was embedded in the flexible strategic framework and

overarching strategic objective of the World Bank Group’s Jordan Country

Partnership Strategy (CPS) for 2012–2015 which recognizes Jordan’s vulnerability

to shocks and is focused on building resilience to internal and external shocks through

laying a foundation for inclusive growth and job creation.7 The flexible manner of the

strategic framework of the CPS was formulated to allow for needed adjustments including

additional operations in response to GOJ’s demand. One key pillar identified in the CPS to

help mitigate risks, and to which the proposed emergency project speaks, is enhancing

inclusion through social protection and local development. Under this pillar, the CPS

places enhancement of inclusion and improvement of living standards of the population at

the center of the strategy, with social protection and local development as one of the means

for reducing regional imbalances. More than three years of violent conflict in Syria has

resulted in massive movements of people within Syria, as well as into neighboring

countries. The worsening of the conflict over the last two years has profoundly changed

the landscape in neighboring countries, in particular Lebanon and Jordan, in terms of the

immediate security, social and fiscal challenges facing the country and in terms of the

potential impacts on development gains down the road. At about 10 percent of Jordan’s

population, the large influx of refugees is straining the availability and quality of public

7 The World Bank Group. 2012. Country Partnership Strategy for the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan for

the Period FY12–FY15. Report 58114-JO. MNC02 Country Management Unit. Middle East and North

Africa Region.

5

services, especially in the northern governorates. The additional demand for public services

(electricity, water, solid waste management, education, and health) is adding a significant

burden to Jordan’s already weak public finances.8 Such increases in the number of refugees

into Jordan are threatening the country’s strong achievements in human development and

poverty reduction. The rationale for the project was to support the basic needs of Jordanian

households (through financing bread and household gas subsidies) and maintain Jordan’s

achievements in poverty reduction. As the Syrian conflict clearly impacted development

achievements in already vulnerable areas, the operation, in alignment with the CPS,

addressed poverty, as well as human development services to vulnerable groups.

9. The project appraisal focused on the Jordanian population because in spite of

the significant impact felt by the Jordanian state and communities, the majority of

the international support has been channeled to the needs of the displaced Syrians. UN agencies such as the UNHCR and the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF),

supported by donors, international non-governmental organizations (NGOs), and charities,

cater to the needs of those residing in camps and cover some social services of those

outside.9 Very little has been targeted to mitigate the impact of the influx of Syrians on

livelihoods and service delivery of Jordanians.

10. Given the emergency situation, the project was appraised according to the

World Bank Operational Policy OP 10.00, paragraph 11, which allows for 40 percent

retroactive financing and for certain exceptions to the investment project financing policy

requirements if the Bank deems the borrower to be in urgent need of assistance because of

a man-made disaster or conflict (among other factors). The evolving situation in Jordan

reflected both the impact of conflict (in neighboring Syria) and of a man-made disaster

(resulting from the influx of refugees fleeing the conflict). These are two of the specific

situations that the provisions of OP 10.00, paragraph 11 were developed to address. The

appraisal was focused on an implementation period of one year but with a two-year

financing horizon taking into account the GOJ’s expenditures 12 months prior to project

effectiveness given the influx of refugees that swelled in July 2012. Therefore, a key

element of the project, retroactive financing of up to US$60 million, equivalent to 40

percent of the loan amount, was provided to finance US$21 million under Component 1

(vaccines and drugs) and US$39 million under Component 2 (bread and LPG cylinders)

for payments made before the loan signing date, but on or after June 30, 2012.

1.2 Original Project Development Objectives (PDO) and Key Indicators (as approved)

8 A recent study by the United States Agency for International Development estimates the 2014 fiscal cost of

the refugees in Jordan to reach 2.4 percent of GDP, up from 1.8 percent of GDP in 2013 (The Fiscal Impact

of the Syrian Refugee Crisis on Jordan dated January 5, 2014 produced for USAID).

9 Even though, it has been difficult to raise sufficient funds to cover these needs, the last UN appeal of

US$500 million has been met with a 50 percent response as of May 16, 2013.

6

11. The project objective was to help the GOJ maintain access to essential health care

services and basic household needs for the Jordanian population affected by the large and

increasing influx of Syrian refugees. Progress toward the PDO was to be monitored through

the following key indicators:

1. Direct project beneficiaries (6.23 million), of which women (48.6%) (Core

indicator). This indicator was to track the total beneficiaries of the immunization

program, and inpatient and outpatient medical treatment.

2. Children immunized (97%) (Core indicator). This indicator was to track the

percentage of children immunized over the project period.

3. Beneficiaries of social safety net program; subsidies (2.5 million), of which women

(48.6%) (Core indicator). This indicator was to track the total beneficiaries of the

bread and LPG cylinder subsidy.

4. Overall outpatient and inpatient utilization rates (0.58%) at health facilities remain

at or above baseline value. This indicator was to measure the increase in the rate of

utilization at the health facilities in the governorates most affected by Syrian

refugees.

1.4 Main Beneficiaries

12. The project beneficiaries consisted of:

Jordanian children aged 0–6 years: Children aged 0–6 years were to

receive vaccinations, which was to prevent and control transmission of

vaccine-preventable diseases.

Jordanian households particularly of the poor and lower middle classes:

The Jordanian population as a whole was to benefit from the project through

the continuation of the basic food (bread) and fuel (LPG) subsidies, as well

as the medicines financed under the project.

Jordanian patients: The project was to benefit approximately 2,500

Jordanian patients, particularly those living in the north, were to continue to

have access to health services.

Health facilities: The project was to provide health facilities with the needed

drugs and vaccines and ensure the stocks were available.

1.5 Original Components (as approved)

13. The project consisted of these three components: (i) maintaining access to essential

health care services; (ii) supporting basic household needs; and (iii) project monitoring,

auditing, and verification.

14. The project was implemented over 12 months, given the urgent needs. It included

provision for retroactive financing of up to US$60 million (40 percent of loan amount) for

expenditures (identified under the project) incurred 12 months prior to loan signing. While

indicative allocations were agreed upon during project appraisal for Component 1 and

7

Component 2, the project was designed to accommodate the changes in needs during

implementation. Disbursements were to be made either based on a positive list (agreed

upon during appraisal to be the Rational Drug List) or on transactions.

Project Components

Component 1: Maintaining Access to Essential Health Care Services (US$70 million)

15. This component aimed to sustain the provision of essential health care services to

the Jordanian population which is at risk due to the stress on resources resulting from the

large influx of Syrian refugees. This was to be achieved by financing needed vaccines and

drugs, and the treatment of Jordanians who are being crowded out from public hospitals as

a result of the increasing use of public services by Syrian refugees.

16. Provision of vaccines and essential drugs to ensure adequate and continuous

supply at all public health care facilities (US$50 million). The project was to finance a

total of US$50 million of drugs and vaccines.10 This figure was estimated based on (i) the

gross rate of pre-crisis consumption in medicine, namely in 2010 and 2011; (ii) projected

increase in the procurement of generic drugs at the rate of 3 percent (this rate was estimated

based on pre-crisis rates of increase, as well as the standard rate of increase set by the GOJ

given its goal of increasing the share of generic drugs procured); and (iii) actual

procurement of medication.

17. Financing of health care services for Jordanians in non-MOH health facilities

(US$20 million). This subcomponent aimed to mitigate the financial impact of referring

Jordanian patients to non-MOH hospitals and health facilities as a result of the increased

demand for public facilities by Syrian refugees. Specifically, the project financed the costs

of health care for approximately 2,500 Jordanian patients who the MOH needed to refer to

non-MOH hospitals and health facilities, based on criteria agreed upon with the MOH. This

was to help alleviate the burden of the Syrian crisis on affected communities, improve the

fiscal ability of the MOH to reimburse the non-MOH hospitals and health facilities for their

services, and assisted the MOH maintain its commitment for timely access to health care

to its citizens.

Component 2: Supporting Household Basic Needs (US$79.9 million)

18. Financing universal subsidies for household basic needs. The objective of this

component was to help the GOJ ensure uninterrupted supply of basic household

10 Medications received by the MOH from JPD—which procures drugs and vaccines for the MOH—are

distributed to seven MOH warehouses around the country. The inventory is then distributed to the PHCCs

and hospitals according to their projected need. Upon receipt of medications, representatives from PHCCs

and hospitals sign documents listing the names and quantities of drugs received prior to transporting the

inventory to the facilities.

8

commodities for poor and lower middle class households. The two subsidized products

financed under this component were bread (wheat) and LPG cylinders.

19. Bread (US$55 million). The project financed part of the increase in the cost of the

bread subsidies worth US$55 million which was the estimated cost—based on a regression

analysis—arising from the Syrian conflict and the associated increase in bread demand.

Specifically, the component financed the subsidy cost of 77,773 metric tons of flour for the

retroactive period from July 2012–June 2013, and an estimated 64,811 metric tons of flour

for the period July 2013–June 2014. The average subsidy cost per metric ton of flour was

estimated at US$385.7 based on the historical cost from July 2012–May 2013. Jordan’s

bread subsidy program is indirect as the government subsidizes wheat but also sets the

price of bread at the bakery level. The bread subsidy chain runs from the MOIT which is

the sole importer of wheat in the country. The MOIT sells imported wheat (along with

small quantities of domestically procured wheat) to mills at a preset price. This price is

established with a view to (i) keep the price of the subsidized bread constant at the bakery

level and (ii) maintain a given profit margin for mills. Mills transforms the wheat into flour

which is then sold on to bakeries. This flour is used specifically for this type of bread.

Bakeries sell the subsidized bread at a regulated retail price of JD 0.16 per kg. This price

has been unchanged since 1996. While this universal subsidy system is not efficient, in the

absence of any targeted system it is the only mechanism available to stabilize prices of

basic commodities to the poor and lower middle class.

20. LPG Cylinders (US$25 million). For the LPG cylinders, which are mostly used by

households for cooking and space heating, the project financed the increase in the cost

US$25 million worth of LPG subsidies which was the estimated cost arising from the

Syrian conflict and the associated increase in LPG demand. Jordan’s subsidized LPG

cylinder program is a direct subsidy scheme administered by the MOF and implemented

by the JPRC, which is the sole importer of LPG in Jordan (more generally, JPRC is the

sole provider of petroleum products in the country). Through its LPG cylinder factory, it

sells two types of LPG cylinders in Jordan: a 12.5-kg cylinder, the price of which is

subsidized and regulated by the government. This cylinder is aimed at households and it is

used for home cooking and also space heating. Specifically, the component financed the

subsidy cost of 1.8 million standard (12.5 kg) LPG cylinders for the retroactive period

(June 2012–June 2013), and an estimated 3.2 million cylinders for the period July 2013–

June 2014. The average subsidy cost per LPG cylinder was estimated at US$4.97 based on

the historical cost from June–December 2012 which was the latest data available at the

time of appraisal.

Component 3: Project Monitoring, Auditing and Verification (US$100,000)

21. This component financed (i) the costs of two special purpose audits (see below) as

required for Component 1 and (ii) the cost of an external auditor, acceptable to the World

Bank, who was appointed to audit the project financial statements covering the project’s

12-month lifetime for both Components 1 and 2.

9

22. For Component 1, an audit firm was to be contracted within three months of

effectiveness to perform an audit of the funds disbursed under retroactive financing for

vaccines and drugs. The auditor was to issue a special opinion on supporting documents

related to the Rational Drug List and the Designated Account (DA) to be established in the

Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) to deposit the loan proceeds. Also, a consultancy firm was

to be contracted to perform a technical and financial verification of the list of medical bills

of patients who would be referred to non-MOH hospitals and health facilities before being

further processed for payment by the MOF. The project costs and financing are in annex 2.

1.6 Revised Components

23. Project components remained unchanged for the life of the project.

1.7 Other Significant Changes

24. Project design, scope and scale, implementation arrangements, and schedule

remained unchanged for the life of the project. There was a fund reallocation with Bank

approval from Component 1 subcomponent for financing of health care services for

Jordanians in non-MOH health facilities (US$20 million) to drugs and vaccines.11

2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes

2.1 Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry

25. The project preparation was completed in a record six weeks, following a request

at the Spring Meetings, in April 2013, made by His Highness the King of Jordan to the

World Bank President. The preparation thereafter, pivoted on the GOJ request, and

responded on an emergency basis following the guidelines set in OP 10.00, paragraph 11.

The project was prepared in collaboration with the GOJ and was led by the Ministry of

Planning and International Cooperation (MOPIC) and the MOF and a multisectoral Bank

team led by the Human Development department and included economic management;

social development; and fiduciary, social, and environmental safeguards specialists in

collaboration with the MOF. The project was approved by the Board on July 18, 2013.

26. The project design was based on the context of a crisis and emergency and therefore

followed the emergency procedures for processing. The fiduciary elements of the design

played a key role and are described in detail in annex 6. The project was designed for

disbursements of funds to be conditioned on the government demonstrating the shortfall

created in financing for Jordanian citizens by the assistance provided to Syrian refugees

for basic needs and LPG. A key element of the design was the 40 percent retroactive

financing. Because of the nature of the crisis and the burden on the GOJ budget from its

considerable expenditures due to the Syrian refugees, the project was prepared under

emergency procedures and was the first in the region to pilot OP 10.00, paragraph 11 which

11Ibid.

10

allows for retroactive financing of up to 40 percent. The quality of the project was high and

the design was relevant, learning from lessons of other emergency projects and on subsidies

which are reflected in the Project Appraisal Document (PAD). It was a time-bound (1 year)

discreet intervention which relied upon channeling support though existing and tested

structures, mechanisms, and institutional systems.

27. Risks taken into account during preparation. The project used existing

mechanisms that had been already assessed and reviewed by the World Bank’s fiduciary

team. Due to the emergency nature of this operation and the need to respond quickly, the

financial management and procurement approach was streamlined and based on more

simplified ex ante requirements, while relying more heavily on ex post requirements as

additional fiduciary controls and review. The risk mitigation measures were designed to

suit the available capacity during implementation (see annex 6). The preparation of the

project focused on maintaining access to basic services. While it was recognized that

universal or untargeted subsidies have drawbacks and come at a high fiscal cost in Jordan

as is the case elsewhere the crisis, however, necessitated a short-term intervention to

support the burden of the incremental increase in the volumes of bread and gas consumed

after the onset of the Syrian conflict. The project was designed to only address a temporary

shock while maintaining through other operations the dialogue on safety nets reforms. The

team wrote into the PAD a thorough economic analysis on the usage of subsidies, the status

of subsidies in Jordan, the policy dialogue underway to remove fuel subsidies and the

experience globally on the benefits and pitfalls of subsidies. There are, of course risks

inherent to all emergency operations including that they may not be prepared and

implemented in time or may not be sufficiently flexible to adapt to rapidly changing

circumstances. This project was able to mitigate these risks by taking advantage of OP

10.00 which provided the flexibility and ability to respond quickly and adequately. It was

able to mitigate risks by assessing the impact on critical social services and by using

existing systems. The political and social risk of not responding to the GOJ’s need should

also be taken into account. In addition, since this was an emergency project prepared under

emergency procedures it was not the vehicle for advancing ongoing policy reform dialogue.

2.2 Implementation

28. The supervision of the project by the Bank was carried out by the team based in the

region and able to respond to the client on a daily basis. The project was appraised to be

implemented by the MOF through its regular budget implementation and monitoring

mechanisms. There was no separate project implementation/management unit established.

Implementation of the project was primarily related to financial management of bills,

payments, and verifications/audits of the health and safety nets expenditures. The MOF

implemented the project through its regular budget implementation and monitoring

mechanisms and no separate project implementation/management unit was established.

Implementation of the project was primarily related to financial management of bills,

payments, and verifications/audits. Because such transactions are part of the MOF’s

function, it was considered logical that it be the implementing agency. More than half of

the project is related to LPG and bread subsidies, the MOF is also responsible for the

implementation of the large cash transfer program for subsidy compensation (supported by

11

a World Bank project),12 which requires a large amount of budget handling, payments, and

advanced IT systems. However, the MOF had limited experience with the World Bank

financial management (FM) and disbursement guidelines therefore training was provided

to a qualified accountant who was appointed by the MOF from its staff who followed up

on the FM and disbursement aspects of the project. In addition, the project financed the

following additional support for the MOF: (i) the hiring of the audit firms which verified

retroactive expenditures on vaccines, drugs, LPG, and bread; (ii) the hiring of the audit

firm to perform the annual audit on the project (could be same firm); (iii) the hiring of the

consulting firm from the project funds to perform a technical and financial verification of

medical bills for patients referred to non-MOH health facilities.

29. For the procurement of drugs and vaccines, the project relied on Jordan’s existing

system for procurement through the Joint Procurement Department (JPD). The JPD is the

central organization in Jordan which procures most of the pharmaceuticals in the kingdom.

The JPD, which began operations in 2004, based on by-law No. 91 of 2002 - Medicines

and Medical Supplies, was assessed by the Bank for conducting the procurement of

pharmaceutical and medical goods in a transparent, well-organized, and sound manner.

2.3 Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Design, Implementation and Utilization

30. The project was prepared within a very short period in response to an emergency

to maintain benefits. Given the need and context, the project relied on the indicators,

database and system that were in place for monitoring of the universal subsidies

implementation. Because the financing for the subsidies is based on universal subsidies,

the indicators for the basic needs reflect the entire population. The baseline levels are of

the same magnitude as the completion levels as the objective of the project was to maintain

the same level and coverage of access that the government has been providing to the

Jordanian population in terms of access to essential household needs and medical services.

Therefore, the number of beneficiaries at the baseline level who received services from the

government remained the same at the end of the project. The monitoring and verification

of project results were based on a FM and verification system which is designed to

routinely collect data in a timely fashion for the disbursement of subsidies. This data

collection resides in the MOF and provides for systematic monthly reports on the

disbursement of funds for the purpose of the universal subsidies. The MOF coordinated the

reporting on the project indicators which were generated from the payments and invoices

incurred for vaccines, drugs, medical treatment to and from the MOH; and wheat subsidies

to MOIT and LPG subsidies to JPRC. The MOF provided the requisite baseline data from

the MOH, the MOIT and JPRC with which to measure outcomes by the end of the project.

The MOF established a technical group/monitoring committee to ensure the achievement

of the agreed results.

31. Specifically, there were two key monitoring aspects in this project: (i) monitoring

of the retroactive payments incurred for the goods and services already delivered and (ii)

12 National Unified Registry and Outreach Worker Program for Targeted Social Assistance

12

monitoring and verification of payments for the bills for goods and services to be procured

prospectively. For the retroactive payments, the audit firm and the technical firm verified

the supporting documents related to the goods and services (vaccines and drug lists, and

subsidies). For the payments, the bills for goods and services submitted to the MOF were

tracked to monitor the results, and measured against the baseline set up in the results

framework.

2.4 Safeguard and Fiduciary Compliance

32. Social and Environmental Safeguards Compliance: The design, nature and

scope of the project did not result in social safeguards issues and therefore the safeguards

policies were not triggered as a result of project interventions. The project was an

investment financing operation which financed specific line items for vaccines, LPG, and

wheat and was classified as Category C according to the World Bank Operation Policy on

Environmental Assessment (OP 4.01). There were no civil works within the project. The

design, nature and scope of the project did not result in environmental safeguards issues

and therefore safeguards policies were not triggered as a result of project interventions.

33. Fiduciary Compliance (see annex 6): Due to the emergency nature of the project

and the need to respond immediately, the FM approach was streamlined and based on more

simplified ex ante requirements, while relying more heavily on ex post requirements as

additional fiduciary controls and review. The risk mitigation measures for the project were

to design the project to use existing institutional mechanisms which had been reviewed by

the Bank for the implementation of other operations. The Bank updated the assessment of

the FM systems within the MOF that was previously conducted during the preparation of

the Support to Implementation of a National Unified Registry and Outreach Program for

Targeting Social Assistance Project. The assessment concluded that, with the

implementation of agreed-upon actions, the proposed FM arrangements would satisfy the

minimum requirements under OP/BP 10.00. The inventory management system at the

Directorate of Purchases and Supplies/MOH was assessed to ensure that reasonable

assurance existed to safeguarding the vaccines and drugs and collection by beneficiary

hospitals and health centers. The MOF was responsible for all FM and disbursement

functions under the project through its Finance Department. A qualified accountant was

identified from within the MOF and was trained by the World Bank in the World Bank’s

FM and disbursement policies and procedures. The accountant was from the MOF’s

Finance Department and was responsible for following up on the FM and disbursement

aspects. In addition, a Coordination Officer was designated from the JPD, who coordinated

with the MOF accountant and was responsible for providing the MOF with the necessary

information and documentation. The MOF has limited experience and knowledge with the

World Bank FM and disbursement guidelines. Therefore, adequate training was provided

to the accountant in order to ensure full understanding and application of the World Bank

FM and disbursement policies and procedures.

34. The main fiduciary safeguards measures for mitigating FM risks were:

13

a) Project staffing relied on the available FM capacity at the MOF where a qualified

accountant was identified from the MOF’s own Finance Department to follow on

the FM and disbursement tasks.

b) Flow of funds arrangements included the use of a DA opened at the CBJ with a

high ceiling of US$60 million. Funds were transferred to the government treasury

account against submitted Statement of Expenditures (SOEs).

c) The MOPIC was responsible for submitting withdrawal applications on behalf of

the MOF due to its long experience with the World Bank disbursement policies

and procedures.

d) Project was provided with retroactive financing of a value US$60 million (US$21

million for vaccines and drugs and US$39 million for bread and LPG) against

submitted SOEs.

e) The government inventory management system at the Directorate of Purchases

and Supplies/MOH was used after being carefully examined by the Bank team

and it was found that reasonable assurance existed in the safeguard of the

vaccines and drugs until collection by beneficiary hospitals and health centers.

f) An external audit firm conducted a special purpose audit of vaccines and drugs

financed under the retroactive financing of US$21 million. The audit was

conducted after the retroactive financing amount was transferred to the

government treasury account.

g) A consultancy firm performed technical (medical) and financial audit of medical

bills of patients referred to non-MOH hospitals and health facilities.

h) The same audit firm conducted the special purpose audit on refractive financing

of vaccines and drugs, and will complete the final audit of project’s activities after

project closure up to the end of the four-month grace period.

35. The risk mitigation design features for procurement were:

a) The JPD was assigned for the procurement of contracts under Component 1

(Provision of vaccines and essential drugs). Procurement practice by JPD was

assessed by visiting the agency, interviewing its staff, and reviewing the past

assessments done on the agency.

b) It was concluded that the JPD is successfully running annual procedures of drug

procurement on behalf of its partner institutions in Jordan, and based on a Rational

Drug List that is updated from time to time as needed, conducts the procurement of

pharmaceutical/medical goods in a transparent and well-structured manner. It is a

well-managed organization that is successfully dealing with the procedures

throughout the kingdom.

c) Considering the urgency of the project and that the implementation period was only

one year, it was decided for the procurement of pharmaceutical and medical

equipment to be undertaken using the existing JPD procedures for contracts up to

the threshold of US$5 million per contract from the Rational Drug List (The

Positive List of Goods).

d) To minimize the number of transactions and required documents, a positive list of

goods (contracts with estimated cost of US$200,000 and above) was used for

pharmaceuticals and vaccines to be procured, that included items cleared by the

Jordan Food and Drug Administration (JFDA).

14

e) To facilitate disbursement, the necessary documents to be provided by the

Borrower were defined and minimized as (i) proof of advertisement, (ii) proof of

purchase (purchase order), and (iii) proof of payment to suppliers.

f) Retroactive financing: The JPD procurement practice used to procure goods up to

US$5 million was considered acceptable for retroactive financing from the Rational

Drug List (The Positive List of Goods) cleared by the JFDA.

g) Anti-Corruption Guidelines: The JPD contracts and standard bidding documents do

not explicitly contain clauses related to fraud and corruption, as these contracts are

governed by the national anti-corruption rules providing for the exclusive

jurisdiction of the Anti-Corruption Commission (ACC) of Jordan, an independent

agency, in cases of fraud and corruption. Therefore, a waiver of some provisions of

the World Bank Anti-Corruption Guidelines was sought to rely on the Borrower’s

national ACC to investigate cases of fraud and corruption. The waiver specifically

proposed the modification of paragraph 9 and deleting paragraph 10, as detailed

below.

h) Modifications to the Anti-Corruption Guidelines: Paragraph 9 was modified (see

annex 6).

2.5 Post-completion Operation/Next Phase

Not Applicable

3. Assessment of Outcomes

3.1 Relevance of Objectives, Design and Implementation

Rating: High

36. Relevance of Objectives: The relevance of the project objectives is rated as High.

The project objectives were highly relevant when they were prepared and implemented and

remain valid at the time of the ICR preparation because the refugee crisis and its underlying

reasons remain and are ongoing. The project objectives were consistent with the GOJ’s

priorities as well as with the World Bank’s assistance priorities as outlined in the CPS

framework. Jordan’s economy was affected by the regional conflict, political upheaval and

instability, the refugee crisis and the large exogenous shocks over the past several years

that have had a negative impact on its citizens. Sharp increases in oil and food prices, the

removal of fuel subsidies, and the huge refugee influx have put pressure on the living

standards of many Jordanians, particularly those at the bottom of the income distribution.

Jordan’s social and economic situation is undermined by challenges, including

unemployment and poverty. Given these considerations, the objectives of this project were

highly relevant in supporting and enabling the GOJ to maintain the level of access to basic

health and the safety net interventions (supported by the World Bank) which the GOJ had

put in place.

37. Relevance of Design: The relevance of the design is rated as High. The key design

feature of this emergency project, prepared under OP 10.00 was its usage of paragraph 11

which allowed for quick preparation and retroactive financing and made the design highly

effective and relevant. The design of the project was simple and based on maintaining

15

financing for existing budget supported activities for universal subsidies and services

delivered through existing implementation and monitoring mechanisms at existing costs.

The project design was relevant for the time frame in which the financing was requested

by the government and remains relevant after closing because the design supports

maintaining health and basic needs coverage according to the health and basic needs

policies in place. The project provided 40 percent retroactive financing against payments

for relevant expenditures for the prior year before project effectiveness and financing for

the year following effectiveness. The same design would be relevant to the health policy

which replaced the policy at the time of project preparation and implementation. Because

of the flexible nature of the financing mechanism which was that disbursements were made

against payments for relevant expenditures, the project mechanism would have remained

relevant to any changes in policy regarding health and basic needs coverage. The project

design was prepared in response to the demand from the GOJ for support to maintain its

current health and subsidies programs in 2013 which included free health care services to

Syrian refugees. On December 1, 2014 five months after project closing, GOJ announced

its decision to stop providing free health care to Syrian refugees. While free health care to

the refugees was one of the underpinnings of the project at preparation, the need to alleviate

Jordan’s additional fiscal pressures due to the refugee influx remains and the flexibility of

the project design remains relevant.

38. Furthermore, the design was highly relevant to the needs of poor Jordanian

households, as previous studies (World Bank 2009, 2011) have shown that bread and LPG

cylinders tend to be heavily consumed by poorer households. Simulation exercises

performed by the team revealed that inability to provide bread and fuel at their subsidized

prices would further increase poverty, which could also result in significant social unrest.

The project’s design was also highly relevant to the need for mitigating the risks of reversal

in health outcomes and outbreak of disease if the level of access to essential health services

(vaccines, medicines, and medical treatment) could not be maintained, particularly on poor

and lower middle class households who were more likely to be impacted by the situation

as they cannot afford health services outside MOH facilities and are more likely to be

infected by outbreaks of diseases.

39. Additionally, the design of the project was highly relevant as both LPG and bread

subsidies continue to pose a heavy fiscal burden on the government’s budget. In 2012,

spending on these two programs reached 1.6 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP).

40. Relevance of Implementation: The relevance of implementation is rated as High.

Implementation arrangements were highly relevant. The project supported the ongoing

program for the health, bread, and LPG subsidies by the MOF and ensured that

implementation continued without a gap.

3.2 Achievement of Project Development Objectives

Highly Satisfactory

41. The achievement of the project objective is rated as Highly Satisfactory. The project

objective, and the key indicators and mechanisms to monitor and verify the results, as

16

stated in the PAD, were fully met. The project objective was to help the GOJ maintain

access to essential health care services and basic household needs for the Jordanian

population affected by the large and increasing influx of Syrian refugees. The indicators

set for achieving this objective of ‘maintaining access’ were those that were based on the

FM and verification system of the MOF for health and for subsidies to households, and

constituted the baseline for the Results Agreement.

42. Maintenance of access to essential health care services: The baseline of 6.23

million total beneficiaries of the immunization program, and inpatient and outpatient

medical treatment in the MOF system was maintained. The percentage of children

immunized remained at a baseline of 97 percent was maintained. And overall outpatient

and inpatient utilization rates with a baseline of 0.58 percent at health facilities were

maintained and remained at or above baseline value.

43. Maintenance of access to basic household needs: Subsidies, for LPG and bread,

under the Social Safety Net Program, which have a baseline of 2.5 million, were maintained.

Project Objective for Component 1: Maintaining Access to Essential Health Care

Services (US$70 million)

Rating: Highly Satisfactory

44. This component sustained and maintained the provision of essential health care

services to the Jordanian population which is at risk due to the stress on resources resulting

from the large influx of Syrian refugees. The project financed, as designed, a total of US$50

million of drugs and vaccines, including costs of drugs and vaccines procured and paid

from June 30, 2012 to June 30, 2013, retroactively, and from July 1, 2013 to June 30, 2014.

The invoices for the retroactive financing, included payments for vaccines in 2011 prior to

June 30, 2012. These were for the eligible list of vaccines within the period of the refugee

crisis and were in keeping with the component’s selection criteria and its objectives as well

as the overall objective of the project. This component also provided for financing of health

care services for Jordanians in non-MOH health facilities (US$20 million) if they were

crowded out from MOH hospitals due to Syrian refugees. The project required per design

that MOH provide evidence of this through an independent auditor to be hired by the

project. Due to delays in hiring the auditor, at the time of audit there were not enough cases

hence the underspending in the subcomponent and the ‘reallocation’ of the funds to drugs

and vaccines with Bank approval.

Project Objective for Component 2: Maintaining uninterrupted supply of

subsidized bread and LPG cylinders for Supporting Household Basic Needs

(US$79.9 million)

Rating: Highly Satisfactory

45. This component sustained and maintained the financing of universal subsidies for

household basic needs. The objective of this component was to help the GOJ ensure the

17

uninterrupted supply for two subsidized products: bread (US$55 million for wheat) and

LPG cylinders (US$25 million) for poor and lower middle class households. The

continuation of the supply of these universal goods and services supported poor and lower

middle class households in maintaining their standard of living.

Project Objective for Component 3: Monitoring, Auditing and Verification of

Project Financing for Eligible Payments (US$0.1million)

Rating: Satisfactory

46. The MOF coordinated the reporting on the project indicators which were generated

from the payments and invoices incurred for vaccines, drugs, and medical treatment and

bread and LPG subsidies to individual households. The MOF, the MOH, and the MOIT

provided the requisite baseline data from which to measure outcomes by the end of the

project. A technical group/monitoring committee appointed by the MOF agreed that the

results were achieved. The expenditures for the vaccines and for the LPG and bread

subsidies have been carried out and expenditures have been verified by the auditor as was

stipulated in the project design and reflected in the PAD. Specifically, there were two key

monitoring aspects in this project: (i) monitoring of the retroactive payments incurred for

the goods and services already delivered; and (ii) monitoring and verification of payments

for the bills for goods and services to be procured in the period of July 1, 2013 till the

project closed on July 31, 2013 (with a grace period of 4 months for disbursements). For

the retroactive payments, the audit firm and the technical firm verified the supporting

documents related to the goods and services (vaccines and drug lists, and subsidies). For

the payments, the bills for goods and services submitted to the MOF were tracked to

monitor the results, and measured against the baseline set up in the results framework.

47. This component financed: (i) the costs of two special purpose audits as required for

Component 1. These audits were for the retroactive financing for vaccines and medical

costs and for LPG and bread subsidies; and (ii) the cost of an external auditor, who was

with the Bank’s agreement appointed to audit the project financial statements covering the

project’s 12-month lifetime and for both Components 1 and 2. The audit for vaccines and

medical costs was submitted in May 2014. The audit found that there were a number of

invoices which were dated from 2011 and others which were dated in 2012 but prior to

June 30, 2012. Because the language for retroactive financing in the Loan Agreement (LA)

referred to payments after June 30, 2012 and not to invoice dates, this was deemed by the

Bank as being in keeping with the LA and therefore satisfactory. The audit for LPG and

bread would be submitted by end of January 2015 to the Bank.

48. The GOJ (represented by the MOF) hired Saba & Co. auditing company (Deloitte)

as the external auditing company to audit all the SOEs and statements of gas and bread

subsidies for the concerned period - retroactive period from June 30, 2012 till June 30,

2013 and prospective period from July 1, 2013 till July 30, 2014. The first auditing report

issued by the company for the retroactive period was sent to the IBRD. The second report

and final audit is expected to be submitted in January 2015.

3.3 Efficiency

18

Rating: Satisfactory

49. The project’s economic analysis (annex 3) presented in the PAD was framed in the

context of the project objective of mitigation of a temporary fiscal shock and to maintain

(not reduce or expand) services particularly of vaccines so as to prevent the outbreak of

disease rather than in the context of efficiency. Because of the temporary nature of the

project interventions, the structural fiscal balance of the government (which is the fiscal

balance remaining once the impact of cyclical and one-off shocks on both revenue and

expenditures have been eliminated) was unaffected by the project. The project, therefore,

did not impact the GOJ’s ongoing and medium-term domestic and international

commitments to fiscal consolidation. Given this commitment to targeting, it was expected

that the GOJ would be able to improve the efficiency of the current universal bread and

LPG programs but clearly not through this project because that was not the intent of the

project. The economic analysis argues that ex ante cost-benefit analysis shows that

financing of US$80 million worth of supply of basic goods at their current price would

prevent both the incidence of poverty and its depth from worsening. And that simulations

based on the SUBSIM model (Abdelkrim and Verme 2012)13 showed that the proposed

US$55 (US$25) million in financing for the wheat (LPG) program would prevent prices of

wheat (LPG) from rising by 35 (15) percent. Such price increases would, in turn, push

about 45,000 people into poverty, which represents a 5 percent increase in the number of

the poor in Jordan. Keeping the prices stable would also prevent the existing 14.4 percent

(almost 1 million people) of the Jordanian population that is already in poverty from

becoming even poorer. With respect to health services, the team acknowledged that the

economic benefit from maintaining access to essential health care services, and in

particular drugs (medicines, vaccines) and medical treatments is significant. Disruption to

access of such services could have severe and lasting impacts both in terms of health

outcomes and fiscal cost for the budget that would be commensurately larger than the short-

term cost of ensuring continuous access. For instance, disruptions of vaccine supplies could

lead to outbreaks of diseases or even epidemics.14 Additionally, immunizations are among

the most cost-effective activities provided by government in the time of crisis without

additional financial burden to families. That being said, the benefits of maintaining access

were not quantified against the determined costs. Therefore, determining ‘the value for

money’ of the project is not feasible.

3.4 Justification of Overall Outcome Rating

13 Araar, Abdelkrim and Paolo Verme. 2012. “Reforming Subsidies. A Tool-kit for Policy Simulations.”

Policy Research Working Paper No. 6148, World Bank, Washington, DC.

14 For example, TB case notification increased from 5 per 100,000 in 2009 among Jordanians to 13 per

100,000 among Syrian refugees in 2013. While no measles cases have been reported in Jordan since 2009,

the MOH data show that 18 Jordanians and 23 Syrians have been diagnosed with the disease in 2013. Polio,

which had been eliminated since 1999 in Jordan, was also detected in two cases in 2013.

19

Rating: Satisfactory

50. The PDO for this project ‘maintaining access’ to essential health services is simple

and clear. Maintaining access referred to vaccines for 6.23 million beneficiaries, hospital

care for the insured 1.10 million beneficiaries and the non-insured 2,500 beneficiaries to

non-MOH health care services; and basic household needs, LPG and bread/wheat to 2.5

million beneficiaries. The results framework aligned to the PDO, defines the time frame

for the maintaining of this access for the period 2012–2014. It can be argued given the

invoices for the vaccines cover the period from 2011 at the start of the crisis, the Bank team

should have foreseen this and the retroactive financing should have covered the entire

period from the beginning of the crisis. After all, the PAD framed the need for the project

on basis of the influx of Syrian refugees which not only strained the government’s coffers

and ability to meet its own population’s needs but also threatened the overall health

situation by the possibility of a break out of epidemic and also social unrest similar to that

in other parts of the region. It can be argued that since neither took place in Jordan in the

project time frame, the project achieved its unstated objectives as well. Furthermore, the

maintenance of access allowed for the outcome that safety net and health systems continue

to work as designed without interruption or reduction in activities thereby, avoiding erosion

in health or safety net services. Since the PDO was tightly formulated and clear, it can

further be argued, that the project outcome of access being maintained, households

continuing to receive health care and basic household needs, was fully met and therefore

the overall outcome was Satisfactory.

3.5 Overarching Themes, Other Outcomes and Impacts

(a) Poverty Impacts, Gender Aspects, and Social Development

51. As noted earlier, bread and LPG are heavily consumed products by Jordanian

households and account for a relatively large share of poor households’ total spending so

disruption to their supply or increases in prices would have a material impact on these

households. Furthermore, poverty simulations on price increases for bread or LPG show

that an additional 45,000–53,000 Jordanians would have been pushed into poverty

representing a 5 percent increase in the number of poor Jordanians (see annex 3). Poorer

households spend a larger share of their total expenditure on bread and LPG than the richer

households. These items constitute for approximately 7 percent of poor households’ total

consumption while they comprise only 2 percent of the consumption of the richest

Jordanian households. In terms of expenditures, households in the bottom decile spend 3.6

percent on subsidized food items, whereas for the richest 3 deciles this share falls to below

1 percent. Similarly, the poorest 20 percent of Jordanian households spend 2.3 percent of

their total spending on LPG compared to 1 percent for the richest 20 percent households.

Female beneficiaries constitute 48 percent of the project’s beneficiaries. The project

maintains the living standards of poorer households through provision of subsidies for

health and basic household needs. At a time of regional conflict, it can be argued that the

project assisted in mitigating the social risks of instability within Jordan through the

maintenance of economic and social services for the population. Furthermore, the project

20

maintained the Safety Nets systems development for health and basic needs within the

MOF and ensured that these were not eroded in the context of the emergency and crisis.

(b) Institutional Change/Strengthening

52. The project did not have the objective of instilling change or strengthening

institutional capacity. It was a one-year emergency operation. In this regard, the project

maintained the disbursements of benefits through the MOF’s existing subsidies

disbursement system which would have, without the project, been disrupted and possibly

eroded. However, the fiduciary arrangements and daily supervision as noted in the ICR and

annex 6 supported the MOF in strengthening its institutional capacity.

53. The MOF had limited experience and knowledge with the World Bank FM and

disbursement guidelines. Therefore, training was provided to the accountant in order to

ensure full understanding and application of the World Bank FM and disbursement policies

and procedures.

(c) Other Unintended Outcomes and Impacts

54. This was the first project to be prepared in the region using OP 10.00 paragraph 11.

The results of the project have had a positive effect on the preparation of similar projects

in the region such as in Yemen.

3.6 Summary of Findings of Beneficiary Survey and/or Stakeholder Workshops

N/A

4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome

Rating: Low

55. The Risk to Development Outcome is Low. The project had met its target, as

articulated by the PDO, Results Framework in the PAD, supervision reports, and the audit

reports at completion. Development outcomes are likely to remain on course due to the

maintenance of the safety nets for health and basic needs through the project intervention.

5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance

5.1 Bank Performance

(a) Bank Performance in Ensuring Quality at Entry

Rating: Satisfactory

56. The project built on an excellent Borrower and Bank relationship with the MOF

and on an existing system of disbursements within the MOF for the subsidies for health

21

and basic needs. The quality of analysis of the country and sector background was High in

the PAD. The World Bank updated the assessment of the FM systems within the MOF that

was previously conducted during the preparation of the Support to Implementation of a

National Unified Registry and Outreach Program for Targeting Social Assistance Project.15

The assessment concluded that, with the implementation of agreed-upon actions, the

proposed FM arrangements satisfy the minimum requirements under OP/BP 10.00.

Furthermore, the Bank examined the inventory management system at the Directorate of

Purchases and Supplies/MOH to ensure that reasonable assurance exists to safeguarding

the vaccines and drugs and collection by beneficiary hospitals and health centers. A

qualified accountant was identified from the MOF’s Finance Department to follow up on

the FM and disbursement aspects. In addition, a Coordination Officer was designated from

the JPD who coordinated with the MOF accountant and was responsible for providing

MOF with the necessary information and documentation. The MOF had limited experience

and knowledge with the World Bank FM and disbursement guidelines. Therefore, training

was provided to the accountant in order to ensure full understanding and application of the

World Bank FM and disbursement policies and procedures. To make sure that funds would

be readily available for project implementation, a DA was opened at the Central Bank of

Jordan (CBJ). However, this took some time and caused minor delays, after project

effectiveness and should have been done before effectiveness.

(b) Quality of Supervision

Rating: Satisfactory

57. The project implementation period was one year, while disbursements spanned two

years with retroactive financing. The formulation of the retroactive financing eligibility

was differently articulated as noted earlier in the PAD, LA, and Aide Memoires (AMs).

However, the LA takes precedence and the clause in the Legal Agreement can be

interpreted to have put an emphasis on payments in the period on or after June 2012. The

implementation of the retroactive financing was therefore, according the Loan Agreement.

58. There were two formal missions, two AMs and one ISR submitted for the project.

Interaction with the Bank was on a regular day-to-day basis with the supervision team

based in the region. Monitoring as agreed with the Borrower relied on invoices submitted

by the MOF during the project life and the audit reports for these invoices at project

completion.

(c) Justification of Rating for Overall Bank Performance

Rating: Highly Satisfactory

15 World Bank. 2013. “Support to Implementation of a National Unified Registry and Outreach Program for

Targeted Social Assistance Project.”

22

59. Given the emergency nature of the project and the highly proactive, high quality

and appropriate design response by the Bank to an emergency request by the GOJ, the

overall rating of the Bank performance is Highly Satisfactory.

60. The Bank was proactive in responding the GOJ request in an emergency situation.

The Bank had foreseen the possibility of emergencies and had provided for such a

contingency in its framing of the CPS. The Bank team was proactive and took advantage

of the OP 10.00 procedures for the design and preparation of the project. The project was

the first in the region to pilot OP 10.00 procedures. The project preparation quality was

high, given the short period of only 6 weeks between the request from GOJ and Board

Approval. The project preparation and supervision was conducted in keeping with these

procedures. The Bank team for supervision was based in the region throughout

implementation and provided support on a day-to-day basis, supported by two formal

supervision missions within the period of the one-year implementation.

5.2 Borrower Performance

Rating: Satisfactory

(a) Government Performance

Rating: Satisfactory

61. The GOJ identified the need and requested the support of the Bank in a timely

fashion. The GOJ ensured that the project preparation and implementation received the full

support and was coordinated with all the relevant ministries. However, the delay in the

external audits caused the inability on the part of the GOJ to recover its expenditures for

financing of health care services for Jordanians in non-MOH health facilities if they were

crowded out from MOH hospitals due to Syrian refugees. At the time of audit, there were

not enough cases hence the underspending in the subcomponent and the reallocation of the

funds to the drugs and vaccines with Bank approval.

(b) Implementing Agency or Agencies Performance

Rating: Satisfactory

62. The implementing agencies were able to continue to deliver the subsidies in

accordance with their agreed procedures.

(c) Justification of Rating for Overall Borrower Performance

Rating: Satisfactory

63. The Borrower has implemented and disbursed 98.759 percent of the loan at the time

of Implementation Completion Results Report (ICRR) in accordance with the objectives,

design and implementation agreements of the project.

23

6. Lessons Learned

64. Simplicity of operation through existing delivery mechanisms for existing

services which allowed for quick preparation and implementation. Reliance on

existing structures and tested implementation approaches facilitated a rapid and effective

disbursement and response to the crisis. This operation relied on the MOF as the main

implementing agency which has experience with implementation of large cash transfer

programs and subsidies in Jordan. In addition, the project used the existing national systems

of the JPD, which has proven experience in large-scale procurement of drugs and vaccines

for the kingdom.

65. Flexibility of financial response through the inherent flexibility of the newly

introduced OP 10.00 helped expedite preparation and the World Bank’s overall

ability to respond with speed to an urgent need. This operation was the first in the MNA

region (and the first Bank-wide) to apply OP 10.00, paragraph 11 (Projects in Situations of

Urgent Need of Assistance or Capacity Constraints) and under condensed procedures. The

project was specifically designed to minimize the need for time-intensive FM assessments

and procurement reviews. It relied on the country system already assessed by the Bank and

was able to provide the higher proportion of retroactive financing permitted under OP

10.00, paragraph 11 which was critical to the success of the operation and to reduce the

burden on the GOJ budget.

66. The FM approach was streamlined and based on more simplified ex ante

requirements, while relying more heavily on ex post requirements as additional

fiduciary controls and review which allowed for timely disbursements. The specific FM

ex post requirements included a special purpose audit that was conducted on all goods and

a technical (medical) and financial audit that was performed by a specialized firm of

medical bills of patients referred to non-MOH hospitals and health facilities. The scope of

this special purpose audit included: (i) verifying that referrals are issued in accordance with

MOH procedures; (ii) ensuring appropriateness of referrals and use of services according

to health needs; (iii) reasonableness of medical bills of the non-MOH hospitals and health

facilities; and (iv) adherence to the cost ceiling of US$10,000 per patient. A final audit

started after project closure on all the project’s components and activities. The available

audit tools were used to have a reasonable assurance of the values of the bread and LPG

subsidies that were retroactively financed by US$39 million. These audit tools included the

review of the most recent issued audit reports of: (i) the Special Trade Account of the

MOIT which reports on bread subsidy, and (ii) the Petroleum Refinery Company (sole

supplier of LPG in Jordan) for any irregularities.

67. Flexibility in the design mechanism which provided for disbursements against

payments for expenditures allowed for the project design to remain relevant and be

responsive to any changes during implementation in policies towards health and basic

social needs coverage and expenditures (annex 6). The disbursement requirements for each

component were made very clear to the counterpart and for that a table was used to

summarize those requirements and included in the PAD. This contributed significantly in

minimizing any confusion by the counterpart of those requirements. Considering the large

number of small contracts being procured by the JPD, the imposed limitation on a positive

24

list of contracts with an estimated cost of US$200,000 and above, minimized the number

of transactions and required documents to be audited. To avoid excessive transaction costs

of SOEs, the minimum amount for direct payment and reimbursement was set at 20 percent

of the Designated Account ceiling amount along with necessary supporting documents.

However, two agencies (MOPIC and MOF) were engaged in the FM and disbursement

arrangements; the MOF was responsible for the overall FM and disbursement arrangements,

while the MOPIC was responsible for submitting withdrawal applications to the Bank. This

was not considered an ideal model and lack of coordination on a few occasions caused

delays in submission of withdrawal applications to the Bank.

68. Retroactive financing for a substantial amount of 40 percent was key to the

success of the emergency operation. The project was able to provide up to 40 percent

under OP 10.00, paragraph 11 and enabled the World Bank to pivot effectively in

responding to the GOJ’s request for assistance and allowed for immediately reimbursing

the GOJ on its expenditures for vaccines, LPG, and bread. However, while the rules for

retroactive financing under OP 10.00, paragraph 11 are meant to respond to need, they

allow up to 40 percent of retroactive financing, however these rules are limited to not

exceed a period of more than 12 months prior to loan agreement signing date. The

retroactive financing eligibility in the loan agreement was agreed to begin for payments on

or after June 30, 2012 onwards, though the crisis started in 2011.

69. Temporary time-bound support in emergency situations to help meet essential

household needs. These pro-poor interventions through subsidies and price controls

can help mitigate the potential for social instability. While, the economic case, for

subsidies in normal circumstances is not compelling, it can be argued that in the absence

of social instability in Jordan which has been burdened by a large refugee population,

universal subsidies have played a role in the ongoing emergency in mitigating the crisis.

70. A strong relationship between the Bank and the government on the ground

allowed for a rapid response. The World Bank’s existing working relationship with the

MOF permitted the necessary intensive and sustained technical and fiduciary

implementation support. In addition, the World Bank team, based in the region, was able

to provide intensive and frequent implementation support throughout the project drawing

on multi-sectorial staff based in Amman and the Lebanon country office.

71. The smooth coordination between the different units within the World Bank

(FM, CTR, Procurement, Social Protection and Labor and Social Development) was

outstanding and significantly contributed to the timely project preparation and as well the

smooth implementation.

7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower (a) Borrower/implementing agencies

72. The Borrower noted the ongoing refugee crisis beyond the project closing date

and its implication for future further financing by donors. The Borrower concluded

that the implementation of the project has been successful due to the project design,

25

particularly the retroactive financing of 40 percent. The Borrower noted the strong

cooperation between all involved ministries and urged future support by the Bank and

donor community in the form of soft loans and grants to help mitigate the budget deficit.

73. The GOJ’s ICR, however, did not provide any information on the monitoring

and evaluation aspects of the project or whether the data collection was conducted in a

timely manner or on the outcome indicators and targets as outlined in the PAD.

Additionally, it does not contain information on any potential problems encountered during

implementation and potential lessons to be learned for the future from this experience.

(b) Cofinanciers

Not applicable

(c) Other partners and stakeholders

Not applicable

26

Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing

(a) Project Cost by Component (in US$ Million equivalent)

Components

Appraisal

Estimate

(US$)

Actual/Latest Estimate

(US$)

Percentage of

Appraisal

Component 1: Maintain Access to Essential Health Care Services

Drugs and vaccines 50,000,000 61,525,368 123

Medical treatment 20,000,000 8,333,81716 42

Total subcomponent 1 70,000,000 69,859,158 99.8

Component 2: Supporting Household Basic Needs

Bread 55,000,000 55,000,000 100

LPG (cylinders) 24,525,000 24,525,000 100

Total subcomponent 2 79,525,000 79,525,000 100

Component 3: Monitoring, Auditing and Verification

Total subcomponent 3 100,000 100,000 100

Total Baseline Cost 149,625,000

Physical Contingencies – –

Price Contingencies – –

Total Project Costs 149,625,000 149,484,158 99.9

Front-end fee PPF

Front-end fee IBRD 375,000 375,000 100

Total Financing Required 150,000,000 149,859,185 99.9

(b) Financing

Source of Funds Type of Cofinancing

Appraisal

Estimate

(US$)

Actual/Latest

Estimate

(US$)

Percentage of

Appraisal

Borrower

International Bank for

Reconstruction and

Development

The Bank is the sole financer 150,000,000 149,859,185 99.9

16 The remaining US$11.65 million from the medical treatment item was allocated to the drugs and

vaccines item, as the GOJ cited the unavailability of the required documents (that is, medical bills of all

patients referred to the non-MOH hospitals and health facilities) in the Health Insurance Department to

process the full payments, per the Bank’s agreement.

27

Annex 2. Outputs by Component Two main outputs have been set for this emergency program. The first output was to maintain

access to essential health care services through (i) the provision of vaccines and essential drugs to

all public health care facilities; and (ii) financing of health care services for Jordanians in non-

MOH health facilities. The second output was to support households’ basic needs through (i)

financing part of the increase in cost of bread subsidies arising from increased demand from the

Syrian conflict; and (ii) financing the increase in the cost of LPG cylinders arising from increased

demand from Syrian conflict. The following table provides the measured outcome indicators for

the two main outputs.

Table 2.1: Measured Outcome Indicators

Component 1: Maintain Access to Essential Health Care Services

Target Actual

estimate

Indicator Name Unit of

Measure

Baseline

(June

2012)

2012/13

(Year 1)

includes

retroactiv

e

2013/14

(Year 2)

January

2014

End target Frequenc

y

Data Source/

methodology

Direct project

beneficiaries (number), of

which women (%)

- Beneficiaries of drugs

and vaccines

- Beneficiaries of medical

treatments

Number,

million

(%)

6.23

(48.6)

6.23

(48.6)

6.30

(48.6)

6.23

(48.60)

6.37

(48.60)

Monthly

MOH

JPD for drugs

and medical

supplies

MOF

Beneficiaries of safety

net programs (subsidies),

of which women (%)

Number,

million

(%)

2.5

(48.6)

2.5

(48.6)

2.5

(48.6)

2.50

(48.60)

2.5

(48.6)

Monthly MOF

Children immunized (0-6

years)

Number,

Million

1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 Annual MOH

Per capita outpatient

utilization rates at PHCCs

to remain at or above

baseline value.

Yes/No 0.58 Yes Yes Yes Yes Monthly MOH

Per capita inpatient

admission

rates at hospitals to

remain at or above

baseline value.

Yes/No 1.10 Yes Yes Yes Yes Monthly MOH

Number of uninsured

patients from the northern

governorates referred to

non-MOH facilities for

medical treatment

Number 0 1000 1500 0 2500 Monthly MOH

MOH warehouses in

target areas with no drug

stock-outs in the last

week

Number 7 2 2 7 2 Monthly MOH, JPD

Vaccination/medicines

purchased by the JPD as

per the Rational Drug

List

US$,

million

90 112 117 90 117 Annual MOH, JPD

Component 2: Supporting Household Basic Needs

Wheat purchased (flour) Metric

ton

44,972 64,811 77,773 44,972 77,773 Monthly MOIT

LPG purchased Metric 21,293,782 1,809,409 3,196,622 21,937,82 3,196,622 Monthly MOF

28

ton

29

Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis

Component 1: Maintain Access to Essential Health Care Services

Due to the emergency nature of this operation and the need to respond quickly, measures

of efficiency to determine whether the costs involved in achieving this component were

reasonable in comparison with both the benefits and ‘value for money’ were not

applicable.17 While the team recognized that the economic benefit of maintaining access to

health services is significant as disruptions could have long lasting impacts on health

outcomes and shortages in vaccines could lead to outbreaks of diseases, measuring such

long-term benefits (by estimating the counterfactual scenario of what could have happened

in the absence of this operation) against the components’ costs was, understandably, not

feasible in the short term. Financing this component was based on economic analysis that

estimated the costs of the influx of the Syrian refugees on the rise in prices of essential

health care needs, as detailed in the following:

Drugs and vaccines: The project financed US$50 million of drugs and vaccines.

Estimates for this figure were based on (i) the gross rate of pre-crisis consumption

in medicine, namely in 2010 and 2011; (ii) projected increase in procurement of

generic drugs at the rate of 3 percent (this rate was estimated based on pre-crisis

rates of increase, as well as the standard rate of increase set by GOJ given its goal

of increasing the share of generic drugs procured); and (iii) actual procurement of

medication. The program was designed to compensate the MOH for the increase in

cost of drugs procured as a result of influx of Syrian refugees. In 2012, the program

financed six months’ worth of drugs procured between July–December 2012,

totaling US$5 million; the full cost of drugs procured in 2012 totaling US$29.4

million; and the first six months of 2014 (January–June) at US$16 million. This

amounted to US$50 million.

Medical treatment: The project financed US$20 million towards the cost of

treatment of Jordanian patients with the highest need for care referred by the MOH

to non-MOH facilities, focusing on patients living in the most affected areas in

Jordan and who have urgent medical needs. The estimates were based on data

showing an increasing trend in the numbers and costs of referrals from before the

influx of refugees to the present time. In 2012, the overall cost of treatment in non-

MOH facilities totaled US$242 million indicating a 50 percent increase from 2011.

Using El-Hussein Cancer Center as a baseline for analysis, there were 10,069 cases

of referrals in 2012 (compared to 9,066 cases in 2011) and the unit cost for

treatment increased from US$6,158 in 2011 to US$7,600 in 2012. Payments of

around 2,500 invoices were projected to be made from the loan.

17 Projects in situations of urgent need of assistance or capacity constraints financed by a Bank Loan may

be processed under special procurement arrangements referred to in paragraph 20 of OP 11.00 and may

finance a positive list of goods procured in a manner that satisfies the considerations of economy and

efficiency (including national procurement procedures of the Borrower).

30

Component 2: Supporting Household Basic Needs

Ex ante cost-benefit analysis done by the team indicated that the financing of US$80

million worth of supply of basic goods (bread and LPG cylinders) at their current prices

would prevent both the incidence of poverty and its depth from worsening. Using

simulations based on the SUBSIM model (Abdelkrim and Verme 2012), the team

illustrated that the financing of US$55 million for bread and US$25 million for LPG

cylinders would prevent prices of wheat from rising by 35 percent and prices of LPG by

15 percent. Such price increases would push 45,000 people into poverty, which represents

a 5 percent increase in the number of the poor in Jordan. Keeping the prices stable would

also prevent the existing 14.1 percent (almost 1 million people) of the Jordanian population

that is already in poverty from becoming even poorer. The team used the GOJ’s plan to

eliminate subsidies on petroleum in 2012 as an illustrative example. The increase in prices

would have pushed similar magnitude of Jordanians into poverty (for example, 53,000).

Therefore, to avoid such impact on the poor, the government accompanied the subsidy

phase out with a cash transfer program of about US$420 million per year. Financing this

component was based on econometric analyses that estimated the costs of the influx of the

Syrian refugees on the rise in prices of essential household needs, as detailed in the

following:

Financing bread subsidies: The team conducted econometric analysis to illustrate

that the Syrian crisis has significantly and materially increased the demand for

subsidized bread in Jordan. Regression results confirmed that the determinants of

subsidized flour volumes, which steadily increased starting in 2011, are expected

to have primarily risen by an increase in consumer numbers, as the retail price

remained unchanged (the refugee variable is statistically significant with a

relatively stable coefficient in most specifications used). Based on the regression

coefficients of the econometric analysis, the increase in consumption related to the

crisis was estimated at 77,773 metric tons of flour from June 2012–June 2013. This

accounted for the 80 percent increase in volume observed since the 2010 pre-crisis

and 12.2 percent of total flour demand. With an estimated average subsidy of

US$385.7 per metric ton of flour, the estimated retroactive financing reached

US$30 million. For the period of July 2013–June 2014, assuming the unit subsidy

cost was unchanged, the project financed 64,811 metric tons of flour for a cost of

US$25 million. This amounted to a total of US$55 million for this component.

Financing LPG cylinders: The team performed an analysis of the demand in

response to the LPG prices pre and post the Syrian crisis, which revealed that the

increased demand was driven by increases in numbers of Syrian refugees. The

impact of Syrian-related effect on LPG demand was inferred by analyzing two large

price changes of similar magnitude: one that took place in 2008 and one after the

crisis in 2012. Analysis has shown that demand for LPG with price increases is

expected to be dampened (as it is an inferior good). In 2008, a price increase of 53

percent led to a 4 percent decrease in consumption. Nonetheless, in 2012, a similar

price increase (54 percent) led to an 8 percent increase in consumption. Such stark

differences in consumption, as argued by the team, could only be explained by a

large influx of new gas consumers. To quantify the impact of the crisis on demand,

31

it was assumed that the rise in consumption could be captured by the number of

Syrian refugees. Based on the number of Syrian refugees and their average

consumption, the project was estimated to finance a subsidy cost of 1.8 million

standard (12.5 kg) LPG cylinders (for a total cost of US$9 million) for the

retroactive period (June 2012–June 2013), and an estimated 3.2 million cylinders

for the period July 2013–June 2014 (for a total cost of US$16 million). The average

subsidy cost per LPG cylinder was estimated at US$4.97 based on historical cost

from June–December 2012. Therefore, a total of US$25 million was financed for

this component.

In summary, measures of efficiency to determine whether the costs involved in financing

the project were reasonable when compared to its benefits and ‘value for money’ were not

applicable in this case, due to the emergency nature of this program. Nonetheless, financing

the project was based on economic analysis that estimated the costs of the influx of the

Syrian refugees on the rise in prices of essential health care and household needs, and

comes in line with the social procurement arrangements referred to in paragraph 20 of OP

11.00 whereby the Bank may finance a positive list of goods procured in a manner that

satisfies the considerations of economy and efficiency.

32

Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes

(a) Task Team Members

Names Title Unit Responsibility/

Specialty

Lending

Haneen Sayed Lead Operations Officer MNSHD Task Team Leader

Eric Le Borgne Lead Economist MNSED Economic and Fiscal

Balakrishna Menon

Parameswaran Lead Social Development Specialist MNSSO Social Development

Caroline Bahnson ET Consultant MNSSO Refugee context

Nadwa Rafeh Sr. Economist MNSHH Preparation of Health

component

Piers Merrick Sr. Operations Officer MNADE Justification, operational

procedures, RA

Hassine Hedda Finance Officer CTRLA Disbursement arrangements

Maya Abi Karam Counsel LEGAM Legal Agreement

Iqbal Kaur Sr. Social Protection Specialist MNSHD Overall support to PAD

drafting

Janette Uhlmann Sr. Country Officer MNCA2 Package preparation and

approvals

Jad Mazahreh Sr. Financial Specialist MNAFM Financial Management

Sepehr Fotovat Sr. Procurement Specialist MNAPR Procurement

Banu Setlur Environmental Specialist MNSEN Environmental Safeguards

Nina Bhatt Sr. Social Scientist MNSSO Social Safeguards

Hala Ballout Program Assistant MNSHD Team Assistant

Supervision

Haneen Sayed Lead Operations Officer MNSHD Task Team Leader

Hassine Hedda Sr. Finance Officer CTRLA

Nadwa Rafeh Sr. Economist MNSHH

Economic Analysis for

drugs ,vaccines, medical

treatment

Sepehr Fotovat Ahmadi Sr. Procurement Specialist MNAPC Procurement

Jad Raji Mazahreh Sr. Financial Management Specialist MNAFM Financial Management

ICR

Maniza Naqvi Sr. Social Protection Specialist GSPDR Task Team Leader-

Drafting the ICR

Jumana Alaref Junior Professional Associate GSPDR Annexes

(b) Staff Time and Cost

Stage of Project Cycle

Staff Time and Cost (Bank Budget Only)

No. of staff weeks US$, thousands (including

travel and consultant costs)

Lending

Total: 20.15 139, 825

Supervision

33

Total: 23.95 78,780

ICR 10 50,000

Total:

34

Annex 5. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR

IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT

(IBRD loan No.-82830 JO dated 28/7/2013)

December 1, 2014

Introduction

The government of Jordan (GOJ) requested assistance from the donor countries

to provide grants and loans to face and mitigate the budget deficit as well as the

financial and economic situation which occurred from the Syrian refugees. One

of these donors is the World Bank. According to Jordan’s request, the GOJ

signed an emergency loan agreement on 28/7/2013 with the International Bank

for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) for an amount of US$150 million

to assist Jordan mitigate the impact of the Syrian refugees on the budget deficit.

Project Development Objectives

The project objective is to help the GOJ maintain access to essential health care

services and basic household needs for the Jordanian population affected by the

large and increasing influx of Syrian refugees.

Project Beneficiaries

The project beneficiaries consist of the following:

1. Jordanian children aged 0–6 years: Children aged 0–6 years received

vaccinations which would prevent and control transmission of vaccine-

preventable diseases.

2. Jordanian households particularly of the poor and lower middle classes: The

Jordanian population as a whole benefited from the project through the

continuation of the basic food (bread) and fuel (LPG) subsidies, as well as

the medicines financed under the project. During the one-year

implementation of this project, women, who constitute 48.6 percent of the

population, will continue to benefit from the universality of the subsidies and

medicines. In addition, poor and lower middle class households particularly

35

benefited as they were disproportionately impacted if universal access to

these goods and services was interrupted.

3. Jordanian patients: The project benefited approximately 2,500 Jordanian

patients, particularly those living in the north, to continue to have access to

health services.

Project Components

Component 1: Maintaining access to essential health care services (US$70 million)

This component aims to sustain the provision of essential health care services to

the Jordanian population which is at risk due to the stress on resources resulting

from the large influx of Syrian refugees. This was achieved by financing needed

vaccines and drugs, and the treatment of Jordanians who are being crowded out

from public hospitals as a result of the increasing use of public services by

Syrian refugees.

Component 2: Supporting household basic needs (US$79.9 million)

Financing universal subsidies for household basic needs. The objective of this

component is to help the GOJ ensure uninterrupted supply of basic household

commodities for poor and lower middle class households. The two subsidized

products financed under this component are bread and LPG cylinders.

Component 3: Project monitoring, auditing, and verification (US$100,000)

This component financed the cost of an external auditor acceptable to the World

Bank.

Project Cost

The cost for this project is US$150 million and IBRD funded this amount in

two phases:

1. Retroactive financing: US$60 million, equivalent to 40 percent of the

loan amount, which was distributed to the two components for payments

made from June 30, 2012 till June 30, 2013 as follows:

Component 1: Vaccines and drugs - US$21 million

Component 2: Bread and LPG cylinders - US$39 million

2. Prospective financing: US$90 million, equivalent to 60 percent of the

loan amount, which was distributed to the two components for payments

made from July 1, 2013 till July 30, 2014 as follows:

Component 1: Drugs and vaccines, medical treatment - US$49 million

36

Component 2: Bread and LPG cylinders - US$40.525 million.

Project Cost (US$)

Retroactive

(June 2012-

June 2013)

Prospective

(July 2013-

June 2014)

Total

Project

Costs

Disbursement

Amount Component

Progress%

Component 1: Maintain Access to Essential Health Care Services

Drugs and vaccines * 21,000,000 29,000,000 50,000,000 61,525,368 123%

Medical treatment 0 20,000,000 20,000,000 8,333,817 42%

Sub-total 21,000,000 49,000,000 70,000,000 69,859,158 99.8%

Component 2: Supporting Household Basic Needs

Bread 30,000,000 25,000,000 55,000,000 55,000,000 100%

LPG (cylinders) 9,000,000 15,525,000 24,525,000 24,525,000 100%

Sub-total 39,000,000 40,525,000 79,525,000 79,525,000 100%

Component3: Monitoring, Auditing and Verification

Sub-total 100,000 100,000 100,000 100%

Fontend loan fee 375,000 375,000 375,000 100%

Grand Total 60,000,000 90,000,000 150,000,000 149,859,185 99.91%

Due to the unavailability of the required documents in the Health Insurance

Department (HID) and according to the IBRD Agreement, the GOJ

transferred the remaining balance of US$11.65 million which was allocated

to the Medical Treatment item according to the Project Appraisal Document

(PAD) to the Drugs and Vaccines item. In this case, the amount for the

Medical Treatment item becomes US$61.65 million instead of US$50

million and the amount for the Drugs and Vaccines item becomes US$8.33

million instead of US$20 million.

Disbursements Procedure (Phases One and Two)

1. Drugs and Vaccines

The Joint Procurement Department (JPD) (which was responsible for

purchasing all the government goods and services including drugs and

vaccines) was paid through the Statements of Expenditures (SOEs) through its

budget allocation in the Budget Law under the Ministry of Health item. The

Ministry of Finance (MOF) provided the Ministry of Health (MOH) with the

cash flow to meet all its obligations including the obligations of the JPD. The

JPD paid the amounts due to the suppliers on behalf of the government.

The JPD processed the SOEs to the MOF, including the proof of advertisement;

purchase order; supplier invoice; proof of payment to suppliers; and delivery

evidence to the Directorate of Purchases and Supplies.

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The MOF provided the Ministry of Planning and International Cooperation

(MOPIC) with the required SOEs duly cleaned and audited from its side.

MOPIC requested the World Bank to transfer the equivalent amount of these

SOEs in U.S. dollars to the special account of the loan, Designated Account

(DA), which was opened at the Central Bank of Jordan. The MOF requested the

Central Bank of Jordan to transfer the equivalent amount in JD from the DA to

the Treasury Account (TA).

2. Bread

The MOF paid the amount of the bread subsidies which was allocated in the

Budget Law on a monthly basis. The government subsidies equation can be

summarized as: (Sales + Ending inventory – cost).

During the concerned period, the government subsidy for bread was higher than

the allocated amount in the loan agreement in both phases (retroactive and

prospective period). The allocated amount for the retroactive period in the loan

was US$30 million which covered bread subsidies for 10 months only and the

allocated amount for the prospective period was US$25 million which covered

bread subsidies for 6 months only.

The MOF prepared and audited the statements of the bread subsidies which were

issued according to the Special Trade Account opened at the Central Bank of

Jordan and the financial reports provided by the Ministry of Industry and Trade.

The MOF provided MOPIC with the required statements of subsidies duly

cleaned and audited from its side. The MOPIC requested the World Bank to

transfer the equivalent amount of these statements in U.S. dollars to the DA. The

MOF requested the Central Bank of Jordan to transfer the equivalent amount in

JD from the DA to the TA.

3. Gas

The government subsidized gas based on the following equation: (Selling price

– Cylinder cost). The gas subsidy paid by the government during the concerned

period was higher than the allocated amount in the loan agreement in both

phases (retroactive and prospective period). The allocated amount for the

retroactive period in the loan was US$9 million which covered gas subsidies for

1 month only and the allocated amount for the prospective period was

US$15.525 million which covered gas subsidies for 6 months only.

The MOF prepared and audited the statements of gas subsidies according to the

financial reports issued by the Jordan Petroleum Refinery Company (JPRC).

The MOF provided the MOPIC with the required statements of subsidies duly

cleaned and audited from its side. The MOPIC requested the World Bank to

transfer the equivalent amount of these statements in U.S. dollars to the DA. The

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MOF requested the Central Bank of Jordan to transfer the equivalent amount in

JD from the DA to the TA.

4. Medical Treatment

The SOEs for Medical Treatment are paid by the HID through its allocation in

the Budget Law which is funded by the MOF.

The SOEs were audited by the Medexa Company which was appointed by the

MOH as an external medical auditing company; this company provides the

MOF through the HID with financial reports of the Medical Treatment.

The MOF provided the MOPIC with the required statements of subsidies duly

cleaned and audited from its side. The MOPIC requested the World Bank to

transfer the equivalent amount of these statements in U.S. dollars to the DA. The

MOF requested the Central Bank of Jordan to transfer the equivalent amount in

JD from the DA to the TA.

5. External Auditing

Through a competitive proposal, the GOJ (represented by the MOF) hired Saba

& Co. auditing company (Deloitte) as the external auditing company to audit all

the SOEs and statements of gas and bread subsidies for the concerned period

(retroactive period from June 30, 2012 till June 30, 2013 and prospective period

from July 1, 2013 till July 30 2014). The MOF paid services fees for the

company from its resources. The first auditing report issued by the company for

the retroactive period was sent to IBRD. The second report will be issued soon.

Conclusion

1. The loans provided by IBRD remain an important instrument to financing

government needs to help Jordan alleviate its debt burden due to its

concessionality.

2. The emergency loan helped Jordan compensate the budget deficit due to

the Syrian refugee impact. The MOF has successfully implemented the

loan with full cooperation from the MOPIC, MOH, Ministry of Industry

and Trade, Ministry of Energy, HID, JPD, JPRC, and the Central Bank of

Jordan

3. The government recommends that the World Bank continues to assist

Jordan through grants or soft loans from the donors to mitigate and face the

impact of Syrian Refugees and reduce the burden on the General Budget.

Indicators and targets

A. Immunization Coverage

39

(% of Infant by One Year of Age & Pregnant Women with TT2+ During 2011–2013))

Immunization

Years

Measles

%

MMR

%

OPV3

%

OPV4

%

DPT3

%

HBV3

%

HIB

%

TT2+

%

2011 97 94 95 97 95 95 95 40

2012 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 36

2013 94 97 94 97 97 97 97 22

Source: Communicable Diseases Directorate

B. MOH HOSPITAL

Year 2011 2012 2013

Admissions 332,607 339,628 347,929

Surgical Operations 79,567 88,317 87,422

Deliveries 73,340 73,399 74,188

Year 2011 2012 2013

Deliveries in JORDAN 168,122 165,536 168,129

C. Visits to PHC Centers

Year 2011 2012 2013

Physicians 9,841,736 10,492,749 10,673,292

Nurses 2,258,192 2,362,141 2,332,157

Total 12,099,928 12,854,890 13,005,449

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Annex 6: Lessons Learned From Fiduciary Perspective

Background

To assist with the mitigation of impact, the project was prepared and implemented

according to paragraph 11 of the World Bank Operational Policy 10.00, which allows for

certain exceptions to the investment project financing policy requirements when the

borrower is deemed to be in urgent need of assistance because of a man-made disaster or

conflict (among other factors). The evolving situation in Jordan reflects both the impact of

conflict (in neighboring Syria) and of a man-made disaster (resulting from the influx of

refugees fleeing the conflict) - two of the specific situations that the provisions were

developed to address.

Fiduciary Arrangements

Financial Management: Due to the emergency nature of this operation and the need to

respond quickly, the FM approach was streamlined and based on more simplified ex ante

requirements, while relying more heavily on ex post requirements as additional fiduciary

controls and review. The risk mitigation measures were designed to suit the available

capacity during implementation. The main FM and disbursement arrangements of this

project were:

a) Project staffing relied on the available FM capacity at the MOF where a qualified

accountant was identified from the MOF’s own Finance Department to follow on

the FM and disbursement tasks.

b) Flow of funds arrangements included the use of a DA opened at the Central Bank

of Jordan with a high ceiling of US$60 million. Funds were transferred to the

government treasury account against submitted SOEs.

c) The MOPIC was responsible for submitting withdrawal application on behalf of the

MOF due to its long experience with the World Bank disbursement policies and

procedures.

d) The project was provided with retroactive financing of a value US$60 million

(US$21 million for vaccines and drugs, and US$39 million for bread and LPG)

against submitted SOEs.

e) The government inventory management system at the Directorate of Purchases and

Supplies/MOH was used after being carefully examined by the Bank team and it

was found that reasonable assurances existed in the safeguard of the vaccines and

drugs until collection by beneficiary hospitals and health centers.

f) An external audit firm conducted a special purpose audit of vaccines and drugs

financed under the retroactive financing of US$21 million. The audit was

41

conducted after the retroactive financing amount was transferred to the government

treasury account.

g) A consultancy firm performed technical (medical) and financial audit of medical

bills of patients referred to the non-MOH hospitals and health facilities.

h) The same audit firm that conducted the special purpose audit on retroactive

financing of vaccines and drugs will complete the final audit of project’s activities

after project closure up to the end of the four-month grace period.

Procurement:

a) The JPD was assigned for the procurement of contracts under Component 1

(Provision of vaccines and essential drugs). Procurement practice by the JPD was

assessed by visiting the agency, interviewing its staff, and reviewing the past

assessments done on the agency.

b) It was concluded that the JPD is successfully running annual procedures of drug

procurement on behalf of its partner institutions in Jordan, and based on a Rational

Drug List that is updated from time to time as needed, conducts the procurement of

pharmaceutical/medical goods in a transparent and well-structured manner. It is a

well-managed organization that is successfully dealing with the procedures

throughout the kingdom.

c) Considering the urgency of the project and that the implementation period was only

one year it was decided for the procurement of pharmaceutical and medical

equipment to be undertaken using the existing JPD procedures for contracts up to

the threshold of US$5 million per contract from the Rational Drug List (The

Positive List of Goods).

d) To minimize the number of transactions and required documents, a positive list of

goods (contracts with estimated cost of US$200,000 and above) was used for

pharmaceuticals and vaccines to be procured, that included items cleared by JFDA.

e) To facilitate disbursement the necessary documents to be provided by the Borrower

were defined and minimized as (i) proof of advertisement, (ii) proof of purchase

(purchase order), and (iii) proof of payment to suppliers.

f) Retroactive financing: The JPD procurement practice used to procure goods up to

US$5 million was considered acceptable for retroactive financing from the Rational

Drug List (The Positive List of Goods) cleared by JFDA.

g) Anti-Corruption Guidelines: The JPD contracts and standard bidding documents do

not explicitly contain clauses related to fraud and corruption, as these contracts are

governed by the national anti-corruption rules providing for the exclusive

jurisdiction of the Anti-Corruption Commission (ACC) of Jordan, an independent

42

agency, in cases of fraud and corruption. Therefore, a waiver of some provisions of

the World Bank Anti-Corruption Guidelines was sought to rely on the Borrower’s

national ACC to investigate cases of fraud and corruption. The waiver specifically

proposed the modification of paragraph 9 and deleting paragraph 10, as detailed

below.

h) Modifications to the Anti-Corruption Guidelines: Paragraph 9 was modified as

summarized below:

The Borrower will:

Take all appropriate measures to ensure that the project is carried out in

accordance with these guidelines.

Take all appropriate measures to prevent corrupt, fraudulent, collusive,

coercive and obstructive practices in connection with the use of the Loan

proceeds.

Immediately report to the Bank any allegations of fraud and corruption in

connection with the use of the loan proceeds that come to its attention.

If the Bank determines that any person has engaged in corrupt, fraudulent,

collusive, coercive or obstructive practices in connection with the use of the

Loan proceeds, take timely and appropriate action, satisfactory to the Bank,

to address such practices when they occur.

Investigate all credible and material allegations of fraud and corruption (i)

upon the completion of any such investigation, report to the Bank the

findings thereof and (ii) if the Borrower or the Bank determines that any

person or entity has engaged in fraud or corruption in connection with the

project, take appropriate action, in accordance with the Borrower’s laws and

regulations and satisfactory to the Bank, to address the situation and prevent

its recurrence.

In the event that the Bank declares any recipient of the Loan proceeds

ineligible, (i) exercising the Borrower’s right to terminate early or suspend

the agreement between the Borrower and such recipient and/or (ii) seeking

restitution.

Ensure that any person or entity debarred or suspended by the Bank is not

awarded a contract.

Fiduciary Lessons Learned

The FM approach was streamlined and based on more simplified ex ante requirements,

while relying more heavily on ex post requirements as additional fiduciary controls and

review. The specific FM ex post requirements included:

a. A special purpose audit was conducted on the vaccines and drugs of value

US$21 million financed retroactively. The audit was completed after the

amount was transferred from the DA to the government treasury account.

43

The audit firm conducted a review of: (i) proof of advertisement, (ii) proof

of purchase, (iii) supplier invoice, (iv) proof of payment to suppliers, and

(v) delivery evidence to the Directorate of Purchases and Supplies/MOH

warehouses.

b. A technical (medical) and financial audit was performed by a specialized

firm of medical bills of patients referred to the non-MOH hospitals and

health facilities. The scope of this special purpose audit included: (i)

verifying that referrals are issued in accordance with the MOH procedures;

(ii) ensuring appropriateness of referrals and use of services according to

health needs; (iii) validating the reasonableness of the medical bills of the

non-MOH hospitals and health facilities; and (iv) adherence to the cost

ceiling of US$10,000 per patient.

c. A final audit started after project closure on all the project’s components

and activities. The auditor will issue professional opinions on whether: (i)

the General Purpose Project Financial Statements (PFS) present fairly, in

all material respects, the cash receipts and payments of the project, in

accordance with the International Public Sector Accounting Standards

(IPSAS), under the cash basis of accounting; (ii) internal control over

financial reporting involved in the preparation of replenishments, direct

payments, payments through special commitments, and reimbursements i.e.

expenditures reimbursed on the basis of SOEs can be relied upon to support

the related withdrawals, (iii) the project was in all material respects in

compliance with the laws, regulations, guidelines and provisions governed

by the Loan agreement, and (iv) the drugs were procured and paid as per

the Rational Drug List, the corresponding stocks registers, and inventory

controls in the assigned warehouses. The audit report is expected to be

issued by December 31, 2014.18

d. The available audit tools were used to have a reasonable assurance of the

values of the bread and LPG subsidies that were retroactively financed by

US$39 million. These audit tools included the review of the most recent

issued audit reports of: (i) the Special Trade Account of the MOIT, which

reports on bread subsidy, and (ii) the Petroleum Refinery Company (sole

supplier of LPG in Jordan) for any irregularities.

18 To be issued by end of January 2015

44

The coordination between the different units within World Bank (FM, CTR,

Procurement, Social Protection, and Labor) was outstanding and significantly

contributed to the timely project preparation and as well the smooth implementation.

Considering the large number of small contracts being procured by the JTD, the

imposed limitation on a positive list of contracts with estimated cost of US$200,000

and above, minimized the number of transactions and required documents to be

audited.

To avoid excessive transaction costs of SOEs, the minimum amount for direct payment

and reimbursement was set at 20 percent of the DA ceiling amount along with

necessary supporting documents.

Two agencies (MOPIC and MOF) were engaged in the FM and disbursement

arrangements; the MOF was responsible for the overall FM and disbursement

arrangements, while the MOPIC was responsible of submitting withdrawal

applications to the Bank. This was not considered an ideal model and lack of

coordination on a few occasions caused delays in submission of withdrawal

applications to the Bank.

The disbursement requirements for each component were made very clear to the

counterpart and for that, a table was used to summarize those requirements and

included in the PAD. This has significantly contributed in minimizing any confusion

by the counterpart of those requirements.

45

The procurement approach, to use JTD procurement practice based on the Jordanian

Rational Drug List helped to prevent delays in supplying the medicines and vaccines

by accessing the many global pharmaceutical companies and generic producers with a

presence (or agency) in Jordan.

The relatively large percentage of retroactive financing combined with using JTD

procurement practice was instrumental in fast disbursement.

It was shown that the Bank Procurement Guidelines have the required flexibility to

accommodate for such emergency cases.

Reliance on the national ACC allowed for using the national bidding documents

already in use, resulting in both large retroactive and speedy new procurement.

46

Annex 7. List of Supporting Documents

Implementation Completion Report: December 1, 2014

External Audit for Medicine and Vaccines: May 2014

External Audit for Bread and Gas: January 2015

Aide Memoires for Supervision Missions

Project Appraisal Document IBRD-82830

47

MAP

48