erdemir group 2014 12 months consolidated financial results€¦ · company may not have made a...
TRANSCRIPT
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Erdemir Group 2014 12 Months
Consolidated Financial Results
11 February 2015
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DISCLAIMER
Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal
announcements about forward-looking information, expectations, estimates, targets,
assessments and opinions. Erdemir has made the necessary arrangements about the amounts
and results of such information through its Disclosure Policy and has shared such policy with
the public through the Erdemir website, in accordance with the Capital Markets Board
regulations. As stated in related policy, information contained in forward-looking statements,
whether verbal or written, should not include unrealistic assumptions or forecasts. It should be
noted that, actual results could materially differ from estimates taking into account the fact that
they are not based on historical facts but are driven from expectations, beliefs, plans, targets
and other factors which are beyond the control of our Company. As a result, forward-looking
statements should not be fully trusted or taken as granted. Forward-looking statements should
be considered valid only considering the conditions prevailing at the time of the announcement.
In cases where it is understood that forward-looking statements are no longer achievable, such
matter will be announced to the public and the statements will be revised. However, the decision
to make a revision is a result of a subjective evaluation. Therefore, it should be noted that, when
a party is coming to a judgement based on estimates and forward-looking statements, our
Company may not have made a revision at that particular time. Our Company makes no
commitment to make regular revisions which would fully cover changes in every parameter.
New factors may arise in the future which may not be possible to foresee at this moment in
time.
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2014 Market Overview
2014 Results
Agenda
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CIS CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION ( YoY % ) * HRC PRICES ( USD/TON )**
USA CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION ( YoY % )* EU28 CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION ( YoY % )*
Source: * Worldsteel
** Bloomberg
In EU, HRC sales price was 460 USD/ton as of January 2015
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
De
c-0
8
Mar-
09
Ju
n-0
9
Se
p-0
9
De
c-0
9
Mar-
10
Ju
n-1
0
Se
p-1
0
De
c-1
0
Mar-
11
Ju
n-1
1
Se
p-1
1
De
c-1
1
Mar-
12
Ju
n-1
2
Se
p-1
2
De
c-1
2
Mar-
13
Ju
n-1
3
Se
p-1
3
De
c-1
3
Mar-
14
Ju
n-1
4
Se
p-1
4
De
c-1
4
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
De
c-0
8
Mar-
09
Ju
n-0
9
Se
p-0
9
De
c-0
9
Mar-
10
Ju
n-1
0
Se
p-1
0
De
c-1
0
Mar-
11
Ju
n-1
1
Se
p-1
1
De
c-1
1
Mar-
12
Ju
n-1
2
Se
p-1
2
De
c-1
2
Mar-
13
Ju
n-1
3
Se
p-1
3
De
c-1
3
Mar-
14
Ju
n-1
4
Se
p-1
4
De
c-1
4
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
De
c-0
8
Mar-
09
Ju
n-0
9
Se
p-0
9
De
c-0
9
Mar-
10
Ju
n-1
0
Se
p-1
0
De
c-1
0
Mar-
11
Ju
n-1
1
Se
p-1
1
De
c-1
1
Mar-
12
Ju
n-1
2
Se
p-1
2
De
c-1
2
Mar-
13
Ju
n-1
3
Se
p-1
3
De
c-1
3
Mar-
14
Ju
n-1
4
Se
p-1
4
De
c-1
4
488
893
460
450
865
540
350
635
430
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Mar-
09
Au
g-0
9
Jan
-10
Ju
n-1
0
No
v-1
0
Ap
r-11
Se
p-1
1
Fe
b-1
2
Ju
l-1
2
De
c-1
2
May
-13
Oct-
13
Mar-
14
Au
g-1
4
Jan
-15
EU NORTH AMERICA CIS BLACK SEA/BALTIC EXPORT
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COKING COAL PRICES
(HCC PEAK DOWNS REGION FOB AUSTRALIA)
IRON ORE PRICES
(IODEX 62% FE CFR NORTH CHINA MID)
Iron ore price was 62 USD/ton at the end of January
Source: Platts / IODEX
USD/TON
USD/TON USD/TON
SCRAP PRICES
(HMS CFR TURKEY MID)
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
01.2
01
3
03.2
01
3
05.2
01
3
07.2
01
3
09.2
01
3
11.2
01
3
01.2
01
4
03.2
01
4
05.2
01
4
07.2
01
4
09.2
01
4
11.2
01
4
01.2
01
5
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
01.2
01
3
03.2
01
3
05.2
01
3
07.2
01
3
09.2
01
3
11.2
01
3
01.2
01
4
03.2
01
4
05.2
01
4
07.2
01
4
09.2
01
4
11.2
01
4
01.2
01
5
270
290
310
330
350
370
390
410
01.2
01
3
03.2
01
3
05.2
01
3
07.2
01
3
09.2
01
3
11.2
01
3
01.2
01
4
03.2
01
4
05.2
01
4
07.2
01
4
09.2
01
4
11.2
01
4
01.2
01
5
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HRC PRICES ( USD/Ton )
As of January 2015, EU HRC price was 460 USD, China HRC spot price was 420 USD, CIS export
HRC price was 430 USD. The prices were 608 USD, 570 USD, 543 USD respectively by the end of
January 2014.
January EU HRC sales price is 148 USD/ton lower than
last year’s same month
Source: Bloomberg
400
500
600
700
800
Ja
n-1
2
Ma
r-1
2
Ma
y-1
2
Ju
l-12
Se
p-1
2
No
v-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
Ma
r-1
3
Ma
y-1
3
Ju
l-13
Se
p-1
3
No
v-1
3
Ja
n-1
4
Ma
r-1
4
Ma
y-1
4
Ju
l-14
Se
p-1
4
No
v-1
4
Ja
n-1
5
CIS EXPORT HRC BLACKSEA/BALTIC EU HRC CHINA SPOT HRC USA IMPORT HR
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BILLET PRICES ( USD/Ton )
As of January 2015, Turkey export price was 435 USD while it was 528 USD in January 2014.
Billet sales prices are significantly lower in China
Source: Bloomberg
320
370
420
470
520
570
620
670
Ja
n-1
2
Ma
r-1
2
Ma
y-1
2
Ju
l-12
Se
p-1
2
No
v-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
Ma
r-1
3
Ma
y-1
3
Ju
l-13
Se
p-1
3
No
v-1
3
Ja
n-1
4
Ma
r-1
4
Ma
y-1
4
Ju
l-14
Se
p-1
4
No
v-1
4
Ja
n-1
5
BILLET CHINA EXPORT BILLET CIS EXPORT BLACKSEA/BALTIC BILLET EXPORT TURKEY
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16.138 16.693 14.841 13.738 11.660
14.601 14.633 13.627
13.210 11.944
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Long Flat
25.717 26.537 25.247 22.868 19.671
10.376 9.869 9.039
9.075
6.629
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Long Flat
PRODUCTION ( 000 TONS )
CONSUMPTION ( 000 TONS )
Turkish steel production decreased by 1% in 2014 YoY
36.406
Total
Source: TISPA
26.300
31.943 34.286
36.093
Total
31.326
23.604
26.948 28.468
30.739
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11.028 11.311 11.713 10.489 9.211
568 1.561
2.957 2.393
3.523
2.505 2.353
1.858 2.298 1.520
36 1
21 60
212
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Long Steel Semi-finished (Long) Flat Steel Slab
IRON AND STEEL PRODUCT EXPORTS ( 000 TONS )
IRON AND STEEL PRODUCT IMPORTS ( 000 TONS )
Total
14.465
10.440
15.239
9.949
Turkish iron and steel product imports decreased by 8%
in 2014 YoY
16.549
11.117
Total
15.226
14.014
Source: TISPA
14.137
12.957
1.450 1.467 1.307 1.359 1.200
2.959 3.131 2.412 2.004 2.350
6.730 7.117 6.446 6.433 6.834
1.819 2.299
953 153 56
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Long Steel Semi-finished (Long) Flat Steel Slab
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18,3%
11,3%
0,6%
7,1% 5,5%
3,5%
20,0%
11,2%
5,5%
1,4% 2,8%
4,0%
32,6%
22,1%
2,7%
7,4%
1,0% 2,0%
33,4%
16,0%
-5,5%
6,8%
3,9%
4,0%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (e)
Construction White Goods Mechanical Machinery Automotive
CHANGES IN SECTOR DEVELOPMENT INDEX (% YoY)
Source: TURKSTAT and ERDEMİR Group Analyses
Contraction in the construction sector is expected
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2014 Market Overview
2014 Results
Agenda
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ERDEMİR GROUP KEY FIGURES
2014 2013 2012
Liquid Steel Production (000 Tons) 8.693 8.447 8.042
Slab Production (1)
(000 Tons) 7.363 6.865 6.329
Flat Steel Production (2)
(000 Tons) 6.954 6.427 5.983
Long Steel Production (000 Tons) 1.153 1.356 1.519
Flat Steel Shipments (000 Tons) 6.933 6.338 5.980
Long Steel Shipments (000 Tons) 1.163 1.346 1.468
Net Sales Revenue (M. USD) 5.252 5.142 5.340
EBITDA (M. USD) 1.136 987 604
Net Profit For The Year (M. USD) 732 484 252
All figures are on IFRS consolidated basis unless stated otherwise.
(1) Total slab production of Ereğli and İskenderun Plants.
(2) Total flat steel production of Ereğli and İskenderun Plants.
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Liquid steel production was 8,7 million tons in 2014
LIQUID STEEL PRODUCTION ( 000 TONS )
2.135 2.216 1.999 2.209 2.235
1.645
2.324 2.377
8.693 8.447
8.042
2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2012
1. Quarter 2. Quarter 3. Quarter 4. Quarter
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CRUDE STEEL CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATIO
Source: Worldsteel
Crude steel capacity utilization ratio of ERDEMİR Group
is higher than world average
84,1%
88,4%
92,8%
95,5%
80,2%
78,3% 77,9%
76,3%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014
Erdemir Group World
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1.264 1.161 1.272 1.158 1.399 929
1.273 1.335
5.208 4.583 4.384
411 439 410 493 467
449 458 462
1.746
1.844 1.598
317 445 228
416 274 161 334 334
1.153
1.356 1.519
2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2012
1. Quarter 2. Quarter 3. Quarter 4. Quarter
Hot Cold Long
PRODUCTION VOLUMES ( 000 TONS )
HRC production increased by 14% in 2014 YoY
Total
2.045
7.501
1.992
7.783
2.067 1.910
1.539 2.140 2.131 2.065
8.107
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1.239 1.140 1.345 1.224 1.358 963 1.250 1.233
5.192 4.560 4.353
432 429 423 464 444
453 442 431
1.741
1.778 1.627
352 456
205
420 291 176 315 294
1.163
1.346 1.468
2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2012
1. Quarter 2. Quarter 3. Quarter 4. Quarter
Hot Cold Long
SALES VOLUMES ( 000 TONS )
Sales volumes increased by 5% in 2014 YoY
Total
7.448
2.025
7.684
2.023 2.108 1.973 1.592
2.093 1.958 2.007
8.096
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1.150 1.114 1.107 1.251 1.227 1.007 1.141 1.190
4.625 4.562 4.569
174 250 178 175 139 70
136 85
627 580 771
2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2012
1. Quarter 2. Quarter 3. Quarter 4. Quarter
Domestic Export
NET SALES REVENUE ( MILLION USD )
Net sales revenue was 5,3 billion USD in 2014 YoY
Toplam
5.340
1.364
5.142
1.324 1.426 1.285 1.077 1.366 1.275 1.277
5.252
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2.811Kt; 45%
1.176Kt; 19%
485Kt; 8%
239Kt; 4%
627Kt; 10%
335Kt; 5%
582Kt; 9%
435Kt; 41%
131Kt; 12%
304Kt; 28%
155Kt; 15%
10Kt; 1%
36Kt; 3%
388Kt; 42%
85Kt; 9%
248Kt; 26%
165Kt; 18%
11Kt; 1%
39Kt; 4%
2.578Kt; 44%
1.104Kt; 19%
406Kt; 7%
241Kt; 4%
535Kt; 9%
332Kt; 6%
623Kt; 11%
2014 FLAT STEEL DOMESTIC SALES BREAKDOWN (%)
2014 LONG STEEL DOMESTIC SALES BREAKDOWN (%) 2013 LONG STEEL DOMESTIC SALES BREAKDOWN (%)
2013 FLAT STEEL DOMESTIC SALES BREAKDOWN (%)
5.819Kton;
92% 6.255Kton;
90%
Sales to automotive and components industry
increased in 2014 YoY
936Kton;
80%
1.070Kton;
79%
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218Kt; 79%
23Kt; 9%
17Kt; 6%
17Kt; 6%
104Kt; 46%
91Kt; 40%
17Kt; 7%
15Kt; 7%
363Kt; 70%
50Kt; 10%
42Kt; 8%
28Kt; 5%
36Kt; 7%
280Kt; 41%
200Kt; 29%
87Kt; 13%
46Kt; 7%
66Kt; 10%
2014 FLAT STEEL EXPORTS BREAKDOWN (%)
2014 LONG STEEL EXPORTS BREAKDOWN (%)
2013 FLAT STEEL EXPORTS BREAKDOWN (%)
2013 LONG STEEL EXPORTS BREAKDOWN (%)
Flat steel sales to EU countries was 41% of our flat export
in 2014
678Kton;
10% 519Kton;
8%
227Kton;
20%
276Kton;
21%
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Dec-1
2
Jan
-13
Fe
b-1
3
Mar-
13
Ap
r-13
May-1
3
Ju
n-1
3
Ju
l-13
Au
g-1
3
Sep
-13
Oc
t-1
3
No
v-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan
-14
Fe
b-1
4
Mar-
14
Ap
r-14
May-1
4
Ju
n-1
4
Ju
l-14
Au
g-1
4
Sep
-14
Oc
t-1
4
No
v-1
4
Dec-1
4
Erdemir Group Flat Sales Price Erdemir Group Flat Cost of SalesUSD/TON
USD/TON
In 2014, Erdemir Group average flat and long steel prices
were 646 USD/ton and 560 USD/ton respectively
Dec-1
2
Jan
-13
Fe
b-1
3
Mar-
13
Ap
r-13
May-1
3
Ju
n-1
3
Ju
l-13
Au
g-1
3
Sep
-13
Oc
t-1
3
No
v-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan
-14
Fe
b-1
4
Mar-
14
Ap
r-14
May-1
4
Ju
n-1
4
Ju
l-14
Au
g-1
4
Sep
-14
Oc
t-1
4
No
v-1
4
Dec-1
4
Erdemir Group Long Sales Price Erdemir Group Long Cost of Sales
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NET PROFIT/(LOSS) ( MILLION USD )
282 238 254 294 312 218
288 236
1.136 987
604
21,3% 17,5%
19,8% 20,7% 22,8% 20,3% 22,5%
18,5% 21,6%
19,2%
11,3%
0,0%
8,0%
16,0%
24,0%
32,0%
40,0%
48,0%
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2012
1. Quarter 2. Quarter 3. Quarter 4. Quarter
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
Net profit increased by 51% in 2014 YoY
EBITDA ( MILLION USD )
195 128 164 173 202
112 171
71
732
484
252
14,7%
9,4%
12,8% 12,1%
14,8%
10,4%
13,4%
5,6%
13,9%
9,4%
4,7%
0,0%
6,0%
12,0%
18,0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2012
1. Quarter 2. Quarter 3. Quarter 4. Quarter
Net Profit Net Profit Margin
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Consolidated EBITDA => Consolidated Net Profit (Million USD)
EBITDA was 1.136 million USD in 2014
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Consolidated EBITDA => Consolidated Net Cash (Million USD)
EBITDA was 1.136 million USD in 2014
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EBITDA PER TON (USD/TON)
EBITDA per ton for flat product was 144 USD/ton in 2014 4Q
24
54 64 67
107
130
111 113
135 125
142
144
61
100
88
100
141
126 113
143 148
153 150
101
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
2012 2013 2014
Flat Long
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CONSOLIDATED NET ASSETS (MILLION USD)
WORKING CAPITAL (MILLION USD)
Net assets was 4,4 billion USD at the end of 2014
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2.211 1.809 1.742
1.344 947
581
556
1.976
787
1.135
693
891
2.059
1.924
1.945
1.452 1.283
529
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Long-Term Debt Short-Term Debt Net Debt
BORROWINGS ( MILLION USD )
Net debt was 529 million USD at the end of 2014
2.767
3.785
2.529 2.479
1.640 1.472
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NET DEBT (MILLION USD)
Net debt was 529 million USD at the end of 2014
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BORROWINGS MATURITY PROFILE (MILLION USD)
943
1
Erdemir Group has 943 million USD cash and
cash equivalents at the end of 2014
882
281 241
70 39
Dec.14
Cash
375
259 233
67 37 11 1
466
41
22 9
4 1
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Principal Revolving Trade Financing Loans Interest
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RAW MATERIALS BREAKDOWN - %
COST OF SALES BREAKDOWN* - %
* Excluding inventory writedowns and provision released.
Raw materials made up 71% of the cost of sales in 2014
71% 73% 74% 75%
12% 11% 11% 12% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 1% 1% 5% 4% 5% 3%
2014 2013 2012 2011
Raw Materials Personnel Expenses Purchased Energy ExpensesDepreciation and Amortization Exp. Non-operating Expenses Other
40% 41% 35% 37%
25% 28% 36% 33%
15% 12% 13% 14% 6% 5%
5% 5% 4% 11% 14% 11% 11%
2014 2013 2012 2011
Iron Ore&Pellet Coal Scrap Alloyed and Plated Material Purchased Slab Other
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FLAT PRODUCTS ( USD/TON )*
LONG PRODUCTS ( USD/TON )*
Flat cost per ton excluding raw materials and depreciation
was realised as 159 USD/ton in 2014 4Q
* Depreciation was excluded from fixed and variable cost.
67 70 72 65 60 68 63 72
90 85 87 82 78 80 81 87
1.600 1.651
1.378
1.797 1.675 1.682
1.866 1.731
-400
100
600
1.100
1.600
2.100
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
2013 2014
Fixed Cost Per Ton Variable Cost Per Ton Flat Production (000 tons)
40 47 47 41 30 48 41 45
58 57 59 54 48 66 60 58
445 416
161
334 317
228 274
334
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
2013 2014
Fixed Cost Per Ton Variable Cost Per Ton Long Production (000 tons)
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( M USD )
Capital expenditures of 479 million USD is planned for 2015
* The figures only cover the board approved capex plan.
68 43 56 59 17 57 93 83 55 80 122
377
675
961
576
140 143
171 159 107 82
357 611
445
718
1.017
634
158 200
264 242
162 162
479
611
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 -2019
Fixed Assets Acquisition and Maintenance Capital Expenditures
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NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES
Number of employees was 12.872 as of December 2014
14.637
13.161
13.553 13.433
13.045
12.801 12.872
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
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