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Domino’s Investor Day 2015

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Page 1: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Page 2: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Patrick Doyle President and CEO

Page 3: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Legal Stuff

3

This presentation and our accompanying comments include “forward-looking statements.”

These statements may relate to future events or our future financial performance and are subject to known and unknown risks,

uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results, levels of activity, performance or achievements to differ

materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. This presentation and our accompanying

comments do not purport to identify the risks inherent in an investment in Domino’s Pizza and factors that could cause actual

results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. These risks include but are not

limited to those risk factors identified in Domino’s Pizza, Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December

29, 2013, as well as other SEC reports filed by Domino’s Pizza, Inc. from time to time. Although we believe that the expectations

reflected in the forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable estimates and assumptions, we cannot guarantee future

results, levels of activity, performance or achievements. We caution you not to place undue reliance on forward-looking

statements, which reflect our estimates and assumptions and speak only as of the date of this presentation and you should not

rely on such statements as representing the views of the Company as of any subsequent date. We undertake no obligation to

update the forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. In light of the above, you are urged to

review the disclosures contained in the Domino’s Pizza, Inc. SEC reports, including the risk factors contained therein.

This presentation contains trade names, trademarks and service marks of other companies. We do not intend our use or display of

other parties’ trade names, trademarks and service marks to imply a relationship with, or endorsement or sponsorship of, these

other parties.

Page 4: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Today’s Line Up

4

• Patrick Doyle, CEO

• Richard Allison, President, Domino’s International

• Russell Weiner, President, Domino’s U.S.A.

• Michael Lawton, Chief Financial Officer

Page 5: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

The Top Three Questions Asked

5

• What has driven Domino’s success to date?

• Can the success continue?

• Can that success drive shareholder value?

Page 6: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

How Have We Been So Successful?

6

• Leader in delivery

• Franchise model focus

• International master franchise model

• Effective supply chain

• Great team

• Efficient use of cash / balance sheet

• Got our food right

• Breakthrough advertising / communication

• Industry-leading consumer technology

Page 7: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Can the Success Continue?

7

• Just getting started on technology

• Store reimages / relocations will reflect overall brand strength

• Unit economics focus will drive store growth

• Hospitality / in-store experience remains a big opportunity

• Room for market share growth around the world

Page 8: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Can We Keep Driving Shareholder Value?

8

• Fundamental brand strength drives returns

• Constant focus on shareholder-friendly use of cash /

balance sheet

• Not reliant on “catalysts”

Page 9: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Strong Track Record for Our Shareholders

9 Source: Bloomberg

Total Shareholder Return = (Priceend – Pricebegin + Dividends) / Pricebegin

0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

120.00

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Total Shareholder Return

Domino's Pizza

S&P

S&P 500 Restaurant

Page 10: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Ritch Allison President, Domino’s International

Page 11: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

FUNDAMENTALLY

STRONG

BUSINESS

KEY INITIATIVES

FOR 2015

SIGNIFICANT

GROWTH

OPPORTUNITY

- Robust Growth

- Balanced Portfolio

- Long Runway in Existing

Markets

- Push into Sub-Saharan

Africa

- Technology Deployment

- Pizza Theater

Transformation

Executive Summary

11

Page 12: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

12

Fundamentally Strong Business

Cendere, Turkey

Page 13: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

2014 Was a Year of Important Milestones

13

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

- Domino’s opens 11,000th store

- Domino’s opens 6,000th international store

- Norway opens

- South Korea opens 400th store

- Brazil opens 100th store

- India and the United Kingdom both open 800th store

- Turkey opens 400th store

- South Africa and Kenya markets open

- Paraguay opens

- India opens 700th store

Page 14: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Nine-Year Sales CAGR of 12.6%

14

$1,459 $1,679

$1,870

$2,222 $2,452

$2,531

$2,952

$3,519

$3,861

$4,252

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

$4,500

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Retail Sales (millions) Q3 2014 TTM Retail Sales

$4.7B

Page 15: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Accelerated Pace of Store Count Growth Since 2009

15

CAGR 2009 –

Q3 2014

9.6%

4,072 4,422

4,835

5,327

5,900 6,265

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q3 2014

Page 16: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Net Store Growth: Better Than Top Two Competitors

16

90 74

113 137

183 179

103

186

271

454

522

580

346 350

413

492

573

638

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q3 2014 TTM

Papa John's

Pizza Hut

DPI

Pizza Hut counts exclude licensees

Page 17: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

17

Growing Store Base in Both Developed and Emerging Markets

37%

+417 Stores 63%

+704 Stores

Developed

Emerging

Two-Year Net Store Growth

Q3 2012 vs. Q3 2014

Developed and emerging as defined by the World Bank

Page 18: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Johannesburg, South Africa 18

Significant Growth Opportunity

Page 19: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

International Pizza Market $90B+ and Growing

19

• International Market for Total Pizza Expected to Continue

Growing at Historic 3% CAGR

– Expected to be ~$117 billion by 2020

• International DelCo Market is Forecasted to Grow ~33% by

2020

– DelCo expected to be ~$40 billion by 2020

Sources: third-party research, NPD Crest, DPI consultants and franchisee input

Page 20: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Our Share Is Growing and Still Has Significant Upside

20

2010 vs. 2013 Estimated Domino’s Pizza

Share of International Pizza Market

Market share estimates sources: DPI actuals, third-party research, DPI consultants and franchisees

3.5% 4.5%

10.7%

14.2%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

'10 Total Pizza '13 Total Pizza '10 DelCo '13 DelCo

Page 21: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Our 15 Largest Markets* Have Potential for ~4,000 Additional Stores

21

Top

Markets

Q3 2014

Store Count*

Potential

Store

Count

United Kingdom 791 1,200

Australia / New

Zealand 599 900

South Korea 400 500

Canada 383 650

Japan 334 700

France 235 850

Netherlands 151 300

Taiwan 131 150

Spain 128 300

TOTAL 3,152

5,550

Developed Markets

Top

Markets

Q3 2014

Store

Count*

Potential

Store

Count

India 781 1,300

Mexico 596 700

Turkey 398 700

Malaysia 120 300

Saudi Arabia 112 250

Brazil 100 500

TOTAL 2,107

3,750

Emerging Markets

Delivery market position and potential store count based on Domino’s Pizza International and master franchisee estimates

*Based on DPZ’s Q3 2014 reported store count

#1 or #2 pizza delivery market position in top 15 markets

Page 22: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Some Early Stage Markets Could Have High Growth Potential

22

1,357

250 144

81

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

China Indonesia Russia Germany

Population (millions)

*Based on 2013 World Bank population and DPZ’s Q3 2014 reported store count

• The population of these four countries = 1.83 billion people

• Domino’s Pizza International currently only has 151 total stores in these markets

Page 23: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Sub-Saharan Africa

23

• Domino’s Currently Present in South Africa,

Nigeria and Kenya

• Initial Response in These Markets Has Been Strong

• South Africa Partner is Taste Holdings

– Publicly traded

– Approximately 150 units under two brands

– Vast majority expected to convert within two years

Page 24: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Key Initiatives for 2015

24

Page 25: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Continue International Domino’s Pulse Deployment

25

2011

59%

11%

30%

Q3 2014

36%

21%

43%

Domino's PulseInstalled

AgreementsSigned

Other

% of international stores

Page 26: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Technology Expanding Globally

26

• 3,700+ International Stores on Domino’s Pulse as of Q3 2014

– At least six additional markets and 700 stores to be deployed

in 2015

• Back-end Franchisee Data System Linked to Domino’s Pulse

is Now in 2,600+ International Stores and Growing

– Allows for robust business analytics, planning and

benchmarking

Page 27: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Technology Expanding Globally

27

• 41% Average for Online Ordering Sales Among All International

Markets

• Four Markets Have Digital Sales Over 50%

• Opportunities

– Many large markets working to increase their online ordering

percentages

– Some markets still do not have online ordering

– Others that have online still do not have mobile capability

Page 28: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Pizza Theater Transformation

28

• Year End 2014

- 2,200 international stores in new

image

• Plans for 2015

- Reimage ~1,000 more existing

stores in new image

• Substantially Complete by 2017

Page 29: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

29 Ushiku, Japan

Pizza Theater Transformation

Page 30: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

30 Mexico City, Mexico

Pizza Theater Transformation

Page 31: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

31 London, U.K.

Pizza Theater Transformation

Page 32: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

FUNDAMENTALLY

STRONG

BUSINESS

KEY INITIATIVES

FOR 2015

SIGNIFICANT

GROWTH

OPPORTUNITY

- Robust Growth

- Balanced Portfolio

- Long Runway in Existing

Markets

- Push into Sub-Saharan

Africa

- Technology Deployment

- Pizza Theater

Transformation

Conclusion

32

Page 33: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Russell Weiner President, Domino’s U.S.A.

Page 34: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

INDUSTRY

LEADER

KEY INITIATIVES

FOR 2015 PERFORMANCE

AND INNOVATION

- Exceptional Sales

Growth

- Clear Leader in Delivery

and Technology

- Repeatable Formula for

Success

- Balanced Innovation

- Continued Innovation

- Retail Transformation

through Reimaging

- Store Growth

Executive Summary

34

Page 35: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Industry Leader

35

Page 36: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Over the Last Six Years Domino’s Has Been a Clear Leader in Sales Growth

36 Source: The NPD Group/CREST®, Years Ending Sept. 2008 and 2014

Independents = QSR Pizza Independents, 1-2 units

25%

14%

-7% -4%

Pizza

Independents Small Pizza

Chains

QSR Pizza – 2014 vs. 2008 (Dollars % Change)

Three Major

Competitive Pizza

Chains

Page 37: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Fragmented Category Offers Room to Grow

37 Source: The NPD Group/CREST®, Year Ending September 2014

96%

83%

72%

41%

QSR Hamburger QSR Mexican QSR Sandwich QSR Pizza

Major Chains’ Share of Dollars

Page 38: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

One Out of Four Delivered Pizzas is from Domino’s

38 Source: The NPD Group/CREST®, Years Ending September 2008 and 2014. Share of Delivery Consumer Spending

19%

31% 19%

31%

2008

Domino's

Major Competitive Pizza Chains

Small Pizza Chains

Pizza Independents

25%

31% 17%

27%

2014

Page 39: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Almost a Third of Pizzas Ordered Online are from

Domino’s

39

31%

50%

11%

8%

Share of Online Dollars - QSR Pizza

Domino's

Major Competitive Pizza Chains

Small Pizza Chains

Pizza Independents

Source: The NPD Group/CREST®, Year Ending September 2014

Page 40: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Digital Sales Have Room to Grow in QSR Pizza

40

20%

37%

41%

2%

Share of Dollars by Order Type – QSR Pizza

Internet and Mobile

Telephone

Walk-In

Other

Source: The NPD Group/CREST®, Year Ending September 2014

Page 41: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Online Ordering Hit 50% Milestone in 2014

41

By the end of 2014, digital sales

were at 50% in the U.S.

Global run rate for digital

sales now estimated at

$4.0 billion

International digital sales and information based on reported sales information and other data from franchisees

Page 42: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Performance and Innovation

42

Page 43: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Only 18 QSR Chains Have Posted 5+ Years

of Consecutive Growth

43

164

114

73

47

18

1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 4 Years 5 Years

Count

of

Majo

r Q

SR

Chain

s

Consecutive Years of Average Unit Volume (AUV) Growth

Source: company 10-K filings and Technomic's QSR AUV

data, 2008-2013. Total count of eligible chains ranging from

248 (2008) to 254 (2013)

18 QSR chains with consecutive years of growth from 2009-2013 included: Domino's Pizza, Chick-fil-A, Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, Papa

Murphy's, Tim Hortons, Whataburger, Wingstop, Steak 'n Shake, Caribou Coffee, Taco John's, Krispy Kreme, Dutch Bros. Coffee, Sizzler,

Pizza Ranch, Tully's Coffee, Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers, Paradise Bakery & Café, Pal's Sudden Service

(2013) (2012-2013) (2011-2013) (2010-2013) (2009-2013)

Page 44: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

1 Year: Dairy Queen, Little Caesars; 2 Year: Taco Bell, Papa John’s, Baskin Robbins;

3 Year: Wendy’s, SONIC, Jack in the Box; 4 Years: Subway, Starbucks, Dunkin’ Donuts

Only One 2,000+ Store QSR Chain Has Posted

Five Years of Consecutive Growth

44 Source: company 10-K filings and Technomic's Top 17 QSR Chains (by units)

AUV data, 2008-2013. Major QSR chains defined as the 17 chains with 2,000

or more domestic units

12

10

9

4

1

1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 4 Years 5 Years

Count

of

Majo

r Q

SR

Chain

s Consecutive Years of AUV Growth

Page 45: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Strong Growth through a Balance of Product

and Technology Innovation

45

9.9%

3.5% 3.1%

5.4%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Handmade Pan Pizza,

Parmesan Bread Bites,

Gluten Free Crust

Android™ and Kindle

Fire™ app

Windows Phone 8® app, Profiles / Easy Order

Same Store Sales Growth

Innovation

New & Inspired Pizza

Mobile Web,

Audible OLO Tracker

Stuffed Cheesy Bread,

Artisan, New Chicken

iPhone® app, Pizza Hero

Products

Technology

Page 46: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Innovation

Products

Technology

4.9% 5.4%

7.7%

Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014

Ford SYNC®

announcement

Specialty Chicken

iPad® app, Google Wallet™,

Group Ordering

Strong Growth through a Balance of Product

and Technology Innovation

46

Same Store Sales Growth

Voice Ordering,

Pebble Watch Tracker

Page 47: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Key Initiatives for 2015

47

Page 48: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Proven Innovation Strategy Will Continue

48

• Technology News that Drives the Business

– Positive brand halo

– Closer customer relationships

– Higher satisfaction and profitability

– Long runway

• Selective New Product Platforms that Are Sustainable

– No “product of the month”

– Simplifies operations, more efficient supply chain

– Keeps bar high for new products

– Pipeline full

Page 49: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Store Reimaging Will Continue to Transform

Our Brand at Retail

49

• Year-End 2014

- 1,000+ domestic stores reimaged

• Plans for 2015

- Nearly all remaining corporate

stores to be reimaged or relocated

- 1,000 more domestic stores will be

reimaged

• Substantially complete by 2017

Page 50: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Domestic Store Count Accelerates

50 5,016 total domestic stores as of Q3 2014

Domino’s Domestic Store Growth (net)

2

-22

21

58

77

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

2010 2011 2012 2013 Q3 2014 TTM

Page 51: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

INDUSTRY

LEADER

KEY INITIATIVES

FOR 2015 PERFORMANCE

AND INNOVATION

- Exceptional Sales

Growth

- Clear Leader in Delivery

and Technology

- Repeatable Formula for

Success

- Balanced Innovation

- Continued Innovation

- Retail Transformation

through Reimaging

- Store Growth

Conclusion

51

Page 52: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

New Advertising Breaks February 2

52

Page 53: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Michael Lawton Chief Financial Officer

Page 54: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

SUCCESSFUL

FRANCHISEES

LONG RANGE

OUTLOOK LOOKING AHEAD

AT 2015

- Franchise

Profitability

- Updates on

Commodities, G&A

and Impact of

Currency

- 2015 Updates

54

Global Strength

Page 55: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Successful Franchisees

55

Page 56: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Franchise Profitability Continues to Grow

Expecting over $85K in 2014

56

Page 57: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

57

Looking Ahead at 2015

Page 58: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Note: 2015 is a 53-week year

Looking Ahead at 2015

58

Page 59: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Commodities

• Food basket outlook is favorable

• Project -2% to -4%

59

Looking Ahead at 2015

Page 60: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

G&A

• Range of $265 - $270 million - Technology innovation and upgrades

- International growth

- Depreciation

- 53rd week

60

Looking Ahead at 2015

Page 61: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Impact of Currency

• Market currently projecting ~$8 - $12M negative

impact

• Diversified portfolio of more than 75 markets

61

Looking Ahead at 2015

Page 62: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Impact of Currency – Modeling

•A 1% strengthening of the dollar against our basket of

currencies has roughly a 1.8 cent impact on EPS

• A 10% move in the price of cheese has roughly a 1.5 cent

impact on EPS

62

Looking Ahead at 2015

Page 63: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Long Range Outlook

63

Page 64: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Cap Ex Increase

• Updated Long Range Outlook of $50 - $60 Million* - Technology

- Company store reimaging - leading the way

- Supply chain centers

64 *Update to previous outlook

Looking Ahead at 2015

Page 65: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Global Net Units Increase*

– Updated long range outlook to +5% - +7%

– Store growth opening trends accelerated over last few years

65 *Update to previous outlook

Looking Ahead at 2015

Page 66: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Outlook does not constitute specific earnings guidance. Domino’s does not provide quarterly or annual earnings estimates.

Global

Net Units

Domestic

Same Store

Sales

International

Same Store Sales

Global

Retail Sales

+5% to +7%

+2% to +4%

+3% to +6%

+7% to +11%

Cap Ex: $50 - $60 million Tax Rate: 37% - 38%

66

Looking Ahead at 2015

Page 67: Domino’s Investor Day 2015

Q&A