energy
DESCRIPTION
A 2030 framework for climate and energy policies. Energy. The 2030 framework will build on the 2050 Roadmaps - Concrete proposals by the end of 2013. 2050 Roadmaps. 2030 Green Paper. Proposals for the 2030 framework for climate and energy policies. 2011. March 2013. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
1Energy
A 2030 frameworkfor climate andenergy policies
2
2050 Roadmaps
2030 Green Paper
Proposals for the 2030
framework for climate and energy
policies2011 March 2013 September 2013
The 2030 framework will build on the 2050 Roadmaps- Concrete proposals by the end of 2013
On-going discussions with Member States, EU institutions and stakeholders
3
Increased certainty for Memeber States and
reduce regulatory risks for investors
Growth and jobs through demand for efficient and low carbon technologies
Definition of EU ambitions in view of a
new international climate change agreement
Early agreement on the 2030 framework is essential
4
Improved energy efficinecy
Promotion of new technologies,
growth and jobs
Affordable and competitive prices
Competitiveness
Adequate energy infrastructures
Grid Stability
Diversification of fuels, supply countries and
routes
Security of energy supply
Development of alternative energy
sources
Reduction of energy
consumptions
Reduction of emissions
Sustainability
The 2030 policy framework should take into account lesson learned from the 2020 framework and the economic and political
context of today
The 2030 framework must ensure progress towards three objectives
5
The EU is making good progress towards meeting the 2020 RES target- But most Member States are still some distance away
Renewable sources accounted for 12.7% of the EU's energy consumption in 2010Sour
ce: E
uros
tat Malt
a
Luxem
bourg UK
Netherl
andsCy
prus
Belgi
um*Ire
land
Hunga
ry
Czech
RepGree
cePol
and
Slova
kia Italy
German
y EUFra
nce
Bulga
riaSpa
in
Lithuan
ia
Slove
nia
Denmark
Roman
ia
Eston
ia
Portug
al
Austr
iaFin
landLat
via
Swede
n0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%RES in 2010
2020 RES Target
2020 target for the EU: 20%
6
EU energy consumption is going down, but 2020 target likely to be missed with current policies
projections
Sour
ce: E
urop
ean
Com
miss
ion
7
Increasing concern about energy import dependency and rising energy prices
Stability and costs of renewables support schemes, impacts on the internal energy market, on grid stability and capital allocation
Need for massive investments in energy transmission and distribution infrastructure, e.g. due to renewables expansion
Differences between Member States in improving energy efficiency; implementation of directives
Current large surplus of ETS allowances, resulting in a low carbon price and low investment incentives
Need for coherence of policy instruments
Challenges in meeting 2020 targets - to be considered in the 2030 framework
8
"No Regrets" options from the Energy Roadmap 2050
More Energy Efficiency
More Renewable
s
More infrastructures
9
(1) Energy savings throughout the system are crucial
Current policy initiatives
Decarbonisation scenarios
Gross energy consumption (in Mtoe)
Sour
ce: E
urop
ean
Com
miss
ion
10
The share of renewables is between 28% and 31% in the decarbonisation scenarios.
(2) The share of renewables rises steadily over time
Sour
ce: E
urop
ean
Com
miss
ion
Share of renewables in gross final energy consumption (in %)
11More investments also needed in grid infrastructure, storage, etc.
(3) Large investment for power generation is needed ~ 2.5 trillion Euros up to 2050.
Sour
ce: E
urop
ean
Com
miss
ion
Cumulative investment expenditure for power generation from 2011 to 2050 (in billion €2008)
12
Import dependency falls, especially after 2030 with electification of transport
Current policy initiatives
Decarbonisation scenarios
All decarbonisation scenarios will reduce the EU’s energy import dependency.
Net energy imports (in Mtoe)
Sour
ce: E
urop
ean
Com
miss
ion
13
• Should climate and energy targets be set for 2030? • If so, which ones?Targets
• Which are the most appropriate policy instruments to meet potential new targets for the period up to 2030?
• How can Research and Innovation best support the 2030 framework?
Instruments
• How can EU policies take account of international developments? Eg. Climate negotiations
• How can internationally competitive and affordable energy prices be ensured?
Competitiveness & Security of
Supply• How can an equitable distribution of efforts be
ensured among Member States?• How to best consider the different investment
capacities of industry sectors and consumer groups?Effort Sharing
These are the main issues to be considered for the 2030 framework
14
Electricity prices – the US is increasing its advantage…
OECD Europe, 137.7
USA, 95.9
Japan, 116.2
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q3 2012
Sour
ce: I
EA, E
nerg
y Pr
ices a
nd Ta
xes,
4th
quar
ter 2
012
Evolution of end-user electricity prices for industry, taxes excluded
1515
…in part due to the shale gas boom- US wholesale prices for gas are 3-4 times lower than in the EU
Sour
ce: E
urop
ean
Com
miss
ion
16
End-user electricity prices for households differ substantially between MS
- "non-energy" component is very significant
Sour
ce: E
uros
tat
17
Lower differences between MS for industry end-user prices
Sour
ce: E
uros
tat
18
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
03/2006Green Paper on a future common European
Energy Policy
01/2007Commission proposal for 2020 climate and energy package
12/ 2008Head of State
and Government
reached agreement on the package
06/2011Energy Efficiency Directive
11/2010Commission
Communication on the Energy 2020 Strategy
12/2011Commission
CommunicationEnergy Roadmap 2050
04/2009RES Directive
03/2006Green Paper
2015 Global Climate Change
Agreements
More concrete proposals for the 2030 framework
Window of opportunity
Building on the past towards the future….!
19
Impact Assessment
Assessment of responses to the consultation
Jan.
Commission proposals for the 2030 framework
Feb. Mar. Apr. Jun. Jul. Aug Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.May
22-24 April
22 MayEuropean Council
Adoption of the Green Paperconsultation procedure
Council meetings
Update of reference scenario
Concrete steps towards the 2030 framework in 2013
20
Back up
21* Gross inland consumption minus non-energy uses
1678 Mtoe
- 20% objective
2009
1842 Mtoebusiness as usual 2007
2020
Projections from 2007Projections from 200920% EE objective
1474 MtoePrim
ary
ener
gy c
onsu
mpt
ion*
, Mto
e
1400
1450
1500
1550
1600
1650
1700
1750
1800
1850
1900
2005 2010 2015
GAP
Progress towards the 2020 Energy Savings target
Sour
ce: E
urop
ean
Com
miss
ion
22
The share of renewables rises steadily over time
Sour
ce: E
urop
ean
Com
miss
ion
Share of renewables in primary energy consumption (in %)
23
Retail electricity prices paid by households and industry in 2012
Note: Euro/kWh, first half of 2012, consumption bands DC and IC, all taxes includedSource of data: Eurostat