dr. eve gruntfest sswim advisory council norman, ok november 16, 2009 sponsored by university of...
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Dr. Eve Gruntfest
SSWIM Advisory Council Norman, OK November 16, 2009
Sponsored by University of Oklahoma & NOAA
@ The National Weather Center
2008-2009 Our First Years – Accomplishments
Bringing you up to date Launching projects, Writing proposals, Getting the word out – SSWIM definition
and action
2010-2011 From now on - Next steps Publications, dissertations, research, new hires
2012 – beyond Longer-term prospects SSWIM identity (faculty positions?) More work between campus departments & NWC New interdisciplinary programs?
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Outline
Importance of social science to weather & climate research and applications recognized locally & nationally Great strides since 3/06 Norman WAS*IS (Weather & Society *
Integrated Studies) NOAA & OU visionaries move to weave in social science 11/07
Collaboration between NOAA & OU NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory OU NOAA Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological‐ Studies OU Vice President for Research OU College of Atmospheric & Geographic Sciences OU Center for Spatial Analysis
Annual report submitted 6/09, update submitted 9/09
SSWIM history – launched May 20083 year initial funding
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Vision Collaborative research & partnerships between the
social sciences & meteorology, climatology, & hydrology to enhance societal relevance of research & practice & reduce risks from atmospheric & other hazards
Mission Creatively & sustainably weave social science concepts &
methodologies into the fabric of weather & climate research & practice through academic & professional activities locally, nationally & globally
SSWIM www.sswim.orgSocial Science Woven into Meteorology
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
SSWIM’s three goals
1. To weave social science into the activities of the National Weather Center & elsewhere – not an “add –on”
2. To build a reputation as a center of social science research & practice in weather & climate work
3. To revolutionize the research to operations equation – so it’s no longer top-down & all partners play equal roles – decision-makers, forecasters, product designers and researchers
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and PracticeWeaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
SSWIM’s objectives are innovative research & capacity building
… by increasing the appreciation of the value of qualitative as well as quantitative approaches including archival, ethnographic, & participatory methods
… through partnerships with public, private, & academic sectors, including students, practitioners, & policymakers across the spectrum of stakeholders
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
SSWIM personnel – recruited to OU
Director Eve Gruntfest (25%) Post-doctoral research scientist (100%)
Dr. Heather Lazrus Environmental Anthropologist 2/09 2 Ph.D. social science graduate students
Gina Eosco Communication (25%) 8/08 Monica Zappa Geographer (50% ) 8/09
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
WAS*ISWAS*ISweather & society * integrated studies
CULTURE CHANGE
All WAS * ISers
Applied geographer > 30 Year career as “socio /hydro /meteor - ologist!” Research: Flash floods & short-fuse warning systems Inventor of the WAS * IS movement (Weather & Society *
Integrated Studies)
Dr. Eve Gruntfest SSWIM director
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Publications Articles published and in revision Book proposal to Wiley Publishers – all positive reviews
Proposals NOAA Global Systems Division - $70,000 funded NSF Science & Technology Center - $350,000 (U. Iowa) declined OU Stimulus funds 2 proposals declined NOAA National Tsunami Mitigation program/StormReady evaluation - $500,000 declined NSF - Does WRF Downscaling Improve the GEFS Ensemble? $400,000 submitted NOAA Central Regional Team - $15,000 funded
Dr. Eve Gruntfest SSWIM highlightsRepresenting SSWIM, OU & NWC
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Dr. Eve Gruntfest SSWIM highlightsRepresenting SSWIM, OU & NWC
Appointed adjunct faculty member OU Geography Serving on graduate student committees: Randy Peppler, Rachel Butterworth, Somer
Erickson Webpage, one-pager, roadmap, strategic plan Dozens of presentations including invited keynote speaker
Water & Society * Integrated Studies Kansas City, MO 8/09 International Flash Flood Lab San Marcos, TX 10/09
U. of N. Florida Jacksonville, FL 11/09 including talks to faculty, National Weather Service, City of Jacksonville
U. of California Davis, CA 12/09 Geography Department Winner of American Meteorological Society Kenneth E. Spengler award 1/09
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Dr. Heather LazrusSSWIM Deputy DirectorPost-doctoral research associate
Dissertation - Perceptions of climate change & governance of vulnerability in Tuvalu, South Pacific Local observations of environmental change Cultural & historically contingent responses to
climate change Research with NOAA Fisheries
Impact of policy & environmental changes in Alaska & Pacific Northwest fisheries
Post-doctoral research Atmospheric hazards, vulnerability, warning
systems Pacific Islands, New Zealand, Oklahoma, Alaska
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Dr. Heather Lazrus SSWIM highlights
American Meteorological Society Summer Policy Colloquium
Invited to Munich to help coordinate summer climate adaptation workshop
Funded proposal with Geological & Nuclear Sciences New Zealand
Invited participant in two post disaster assessments Mt. Redoubt Alaska Volcanic Eruption, National Weather Service
2/09 Samoa Tsunami Earthquake Engineering Research Institute
11/09 Funded collaboration with M. Shafer & SCIPP on
Drought-Ready communities project National Weather Association Societal Impacts Board
member
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Gina Eosco SSWIM graduate student
2nd year Ph.D. student in Communication at OU
Five years experience working at American Meteorological Society
M.A in communication Cornell University Interviewing forecasters, government officials & public(s) about their
interpretations, objectives, & desired behavioral responses to the hurricane track graphic: cone of uncertainty
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Gina Eosco 11/09 highlights
Analyzing data from summer 2009 interviews in NC, FL, LA, & NYDeveloping dissertation proposal Manuscript submitted to Weather Climate & Society
Numerous presentationsSociety for Risk Analysis 2008Integrated warning team meetings – Kansas City, OmahaMOLA, Climate study group, WAS * IS
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Tuesday 8pm W E
N
S
LISTENTO
YOUREMERGENCYMANAGERS
Monica Zappa SSWIM graduate student (paid by new funds)
• 1st year Ph.D. student in Geography at OU• B.S. in Meteorology• M.S. in Geography University of Northern Illinois
“Assessing Human Vulnerability to Hurricanes in Bluefields, Nicaragua”
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Monica Zappa 11/09 highlights Interviewing 8 “partners” to learn preferences for next generation warning tools & integrating their views into workshop agenda Developing graphics for changing Research-to-Operations dynamic
Changing the paradigm of hazardous weather warnings
PublicsPublicsWeather
Forecasters
Media
Emergency Managers & 1st Responders
6
Developers
Researchers
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Temporal, spatial, & probabilistic information in weather forecasting & warning processes & decision-making
Storm Motion
11:02-11:20
11:50-12:20
11:12-11:43
11:05-11:35
11:00:11:21
10:55-11:1511:02-11:35
11:36-12:23
11:46-12:18
11:45-12:21
11:55-12:25
11:49-12:28
11:51-12:26
11:40-12:27
11:45-12:20
12:29-12:48
12:26-12:40
12:28-12:50
12:27-12:51
12:28-12:48
12:29-12:48
Current timeWarnings must follow the storm– too much confusion
Time Scale
0 km
100 Km
1000 km
100 Km
1000 km
6Jan 31
5 4 3 2 1Feb 1 Feb 2 Feb
3Feb 4 Feb 5
First outlook issued
1st watch issued (2pm)
2nd watch issued (3pm)
1st warning issued 9pm
Nashville sirens sounded
13 fatalities44 injuries Near Lafayette, TN
Awareness raised among emergency managers, and other officials
Hospitals, Schools, Events?
26 tornado warnings issued8 severe storm warnings
Geographic space scales: Regional, State, Local
10 Km
10 Km
Future research is needed to fill in this timeline with a more representative sample of the decisions to be made and by whom
Building SSWIM capacity: Gruntfest, Lazrus, Eosco & Zappa
Hosting SSWIM brownbagsParticipating in weekly Hazardous Weather Testbed
brownbagsHosting visitors – K. Blumenfeld, I. Ruin, C. LutoffTaking class in visual analytics Fall 09Presenting at Central Region Meteorologists-in-Charge
meeting in Norman 12/09Active mentoring of many excellent students contacting
us from all over who want to work on social science & weather & climate – many FRIENDS of SSWIM
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Workshops organized & held
Led Advanced WAS * IS with Hazardous Weather Testbed Norman 9/08
Co-sponsored NexGen Warning Services Workshop Norman 12/08
Co-sponsored Consideration of Future Weather Workforce with K-20 Center Norman 12/08
Led Integrated Hazard Information Services Workshop with Hazardous Weather Testbed & Global Systems Division Boulder 10/09
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Active SSWIM involvement
Work with K. Scharfenberg & J. Ferree to provide stakeholder feedback regarding new watch, warning, & advisory visual for display on weather.gov. Reducing # of colors from 150 to five
Work with J. Ferree Changing NWS Call to Action statements for tornadoes
Work with D. Berkowitz et al Changing NWS Radar display Analyze “customer” comments
Work with J.J. Gourley & K. Ortega Adding social science to SHAVE studies for hail and flash floods
It’s not enough to talk to social scientists – research must be done to address these questions
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Social science being woven in
National Weather Service “training” Updating Advanced Warning
Operations course lectures SSWIM incorporated into all
NWS orientation classes
Social science graduate student as key component of planned Warn-on-Forecast effort with D. Stensrud
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Wider academic communityattractive to existing, new, & visiting faculty & students
Wider weather & climatecommunity practitioners, researchers, students
SSWIM • Collaborate• Facilitate collaborations• Training component• Intellectual home mentor students
OU & SSWIM • Disciplines• Methods• Research themes
OU Departments, NOAA Labs & others
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
We are the GO TO group for social science in meteorology inside & outside of National Weather Center
We have a growing footprint in meteorology, climatology & hydrology
SSWIM Summary – Proud of our accomplishments
SSWIM has global identity as leader . in new movement We have a firm platform with high visibility
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
SSWIM Next steps
Developing protocol for effectively weaving in social science - SSWIM operation and budget guidelines
Emphasizing publications & dissertation(s) development
Funded collaboration with Hazardous Weather Testbed and Global Systems DivisionNew Grad Research assistants Liaison with hazardous weather testbed (SSWIM $) Liaison with warn-on-forecast project (w. D. Stensrud) (new $) Liaison with flash flood group (Hong, Gourley) (new $)
Some SSWIM challenges
Getting launched involves time consuming appreciation of new cultures
and understanding of social science
Heather builds her research career & builds program with weather – climate & anthropology many new opportunities in new field of climate adaption
Unrealistic to have part - time director
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Demand for SSWIM collaboration exceeds current capacity: More possibilities thanSSWIM 2.0 FTE can accommodate
CI-FLOW National Severe Storms Lab project w/ Van Cooten
Hurricane simulation project w/ Warning Decision Training Branch & D. Morris
Survey of NSSL seminar preferences
New interdisciplinary Ph.D. programs in weather &/or climate
Proper program evaluation (e.g. for projects mentioned earlier on new web products, OU Political Science?)
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
SSWIM longer term plans?
Building new OU graduate and/or undergraduate programs (WAS * IS for undergrad meteorology students?)
Relationship with WAS * IS movement?We are new entity – forging new paths - Model
ourselves like ????? Writing major proposals – ourselves and with others
Size? Governance?
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
SSWIM Steering CommitteeJohn Ferree National Weather Service
J.J. Gourley National Severe Storms Lab – HydrologyKevin Kloesel Dean’s office
Kristin Kuhlman CIMMS & National Severe Storms Lab
Randy Peppler CIMMS
Russ Schneider Storm Prediction Center
Mark Shafer Southern Climate Impacts Planning ProjectPaul Spicer Center for Applied Social ResearchAondover Tarhule OU Geography
National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration OU Vice President for Research NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological
Studies OU College of Atmospheric and Geographic Sciences OU Center for Spatial Analysis
Thanks to SSWIM partners
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice
CENTER for APPLIED SOCIAL RESEARCH “Social Science Innovations in the Public Interest”
cimms
SSWIM Advisory Council
D I S C U S S I O N
Sponsored by University of Oklahoma & NOAA
@ The National Weather Center
Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice Weaving Social Science into Weather and Climate Research and Practice