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1 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. Karen R. Forsten Director EPRI Power Delivery & Utilization

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Page 1: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

1 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. Karen R. Forsten Director EPRI Power Delivery & Utilization

Page 2: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

2 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Integrated Grid Status Phase I Concept Paper & Initiative

Launched 02/2014 Phase II In progress Initial Draft Framework completed

08/2014 Draft being distributed for external

Industry & expert peer review 09/2014

On-line Community launched 08/2014

Publish target timeframe 11/2014

• Phase III Working with members on potential scenarios to be analyzed

Page 3: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

3 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

The Integrated Grid is about Enabling the Customer

The integrated grid allows Local Energy Optimization to become part of Global Energy Optimization.

Page 4: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

4 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Action Plan

Framework for Evaluation of

Grid Modernization Investments

Interconnection Technical

Guidelines

Integrated Grid Planning &

Operations

Ongoing Industry Collaboration and Tech Transfer to Inform Stakeholders including Policy & Regulation

Page 5: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

5 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Action Plan

Framework for Evaluation of

Grid Modernization Investments

Interconnection Technical

Guidelines

Integrated Grid Planning &

Operations

Comprehensive, Transparent, Repeatable Methodology

Page 6: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

6 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Defining the Scenario - Assumptions

Markets and Policy • Subsidies and Incentives • Utility Obligations • Reliability Requirements • Energy and Capacity Markets • Ancillary Services and Flexibility

Bulk System • Resource Mix and Characteristics • Capacity Resources • Transmission Characteristics and

Plans • Technologies (HVDC, etc) • Costs and limitations for new

build

Distribution System

• Expected Renewable Penetration • Load Growth, Efficiency • Technologies (voltage control,

smart inverters, etc) • Distributed Generation and

Microgrids

Societal Factors • Cost of Carbon • Value of Reliability • Market Structures • Energy Efficiency

Page 7: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

7 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Hosting Energy

Capacity

Distribution System

Bulk System

Customer or Owner

Cost/Benefits

Societal Costs/Benefits

Benefit/Cost

1 4

5

3

2

6

Core Assumptions

Resource Adequacy

Flexibility

Operational Practices & Simulation

Transmission Performance

Transmission Expansion

System Net Costs

System Benefits

Reliability

DRAFT Transmission

System Performance

Studies

DER Scenarios

Resource Adequacy

Existing SystemModel(s)

Load Forecasts

Variability Profiles

Existing Generation

Existing Network Model

Resource Epxansion

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Resources/Expansion

Plan

Thermal / Voltage Impacts

Operational Simulations

Resource Dispatches

Transmission System

Upgrades

Technology options

Transmission Expansion

Losses

Reliability ImpactsReserve &

Operational Changes

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Reserve & Operational

Modes

Integrated GridBulk System

Analysis Framework

Costs of new resources

Production Costs & Marginal

Costs

Costs of mitigation/upgrades

Cost of Losses

Cost of Base Case

Cost of Scenario

System Flexibility

Assessment

Flexibility Metrics

Line Type LegendData InputFinal ResultFeed-Forward ResultFeed Back Result

Frequency Impacts

Hosting Capacity PV & Demand

Profiles (See Fig. 5.3)

B

Feeder Performance Characterization

Feeder Hosting Capacity Analysis

Feeder Clustering Based on Hosting

Feeder Clustering Based on Energy

Impacts

Capacity Analysis

Energy Analysis on Select Feeders

Losses/Consumption Results Extrapolated

to System

Mitigation Evaluation

Benefit/Cost Analysis

Bulk System Analysis

Feeder Models

Load Data

Hosting Capacity Analysis

Energy Analysis

Capacity Analysis

Asset Deferral

DER Performance CharacterizationDER Data

Optimal Hosting Capacity Location

B

C

D

Reliability Analysis

Reliability Analysis

E

Substation – Level Hosting Capacity for

DER

Feeder-Specific Hosting Capacity for

DER

A

Scenario Definition

Market Conditions

DER Adoption

Integrated Grid: Benefit Cost Framework

Page 8: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

8 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Distribution Framework Flowchart

B

Feeder Performance Characterization

Feeder Hosting Capacity Analysis

Feeder Clustering Based on Hosting

Feeder Clustering Based on Energy

Impacts

Capacity Analysis

Energy Analysis on Select Feeders

Losses/Consumption Results Extrapolated

to System

Mitigation Evaluation

Benefit/Cost Analysis

Bulk System Analysis

Feeder Models

Load Data

Hosting Capacity Analysis

Energy Analysis

Capacity Analysis

Asset Deferral

DER Performance CharacterizationDER Data

Optimal Hosting Capacity Location

B

C

D

Reliability Analysis

Reliability Analysis

E

Substation – Level Hosting Capacity for

DER

Feeder-Specific Hosting Capacity for

DER

A

Hosting Analysis

Energy Analysis

Capacity Analysis

Reliability Analysis

Page 9: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

9 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Integrated Grid: Distribution Network

• Maintain service quality and reliability

• Impact of DER

• Different distribution network characteristics

• Location matters

Higher Capacity

Lower Capacity

Impact/value assessment must consider unique distribution characteristics

& location of DER

Page 10: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

11 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

DER Impacts Not Just on Distribution Network

Page 11: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

13 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Integrated Grid: Bulk System

Transmission System

Performance Studies

DER Scenarios

Resource Adequacy

Existing SystemModel(s)

Load Forecasts

Variability Profiles

Existing Generation

Existing Network Model

Resource Epxansion

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Resources/Expansion

Plan

Thermal / Voltage Impacts

Operational Simulations

Resource Dispatches

Transmission System

Upgrades

Technology options

Transmission Expansion

Losses

Reliability ImpactsReserve &

Operational Changes

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Reserve & Operational

Modes

Integrated GridBulk System

Analysis Framework

Costs of new resources

Production Costs & Marginal

Costs

Costs of mitigation/upgrades

Cost of Losses

Cost of Base Case

Cost of Scenario

System Flexibility

Assessment

Flexibility Metrics

Line Type LegendData InputFinal ResultFeed-Forward ResultFeed Back Result

Frequency Impacts

Hosting Capacity PV & Demand

Profiles (See Fig. 5.3)

1 RESOURCE ADEQUCY

2 FLEXIBILITY

3 IMPACT ON OPERATIONS

4 TRANSMISSION PERFORMANCE

5 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION

Page 12: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

14 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Integrated Grid: Tailored Study Path IPP

Transmission System

Performance Studies

DER Scenarios

Resource Adequacy

Existing SystemModel(s)

Load Forecasts

Variability Profiles

Existing Generation

Existing Network Model

Resource Epxansion

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Resources/Expansion

Plan

Thermal / Voltage Impacts

Operational Simulations

Resource Dispatches

Transmission System

Upgrades

Technology options

Transmission Expansion

Losses

Reliability ImpactsReserve &

Operational Changes

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Reserve & Operational

Modes

Integrated GridBulk System

Analysis Framework

Costs of new resources

Production Costs & Marginal

Costs

Costs of mitigation/upgrades

Cost of Losses

Cost of Base Case

Cost of Scenario

System Flexibility

Assessment

Flexibility Metrics

Line Type LegendData InputFinal ResultFeed-Forward ResultFeed Back Result

Frequency Impacts

Hosting Capacity PV & Demand

Profiles (See Fig. 5.3)

Page 13: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

15 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Integrated Grid: Tailored Study Path TO/TSO

Transmission System

Performance Studies

DER Scenarios

Resource Adequacy

Existing SystemModel(s)

Load Forecasts

Variability Profiles

Existing Generation

Existing Network Model

Resource Epxansion

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Resources/Expansion

Plan

Thermal / Voltage Impacts

Operational Simulations

Resource Dispatches

Transmission System

Upgrades

Technology options

Transmission Expansion

Losses

Reliability ImpactsReserve &

Operational Changes

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Reserve & Operational

Modes

Integrated GridBulk System

Analysis Framework

Costs of new resources

Production Costs & Marginal

Costs

Costs of mitigation/upgrades

Cost of Losses

Cost of Base Case

Cost of Scenario

System Flexibility

Assessment

Flexibility Metrics

Line Type LegendData InputFinal ResultFeed-Forward ResultFeed Back Result

Frequency Impacts

Hosting Capacity PV & Demand

Profiles (See Fig. 5.3)

Page 14: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

16 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Integrated Grid: Gaps Exist

Transmission System

Performance Studies

DER Scenarios

Resource Adequacy

Existing SystemModel(s)

Load Forecasts

Variability Profiles

Existing Generation

Existing Network Model

Resource Epxansion

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Resources/Expansion

Plan

Thermal / Voltage Impacts

Operational Simulations

Resource Dispatches

Transmission System

Upgrades

Technology options

Transmission Expansion

Losses

Reliability ImpactsReserve &

Operational Changes

LOLE/Reserve Margin & Capacity

Credit

New Reserve & Operational

Modes

Integrated GridBulk System

Analysis Framework

Costs of new resources

Production Costs & Marginal

Costs

Costs of mitigation/upgrades

Cost of Losses

Cost of Base Case

Cost of Scenario

System Flexibility

Assessment

Flexibility Metrics

Line Type LegendData InputFinal ResultFeed-Forward ResultFeed Back Result

Frequency Impacts

Hosting Capacity PV & Demand

Profiles (See Fig. 5.3)

RESOURCE ADEQUACY – Needs probabilistic assessment of DER’s capacity adequacy contribution

Available: Traditional peak demand type adequacy methods (SERVM, GE MARS, E3 RECAP) In Development: Probabilistic expansion planning models which consider both capacity and

flexibility needs (SERVM, E3 REFLEX, EGEAS)

FLEXIBILITY – Needs tools to assess flexibility requirements

& solutions In Development: metrics,

detailed modeling tools (EPRI InFLEXion, E3 REFLEX, SERVM)

GAP: integrated capacity& flexibility expansion planning

OPERATIONAL SIMULATION Needs integration and interaction with DER controls and accurate simulation

of power system operations including impact of uncertainty, reserve provision, variability representation, etc.

Available & improving: production simulation tools (Plexos, SERVM, Polaris System Optimizer, ProMax LT, NREL

FESTIV, ABB GridView, Ventyx PROMOD IV, GE MAPS, UPLAN, Aurora, PowerSym)

GAP: tools /procedures to simulate bulk system and DER interaction

TRANSMISSION PERFORMANCE – Needs bulk system aggregated DER power flow and dynamic models for transmission system performance studies

and probabilistic tools to evaluate transmission system reliability with DER Available: Generic models to approximately capture how DER (wind/solar) reacts

to grid disturbances and load models with some adjustments to account for distribution network. (PSS/E, PSLF, Powerworld, etc)

In Development: transmission reliability tools, tools to consider variability in transmission planning (TransCARE); load models with integrated DER

representation GAP: tools to interact with DER for bulk system voltage & frequency control

DRAFT

DATA – Needs common and

extensive data sets

In Development:

Common data transfer protocols

between bulk system and DER/DSO

New load models and modeling techniques

Forecasting of the location of potential

DER

GAP:

Common data sets for both TSO and DSO

analysis

Page 15: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

17 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Critical Research Areas to Close Gaps Architecture for the Integrated Grid Integrating the Customer

Advanced Asset Management Integrated Planning and Operations

• Information & Communication Infrastructure

• Enterprise Interoperability

• Distributed Controls • Open Application

Platforms • Cyber Security

• Energy Efficiency • Voltage Response • Demand Response • Local Generation &

Storage (EV) • Resiliency • Customer Services • CIS

• Sensors & Communications

• Advanced Analytics • Maintenance &

Diagnostics • Reliability & Resiliency • Visualization & Decision

Support

• Integrated Models • Advanced Simulation • Real Time Systems • Distributed Controls &

Demand Response • Risk-Based • Forecasting &

Analytics • Visualization

Page 16: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

18 © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Next Step: Assess the Technologies & Apply the Framework in Pilot Applications

1. Advanced Voltage Control

2. PEV Infrastructure

3. Distributed Storage

4. Large Scale PV

5. Large Scale PV with Storage

6. Customer Technologies

7. Microgrids

Pilots will help in refining the framework &

help guide future research

Page 17: DOE, Value of DG Workshop September 30, 2014 Washington D.C. · © 2014 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 DOE, Value of DG Workshop . September 30, 2014

THANK YOU

Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity

http://integratedgrid.epri.com/

For Additional Information on Phase II Contact Karen Forsten at [email protected]

865-218-8052