energy, electricity and nuclear power estimatesinternational atomic energy agency vienna isbn...

I N T E R N AT I O N A L AT O M I C E N E R G Y A G E N C YV I E N N A

I S B N 97 8 - 9 2 - 0 - 1 0 8 0 1 0 - 3I S S N 1 0 1 1 - 2 6 4 2

Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050

R E f E R E N C E d ATA S E R I E S No. 1 2010 Edition

@10-35831_IAEA-RDS-1_cover.indd 1 2010-09-01 15:35:43

REFERENCE DATA SERIES No. 1

energy, electricity and nuclear power estimates for the period up to 2050

2010 Edition

INTERNATIONAL ATOMIC ENERGY AGENCYVIENNA, 2010

10-35831_IAEA-RDS-1_body.indd 1 2010-09-01 15:33:18

ENERGY, ELECTRICITY AND NuCLEAR pOwER ESTIMATES FOR ThE pERIOD up TO 2050

IAEA-RDS-1/30ISBN 978–92–0–108010–3

ISSN 1011–2642

printed by the IAEA in AustriaAugust 2010

contents

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5Grouping of countries and areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

Table 1. Nuclear power reactors in the world (end of 2009) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12Figure 1. Nuclear share of total electricity generation in 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14Table 2. Number of countries with nuclear power reactors in operation or under construction (end of 2009) . . . . . . . . . 15Table 3. Estimates of total and nuclear electrical generating capacity . . . . . . . . . . . . 17Figure 2. Total and nuclear electrical generating capacity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18Table 4. Estimates of total electricity generation and contribution by nuclear power . . . . . . . 21Figure 3. percentage of electricity supplied by nuclear power . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22Table 5. Estimates of total energy requirement (EJ), percentage used for electricity generation, and percentage supplied by nuclear energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25Figure 4. Estimates of total energy requirement . . . . . 26Table 6. Total energy requirement (EJ) by type of fuel in 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29Figure 5. Total energy requirement by fuel type in 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30Figure 6. Breakdown of world total energy requirement during the period 1970–2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32Table 7. Fuel shares (%) of total energy requirement in 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35Table 8. Fuel use (EJ) for electricity generation by type of fuel in 2009 . . . . . . . . 36Table 9. percentage contribution of each fuel type to electricity generation in 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37Table 10. Estimates of population growth by region . . 39Figure 7. population estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40Table 11. Estimates of total energy and electricity requirement per capita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43


ENERGY, ELECTRICITY AND NuCLEAR pOwER ESTIMATES FOR ThE pERIOD up TO 2050

IAEA-RDS-1/30ISBN 978–92–0–108010–3

ISSN 1011–2642

printed by the IAEA in AustriaAugust 2010

contents

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Grouping of countries and areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

Table 1. Nuclear power reactors in the world (end of 2009) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Figure 1. Nuclear share of total electricity generation in 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Table 2. Number of countries with nuclear power reactors in operation or under construction (end of 2009) . . . . . . . . . 15 Table 3. Estimates of total and nuclear electrical generating capacity . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Figure 2. Total and nuclear electrical generating capacity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Table 4. Estimates of total electricity generation and contribution by nuclear power . . . . . . . 21 Figure 3. percentage of electricity supplied by nuclear power . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Table 5. Estimates of total energy requirement (EJ), percentage used for electricity generation, and percentage supplied by nuclear energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Figure 4. Estimates of total energy requirement . . . . . 26 Table 6. Total energy requirement (EJ) by type of fuel in 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Figure 5. Total energy requirement by fuel type in 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Figure 6. Breakdown of world total energy requirement during the period 1970–2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Table 7. Fuel shares (%) of total energy requirement in 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Table 8. Fuel use (EJ) for electricity generation by type of fuel in 2009 . . . . . . . . 36 Table 9. percentage contribution of each fuel type to electricity generation in 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Table 10. Estimates of population growth by region . . 39 Figure 7. population estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 Table 11. Estimates of total energy and electricity requirement per capita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43


Figure 8. Total energy requirement per capita . . . . . . . 44Figure 9. Total electricity requirement per capita . . . . . 46Table 12. Average annual growth rates during the period 1999–2009 (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49Figure 10. Average annual growth rates during the period 1999–2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50Table 13. Estimates of average annual

growth rates during the period 2009–2030 (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53

introductionReference Data Series No. 1 (RDS-1) is an annual

publication — currently in its thirtieth edition — containing estimates of energy, electricity and nuclear power trends up to the year 2050.

RDS-1 starts with a summary of the situation of nuclear power in IAEA Member States as of the end of 2009. The data on nuclear power presented in Tables 1 and 2 are based on actual statistical data collected by the IAEA’s power Reactor Information System (pRIS). Energy and electricity data for 2009, however, are estimated, since the latest available information from the united Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs is for 2007. population data originate from the world population prospects (2008 revision), published by the population Division of the united Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, and the 2009 values again are estimates.

As in the past, projections of future needs of energy, electricity and nuclear power are presented as low and high estimates encompassing the inherent uncertainties involved in projecting trends. The RDS-1 estimates should be viewed as very general growth trends whose validity must be constantly subjected to critical review.

Beginning with the 30th edition of this publication, however, the end-point of the estimates is extended up to the year 2050 (instead of 2030). Looking beyond 2030 is prompted by the interest expressed by numerous Member States currently without nuclear power in adding nuclear energy to their future national energy supply mixes. Given the lead times in planning and implementing nuclear power programmes, a fair share of these are likely to result in actual plant commissioning and grid connection after 2030.

Many international, national and private organizations routinely engage in energy demand and supply projections, including nuclear power. These projections are based on a multitude of different assumptions and aggregating procedures, which make a straightforward comparison and synthesis very difficult. The basic differences refer to such fundamental input assumptions as:


5

Figure 8. Total energy requirement per capita . . . . . . . 44Figure 9. Total electricity requirement per capita . . . . . 46Table 12. Average annual growth rates during the period 1999–2009 (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49Figure 10. Average annual growth rates during the period 1999–2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50Table 13. Estimates of average annual

growth rates during the period 2009–2030 (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53

introductionReference Data Series No. 1 (RDS-1) is an annual

publication — currently in its thirtieth edition — containing estimates of energy, electricity and nuclear power trends up to the year 2050.

RDS-1 starts with a summary of the situation of nuclear power in IAEA Member States as of the end of 2009. The data on nuclear power presented in Tables 1 and 2 are based on actual statistical data collected by the IAEA’s power Reactor Information System (pRIS). Energy and electricity data for 2009, however, are estimated, since the latest available information from the united Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs is for 2007. population data originate from the world population prospects (2008 revision), published by the population Division of the united Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, and the 2009 values again are estimates.

As in the past, projections of future needs of energy, electricity and nuclear power are presented as low and high estimates encompassing the inherent uncertainties involved in projecting trends. The RDS-1 estimates should be viewed as very general growth trends whose validity must be constantly subjected to critical review.

Beginning with the 30th edition of this publication, however, the end-point of the estimates is extended up to the year 2050 (instead of 2030). Looking beyond 2030 is prompted by the interest expressed by numerous Member States currently without nuclear power in adding nuclear energy to their future national energy supply mixes. Given the lead times in planning and implementing nuclear power programmes, a fair share of these are likely to result in actual plant commissioning and grid connection after 2030.

Many international, national and private organizations routinely engage in energy demand and supply projections, including nuclear power. These projections are based on a multitude of different assumptions and aggregating procedures, which make a straightforward comparison and synthesis very difficult. The basic differences refer to such fundamental input assumptions as:


6

• Economic growth;• Correlation of economic growth and energy use;• Technology performance and costs;• Energy resource availability and future fuel prices;• Energy policy and physical, environmental and

economic constraints.

The projections presented in this booklet are based on a compromise among:

• National projections supplied by each country for a recent OECD/NEA study;

• Indicators of development published by the world Bank in its world Development Indicators;

• Global and regional energy, electricity and nuclear power projections made by other international organizations.

More specifically, the estimates of nuclear generating capacity presented in Table 3 are derived from a country by country ‘bottom up’ approach. They are established by a group of experts participating each year in the IAEA’s consultancy on Nuclear Capacity projections and based upon a review of nuclear power projects and programmes in Member States.

The low and high estimates reflect contrasting but not extreme underlying assumptions on the different driving factors that have an impact on nuclear power deployment. These factors, and the ways they might evolve, vary from country to country. The estimates presented provide a plausible range of nuclear capacity growth by region and worldwide. They are not intended to be predictive nor to reflect the whole range of possible futures from the lowest to the highest feasible.

The low case represents expectations about the future if current trends continued and there were few changes in policies affecting nuclear power other than those already in the pipeline.

This case was explicitly designed to produce a ‘conservative but plausible’ set of projections. Additionally, the low case did not automatically assume that targets for nuclear power growth in a particular country would necessarily be achieved. These assumptions are relaxed in the high case.

The high case projections are much more optimistic, but still plausible and technically feasible. The high case assumes that the current financial and economic crises will be overcome in the not so distant future and past rates of economic growth and electricity demand, especially in the Far East, would essentially resume. In addition, the high case assumes the implementation of stringent policies globally targeted at mitigating climate change.

In the presence of the current financial and economic crises, developing the 2009 and 2010 nuclear power projections posed a considerable challenge. The 2010 projections are based on the rationale that the long lead times associated with the implementation of nuclear power plants may temporarily delay some projects but the underlying fundamentals of population growth, development, demand for electricity, climate change concerns, security of energy supply and the quest for stable electricity generating costs point to continued strong growth in the longer term. worsening and prolonged economic and/or financial difficulties could, however, dramatically affect the projections developed, particularly in the high case.

The data on electricity produced by nuclear power plants is converted to joules based on the average efficiency of a nuclear power plant, i.e. 33%; data on electricity generated by geothermal heat is converted to joules based on the average efficiency of a geothermal power plant, i.e. 10%. The conversion to joules of electricity generated by hydropower or by the other non-thermal sources such as wind, tide and solar is based on the energy content of the electricity generated (the equivalent of assuming a 100% efficiency).

The total energy requirement has been calculated by summing the primary energy production, the net energy trade minus changes in international bunkers and domestic stocks.

The values shown in Table 9 refer to primary energy used for the generation of electricity. Owing to differences in conversion efficiencies, the percentage values are different from the shares of electricity generation presented in Tables 1 and 5.


7

• Economic growth;• Correlation of economic growth and energy use;• Technology performance and costs;• Energy resource availability and future fuel prices;• Energy policy and physical, environmental and

economic constraints.

The projections presented in this booklet are based on a compromise among:

• National projections supplied by each country for a recent OECD/NEA study;

• Indicators of development published by the world Bank in its world Development Indicators;

• Global and regional energy, electricity and nuclear power projections made by other international organizations.

More specifically, the estimates of nuclear generating capacity presented in Table 3 are derived from a country by country ‘bottom up’ approach. They are established by a group of experts participating each year in the IAEA’s consultancy on Nuclear Capacity projections and based upon a review of nuclear power projects and programmes in Member States.

The low and high estimates reflect contrasting but not extreme underlying assumptions on the different driving factors that have an impact on nuclear power deployment. These factors, and the ways they might evolve, vary from country to country. The estimates presented provide a plausible range of nuclear capacity growth by region and worldwide. They are not intended to be predictive nor to reflect the whole range of possible futures from the lowest to the highest feasible.

The low case represents expectations about the future if current trends continued and there were few changes in policies affecting nuclear power other than those already in the pipeline.

This case was explicitly designed to produce a ‘conservative but plausible’ set of projections. Additionally, the low case did not automatically assume that targets for nuclear power growth in a particular country would necessarily be achieved. These assumptions are relaxed in the high case.

The high case projections are much more optimistic, but still plausible and technically feasible. The high case assumes that the current financial and economic crises will be overcome in the not so distant future and past rates of economic growth and electricity demand, especially in the Far East, would essentially resume. In addition, the high case assumes the implementation of stringent policies globally targeted at mitigating climate change.

In the presence of the current financial and economic crises, developing the 2009 and 2010 nuclear power projections posed a considerable challenge. The 2010 projections are based on the rationale that the long lead times associated with the implementation of nuclear power plants may temporarily delay some projects but the underlying fundamentals of population growth, development, demand for electricity, climate change concerns, security of energy supply and the quest for stable electricity generating costs point to continued strong growth in the longer term. worsening and prolonged economic and/or financial difficulties could, however, dramatically affect the projections developed, particularly in the high case.

The data on electricity produced by nuclear power plants is converted to joules based on the average efficiency of a nuclear power plant, i.e. 33%; data on electricity generated by geothermal heat is converted to joules based on the average efficiency of a geothermal power plant, i.e. 10%. The conversion to joules of electricity generated by hydropower or by the other non-thermal sources such as wind, tide and solar is based on the energy content of the electricity generated (the equivalent of assuming a 100% efficiency).

The total energy requirement has been calculated by summing the primary energy production, the net energy trade minus changes in international bunkers and domestic stocks.

The values shown in Table 9 refer to primary energy used for the generation of electricity. Owing to differences in conversion efficiencies, the percentage values are different from the shares of electricity generation presented in Tables 1 and 5.


8

energy units

1 Mw(e) = 106 watts (electrical)1 Gw(e) = 1000 Mw(e) = 109 watts (electrical)1 GJ = 1 gigajoule = 109 joules1 EJ = 1 exajoule = 1018 joules1 EJ = 23.9 megatonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe)1 Tw·h = 1 terawatt-hour = 109 kw·h = 3.6 × 10–3 EJ

N o r t h A m e r i c a C a n a d a * U n i t e d S t a t e s o f A m e r i c a *

L a t i n A m e r i c a A n g u i l l a H a i t i * A n t i g u a a n d B a r b u d a H o n d u r a s * A r g e n t i n a * J a m a i c a * A r u b a M a r t i n i q u e B a h a m a s M e x i c o * B a r b a d o s M o n t s e r r a t B e l i z e N e t h e r l a n d s A n t i l l e s B e r m u d a N i c a r a g u a * B o l i v i a * P a n a m a * B r a z i l * P a r a g u a y * C a y m a n I s l a n d s P e r u * C h i l e * P u e r t o R i c o C o l o m b i a * S . G e o r g i a & S . S a n d w i c h I s l a n d s C o s t a R i c a * S a i n t K i t t s a n d N e v i s C u b a * S a i n t L u c i a D o m i n i c a S a i n t P i e r r e a n d M i q u e l o n D o m i n i c a n R e p u b l i c * S a i n t V i n c e n t & t h e G r e n a d i n e s E c u a d o r * S u r i n a m e E l S a l v a d o r * T r i n i d a d a n d T o b a g o G r e n a d a T u r k s a n d C a i c o s I s l a n d s G u a d e l o u p e U r u g u a y * G u a t e m a l a * V e n e z u e l a * G u y a n a

W e s t e r n E u r o p e A n d o r r a L i e c h t e n s t e i n * A u s t r i a * L u x e m b o u r g * B e l g i u m * M a l t a * C y p r u s * M o n a c o * D e n m a r k * N e t h e r l a n d s * F i n l a n d * N o r w a y * F r a n c e * P o r t u g a l * G e r m a n y * S a n M a r i n o G i b r a l t a r S p a i n * G r e e c e * S v a l b a r d a n d J a n M a y e n I s l a n d s G r e e n l a n d S w e d e n * H o l y S e e * S w i t z e r l a n d * I c e l a n d * T u r k e y * I r e l a n d * U n i t e d K i n g d o m * I t a l y *

G R O U P I N G O F C O U N T R I E S A N D A R E A S

T h e c o u n t r i e s a n d g e o g r a p h i c a l a r e a s i n c l u d e d i n e a c h g r o u p i n g a r e l i s t e d b e l o w

( I A E A M e m b e r S t a t e s a r e d e n o t e d b y a n a s t e r i s k )

*


9

energy units

1 Mw(e) = 106 watts (electrical)1 Gw(e) = 1000 Mw(e) = 109 watts (electrical)1 GJ = 1 gigajoule = 109 joules1 EJ = 1 exajoule = 1018 joules1 EJ = 23.9 megatonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe)1 Tw·h = 1 terawatt-hour = 109 kw·h = 3.6 × 10–3 EJ

N o r t h A m e r i c a C a n a d a * U n i t e d S t a t e s o f A m e r i c a *

L a t i n A m e r i c a A n g u i l l a H a i t i * A n t i g u a a n d B a r b u d a H o n d u r a s * A r g e n t i n a * J a m a i c a * A r u b a M a r t i n i q u e B a h a m a s M e x i c o * B a r b a d o s M o n t s e r r a t B e l i z e N e t h e r l a n d s A n t i l l e s B e r m u d a N i c a r a g u a * B o l i v i a * P a n a m a * B r a z i l * P a r a g u a y * C a y m a n I s l a n d s P e r u * C h i l e * P u e r t o R i c o C o l o m b i a * S . G e o r g i a & S . S a n d w i c h I s l a n d s C o s t a R i c a * S a i n t K i t t s a n d N e v i s C u b a * S a i n t L u c i a D o m i n i c a S a i n t P i e r r e a n d M i q u e l o n D o m i n i c a n R e p u b l i c * S a i n t V i n c e n t & t h e G r e n a d i n e s E c u a d o r * S u r i n a m e E l S a l v a d o r * T r i n i d a d a n d T o b a g o G r e n a d a T u r k s a n d C a i c o s I s l a n d s G u a d e l o u p e U r u g u a y * G u a t e m a l a * V e n e z u e l a * G u y a n a

W e s t e r n E u r o p e A n d o r r a L i e c h t e n s t e i n * A u s t r i a * L u x e m b o u r g * B e l g i u m * M a l t a * C y p r u s * M o n a c o * D e n m a r k * N e t h e r l a n d s * F i n l a n d * N o r w a y * F r a n c e * P o r t u g a l * G e r m a n y * S a n M a r i n o G i b r a l t a r S p a i n * G r e e c e * S v a l b a r d a n d J a n M a y e n I s l a n d s G r e e n l a n d S w e d e n * H o l y S e e * S w i t z e r l a n d * I c e l a n d * T u r k e y * I r e l a n d * U n i t e d K i n g d o m * I t a l y *

G R O U P I N G O F C O U N T R I E S A N D A R E A S

T h e c o u n t r i e s a n d g e o g r a p h i c a l a r e a s i n c l u d e d i n e a c h g r o u p i n g a r e l i s t e d b e l o w

( I A E A M e m b e r S t a t e s a r e d e n o t e d b y a n a s t e r i s k )

*


10

AfricaAlgeria* Malawi*Angola* Mali*Benin* Mauritania*Botswana* Mauritius*Burkina Faso* MayotteBurundii* Morocco*Cameroo o n * Mozambique*Cape Verdee* Namibia*Central Africaa n Republic* Niger*Chad Nigeria*Comoros ReunionCongoo* Rwanda*Côte d'II voire* Saint HelenaDemocratic Rep. of the Congo* Sao Tome and PrincipeDjibouti Senegal*Egypt* Seychelles*Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone*Eritrea* SomaliaEthiopia* South Africa*Gabon* Sudan*Gambia SwazilandGhana* TogoGuinea Tunisia*Guinea-Bissau Uganda*Kenya* United Republic of Tanzania*Lesotho* Western SaharaLiberia* Zambia*Libyan Arab Jamahiriya* Zimbabwe*Madagascar*

Eastern EuropeAlbania* Lithuania*Armenia* Montenegro*

Poland*Azerbaijan*Republic of Moldova*Belarus*Romania*Bosnia and Herzegovina*Russian Federation*Bulgaria*Serbia*Croatia*Slovakia*Czech Republic*Slovenia*Estonia*Tajikistan*Georgia*The Frmr.Yug.Rep. of Macedonia*Hungary*TurkmenistanKazakhstan*Ukraine*Kyrgyzstan*Uzbekistan*Latvia*

*

*

M i d d l e E a s t a n d S o u t h A s i a A f g h a n i s t a n * K u w a i t * B a h r a i n* L e b a n o n * B a n g l a d e s h * N e p a l* B h u t a n O m a n* B r i t i s h I n d i a n O c e a n T e r r i t o r y P a k i s t a n * C o c o s ( K e e l i n g ) I s l a n d s Q a t a r * F r e n c h S o u t h e r n T e r r i t o r i e s S a u d i A r a b i a * H e a r d I s l a n d & M c D o n a l d I s l a n d s S r i L a n k a * I n d i a * S y r i a n A r a b R e p u b l i c * I r a n , I s l a m i c R e p u b l i c o f * T . T . U . T . J o f T . P a l e s t i n i a n A . I r a q * U n i t e d A r a b E m i r a t e s * I s r a e l * Y e m e n * J o r d a n *

S o u t h E a s t A s i a a n d t h e P a c i f i c A u s t r a l i a * N o r t h e r n M a r i a n a I s l a n d s B r u n e i D a r u s s a l a m P a l a u* C o o k I s l a n d s P a p u a N e w G u i n e a* F i j i P i t c a i r n I s l a n d s I n d o n e s i a * S a m o a K i r i b a t i S i n g a p o r e * M a l a y s i a * S o l o m o n I s l a n d s M a l d i v e s T h a i l a n d * M a r s h a l l I s l a n d s * T i m o r L e s t e M i c r o n e s i a ( F e d . S t a t e s o f ) T o k e l a u M y a n m a r * T u v a l u N e w Z e a l a n d * U S M i n o r O u t l y i n g I s l a n d s N i u e V a n u a t u N o r f o l k I s l a n d s W a l l i s a n d F u t u n a I s l a n d s

F a r E a s t C a m b o d i a* M a c a u , C h i n a C h i n a * M o n g o l i a * D e m . P . R . o f K o r e a P h i l i p p i n e s * J a p a n * T a i w a n , C h i n a K o r e a , R e p u b l i c o f * V i e t n a m * L a o P . D . R .


11

AfricaAlgeria* Malawi*Angola* Mali*Benin* Mauritania*Botswana* Mauritius*Burkina Faso* MayotteBurundii* Morocco*Cameroo o n * Mozambique*Cape Verdee* Namibia*Central Africaa n Republic* Niger*Chad Nigeria*Comoros ReunionCongoo* Rwanda*Côte d'II voire* Saint HelenaDemocratic Rep. of the Congo* Sao Tome and PrincipeDjibouti Senegal*Egypt* Seychelles*Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone*Eritrea* SomaliaEthiopia* South Africa*Gabon* Sudan*Gambia SwazilandGhana* TogoGuinea Tunisia*Guinea-Bissau Uganda*Kenya* United Republic of Tanzania*Lesotho* Western SaharaLiberia* Zambia*Libyan Arab Jamahiriya* Zimbabwe*Madagascar*

Eastern EuropeAlbania* Lithuania*Armenia* Montenegro*

Poland*Azerbaijan*Republic of Moldova*Belarus*Romania*Bosnia and Herzegovina*Russian Federation*Bulgaria*Serbia*Croatia*Slovakia*Czech Republic*Slovenia*Estonia*Tajikistan*Georgia*The Frmr.Yug.Rep. of Macedonia*Hungary*TurkmenistanKazakhstan*Ukraine*Kyrgyzstan*Uzbekistan*Latvia*

*

*

M i d d l e E a s t a n d S o u t h A s i a A f g h a n i s t a n * K u w a i t * B a h r a i n* L e b a n o n * B a n g l a d e s h * N e p a l* B h u t a n O m a n* B r i t i s h I n d i a n O c e a n T e r r i t o r y P a k i s t a n * C o c o s ( K e e l i n g ) I s l a n d s Q a t a r * F r e n c h S o u t h e r n T e r r i t o r i e s S a u d i A r a b i a * H e a r d I s l a n d & M c D o n a l d I s l a n d s S r i L a n k a * I n d i a * S y r i a n A r a b R e p u b l i c * I r a n , I s l a m i c R e p u b l i c o f * T . T . U . T . J o f T . P a l e s t i n i a n A . I r a q * U n i t e d A r a b E m i r a t e s * I s r a e l * Y e m e n * J o r d a n *

S o u t h E a s t A s i a a n d t h e P a c i f i c A u s t r a l i a * N o r t h e r n M a r i a n a I s l a n d s B r u n e i D a r u s s a l a m P a l a u* C o o k I s l a n d s P a p u a N e w G u i n e a* F i j i P i t c a i r n I s l a n d s I n d o n e s i a * S a m o a K i r i b a t i S i n g a p o r e * M a l a y s i a * S o l o m o n I s l a n d s M a l d i v e s T h a i l a n d * M a r s h a l l I s l a n d s * T i m o r L e s t e M i c r o n e s i a ( F e d . S t a t e s o f ) T o k e l a u M y a n m a r * T u v a l u N e w Z e a l a n d * U S M i n o r O u t l y i n g I s l a n d s N i u e V a n u a t u N o r f o l k I s l a n d s W a l l i s a n d F u t u n a I s l a n d s

F a r E a s t C a m b o d i a* M a c a u , C h i n a C h i n a * M o n g o l i a * D e m . P . R . o f K o r e a P h i l i p p i n e s * J a p a n * T a i w a n , C h i n a K o r e a , R e p u b l i c o f * V i e t n a m * L a o P . D . R .


12

TABL

E 1.

NU

CLEA

R PO

WER

REA

CTO

RS IN

TH

E W

ORL

D (

end

of 2

009)

Gro

up a

nd C

ount

ry

In O

pera

tion

Und

er C

onst

ruct

ion

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

TW·h

Per

cent

of

Tota

l Ele

ctri

city

Nor

th A

mer

ica

C

anad

a18

1256

9

4

2726

85.1

14.8

U

nite

d St

ates

of

Amer

ica

104

1007

47

1

1165

796.

9

20

.2

La

tin

Am

eric

a

Arg

enti

na2

935

1

69

2

7.

6

6.

9

Bra

zil

2

18

84

12

.2

2.

9

Mex

ico

2

13

00

10

.1

4.

8

W

este

rn E

urop

e

Bel

gium

7

59

02

45

.0

51

.7

Fin

land

4

26

96

1

1600

22.6

32.9

F

ranc

e59

6326

0

1

1600

391.

8

75

.2

Ger

man

y17

2048

0

12

7.7

26.1

N

ethe

rlan

ds1

487

4.0

3.7

S

pain

8

74

50

50

.6

17

.5

Sw

eden

10

90

36

50

.0

37

.4

Sw

itze

rlan

d5

3238

26.3

39.5

U

nite

d Ki

ngdo

m19

1013

7

62

.9

17

.9

Ea

ster

n Eu

rope

A

rmen

ia1

375

2.3

44.9

B

ulga

ria

2

19

06

2

1906

14.2

35.9

C

zech

Rep

ublic

6

36

78

25

.7

33

.8

Hun

gary

4

18

89

14

.3

43

.0

Long

-ter

m S

hut

Dow

n Re

acto

rsEl

ectr

icit

y Su

pplie

d by

Nuc

lear

Pow

er R

eact

ors

in 2

009

TABL

E 1.

NU

CLEA

R PO

WER

REA

CTO

RS IN

TH

E W

ORL

D (

end

of 2

009)

Gro

up a

nd C

ount

ry

In O

pera

tion

Und

er C

onst

ruct

ion

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

TW·h

Per

cent

of

Tota

l Ele

ctri

city

L

ithu

ania

(a)

1

11

85

10

.0

76

.2

Rom

ania

2

13

00

10

.8

20

.6

Rus

sian

Fed

erat

ion

31

21

743

9

69

96

15

2.8

17.8

S

lova

kia

4

17

62

2

782

13.1

53.5

S

love

nia

1

66

6

5.

5

37

.8

Ukr

aine

15

13

107

2

19

00

78

.0

48

.6

A

fric

a

Sou

th A

fric

a2

1800

11.6

4.8

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

I

ndia

18

39

87

5

2708

14.8

2.2

I

ran,

Isla

mic

Rep

ublic

of

1

91

5

Pak

ista

n2

425

1

30

0

2.

6

2.

7

Fa

r Ea

st

Chi

na11

8438

20

19

920

65.7

1.9

J

apan

54

46

823

1

24

6

1

1325

263.

1

28

.9

Kor

ea,

Repu

blic

of

20

17

705

6

65

20

14

1.1

34.8

Wor

ld T

otal

(b)

438

3718

90

5

2972

55

50

929

2558

.1

13

.8

Not

es:

(a)

Last

uni

t w

as s

hut

dow

n on

31

Dec

embe

r 20

09;

(b)

Incl

udin

g th

e fo

llow

ing

data

on

Taiw

an,

Chin

a:

— 6

uni

ts o

n op

erat

ion

wit

h to

tal c

apac

ity

of 4

949

MW

(e);

2 u

nits

und

er c

onst

ruct

ion

wit

h to

tal c

apac

ity

of 2

600

MW

(e);

Long

-ter

m S

hut

Dow

n Re

acto

rsEl

ectr

icit

y Su

pplie

d by

Nuc

lear

Pow

er R

eact

ors

in 2

008

—

39.

9 TW

·h o

f nu

clea

r el

ectr

icit

y ge

nera

tion

, re

pres

enti

ng 2

0.65

% o

f th

e to

tal e

lect

rici

ty g

ener

ated

.


13

TABL

E 1.

NU

CLEA

R PO

WER

REA

CTO

RS IN

TH

E W

ORL

D (

end

of 2

009)

Gro

up a

nd C

ount

ry

In O

pera

tion

Und

er C

onst

ruct

ion

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

TW·h

Per

cent

of

Tota

l Ele

ctri

city

Nor

th A

mer

ica

C

anad

a18

1256

9

4

2726

85.1

14.8

U

nite

d St

ates

of

Amer

ica

104

1007

47

1

1165

796.

9

20

.2

La

tin

Am

eric

a

Arg

enti

na2

935

1

69

2

7.

6

6.

9

Bra

zil

2

18

84

12

.2

2.

9

Mex

ico

2

13

00

10

.1

4.

8

W

este

rn E

urop

e

Bel

gium

7

59

02

45

.0

51

.7

Fin

land

4

26

96

1

1600

22.6

32.9

F

ranc

e59

6326

0

1

1600

391.

8

75

.2

Ger

man

y17

2048

0

12

7.7

26.1

N

ethe

rlan

ds1

487

4.0

3.7

S

pain

8

74

50

50

.6

17

.5

Sw

eden

10

90

36

50

.0

37

.4

Sw

itze

rlan

d5

3238

26.3

39.5

U

nite

d Ki

ngdo

m19

1013

7

62

.9

17

.9

Ea

ster

n Eu

rope

A

rmen

ia1

375

2.3

44.9

B

ulga

ria

2

19

06

2

1906

14.2

35.9

C

zech

Rep

ublic

6

36

78

25

.7

33

.8

Hun

gary

4

18

89

14

.3

43

.0

Long

-ter

m S

hut

Dow

n Re

acto

rsEl

ectr

icit

y Su

pplie

d by

Nuc

lear

Pow

er R

eact

ors

in 2

008

TABL

E 1.

NU

CLEA

R PO

WER

REA

CTO

RS IN

TH

E W

ORL

D (

end

of 2

009)

Gro

up a

nd C

ount

ry

In O

pera

tion

Und

er C

onst

ruct

ion

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

Num

ber

of U

nits

Tota

l MW

(e)

TW·h

Per

cent

of

Tota

l Ele

ctri

city

L

ithu

ania

(a)

1

11

85

10

.0

76

.2

Rom

ania

2

13

00

10

.8

20

.6

Rus

sian

Fed

erat

ion

31

21

743

9

69

96

15

2.8

17.8

S

lova

kia

4

17

62

2

782

13.1

53.5

S

love

nia

1

66

6

5.

5

37

.8

Ukr

aine

15

13

107

2

19

00

78

.0

48

.6

A

fric

a

Sou

th A

fric

a2

1800

11.6

4.8

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

I

ndia

18

39

87

5

2708

14.8

2.2

I

ran,

Isla

mic

Rep

ublic

of

1

91

5

Pak

ista

n2

425

1

30

0

2.

6

2.

7

Fa

r Ea

st

Chi

na11

8438

20

19

920

65.7

1.9

J

apan

54

46

823

1

24

6

1

1325

263.

1

28

.9

Kor

ea,

Repu

blic

of

20

17

705

6

65

20

14

1.1

34.8

Wor

ld T

otal

(b)

438

3718

90

5

2972

55

50

929

2558

.1

13

.8

Not

es:

(a)

Last

uni

t w

as s

hut

dow

n on

31

Dec

embe

r 20

09;

(b)

Incl

udin

g th

e fo

llow

ing

data

on

Taiw

an,

Chin

a:

— 6

uni

ts o

n op

erat

ion

wit

h to

tal c

apac

ity

of 4

949

MW

(e);

2 u

nits

und

er c

onst

ruct

ion

wit

h to

tal c

apac

ity

of 2

600

MW

(e);

Long

-ter

m S

hut

Dow

n Re

acto

rsEl

ectr

icit

y Su

pplie

d by

Nuc

lear

Pow

er R

eact

ors

in 2

009

—

39.

9 TW

·h o

f nu

clea

r el

ectr

icit

y ge

nera

tion

, re

pres

enti

ng 2

0.65

% o

f th

e to

tal e

lect

rici

ty g

ener

ated

.


14

TABL

E 2.

NU

MBE

R O

F CO

UN

TRIE

S W

ITH

NU

CLEA

R PO

WER

REA

CTO

RS IN

OPE

RATI

ON

OR

UN

DER

CO

NST

RUCT

ION

(en

d of

200

9)

Coun

try

Gro

upN

umbe

r of

Cou

ntri

es in

Gro

upCo

untr

ies

wit

h N

ucle

ar P

ower

Rea

ctor

sIn

Ope

rati

onLo

ng t

erm

Shu

tdow

nU

nder

Con

stru

ctio

n (1

)To

tal (

2)

Nor

th A

mer

ica

2

2

1

1

2

Lati

n Am

eric

a45

3

1

3

Wes

tern

Eur

ope

29

9

2

9

East

ern

Euro

pe27

10

3

10

Afri

ca57

1

1

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

25

2

3

3

Sout

h Ea

st A

sia

and

the

Paci

fic

27

Far

East

11

3

1

3

3

Wor

ld T

otal

223

30

2

13

31

Not

es:

(1)

May

incl

ude

coun

trie

s ha

ving

rea

ctor

s al

read

y in

ope

rati

on.

(2)

Tota

l num

ber

of c

ount

ries

in e

ach

grou

p th

at h

ave

nucl

ear

pow

er r

eact

ors

in o

pera

tion

, or

und

er c

onst

ruct

ion.

Note: the nuclear share of electricity generation in Taiwan, China was 20.7%.

FIGURE 1. NUCLEAR SHARE OF TOTAL ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN 200

LITHUANIA

FRANCE

SLOVAKIA

BELGIUM

UKRAINE

ARMENIA

HUNGARY

SWITZERLAND

SLOVENIA

SWEDEN

BULGARIA

KOREA, REPUBLIC OF

CZECH REPUBLIC

FINLAND

JAPAN

GERMANY

ROMANIA

USA

UNITED KINGDOM

RUSSIAN FEDERATION

SPAIN

CANADA

ARGENTINA

SOUTH AFRICA

MEXICO

NETHERLANDS

BRAZIL

PAKISTAN

INDIA

CHINA

0 20 40 60 80 100

76.2

75.2

53.5

51.7

48.6

45.0

43.0

39.5

37.8

37.4

35.9

34.8

33.8

32.9

28.9

26.1

20.6

20.2

17.9

17.8

17.5

14.8

7.0

4.8

4.8

3.7

2.9

2.7

2.2

1.9

Nuclear Share (%)


9

15

TABL

E 2.

NU

MBE

R O

F CO

UN

TRIE

S W

ITH

NU

CLEA

R PO

WER

REA

CTO

RS IN

OPE

RATI

ON

OR

UN

DER

CO

NST

RUCT

ION

(en

d of

200

9)

Coun

try

Gro

upN

umbe

r of

Cou

ntri

es in

Gro

upCo

untr

ies

wit

h N

ucle

ar P

ower

Rea

ctor

sIn

Ope

rati

onLo

ng t

erm

Shu

tdow

nU

nder

Con

stru

ctio

n (1

)To

tal (

2)

Nor

th A

mer

ica

2

2

1

1

2

Lati

n Am

eric

a45

3

1

3

Wes

tern

Eur

ope

29

9

2

9

East

ern

Euro

pe27

10

3

10

Afri

ca57

1

1

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

25

2

3

3

Sout

h Ea

st A

sia

and

the

Paci

fic

27

Far

East

11

3

1

3

3

Wor

ld T

otal

223

30

2

13

31

Not

es:

(1)

May

incl

ude

coun

trie

s ha

ving

rea

ctor

s al

read

y in

ope

rati

on.

(2)

Tota

l num

ber

of c

ount

ries

in e

ach

grou

p th

at h

ave

nucl

ear

pow

er r

eact

ors

in o

pera

tion

, or

und

er c

onst

ruct

ion.

Note: the nuclear share of electricity generation in Taiwan, China was 20.7%.

FIGURE 1. NUCLEAR SHARE OF TOTAL ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN 2008

LITHUANIA

FRANCE

SLOVAKIA

BELGIUM

UKRAINE

ARMENIA

HUNGARY

SWITZERLAND

SLOVENIA

SWEDEN

BULGARIA

KOREA, REPUBLIC OF

CZECH REPUBLIC

FINLAND

JAPAN

GERMANY

ROMANIA

USA

UNITED KINGDOM

RUSSIAN FEDERATION

SPAIN

CANADA

ARGENTINA

SOUTH AFRICA

MEXICO

NETHERLANDS

BRAZIL

PAKISTAN

INDIA

CHINA

0 20 40 60 80 100

76.2

75.2

53.5

51.7

48.6

45.0

43.0

39.5

37.8

37.4

35.9

34.8

33.8

32.9

28.9

26.1

20.6

20.2

17.9

17.8

17.5

14.8

7.0

4.8

4.8

3.7

2.9

2.7

2.2

1.9

Nuclear Share (%)


TABLE

3.

EST

IMAT

ES

OF T

OTA

L A

ND

NU

CLE

AR

ELE

CT

RIC

AL

GEN

ER

ATIN

G C

APA

CIT

Y

Countr

y G

roup

2009

2020 (

a)2030 (

a)2050 (

a)(b

)

Nucl

ear

Nucl

ear

Nucl

ear

Nucl

ear

GW

(e)

%G

W(e

)%

GW

(e)

%G

W(e

)%

Nor

th A

mer

ica

1251

113.

3

9.

1

10

82

12

2

11.3

1058

128

12

.1

10

01

13

0

13.0

1157

128

11

.1

11

27

16

6

14.7

260

26

.0

Lati

n A

mer

ica

296

4.1

1.4

365

7.1

1.

9

520

11

2.2

98

5

15

1.

5

381

7.1

1.

9

573

23

4.1

60

6.

1

Wes

tern

Euro

pe

800

122.

7

15

.3

73

4

93

12

.6

78

7

86

11

.0

82

7

80

9.

7

728

129

17

.7

79

4

15

8

19.9

270

32

.7

East

ern

Euro

pe

471

47.6

10.1

440

67

15.3

471

84

17.9

526

80

15.2

469

81

17.2

517

111

21

.5

16

0

30.4

Afr

ica

126

1.8

1.4

179

1.8

1.

0

337

6.1

1.

8

1934

10

0.5

26

4

3.

0

1.1

64

7

15

2.

4

48

2.5

Mid

dle

Eas

t an

d S

outh

Asi

a38

5

4.

4

1.

1

53

9

14

2.

6

910

32

3.5

31

43

50

1.

6

662

23

3.5

13

77

56

4.

1

140

4.

5

South

Eas

t Asi

a an

d t

he P

acif

ic17

4

22

7

34

9

1.

0

0.3

75

8

5.

0

0.7

24

2

40

4

6.

0

1.5

27

3.

6

Far

East

1412

77.9

5.5

1734

148

8.

5

2026

197

9.

7

2689

220

8.

2

1853

179

9.

7

2309

267

11

.6

45

0

16.7

Wor

ld T

otal

Low

Est

imat

e49

14

37

1.9

7.6

5301

453

8.

5

6458

546

8.

5

1186

4

59

0

5.0

Hig

h E

stim

ate

5757

550

9.

6

7747

803

10

.4

14

15

11.9

Note

s:

(a)

Nucl

ear

cap

acit

y est

imat

es

take

into

acc

ount

the s

chedule

d r

eti

rem

ent

of

the o

lder

unit

s at

the e

nd o

f th

eir

lif

eti

me.

(b

) Pro

ject

ion f

igure

s fo

r to

tal ele

ctri

c ge

nera

ting

capac

itie

s ar

e t

he a

rith

meti

c av

era

ge b

etw

een low

and h

igh e

stim

ates.

Tota

l Ele

ct.

GW

(e)

Tota

l Ele

ct.

GW

(e)

Tota

l Ele

ct.

GW

(e)

Tota

l Ele

ct.

GW

(e)


17

TABLE

3.

EST

IMAT

ES

OF T

OTA

L A

ND

NU

CLE

AR

ELE

CT

RIC

AL

GEN

ER

ATIN

G C

APA

CIT

Y

Countr

y G

roup

2009

2020 (

a)2030 (

a)2050 (

a)(b

)

Nucl

ear

Nucl

ear

Nucl

ear

Nucl

ear

GW

(e)

%G

W(e

)%

GW

(e)

%G

W(e

)%

Nor

th A

mer

ica

1251

113.

3

9.

1

10

82

12

2

11.3

1058

128

12

.1

10

01

13

0

13.0

1157

128

11

.1

11

27

16

6

14.7

260

26

.0

Lati

n A

mer

ica

296

4.1

1.4

365

7.1

1.

9

520

11

2.2

98

5

15

1.

5

381

7.1

1.

9

573

23

4.1

60

6.

1

Wes

tern

Euro

pe

800

122.

7

15

.3

73

4

93

12

.6

78

7

86

11

.0

82

7

80

9.

7

728

129

17

.7

79

4

15

8

19.9

270

32

.7

East

ern

Euro

pe

471

47.6

10.1

440

67

15.3

471

84

17.9

526

80

15.2

469

81

17.2

517

111

21

.5

16

0

30.4

Afr

ica

126

1.8

1.4

179

1.8

1.

0

337

6.1

1.

8

1934

10

0.5

26

4

3.

0

1.1

64

7

15

2.

4

48

2.5

Mid

dle

Eas

t an

d S

outh

Asi

a38

5

4.

4

1.

1

53

9

14

2.

6

910

32

3.5

31

43

50

1.

6

662

23

3.5

13

77

56

4.

1

140

4.

5

South

Eas

t Asi

a an

d t

he P

acif

ic17

4

22

7

34

9

1.

0

0.3

75

8

5.

0

0.7

24

2

40

4

6.

0

1.5

27

3.

6

Far

East

1412

77.9

5.5

1734

148

8.

5

2026

197

9.

7

2689

220

8.

2

1853

179

9.

7

2309

267

11

.6

45

0

16.7

Wor

ld T

otal

Low

Est

imat

e49

14

37

1.9

7.6

5301

453

8.

5

6458

546

8.

5

1186

4

59

0

5.0

Hig

h E

stim

ate

5757

550

9.

6

7747

803

10

.4

14

15

11.9

Note

s:

(a)

Nucl

ear

cap

acit

y est

imat

es

take

into

acc

ount

the s

chedule

d r

eti

rem

ent

of

the o

lder

unit

s at

the e

nd o

f th

eir

lif

eti

me.

(b

) Pro

ject

ion f

igure

s fo

r to

tal ele

ctri

c ge

nera

ting

capac

itie

s ar

e t

he a

rith

meti

c av

era

ge b

etw

een low

and h

igh e

stim

ates.

Tota

l Ele

ct.

GW

(e)

Tota

l Ele

ct.

GW

(e)

Tota

l Ele

ct.

GW

(e)

Tota

l Ele

ct.

GW

(e)


18

North Latin Western Eastern Africa Middle East & South East Asia Far East

America America Europe Europe South Asia & the Pacific

FIGURE 2. TOTAL AND NUCLEAR ELECTRICAL GENERATING CAPACITY

20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000Total Capacity - High EstimateTotal Capacity - Low EstimateNuclear Contribution - High EstimateNuclear Contribution - Low Estimate

GW

(e)




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800


GW

(e)


19




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800


GW

(e)




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800


GW

(e)


TABL

E 4.

EST

IMAT

ES O

F TO

TAL

ELEC

TRIC

ITY

GEN

ERAT

ION

AN

D C

ON

TRIB

UTI

ON

BY

NU

CLEA

R PO

WER

(*)

Coun

try

Gro

up

2009

2020

2030

2050

(a)

Nuc

lear

Nuc

lear

Nuc

lear

Nuc

lear

TW·h

%TW

·h%

TW·h

%TW

·h%

Nor

th A

mer

ica

4525

882.

0

19.5

4676

984

21.0

48

19

10

34

21

.5

5245

1048

20.0

49

94

10

35

20

.7

5249

1339

25.5

20

95

40

.0

Lati

n Am

eric

a12

20

29

.9

2.

5

1618

53

3.

3

2442

86

3.

5

5267

114

2.2

16

89

53

3.1

27

25

17

8

6.

5

457

8.7

Wes

tern

Eur

ope

2967

780.

8

26.3

3169

699

22.0

34

66

66

6

19

.2

4204

617

14.7

32

74

96

8

29

.6

3763

1218

32.4

20

81

49

.5

East

ern

Euro

pe17

20

32

6.6

19

.0

18

98

45

5

24

.0

2182

592

27.1

27

99

56

1

20

.0

2048

544

26.6

24

48

77

8

31

.8

1121

40.1

Afri

ca62

8

11.6

1.8

90

7

15

1.

6

1734

50

2.

9

1025

0

82

0.

8

1335

24

1.

8

3338

126

3.8

39

1

3.

8

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

1573

17.4

1.1

22

97

86

3.7

40

37

20

5

5.

1

1530

3

324

2.1

28

36

14

4

5.

1

6122

363

5.9

90

8

5.

9

Sout

h Ea

st A

sia

and

the

Paci

fic

729

97

7

1547

6

0.

4

3685

35

1.

0

1042

1797

39

2.

2

189

5.1

Far

East

5195

509.

8

9.8

71

91

10

24

14

.2

9027

1399

15.5

14

752

15

61

10

.6

7748

1238

16.0

10

412

18

98

18

.2

3193

21.6

Wor

ld T

otal

Low

Est

imat

e18

558

25

58.1

13.8

22

735

33

14

14

.6

2925

4

4040

13.8

61

503

43

42

7.

1

Hig

h Es

tim

ate

2496

5

4006

16.0

35

854

59

38

16

.6

1043

6

17

.0

Not

es:

(*)

The

nuc

lear

gen

erat

ion

data

pre

sent

ed in

thi

s ta

ble

and

the

nucl

ear

capa

city

dat

a pr

esen

ted

in T

able

3 c

anno

t be

use

d to

cal

cula

te a

vera

ge a

nnua

l cap

acit

y fa

ctor

s

for

nuc

lear

pla

nts,

as

Tabl

e 3

pres

ents

cap

acit

y at

the

end

of

the

year

and

not

the

eff

ecti

ve c

apac

ity

aver

age

over

the

yea

r. (

a) P

roje

ctio

n fi

gure

s fo

r to

tal e

lect

rici

ty g

ener

atio

n ar

e th

e ar

ithm

etic

ave

rage

bet

wee

n lo

w a

nd h

igh

esti

mat

es.

Tota

l Ele

ct.

TW·h

Tota

l Ele

ct.

TW·h

Tota

l Ele

ct.

TW·h

Tota

l Ele

ct.

TW·h


21

TABL

E 4.

EST

IMAT

ES O

F TO

TAL

ELEC

TRIC

ITY

GEN

ERAT

ION

AN

D C

ON

TRIB

UTI

ON

BY

NU

CLEA

R PO

WER

(*)

Coun

try

Gro

up

2009

2020

2030

2050

(a)

Nuc

lear

Nuc

lear

Nuc

lear

Nuc

lear

TW·h

%TW

·h%

TW·h

%TW

·h%

Nor

th A

mer

ica

4525

882.

0

19.5

4676

984

21.0

48

19

10

34

21

.5

5245

1048

20.0

49

94

10

35

20

.7

5249

1339

25.5

20

95

40

.0

Lati

n Am

eric

a12

20

29

.9

2.

5

1618

53

3.

3

2442

86

3.

5

5267

114

2.2

16

89

53

3.1

27

25

17

8

6.

5

457

8.7

Wes

tern

Eur

ope

2967

780.

8

26.3

3169

699

22.0

34

66

66

6

19

.2

4204

617

14.7

32

74

96

8

29

.6

3763

1218

32.4

20

81

49

.5

East

ern

Euro

pe17

20

32

6.6

19

.0

18

98

45

5

24

.0

2182

592

27.1

27

99

56

1

20

.0

2048

544

26.6

24

48

77

8

31

.8

1121

40.1

Afri

ca62

8

11.6

1.8

90

7

15

1.

6

1734

50

2.

9

1025

0

82

0.

8

1335

24

1.

8

3338

126

3.8

39

1

3.

8

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

1573

17.4

1.1

22

97

86

3.7

40

37

20

5

5.

1

1530

3

324

2.1

28

36

14

4

5.

1

6122

363

5.9

90

8

5.

9

Sout

h Ea

st A

sia

and

the

Paci

fic

729

97

7

1547

6

0.

4

3685

35

1.

0

1042

1797

39

2.

2

189

5.1

Far

East

5195

509.

8

9.8

71

91

10

24

14

.2

9027

1399

15.5

14

752

15

61

10

.6

7748

1238

16.0

10

412

18

98

18

.2

3193

21.6

Wor

ld T

otal

Low

Est

imat

e18

558

25

58.1

13.8

22

735

33

14

14

.6

2925

4

4040

13.8

61

503

43

42

7.

1

Hig

h Es

tim

ate

2496

5

4006

16.0

35

854

59

38

16

.6

1043

6

17

.0

Not

es:

(*)

The

nuc

lear

gen

erat

ion

data

pre

sent

ed in

thi

s ta

ble

and

the

nucl

ear

capa

city

dat

a pr

esen

ted

in T

able

3 c

anno

t be

use

d to

cal

cula

te a

vera

ge a

nnua

l cap

acit

y fa

ctor

s

for

nuc

lear

pla

nts,

as

Tabl

e 3

pres

ents

cap

acit

y at

the

end

of

the

year

and

not

the

eff

ecti

ve c

apac

ity

aver

age

over

the

yea

r. (

a) P

roje

ctio

n fi

gure

s fo

r to

tal e

lect

rici

ty g

ener

atio

n ar

e th

e ar

ithm

etic

ave

rage

bet

wee

n lo

w a

nd h

igh

esti

mat

es.

Tota

l Ele

ct.

TW·h

Tota

l Ele

ct.

TW·h

Tota

l Ele

ct.

TW·h

Tota

l Ele

ct.

TW·h


22



FIGURE 3. PERCENTAGE OF ELECTRICITY SUPPLIED BY NUCLEAR POWER

20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50 Nuclear Low EstimateNuclear High Estimate

Perc

enta

ge (

%)

0




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45


Perc

enta

ge (

%)

0


23




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45


Perc

enta

ge (

%)

0




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45


Perc

enta

ge (

%)

0


TABLE

5.

EST

IMAT

ES

OF T

OTA

L EN

ER

GY R

EQ

UIR

EM

EN

T (

EJ)

, PER

CEN

TAG

E U

SED

FO

R E

LEC

TR

ICIT

Y G

EN

ER

ATIO

N,

AN

D P

ER

CEN

TAG

E S

UPPLI

ED

BY N

UC

LEA

R E

NER

GY (

*)

Countr

y G

roup

2009

2020

2030

2050 (

a)

Nor

th A

mer

ica

104.

5

37.2

9.

2

104

39

10

.3

10

3

40

10.9

111

42

11

.3

10

9

39

10.3

114

40

12

.9

19

.0

Lati

n A

meri

ca32

.8

27.9

1.

0

40

30

1.4

53

35

1.

8

87

46

1.6

43

30

1.

3

59

35

3.3

5.

3

West

ern

Euro

pe

65.3

39

.0

13.0

64

42

11

.9

61

47

11

.8

67

55

11

.0

67

43

15

.8

68

48

19

.5

31

.4

East

ern

Euro

pe

53.8

39

.6

6.6

56

41

8.

8

58

46

11.1

61

56

10.8

59

43

10.1

62

48

13.8

19.0

Afr

ica

29.0

21

.7

0.4

39

23

0.

4

66

26

0.8

18

2

55

0.6

50

27

0.

5

92

37

1.5

2.

0

Mid

dle

Eas

t an

d S

outh

Asi

a63

.8

33.5

0.

3

81

38

1.2

11

9

46

1.9

25

5

55

1.7

92

42

1.

7

156

53

2.

5

3.3

South

Eas

t Asi

a an

d t

he P

acif

ic24

.3

29.2

30

32

39

38

0.

2

64

56

0.6

31

33

42

42

1.

0

3.0

Far

East

136.

1

42.9

4.

1

171

47

6.

5

199

51

7.

7

254

65

7.

5

184

47

7.

3

220

53

9.

4

12.4

Wor

ld T

otal

Low

Est

imat

e50

9.6

36

.9

5.5

58

6

40

6.2

69

8

44

6.3

10

80

55

4.9

Hig

h E

stim

ate

635

41

6.

9

812

47

8.

0

9.6

Note

s:

(*)

Tota

l energ

y re

quir

em

ent

is e

stim

ated a

s pro

duct

ion o

f pri

mar

y energ

y plu

s net

trad

e (

import

Ð e

xport

) m

inus

inte

rnat

ional

bunke

rs a

nd s

tock

chan

ges.

(a)

Pro

ject

ion f

igure

s fo

r to

tal energ

y re

quir

em

ent

and p

erc

enta

ge u

sed f

or

ele

ctri

city

genera

tion a

re t

he a

rith

meti

c av

era

ge b

etw

een low

and h

igh e

stim

ates.

Tota

l En

erg

yRe

quir

em

ent

% U

sed f

orEl

ect

. G

en.

% S

upplied

by

Nucl

ear

Tota

l En

ergy

Requir

emen

t% U

sed f

orEl

ect

. G

en.

% S

upplied

by

Nucl

ear

Tota

l En

ergy

Requir

emen

t% U

sed f

orEl

ect

. G

en.

% S

upplied

by

Nucl

ear

Tota

l En

ergy

Requir

emen

t% U

sed f

orEl

ect

. G

en.

% S

upplied

by

Nucl

ear


25

TABLE

5.

EST

IMAT

ES

OF T

OTA

L EN

ER

GY R

EQ

UIR

EM

EN

T (

EJ)

, PER

CEN

TAG

E U

SED

FO

R E

LEC

TR

ICIT

Y G

EN

ER

ATIO

N,

AN

D P

ER

CEN

TAG

E S

UPPLI

ED

BY N

UC

LEA

R E

NER

GY (

*)

Countr

y G

roup

2009

2020

2030

2050 (

a)

Nor

th A

mer

ica

104.

5

37.2

9.

2

104

39

10

.3

10

3

40

10.9

111

42

11

.3

10

9

39

10.3

114

40

12

.9

19

.0

Lati

n A

meri

ca32

.8

27.9

1.

0

40

30

1.4

53

35

1.

8

87

46

1.6

43

30

1.

3

59

35

3.3

5.

3

West

ern

Euro

pe

65.3

39

.0

13.0

64

42

11

.9

61

47

11

.8

67

55

11

.0

67

43

15

.8

68

48

19

.5

31

.4

East

ern

Euro

pe

53.8

39

.6

6.6

56

41

8.

8

58

46

11.1

61

56

10.8

59

43

10.1

62

48

13.8

19.0

Afr

ica

29.0

21

.7

0.4

39

23

0.

4

66

26

0.8

18

2

55

0.6

50

27

0.

5

92

37

1.5

2.

0

Mid

dle

Eas

t an

d S

outh

Asi

a63

.8

33.5

0.

3

81

38

1.2

11

9

46

1.9

25

5

55

1.7

92

42

1.

7

156

53

2.

5

3.3

South

Eas

t Asi

a an

d t

he P

acif

ic24

.3

29.2

30

32

39

38

0.

2

64

56

0.6

31

33

42

42

1.

0

3.0

Far

East

136.

1

42.9

4.

1

171

47

6.

5

199

51

7.

7

254

65

7.

5

184

47

7.

3

220

53

9.

4

12.4

Wor

ld T

otal

Low

Est

imat

e50

9.6

36

.9

5.5

58

6

40

6.2

69

8

44

6.3

10

80

55

4.9

Hig

h E

stim

ate

635

41

6.

9

812

47

8.

0

9.6

Note

s:

(*)

Tota

l energ

y re

quir

em

ent

is e

stim

ated a

s pro

duct

ion o

f pri

mar

y energ

y plu

s net

trad

e (

import

Ð e

xport

) m

inus

inte

rnat

ional

bunke

rs a

nd s

tock

chan

ges.

(a)

Pro

ject

ion f

igure

s fo

r to

tal energ

y re

quir

em

ent

and p

erc

enta

ge u

sed f

or

ele

ctri

city

genera

tion a

re t

he a

rith

meti

c av

era

ge b

etw

een low

and h

igh e

stim

ates.

Tota

l En

erg

yRe

quir

em

ent

% U

sed f

orEl

ect

. G

en.

% S

upplied

by

Nucl

ear

Tota

l En

ergy

Requir

emen

t% U

sed f

orEl

ect

. G

en.

% S

upplied

by

Nucl

ear

Tota

l En

ergy

Requir

emen

t% U

sed f

orEl

ect

. G

en.

% S

upplied

by

Nucl

ear

Tota

l En

ergy

Requir

emen

t% U

sed f

orEl

ect

. G

en.

% S

upplied

by

Nucl

ear


26



FIGURE 4. ESTIMATES OF ENERGY REQUIREMENT

20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

50

100

150

200

250 Total - High EstimateTotal – Low EstimateNuclear – High EstimateNuclear - Low Estimate

EJ




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

50

100

150

200


EJ


27




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

50

100

150

200


EJ




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

50

100

150

200


EJ


TABL

E 6.

TO

TAL

ENER

GY

REQ

UIR

EMEN

T (E

J) B

Y TY

PE O

F FU

EL IN

200

9 (*

)Co

untr

y G

roup

Solid

s (a

)Li

quid

sG

ases

Biom

ass

(b)

Hyd

roN

ucle

arRe

new

able

s (c

)To

tal

North A

meric

a21.1

9

35.7

1

28.4

1

6.1

5

2.5

2

9.6

2

0.8

5

104.4

6

Latin

Am

eric

a1.2

6

15.1

3

7.5

4

5.5

2

2.5

9

0.3

3

0.4

2

32.8

0

Western E

urope

8.4

6

22.7

2

18.5

2

4.2

8

1.9

1

8.5

2

0.9

3

65.3

3

Eastern E

urope

10.8

8

11.5

6

25.3

5

1.4

5

1.1

2

3.5

6

-0.1

2

53.8

1

Afr

ica

4.5

8

7.7

5

4.3

3

11.8

3

0.3

6

0.1

3

0.0

6

29.0

4

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

15.5

0

21.4

2

16.2

8

9.8

4

0.5

7

0.1

9

> 0.

01

63.8

0

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic4.7

4

8.5

5

6.3

8

3.9

2

0.2

5

0.4

2

24.2

6

Far E

ast

81.4

4

31.7

5

9.8

2

4.2

4

2.8

3

5.5

6

0.4

9

136.1

2

World

Total

148.0

7

154.5

8

116.6

4

47.2

3

12.1

5

27.9

1

3.0

6

509.6

4

Not

es:

(*)

Tota

l ene

rgy

requ

irem

ent

is e

stim

ated

as

prod

ucti

on o

f pr

imar

y en

ergy

plu

s ne

t tr

ade

(im

port

Ð e

xpor

t) m

inus

inte

rnat

iona

l bun

kers

and

sto

ck c

hang

es.

(a)

Solid

s do

not

incl

ude

com

mer

cial

woo

d.(b

) Th

e co

lum

n he

aded

'Bio

mas

s' in

clud

es c

omm

erci

al w

ood,

com

bust

ible

ren

ewab

les,

was

te a

nd o

ther

bio

mas

s pr

oduc

ts.

(c)

The

colu

mn

head

ed 'R

enew

able

s' in

clud

es g

eoth

erm

al,

win

d, s

olar

, ti

de e

nerg

y an

d ne

t el

ectr

icit

y tr

ade.


29

TABL

E 6.

TO

TAL

ENER

GY

REQ

UIR

EMEN

T (E

J) B

Y TY

PE O

F FU

EL IN

200

9 (*

)Co

untr

y G

roup

Solid

s (a

)Li

quid

sG

ases

Biom

ass

(b)

Hyd

roN

ucle

arRe

new

able

s (c

)To

tal

North A

meric

a21.1

9

35.7

1

28.4

1

6.1

5

2.5

2

9.6

2

0.8

5

104.4

6

Latin

Am

eric

a1.2

6

15.1

3

7.5

4

5.5

2

2.5

9

0.3

3

0.4

2

32.8

0

Western E

urope

8.4

6

22.7

2

18.5

2

4.2

8

1.9

1

8.5

2

0.9

3

65.3

3

Eastern E

urope

10.8

8

11.5

6

25.3

5

1.4

5

1.1

2

3.5

6

-0.1

2

53.8

1

Afr

ica

4.5

8

7.7

5

4.3

3

11.8

3

0.3

6

0.1

3

0.0

6

29.0

4

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

15.5

0

21.4

2

16.2

8

9.8

4

0.5

7

0.1

9

> 0.

01

63.8

0

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic4.7

4

8.5

5

6.3

8

3.9

2

0.2

5

0.4

2

24.2

6

Far E

ast

81.4

4

31.7

5

9.8

2

4.2

4

2.8

3

5.5

6

0.4

9

136.1

2

World

Total

148.0

7

154.5

8

116.6

4

47.2

3

12.1

5

27.9

1

3.0

6

509.6

4

Not

es:

(*)

Tota

l ene

rgy

requ

irem

ent

is e

stim

ated

as

prod

ucti

on o

f pr

imar

y en

ergy

plu

s ne

t tr

ade

(im

port

Ð e

xpor

t) m

inus

inte

rnat

iona

l bun

kers

and

sto

ck c

hang

es.

(a)

Solid

s do

not

incl

ude

com

mer

cial

woo

d.(b

) Th

e co

lum

n he

aded

'Bio

mas

s' in

clud

es c

omm

erci

al w

ood,

com

bust

ible

ren

ewab

les,

was

te a

nd o

ther

bio

mas

s pr

oduc

ts.

(c)

The

colu

mn

head

ed 'R

enew

able

s' in

clud

es g

eoth

erm

al,

win

d, s

olar

, ti

de e

nerg

y an

d ne

t el

ectr

icit

y tr

ade.


30

North Latin Western Eastern Africa Middle East & South East Asia Far EastAmerica America Europe Europe South Asia & the Pacific

FIGURE 5. TOTAL ENERGY REQUIREMENT BY FUEL TYPE IN 2009

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140 RenewablesNuclearHydroBiomassGasesLiquidsSolids

EJ



0

20

40

60

80

100

120


EJ


31



0

20

40

60

80

100

120


EJ



0

20

40

60

80

100

120


EJ


32

FIGURE 6. BREAKDOWN OF WORLD TOTAL ENERGY REQUIREMENT DURING THE PERIOD 1970 — 2009

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500NuclearHydroBiomassGasesLiquidsSolids

Year

EJ


1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450


Year

EJ


33


1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450


Year

EJ


1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450


Year

EJ


TABL

E 7.

FU

EL S

HA

RES

(%)

OF

ENER

GY

REQ

UIR

EMEN

T IN

200

9 (*

)Co

untr

y G

roup

Solid

s (a

)Li

quid

sG

ases

Biom

ass

(b)

Hyd

roN

ucle

arRe

new

able

s (c

)To

tal

North A

meric

a20.2

9

34.1

8

27.2

0

5.8

9

2.4

1

9.2

1

0.8

1

100.0

0

Latin

Am

eric

a3.8

4

46.1

3

22.9

9

16.8

4

7.9

1

1.0

0

1.2

9

100.0

0

Western E

urope

12.9

5

34.7

7

28.3

5

6.5

5

2.9

2

13.0

4

1.4

3

100.0

0

Eastern E

urope

20.2

2

21.4

8

47.1

1

2.7

0

2.0

8

6.6

2

-0.2

2

100.0

0

Afr

ica

15.7

8

26.6

8

14.9

2

40.7

2

1.2

5

0.4

3

0.2

2

100.0

0

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

24.3

0

33.5

7

25.5

1

15.4

2

0.8

9

0.3

0

> 0.

01

100.0

0

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic19.5

4

35.2

3

26.3

2

16.1

5

1.0

3

1.7

3

100.0

0

Far E

ast

59.8

3

23.3

2

7.2

1

3.1

1

2.0

8

4.0

9

0.3

6

100.0

0

World

Total

29.0

5

30.3

3

22.8

9

9.2

7

2.3

8

5.4

8

0.6

0

100.0

0

Not

es:

(*)

Tota

l ene

rgy

requ

irem

ent

is e

stim

ated

as

prod

ucti

on o

f pr

imar

y en

ergy

plu

s ne

t tr

ade

(im

port

Ð e

xpor

t) m

inus

inte

rnat

iona

l bun

kers

and

sto

ck c

hang

es.

(a)

Solid

s do

not

incl

ude

com

mer

cial

woo

d.(b

) Th

e co

lum

n he

aded

'Bio

mas

s' in

clud

es c

omm

erci

al w

ood,

com

bust

ible

ren

ewab

les,

was

te a

nd o

ther

bio

mas

s pr

oduc

ts.

(c)

The

colu

mn

head

ed 'R

enew

able

s' in

clud

es g

eoth

erm

al,

win

d, s

olar

, ti

de e

nerg

y an

d ne

t el

ectr

icit

y tr

ade.


35

TABL

E 7.

FU

EL S

HA

RES

(%)

OF

ENER

GY

REQ

UIR

EMEN

T IN

200

9 (*

)Co

untr

y G

roup

Solid

s (a

)Li

quid

sG

ases

Biom

ass

(b)

Hyd

roN

ucle

arRe

new

able

s (c

)To

tal

North A

meric

a20.2

9

34.1

8

27.2

0

5.8

9

2.4

1

9.2

1

0.8

1

100.0

0

Latin

Am

eric

a3.8

4

46.1

3

22.9

9

16.8

4

7.9

1

1.0

0

1.2

9

100.0

0

Western E

urope

12.9

5

34.7

7

28.3

5

6.5

5

2.9

2

13.0

4

1.4

3

100.0

0

Eastern E

urope

20.2

2

21.4

8

47.1

1

2.7

0

2.0

8

6.6

2

-0.2

2

100.0

0

Afr

ica

15.7

8

26.6

8

14.9

2

40.7

2

1.2

5

0.4

3

0.2

2

100.0

0

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

24.3

0

33.5

7

25.5

1

15.4

2

0.8

9

0.3

0

> 0.

01

100.0

0

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic19.5

4

35.2

3

26.3

2

16.1

5

1.0

3

1.7

3

100.0

0

Far E

ast

59.8

3

23.3

2

7.2

1

3.1

1

2.0

8

4.0

9

0.3

6

100.0

0

World

Total

29.0

5

30.3

3

22.8

9

9.2

7

2.3

8

5.4

8

0.6

0

100.0

0

Not

es:

(*)

Tota

l ene

rgy

requ

irem

ent

is e

stim

ated

as

prod

ucti

on o

f pr

imar

y en

ergy

plu

s ne

t tr

ade

(im

port

Ð e

xpor

t) m

inus

inte

rnat

iona

l bun

kers

and

sto

ck c

hang

es.

(a)

Solid

s do

not

incl

ude

com

mer

cial

woo

d.(b

) Th

e co

lum

n he

aded

'Bio

mas

s' in

clud

es c

omm

erci

al w

ood,

com

bust

ible

ren

ewab

les,

was

te a

nd o

ther

bio

mas

s pr

oduc

ts.

(c)

The

colu

mn

head

ed 'R

enew

able

s' in

clud

es g

eoth

erm

al,

win

d, s

olar

, ti

de e

nerg

y an

d ne

t el

ectr

icit

y tr

ade.


36

TABL

E 8.

FU

EL U

SE (

EJ)

FOR

ELEC

TRIC

ITY

GEN

ERAT

ION

BY

TYPE

OF

FUEL

IN 2

009

Coun

try

Gro

upTh

erm

al (

a)H

ydro

Nuc

lear

Rene

wab

les

(b)

Tota

l

North A

meric

a28.8

9

2.5

2

9.6

2

0.8

3

41.8

7

Latin

Am

eric

a5.9

1

2.5

9

0.3

3

0.4

0

9.2

3

Western E

urope

15.8

1

1.9

1

8.5

2

0.8

5

27.0

8

Eastern E

urope

18.0

6

1.1

2

3.5

6

0.0

3

22.7

6

Afr

ica

5.8

9

0.3

6

0.1

3

0.0

5

6.4

2

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

20.3

2

0.5

7

0.1

9

> 0.

01

21.0

8

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic6.8

2

0.2

5

0.4

2

7.4

8

Far E

ast

52.4

3

2.8

3

5.5

6

0.5

0

61.3

1

World

Total

154.1

1

12.1

5

27.9

1

3.0

7

197.2

4

Not

es:

(a)

The

colu

mn

head

ed 'T

herm

al' i

s th

e to

tal f

or s

olid

s, li

quid

s, g

ases

, bi

omas

s an

d w

aste

.(b

) Th

e co

lum

n he

aded

'Ren

ewab

les'

incl

udes

geo

ther

mal

, w

ind,

sol

ar a

nd t

ide

ener

gy.

TABL

E 9.

PER

CEN

TAG

E CO

NTR

IBU

TIO

N O

F EA

CH F

UEL

TYP

E TO

ELE

CTRI

CITY

GEN

ERAT

ION

IN 2

009

Coun

try

Gro

upTh

erm

al (

a)H

ydro

Nuc

lear

Rene

wab

les

(b)

Tota

l

North A

meric

a63.5

8

15.4

8

19.4

9

1.4

5

100.0

0

Latin

Am

eric

a37.5

5

59.0

3

2.4

5

0.9

6

100.0

0

Western E

urope

51.0

1

17.8

3

26.3

2

4.8

4

100.0

0

Eastern E

urope

62.8

0

18.1

1

18.9

9

0.1

0

100.0

0

Afr

ica

81.6

9

16.0

5

1.8

4

0.4

2

100.0

0

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

88.8

3

10.0

5

1.1

1

0.0

1

100.0

0

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic88.3

4

9.5

4

2.1

2

100.0

0

Far E

ast

74.7

3

15.1

1

9.8

1

0.3

5

100.0

0

World

Total

66.6

3

18.1

9

13.7

8

1.4

0

100.0

0

Not

es:

(a)

The

colu

mn

head

ed 'T

herm

al' i

s th

e to

tal f

or s

olid

s, li

quid

s, g

ases

, bi

omas

s an

d w

aste

.(b

) Th

e co

lum

n he

aded

'Ren

ewab

les'

incl

udes

geo

ther

mal

, w

ind,

sol

ar a

nd t

ide

ener

gy.


37

TABL

E 8.

FU

EL U

SE (

EJ)

FOR

ELEC

TRIC

ITY

GEN

ERAT

ION

BY

TYPE

OF

FUEL

IN 2

009

Coun

try

Gro

upTh

erm

al (

a)H

ydro

Nuc

lear

Rene

wab

les

(b)

Tota

l

North A

meric

a28.8

9

2.5

2

9.6

2

0.8

3

41.8

7

Latin

Am

eric

a5.9

1

2.5

9

0.3

3

0.4

0

9.2

3

Western E

urope

15.8

1

1.9

1

8.5

2

0.8

5

27.0

8

Eastern E

urope

18.0

6

1.1

2

3.5

6

0.0

3

22.7

6

Afr

ica

5.8

9

0.3

6

0.1

3

0.0

5

6.4

2

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

20.3

2

0.5

7

0.1

9

> 0.

01

21.0

8

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic6.8

2

0.2

5

0.4

2

7.4

8

Far E

ast

52.4

3

2.8

3

5.5

6

0.5

0

61.3

1

World

Total

154.1

1

12.1

5

27.9

1

3.0

7

197.2

4

Not

es:

(a)

The

colu

mn

head

ed 'T

herm

al' i

s th

e to

tal f

or s

olid

s, li

quid

s, g

ases

, bi

omas

s an

d w

aste

.(b

) Th

e co

lum

n he

aded

'Ren

ewab

les'

incl

udes

geo

ther

mal

, w

ind,

sol

ar a

nd t

ide

ener

gy.

TABL

E 9.

PER

CEN

TAG

E CO

NTR

IBU

TIO

N O

F EA

CH F

UEL

TYP

E TO

ELE

CTRI

CITY

GEN

ERAT

ION

IN 2

009

Coun

try

Gro

upTh

erm

al (

a)H

ydro

Nuc

lear

Rene

wab

les

(b)

Tota

l

North A

meric

a63.5

8

15.4

8

19.4

9

1.4

5

100.0

0

Latin

Am

eric

a37.5

5

59.0

3

2.4

5

0.9

6

100.0

0

Western E

urope

51.0

1

17.8

3

26.3

2

4.8

4

100.0

0

Eastern E

urope

62.8

0

18.1

1

18.9

9

0.1

0

100.0

0

Afr

ica

81.6

9

16.0

5

1.8

4

0.4

2

100.0

0

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

88.8

3

10.0

5

1.1

1

0.0

1

100.0

0

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic88.3

4

9.5

4

2.1

2

100.0

0

Far E

ast

74.7

3

15.1

1

9.8

1

0.3

5

100.0

0

World

Total

66.6

3

18.1

9

13.7

8

1.4

0

100.0

0

Not

es:

(a)

The

colu

mn

head

ed 'T

herm

al' i

s th

e to

tal f

or s

olid

s, li

quid

s, g

ases

, bi

omas

s an

d w

aste

.(b

) Th

e co

lum

n he

aded

'Ren

ewab

les'

incl

udes

geo

ther

mal

, w

ind,

sol

ar a

nd t

ide

ener

gy.


TABL

E 10

. ES

TIM

ATES

OF

POPU

LATI

ON

GRO

WTH

BY

REG

ION

(*)

Coun

try

Gro

up

2009

2020

2030

2050

Million Inhabit

ants

Million Inhabit

ants

Million Inhabit

ants

Million Inhabit

ants

North A

meric

a345

1.0

9

379

0.8

7

407

0.7

1

448

0.4

8

Latin

Am

eric

a587

1.4

3

659

1.0

5

711

0.7

6

729

0.1

3

Western E

urope

474

0.3

7

484

0.1

9

488

0.0

9

520

0.3

2

Eastern E

urope

403

-0.1

3

393

-0.2

2

380

-0.3

5

356

-0.3

3

Afr

ica

965

2.3

4

1188

1.9

1

1398

1.6

4

1998

1.8

0

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

1788

1.8

7

2091

1.4

3

2325

1.0

7

2660

0.6

8

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic424

1.1

8

469

0.9

2

500

0.6

4

529

0.2

8

Far E

ast

1767

0.6

9

1872

0.5

3

1914

0.2

2

1892

-0.0

6

World

Total

6752

1.4

0

7535

1.0

0

8123

0.7

5

9133

1.1

8

(*)

Proj

ecti

on f

igur

es a

re t

he a

rith

met

ic a

vera

ge b

etw

een

low

and

hig

h es

tim

ates

.

Grow

th R

ate (

%/a)

1999 Ñ

2009

Grow

th R

ate (

%/a)

2009 Ñ

2020

Grow

th R

ate (

%/a)

2020 Ñ

2030

Grow

th R

ate (

%/a)

2030 Ñ

2050


39

TABL

E 10

. ES

TIM

ATES

OF

POPU

LATI

ON

GRO

WTH

BY

REG

ION

(*)

Coun

try

Gro

up

2009

2020

2030

2050

Million Inhabit

ants

Million Inhabit

ants

Million Inhabit

ants

Million Inhabit

ants

North A

meric

a345

1.0

9

379

0.8

7

407

0.7

1

448

0.4

8

Latin

Am

eric

a587

1.4

3

659

1.0

5

711

0.7

6

729

0.1

3

Western E

urope

474

0.3

7

484

0.1

9

488

0.0

9

520

0.3

2

Eastern E

urope

403

-0.1

3

393

-0.2

2

380

-0.3

5

356

-0.3

3

Afr

ica

965

2.3

4

1188

1.9

1

1398

1.6

4

1998

1.8

0

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

1788

1.8

7

2091

1.4

3

2325

1.0

7

2660

0.6

8

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic424

1.1

8

469

0.9

2

500

0.6

4

529

0.2

8

Far E

ast

1767

0.6

9

1872

0.5

3

1914

0.2

2

1892

-0.0

6

World

Total

6752

1.4

0

7535

1.0

0

8123

0.7

5

9133

1.1

8

(*)

Proj

ecti

on f

igur

es a

re t

he a

rith

met

ic a

vera

ge b

etw

een

low

and

hig

h es

tim

ates

.

Grow

th R

ate (

%/a)

1999 Ñ

2009

Grow

th R

ate (

%/a)

2009 Ñ

2020

Grow

th R

ate (

%/a)

2020 Ñ

2030

Grow

th R

ate (

%/a)

2030 Ñ

2050


40



FIGURE 7. POPULATION ESTIMATES

20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Mill

ions

of

Inha

bita

nts




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Mill

ions

of

Inha

bita

nts


41




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Mill

ions

of

Inha

bita

nts




20

0920

2020

3020

50

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Mill

ions

of

Inha

bita

nts


TABL

E 11

. ES

TIM

ATES

OF

TOTA

L EN

ERG

Y A

ND

ELE

CTRI

CITY

REQ

UIR

EMEN

T PE

R CA

PITA

Coun

try

Gro

up

2009

2020

2030

2050

(*)

Nor

th A

mer

ica

303

13.1

275

—28

8 12

.3

—13

.2

254

—27

9 11

.8

—12

.9

248

±21

11

.7

±0.

7

Lati

n Am

eric

a56

2.1

61

—65

2.

5 —

2.6

74

—83

3.

4 —

3.8

120

±10

7.

2 ±

0.8

Wes

tern

Eur

ope

138

6.3

132

—13

8 6.

6 —

6.8

126

—14

0 7.

1 —

7.7

129

±11

8.

1 ±

0.6

East

ern

Euro

pe13

4

4.

3

14

3 —

149

4.8

—5.

2 15

3 —

163

5.7

—6.

4 17

0 ±

11

7.9

±0.

5

Afri

ca30

0.7

33

—42

0.

8 —

1.1

47

—66

1.

2 —

2.4

91

±17

5.

1 ±

1.7

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

36

0.

9

39

—

44

1.1

—1.

4 51

—

67

1.7

—2.

6 96

±

17

5.8

±1.

5

Sout

h Ea

st A

sia

and

the

Paci

fic

57

1.

7

64

—

66

2.1

—2.

2 79

—

84

3.1

—3.

6 12

1 ±

8 7.

0 ±

0.9

Far

East

77

2.

9

91

—

99

3.8

—4.

1 10

4 —

115

4.7

—5.

4 13

4 ±

14

7.8

±0.

7

Wor

ld A

vera

ge75

2.7

78

—84

3.

0 —

3.3

86

—10

0 3.

6 —

4.4

118

±15

6.

7 ±

1.2

Not

e: (

*) P

roje

ctio

n fi

gure

s ar

e th

e ar

ithm

etic

ave

rage

bet

wee

n lo

w a

nd h

igh

esti

mat

es w

ith

indi

cate

d ra

nge.

Ener

gy

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

GJ/

cap)

Elec

tric

ity

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

MW

·h/c

ap)

Ener

gy

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

GJ/

cap)

Elec

tric

ity

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

MW

·h/c

ap)

Ener

gy

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

GJ/

cap)

Elec

tric

ity

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

MW

·h/c

ap)

Ener

gy

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

GJ/

cap)

Elec

tric

ity

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

MW

·h/c

ap)


43

TABL

E 11

. ES

TIM

ATES

OF

TOTA

L EN

ERG

Y A

ND

ELE

CTRI

CITY

REQ

UIR

EMEN

T PE

R CA

PITA

Coun

try

Gro

up

2009

2020

2030

2050

(*)

Nor

th A

mer

ica

303

13.1

275

—28

8 12

.3

—13

.2

254

—27

9 11

.8

—12

.9

248

±21

11

.7

±0.

7

Lati

n Am

eric

a56

2.1

61

—65

2.

5 —

2.6

74

—83

3.

4 —

3.8

120

±10

7.

2 ±

0.8

Wes

tern

Eur

ope

138

6.3

132

—13

8 6.

6 —

6.8

126

—14

0 7.

1 —

7.7

129

±11

8.

1 ±

0.6

East

ern

Euro

pe13

4

4.

3

14

3 —

149

4.8

—5.

2 15

3 —

163

5.7

—6.

4 17

0 ±

11

7.9

±0.

5

Afri

ca30

0.7

33

—42

0.

8 —

1.1

47

—66

1.

2 —

2.4

91

±17

5.

1 ±

1.7

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

36

0.

9

39

—

44

1.1

—1.

4 51

—

67

1.7

—2.

6 96

±

17

5.8

±1.

5

Sout

h Ea

st A

sia

and

the

Paci

fic

57

1.

7

64

—

66

2.1

—2.

2 79

—

84

3.1

—3.

6 12

1 ±

8 7.

0 ±

0.9

Far

East

77

2.

9

91

—

99

3.8

—4.

1 10

4 —

115

4.7

—5.

4 13

4 ±

14

7.8

±0.

7

Wor

ld A

vera

ge75

2.7

78

—84

3.

0 —

3.3

86

—10

0 3.

6 —

4.4

118

±15

6.

7 ±

1.2

Not

e: (

*) P

roje

ctio

n fi

gure

s ar

e th

e ar

ithm

etic

ave

rage

bet

wee

n lo

w a

nd h

igh

esti

mat

es w

ith

indi

cate

d ra

nge.

Ener

gy

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

GJ/

cap)

Elec

tric

ity

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

MW

·h/c

ap)

Ener

gy

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

GJ/

cap)

Elec

tric

ity

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

MW

·h/c

ap)

Ener

gy

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

GJ/

cap)

Elec

tric

ity

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

MW

·h/c

ap)

Ener

gy

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

GJ/

cap)

Elec

tric

ity

Requ

irem

ent

per

Capi

ta (

MW

·h/c

ap)


44


FIGURE 8. TOTAL ENERGY REQUIREMENT PER CAPITA

2009

2020

2030

2050

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

High EstimateLow Estimate

GJ

pe

r ca

pita



2009

2020

2030

2050

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

50

100

150

200

250

300


GJ

pe

r ca

pita


45



2009

2020

2030

2050

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

50

100

150

200

250

300


GJ

pe

r ca

pita



2009

2020

2030

2050

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

50

100

150

200

250

300


GJ

pe

r ca

pita


46


FIGURE 9. TOTAL ELECTRICITY REQUIREMENT PER CAPITA

2009

2020

2030

2050

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14 High EstimateLow Estimate

MW

h p

er

cap

ita



2009

2020

2030

2050

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

2

4

6

8

10

12


MW

h p

er

cap

ita


47



2009

2020

2030

2050

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

2

4

6

8

10

12


MW

h p

er

cap

ita



2009

2020

2030

2050

2009

2020

2030

2050

0

2

4

6

8

10

12


MW

h p

er

cap

ita


TABL

E 12

. AVE

RAG

E A

NN

UA

L G

ROW

TH R

ATES

DU

RIN

G T

HE

PERI

OD

199

9Ñ20

09 (

%)

Coun

try

Gro

upPo

pula

tion

Tota

l Ene

rgy

Tota

l Ele

ctri

city

Nuc

lear

Ene

rgy

Nuc

lear

Cap

acit

y

Nor

th A

mer

ica

1.1

0.0

0.7

1.0

0.6

Lati

n Am

eric

a1.

4

2.

2

2.

7

3.

8

3.

5

Wes

tern

Eur

ope

0.4

0.0

0.9

-0.8

-0.3

East

ern

Euro

pe-0

.1

0.

6

1.

1

2.

5

0.

5

Afri

ca2.

3

2.

6

4.

7

-1

.5

0.

0

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

1.9

5.9

4.6

4.2

8.1

Sout

h Ea

st A

sia

and

the

Paci

fic

1.2

3.8

3.5

Far

East

0.7

5.7

6.9

1.2

2.0

Wor

ld A

vera

ge1.

3

2.

4

2.

8

0.

6

0.

6


49

TABL

E 12

. AVE

RAG

E A

NN

UA

L G

ROW

TH R

ATES

DU

RIN

G T

HE

PERI

OD

199

9Ñ20

09 (

%)

Coun

try

Gro

upPo

pula

tion

Tota

l Ene

rgy

Tota

l Ele

ctri

city

Nuc

lear

Ene

rgy

Nuc

lear

Cap

acit

y

Nor

th A

mer

ica

1.1

0.0

0.7

1.0

0.6

Lati

n Am

eric

a1.

4

2.

2

2.

7

3.

8

3.

5

Wes

tern

Eur

ope

0.4

0.0

0.9

-0.8

-0.3

East

ern

Euro

pe-0

.1

0.

6

1.

1

2.

5

0.

5

Afri

ca2.

3

2.

6

4.

7

-1

.5

0.

0

Mid

dle

East

and

Sou

th A

sia

1.9

5.9

4.6

4.2

8.1

Sout

h Ea

st A

sia

and

the

Paci

fic

1.2

3.8

3.5

Far

East

0.7

5.7

6.9

1.2

2.0

Wor

ld A

vera

ge1.

3

2.

4

2.

8

0.

6

0.

6


50


FIGURE 10. AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATES DURING THE PERIOD 1999 — 2009

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8 PopulationTotal EnergyTotal ElectricityNuclear Energy

Annu

al G

row

th R

ate

(%)



-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7


Annu

al G

row

th R

ate

(%)


51



-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7


Annu

al G

row

th R

ate

(%)



-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7


Annu

al G

row

th R

ate

(%)


TABL

E 13

. ES

TIM

ATES

OF

AVER

AG

E A

NN

UA

L G

ROW

TH R

ATES

DU

RIN

G T

HE

PERI

OD

200

9Ñ20

30 (

%)

Coun

try

Gro

upPo

pula

tion

Tota

l Ene

rgy

Tota

l Ele

ctri

city

Nuc

lear

Ene

rgy

Nuc

lear

Cap

acit

y

North A

meric

a0.8

0.0

Ñ

0.4

0.3

Ñ

0.7

0.8

Ñ

2.0

0.6

Ñ

1.8

Latin

Am

eric

a0.9

2.3

Ñ

2.8

3.4

Ñ

3.9

5.2

Ñ

8.9

4.9

Ñ

8.6

Western E

urope

0.1

-0.3

Ñ

0.2

0.7

Ñ

1.1

-0.8

Ñ

2.1

-1.7

Ñ

1.2

Eastern E

urope

-0.3

0.4

Ñ

0.7

1.1

Ñ

1.7

2.9

Ñ

4.2

2.8

Ñ

4.1

Afr

ica

1.8

4.0

Ñ

5.6

5.0

Ñ

8.3

7.3

Ñ

12.0

6.0

Ñ

10.7

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

1.3

3.0

Ñ

4.3

4.6

Ñ

6.7

12.5

Ñ

15.6

9.8

Ñ

12.9

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic0.8

2.3

Ñ

2.6

3.6

Ñ

4.4

Far E

ast

0.4

1.8

Ñ

2.3

2.7

Ñ

3.4

4.9

Ñ

6.5

4.5

Ñ

6.0

World

Average

0.9

1.5

Ñ

2.2

2.2

Ñ

3.2

2.2

Ñ

4.1

1.8

Ñ

3.7


53

TABL

E 13

. ES

TIM

ATES

OF

AVER

AG

E A

NN

UA

L G

ROW

TH R

ATES

DU

RIN

G T

HE

PERI

OD

200

9Ñ20

30 (

%)

Coun

try

Gro

upPo

pula

tion

Tota

l Ene

rgy

Tota

l Ele

ctri

city

Nuc

lear

Ene

rgy

Nuc

lear

Cap

acit

y

North A

meric

a0.8

0.0

Ñ

0.4

0.3

Ñ

0.7

0.8

Ñ

2.0

0.6

Ñ

1.8

Latin

Am

eric

a0.9

2.3

Ñ

2.8

3.4

Ñ

3.9

5.2

Ñ

8.9

4.9

Ñ

8.6

Western E

urope

0.1

-0.3

Ñ

0.2

0.7

Ñ

1.1

-0.8

Ñ

2.1

-1.7

Ñ

1.2

Eastern E

urope

-0.3

0.4

Ñ

0.7

1.1

Ñ

1.7

2.9

Ñ

4.2

2.8

Ñ

4.1

Afr

ica

1.8

4.0

Ñ

5.6

5.0

Ñ

8.3

7.3

Ñ

12.0

6.0

Ñ

10.7

Mid

dle

East a

nd S

outh A

sia

1.3

3.0

Ñ

4.3

4.6

Ñ

6.7

12.5

Ñ

15.6

9.8

Ñ

12.9

South E

ast A

sia

and t

he P

acif

ic0.8

2.3

Ñ

2.6

3.6

Ñ

4.4

Far E

ast

0.4

1.8

Ñ

2.3

2.7

Ñ

3.4

4.9

Ñ

6.5

4.5

Ñ

6.0

World

Average

0.9

1.5

Ñ

2.2

2.2

Ñ

3.2

2.2

Ñ

4.1

1.8

Ñ

3.7


@�No. 22

Where to order IAEA publicationsIn the following countries IAEA publications may be purchased from the sources listed below, or from major local booksellers. Payment may be made in local currency or with UNESCO coupons. AUSTRALIADA Information Services, 648 Whitehorse Road, MITCHAM 3132 Telephone: +61 3 9210 7777 • Fax: +61 3 9210 7788 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.dadirect.com.au

BELGIUMJean de Lannoy, avenue du Roi 202, B-1190 Brussels Telephone: +32 2 538 43 08 • Fax: +32 2 538 08 41 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.jean-de-lannoy.be

CANADABernan Associates, 4501 Forbes Blvd, Suite 200, Lanham, MD 20706-4346, USA Telephone: 1-800-865-3457 • Fax: 1-800-865-3450 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.bernan.com

Renouf Publishing Company Ltd., 1-5369 Canotek Rd., Ottawa, Ontario, K1J 9J3 Telephone: +613 745 2665 • Fax: +613 745 7660 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.renoufbooks.com

CHINAIAEA Publications in Chinese: China Nuclear Energy Industry Corporation, Translation Section, P.O. Box 2103, Beijing

CZECH REPUBLICSuweco CZ, S.R.O., Klecakova 347, 180 21 Praha 9 Telephone: +420 26603 5364 • Fax: +420 28482 1646 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.suweco.cz

FINLANDAkateeminen Kirjakauppa, PO BOX 128 (Keskuskatu 1), FIN-00101 Helsinki Telephone: +358 9 121 41 • Fax: +358 9 121 4450 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.akateeminen.com

FRANCEForm-Edit, 5, rue Janssen, P.O. Box 25, F-75921 Paris Cedex 19 Telephone: +33 1 42 01 49 49 • Fax: +33 1 42 01 90 90 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www. formedit.fr

Lavoisier SAS, 145 rue de Provigny, 94236 Cachan Cedex Telephone: + 33 1 47 40 67 02 • Fax +33 1 47 40 67 02 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.lavoisier.fr

GERMANYUNO-Verlag, Vertriebs- und Verlags GmbH, Am Hofgarten 10, D-53113 Bonn Telephone: + 49 228 94 90 20 • Fax: +49 228 94 90 20 or +49 228 94 90 222 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.uno-verlag.de

HUNGARYLibrotrade Ltd., Book Import, P.O. Box 126, H-1656 Budapest Telephone: +36 1 257 7777 • Fax: +36 1 257 7472 • Email: [email protected]

INDIAAllied Publishers Group, 1st Floor, Dubash House, 15, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001, Telephone: +91 22 22617926/27 • Fax: +91 22 22617928 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.alliedpublishers.com

Bookwell, 2/72, Nirankari Colony, Delhi 110009 Telephone: +91 11 23268786, +91 11 23257264 • Fax: +91 11 23281315 Email: [email protected]

ITALYLibreria Scientifica Dott. Lucio di Biasio “AEIOU”, Via Coronelli 6, I-20146 Milan Telephone: +39 02 48 95 45 52 or 48 95 45 62 • Fax: +39 02 48 95 45 48 Email: [email protected] • Website: www.libreriaaeiou.eu


JAPANMaruzen Company, Ltd., 13-6 Nihonbashi, 3 chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 103-0027 Telephone: +81 3 3275 8582 • Fax: +81 3 3275 9072 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.maruzen.co.jp

REPUBLIC OF KOREAKINS Inc., Information Business Dept. Samho Bldg. 2nd Floor, 275-1 Yang Jae-dong SeoCho-G, Seoul 137-130 Telephone: +02 589 1740 • Fax: +02 589 1746 • Web site: http://www.kins.re.kr

NETHERLANDSDe Lindeboom Internationale Publicaties B.V., M.A. de Ruyterstraat 20A, NL-7482 BZ Haaksbergen Telephone: +31 (0) 53 5740004 • Fax: +31 (0) 53 5729296 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.delindeboom.com

Martinus Nijhoff International, Koraalrood 50, P.O. Box 1853, 2700 CZ Zoetermeer Telephone: +31 793 684 400 • Fax: +31 793 615 698 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.nijhoff.nl

Swets and Zeitlinger b.v., P.O. Box 830, 2160 SZ Lisse Telephone: +31 252 435 111 • Fax: +31 252 415 888 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.swets.nl

NEW ZEALANDDA Information Services, 648 Whitehorse Road, MITCHAM 3132, Australia Telephone: +61 3 9210 7777 • Fax: +61 3 9210 7788 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.dadirect.com.au

SLOVENIACankarjeva Zalozba d.d., Kopitarjeva 2, SI-1512 Ljubljana Telephone: +386 1 432 31 44 • Fax: +386 1 230 14 35 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.cankarjeva-z.si/uvoz

SPAINDíaz de Santos, S.A., c/ Juan Bravo, 3A, E-28006 Madrid Telephone: +34 91 781 94 80 • Fax: +34 91 575 55 63 Email: [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] Web site: http://www.diazdesantos.es

UNITED KINGDOMThe Stationery Office Ltd, International Sales Agency, PO Box 29, Norwich, NR3 1 GN Telephone (orders): +44 870 600 5552 • (enquiries): +44 207 873 8372 • Fax: +44 207 873 8203 Email (orders): [email protected] • (enquiries): [email protected] • Web site: http://www.tso.co.uk

On-line orders DELTA Int. Book Wholesalers Ltd., 39 Alexandra Road, Addlestone, Surrey, KT15 2PQ Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.profbooks.com

Books on the Environment Earthprint Ltd., P.O. Box 119, Stevenage SG1 4TP Telephone: +44 1438748111 • Fax: +44 1438748844 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.earthprint.com

UNITED NATIONSDept. I004, Room DC2-0853, First Avenue at 46th Street, New York, N.Y. 10017, USA (UN) Telephone: +800 253-9646 or +212 963-8302 • Fax: +212 963-3489 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.un.org

UNITED STATES OF AMERICABernan Associates, 4501 Forbes Blvd., Suite 200, Lanham, MD 20706-4346 Telephone: 1-800-865-3457 • Fax: 1-800-865-3450 Email: [email protected] · Web site: http://www.bernan.com

Renouf Publishing Company Ltd., 812 Proctor Ave., Ogdensburg, NY, 13669 Telephone: +888 551 7470 (toll-free) • Fax: +888 568 8546 (toll-free) Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.renoufbooks.com

Orders and requests for information may also be addressed directly to: Marketing and Sales Unit, International Atomic Energy Agency Vienna International Centre, PO Box 100, 1400 Vienna, Austria Telephone: +43 1 2600 22529 (or 22530) • Fax: +43 1 2600 29302 Email: [email protected] • Web site: http://www.iaea.org/books

10-3

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I N T E R N AT I O N A L AT O M I C E N E R G Y A G E N C YV I E N N A

I S B N 97 8 - 9 2 - 0 - 1 0 8 0 1 0 - 3I S S N 1 0 1 1 - 2 6 4 2

Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050

R E f E R E N C E d ATA S E R I E S No. 1 2010 Edition

@10-35831_IAEA-RDS-1_cover.indd 1 2010-09-01 15:35:43

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