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ETSG2019 Bern Programme of 6

ETSG 2019 Bern Twenty-first Annual Conference 12-14 September 2019 University of Bern World Trade Institute

All sessions take place in the Eventfabrik Bern, FabrikHalle 12, Fabrikstrasse 12, 3012 Bern

Name of paper presenter appears first. In parallel sessions, the last presenter will take the chair. Times of presentations are subject to change up until the conference itself. Check the time of your presentation on arrival at the conference. Abstracts and links to papers available via the dedicated app (https://whova.com/portal/etsgc_201909) and at https://whova.com/embedded/event/etsgc_201909/ This version: 12 September 2019

Thursday, 12 September 2019

TIME PARALLEL SESSION 1

ROOM 1 LOWER FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 2

ROOM 2 LOWER FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 3

ROOM 3 LOWER FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 4

ROOM 4 FIRST FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 5

ROOM 5 FIRST FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 6

ROOM 6 FIRST FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 7

PLENARY GALLERY SECOND FLOOR

13:30-16:00 REGISTRATION, Ground Floor Entrance

14:00-14:15 WELCOME AND CONFERENCE BRIEFING, Plenary Room, Second Floor

14:15-15:15 PLENARY SESSION 1, Plenary Room, Second Floor Chair: Joseph Francois

Presentation by winner of WTO prize

15:15-15:45 Coffee, Ground Floor

15:45-18:00 A1 REGIONALISM A2 FDI, MNE + FIRM

ORGANIZATION A3 GROWTH A4 TRADE POLICY A5 TRADE THEORY A6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY A7 SERVICES

15:45-16:05

Karen Jackson, Oleksandr Shepotylo The collapse of EU trade relations: a worst-case scenario?

Drazen Derado, Darko Horvatin The impact of FDI on local economic growth with respect of mode of entry and level of innovativeness: case of EU member countries

David Collie The more the merrier: sustaining trade agreements with many countries

Ryo Itoh, Kiyoshi Yonemoto An interregional input-output analysis with the Eaton-Kortum model

Nicola Cortinovis, Jacopo Timini Learning from exporters: establishment-level productivity spillovers in Colombia

Julia Seiermann, Yvan Decreux, Camille Reverdy, Julia Spies The export potential of services

16:05-16:25

Benjamin Pkemei Ng’imor Trade and welfare effects of the East African Community

Jan Simon Schymik Human capitalists and the global division of labor

Maria Sokolova, Alisa Dicaprio, Amelia Santos-Paulino Trade and development distance: a new perspective on the world convergence

Roman Stöllinger Specialisation in tradables: structural current account imbalances beyond trade costs

John Gilbert, Reza Oladi Factor eliminating technical change in a developing economy

Tomohiro Ara Complementarity between firm exporting and firm importing on industry productivity and welfare

Anirudh Shingal, Neha Gupta, Minakshee Das Greenfield investment, services and integration into value chains: evidence from the OECD

16:25-16:45

Maurizio Zanardi, Dakshina G. De Silva, Soon-Cheul Lee, Robert P. McComb The spillover effects of regional trade agreements on trade

Banri Ito Cross-border M&A and urban gravity

Mutascu Mihai A wavelet investigation of Okun’s law in US

John Romalis, Lorenzo Caliendo, Robert C. Feenstra, Alan M. Taylor A second-best argument to promote manufacturing with trade subsidies on intermediate inputs

Laura Werner, Kurmaåÿ Akdoäÿan Sunk costs and exporting behavior: a sectoral analysis

Kazuhiko Oyamada Behavioral characteristics of MRIO-based global AGE models with variable elasticity of substitution between varieties

Camille Reverdy Export potential in services: do policy measures matter?

https://whova.com/portal/etsgc_201909

https://whova.com/embedded/event/etsgc_201909/


16:45-17:00 Break (no coffee)

17:00-17:20

Jan Schlupp Agglomeration and local spillover effects of US exporters

Bruno Merlevede, Victoria Purice Border regimes and indirect productivity effects from foreign direct investment

Chiara Franco, Roberto Antonietti From inward FDI to economic complexity: a panel cointegration analysis

Viola Lamani, Sophie Drogué, Zoé Colombet, Caroline MéJean Trade in foods: an analysis of the determinants of the structure of food imports by nutritional quality in the French West Indies

Reza Oladi, John Gilbert Labor eliminating technical progress and wage inequality

Alexander Tarasov, Sergey Kokovin, Shamil Sharapudinov, Philip Ushchev A theory of monopolistic competition with horizontally heterogeneous consumers

Carmen D. Álvarez-Albelo, Raúl Hernández-Martín Potential impacts of airfare subsidies for residents on the tourism industry of a remote region

17:20-17:40

Valentina Gullo, Pierluigi Montalbano, Silvia Nenci Re-estimating the EMU trade effect with product fragmentation: a spatial autoregressive Poisson gravity model

Ian Wooton, Andreas Haufler Multinational banks in regulated markets

Ryan Hynes, Ronald B. Davies Where to? Destination’s impact on innovation

Gregory Corcos, Facundo Albornoz, Hector Calvo-Pardo, Emanuel Ornelas Sequential product exporting

Sergey Kichko, Pierre Picard Income heterogeneity, redistribution, and trade

Michael Irlacher, Lisandra Flach, Florian Unger Corporate taxation, multi-product firms, and international trade

Anna Odrobina, Paweł Folfas Patterns and determinants of international trade in R&D services

17:40-18:00

Rafael Cezar, Maéva Silvestrini Impact of the ECB quantitative easing on the French international investment position

Daniele Verdini, Lorenzo Trimarchi, Catherine Fuss China shock, misallocation, and the evolution of aggregate productivity

Russell Hillberry, Ana Margarida Fernandes, Claudia Berg Expediting trade: impact evaluation of an in-house clearance program

Rikard Forslid, Toshihiro Okubo Trade, location and multiproduct firms

18:15-19:45 Apéro: Ground Floor

Friday, 13 September 2019


ROOM 1 LOWER FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 2

ROOM 2 LOWER FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 3

ROOM 3 LOWER FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 4

ROOM 4 FIRST FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 5

ROOM 5 FIRST FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 6

ROOM 6 FIRST FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 7


09:00-10:40 B1 DEVELOPMENT B2 FDI, MNE + FIRM

ORGANIZATION B3 NETWORKS + GLOBAL

VALUE CHAINS B4 TRADE POLICY B5 TRADE THEORY B6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY

B7 SERVICES + POLITICAL ECONOMY

09:00-09:20

Yu Ri Kim, Yasuyuki Todo Individual trade policy preferences: altruism, reciprocity and openness in a developing country context

Konstantin M. Wacker, Sophie T. Schneider Explaining the global landscape of foreign direct investment: knowledge capital, gravity, and institutional distance

Finn Ole Semrau, Frauke Steglich Corporate social responsibility in global value chains: the role of downstreamness and stakeholders’ demand

Pawel Folfas What determines value-added trade?

Tomasz Brodzicki, Jakub Michalek Kwiatkowski The impact of foreign competition on the innovation intensity of manufacturing firms

Milena Kern, Jörg Paetzold, Hannes Winner Cutting red tape for trade in services

09:20-09:40

Elzbieta Czarny, Malgorzata Zmuda Sustainability of competitive performance and sources of competitive advantage in a catching-up economy in the era of globalization

Maria Garcia Vega, Elena Huergo Asymmetric additionalities between R&D outsourcing locations

Jacek Rothert, Davis Katakura, Katherine Smith, Douglas Vanderwerken China’s export effects: a product level analysis of global supply chains, comparative advantage, and crowding out

Hugo Rojas-Romagosa, Joseph F. Francois, Douglas R. Nelson Trade wars and trade disputes: the role of equity and political support

Monika Mrázová, J. Peter Neary IO for export(s)

Redha Fares, AméLie Guillin, Claude Mathieu Exporting and failing firms, a paradox?

Maximillian Mantei, Adriana Espes Pizarro Is the glass half empty or half full? Rethinking negative and positive listing in trade in services agreements

09:40-10:00

Davide Del Prete, Michele Di Maio, Aminur Rahman Private firms amidst the war: evidence from Libya

Ben Ferrett, Ian Wooton Targeting FDI

Ilaria Salvati Firms’ participation to global value chains and employment growth

Julien Gourdon Rules of origins and third market effect on developing countries

Benedikt Zoller-Rydzek Trade, labor markets and intellectual property rights protection

Baptiste Souillard Competition and corporate tax avoidance: evidence from the China shock

Martin Falk, Yang Yang Hotels benefit from stricter Airbnb regulations

10:00-10:20

Volker Nitsch Internal conflict and external trade: evidence from Kenya

Pavel Chakraborty Bank ownership, monetary policy and exports: evidence from a firm-bank matched dataset

Veredigna Macatangay Ledda Drivers of export growth in international production networks: evidence from Southeast Asia

Adriana Rocio Cardozo Silva, Inmaculada Martã The impact of FTAs on MENA exports of intermediate and final goods

Laurence Wicht The margin of importing sectors in the gains from trade

Tinatin Akhvlediani Impact of ICT on export performances of firms

Antonella Nocco, Michele Giuranno Trade tariff, wage gap and public spending

10:20-10:40

Dorothee Hillrichs, Gonzague Vannoorenberghe Inferring within-country inequality from trade data

Dimitris Exadaktylos, Massimo Riccaboni, Armando Rungi The impact of foreign managers on productivity: evidence from the United Kingdom

Oscar Lemmers Capturing heterogeneity in global value chains: how to slice and dice?

Mattia Di Ubaldo, Ingo Borchert Go ahead and trade: the effect of uncertainty removal in the EU’s GSP scheme

Michael Renfrew The trade-design nexus: measuring the influence of depth and flexibility in ASEAN trade agreement design

Zuzanna Studnicka, Martina Lawless, Peter Neary Explaining the volume of south-north trade in Ireland: gravity and firms in the era between the Good Friday Agreement and Brexit

Hoda Assem Political tensions and international trade



11:10-12:50 C1 DEVELOPMENT C2 FDI, MNE + FIRM

ORGANIZATION C3 NETWORKS + GLOBAL

VALUE CHAINS C4 TRADE POLICY C5 TRADE THEORY C6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY C7 POLITICAL ECONOMY

11:10-11:30

Timothy Yaw Acheampong, Beata Udvari Escaping the middle income trap: the role of international trade

Stefan Kornitzky, Hartmut Egger, Elke Jahn The foreign ownership wage premium: new evidence from a large German dataset

Raphael Chiappini, Cyrielle Gaglio, Sarah Guillou Digital intensity and trade performance

Sylvain Perillat The export potential indicator: an assessment of its predictive power

Laszlo Erdey, Jozsef Gall, Adam Markus, Tibor Tokes Changes in the trade patterns of the UK in a global perspective

Jan Jakub Michael, Andrzej Cieslik, Krzysztof Szczygielski What matter for firms’ participation in GVCs in Central and East European countries?

Serge Shikher Gender and income inequality in United States tariff burden

11:30-11:50

Yue Teng The recent trends of developing countries’ terms of trade under the new global economic hierarchy

Mara Giua, Riccardo Crescenzi, Marco Di Cataldo FDI inflows in European regions: what role for investment promotion agencies?

Keiko Ito, Kenta Ikeuchi, Chiara Criscuolo, Jonathan Timmis, Antonin Bergeaud Global value chains and domestic innovation

Lars Nilsson, Michał Gulczyński EU imports and the use of preferences under the EU - Korea FTA

Holger Breinlich, Harald Fadinger, Volker Nocke, Nicolas Schutz Gravity in oligopoly

Silvia Bertarelli The impact of non-linear pricing in input markets on industry productivity and importing

Philipp J.H. Schroeder, Christian Bjørnskov, Martin Rode Stolper-Samuelson with democratization

11:50-12:10

Yunzhi Zhang, Inmaculada Martã Trade, GVC, FDI: development aid as internationalization strategy?

Nesma Ali, Joel Stiebale Foreign direct investment, markups, prices and productivity: evidence from India

Lucia Tajoli, Enrico Marvasi Who exports matters: the role of country centrality in product trade networks

Luca Macedoni, Ariel Weinberger Quality misallocation, trade, and regulations

Badis Tabarki Structural gravity and welfare in general equilibrium: symmetry and homotheticity fail, asymmetry and non-homotheticity prevail

Juyoung Cheong, Seeun Jung Trade liberalization and heterogeneous effects on wages

Philipp Harms, Nils Steiner The China Shock and the nationalist backlash against globalization: attitudinal evidence from the British Household Panel Survey

12:10-12:30

Andżelika Kuźnar The role of digitalization and new technologies in increasing the innovativeness and competitiveness of Poland

Philipp Herkenhoff, Sebastian Krautheim The international organization of production in the regulatory void

Michele Mancini, Alessandro Borin Measuring what matters in global value chains and value-added trade

Inmaculada Martinez-Zarzoso, Santiago Chelala Trade agreements and technology transfer

Kan Yue China shock and export quality upgrading

Rui Zhang, Chen Daisy Sun Market interdependence through shared suppliers: theory and evidence

Michael David Blanga-Gubbay The Protectionist Alliance: firms, trade unions, and the backlash on globalization

12:30-12:50

Birgit Meyer, Julian Donaubauer, Rainer Thiele Does foreign aid help improve access to FDI?

Angelos Theodorakopoulos Technology transfers and learning effects within firm boundaries

Pijus Krūminas, Egidijus Rybakovas, Agnė Paliokaitė Global value chains and middle income trap in Central and Eastern Europe

Panagiotis Tsitsoglou, Grigoris Zarotiadis Analyzing economic policy responses: the case of commercial diplomacy

Francesco Guerra, Carl Gaigné, Stéphane Turolla Product quality and export volatility in international trade: an empirical assessment

Ahmed Boutorat, Marcel Van Den Berg, Anne-Peter Alberda Dissecting carry-along trade: what’s in the bundle?

Julian Hinz, Robert Gold, Julian Hinz, Michele Valsecchi To Russia with love? The impact of sanctions on elections

12:50-14:00 Lunch, Ground Floor

14:00-14:25 ROWE Young Economists Prize, Plenary Room, Second Floor Chair: Maurizio Zanardi

14:25-14:30 Break (no coffee)

14:30-16:30 D1 DEVELOPMENT +

ENVIRONMENT D2 FDI, MNE + FIRM

ORGANIZATION D3 NETWORKS + GLOBAL

VALUE CHAINS D4 TRADE POLICY D5 TRADE THEORY D6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY

D7 POLITICAL ECONOMY + FIRM HETEROGENEITY

14:30-14:50

Hendrik Wiard Kruse, Thais Nunez-Rocha, Camélia Turcu Infrastructure aid and resource trade: altruism and commercial interest

Iulia Siedschlag, Mattia Di Ubaldo Could spillovers from multinationals affect the trade activities of local firms?

Alessandro Ferrari Global value chains and the business cycle

Mustapha Douch, Jun Du, Enrico Vanino Defying gravity? Policy uncertainty and trade diversion

Udo Kreickemeier, Hartmut Egger, Christoph Moser, Jens Wrona Exporting and offshoring with monopsonistic competition

Mai Nguyen, Jozef Konings Labor cost pass-through into prices and firm export status

Manuel Flores Interstate conflict as bilateral trade policy

14:50-15:10

Ana Lucia Abeliansky, Javier Barbero, Ernesto Rodrã ICTs quality and quantity and the extensive margin of trade

Christian Volpe Martincus, Jerónimo Carballo, Ignacio Marra de Artiñano Linkages with multinationals and domestic firms’ performance: opening the black box

Aobo Jiang, Gaaitzen De Vries , Oscar Lemmers , Shang-Jin Wei Productivity and specialization in global value chains: firm-level evidence

Lionel G. Fontagné, Houssin Guimbard, Gianluca Orefice Product-level trade elasticities

Peter Neary, Céline Carrere, Monika Mrázová Gravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and trade

Rebecca Freeman, Tommaso Aquilante Economic integration and UK firm-destination-market export duration

Isabelle Rabaud, Volker Nitsch Under attack: terrorism and international trade in France, 2014-16

15:10-15:30

Yong Tan, Joel Rodrigue, Dan Shen Exporting, abatement, and firm-level emissions: evidence from China’s accession to the WTO

Jackie M.L. Chan, Chih-Sheng Hsieh Network learning effects in cross-border mergers and acquisitions

Enxhi Tresa Spillover effects of cumulative tariffs in global value chains

Allan Soerensen Export promotion and intra-industry reallocations

David Torun, Reto Foellmi, Ulrich Schetter Path dependency in international trade

Torje Hegna Misallocation and markups: concentrating on productivity dispersion in Norway

Italo Colantone, Massimo Anelli, Piero Stanig We were the robots: automation and voting behavior in Western Europe


15:30-15:50

Laura Birg, Jan S. Voßwinkel Green consumers, emission taxes, and firm relocation

Monika Sztajerowska International investment, trade and tax agreements and multinational activity

Philipp Meinen, Simone Cigna, Patrick Schulte, Nils Steinhoff The impact of US tariffs against China on US imports: evidence for trade diversion?

Timo Walter, Benjamin Jung Trade liberalization and income inequality in Germany

Hartmut Egger, Simone Habermeyer How preferences shape the welfare and employment effects of trade

Sebastian Krautheim, Pamina Koenig, Claudius Löhnert , Thierry Verdier International trade, global sourcing and the geography of social activism

Frauke Steglich, Holger Görg, Thilo Kroeger, Horst Raff Importing, exporting, and firm-level volatility in India

15:50-16:10

Jan S. Voßwinkel, Laura Birg Cross-border externalities of emission taxation

Taiji Furusawa, Jay Pil Choi, Jota Ishikawa Transfer pricing and tax competition

Aleksandra Nacewska-Twardowska Factory Europe’s changes in trade and GVC

Holger Görg, Sourafel Girma Is there anything to be gained from export processing? Micro-econometric evidence from China

Maria Persson, Christian Soegaard, Anna Welander Tärneberg A border in the sea? The effect of major infrastructure development on bilateral trade

Evgenii Monastyrenko Currency depreciation and quality downgrading

Rosa Portela Forte, Andreia Botelho The impact of debt on a firm performance: the moderating role of internationalization

16:10-16:30

Harry Wardana, Laura Márquez-Ramos Exports and (multiple) border-crossing inputs: evidence from Indonesia

Filippo Boeri Outward FDI and local labour markets: evidence from matched employer-employee data

Ana Cuadros, Antonio Navas, Jordi Paniagua Moving ideas across borders: migrant inventors, patents and FDI

Ning Meng, Meredith Crowley, Huasheng Song Trade policy shocks and flexible multi-product exporters

Bastien Alvarez, Gianluca Orefice, Farid Toubal European integration and regional labour market dynamics

Philippe Bontems Not too costly: how cost flexibility influences firm behavior

Nicholas Kozeniauskas, Spencer Lyon Demand learning, customer capital, and exporter dynamics


17:00-17:45 PLENARY SESSION 2, Plenary Room, Second Floor Chair: Ian Wooton

Mahdi Ghodsi, Oliver Reiter, Roman Stöllinger, Robert Stehrer Robotization, employment, and industrial growth intertwined across value chains

19:30 Reception: Gurten Pavillon, Gurtenpark

Saturday, 14 September 2019


ROOM 1 LOWER FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 2

ROOM 2 LOWER FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 3

ROOM 3 LOWER FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 4

ROOM 4 FIRST FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 5

ROOM 5 FIRST FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 6

ROOM 6 FIRST FLOOR

PARALLEL SESSION 7


09:00-10:40 E1 LABOUR E2 FDI, MNE + FIRM

ORGANIZATION

E3 NETWORKS + GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS + FDI

E4 TRADE POLICY E5 TRADE THEORY +

ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY

E6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY E7 TRADE POLICY

09:00-09:20

Hildegunn Kyvik Nordas, Magnus Lodefalk, Aili Tang Trade and jobs: Swedish labor market dynamics

Amélie Guillin, Anne-Laure Delatte, Vincent Vicard Grey zones in international investment transactions

Andrea Linarello, Luca Citino The impact of Chinese import competition on Italian manufacturing

Joseph Francois, Peter Egger, Miriam Manchin Bindings, policy risk, and market access in services

Nicola Daniele Coniglio, Davide Vurchio, Nicola Cantore, Michele Clara On the evolution of comparative advantage: path-dependent versus path-defying changes

Miriam Kohl, Philipp Moritz Richter Unilateral tax policy in the open economy

Kyung In Hwang Tariffs, retailers, and consumer prices

09:20-09:40

Robert Genthner, Krisztina Kis-Katos Local labor market effects of FDI regulation in Indonesia

Anwar S. Adem Imports, FDI spillovers and firm performance

Amat Adarov, Robert Stehrer Implications of foreign direct investment, capital formation and structure for global value chains

Nan Xu The distortionary impacts of rules of origin on labor market and country welfare

Inga Heiland, Andreas Moxnes, Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe, Yuan Zi Trade from space

Vincent Rebeyrol, Aksel Erbahar Trade elasticities and CAT exports

Luca Salvatici, Alessandro Antimiani, David Laborde Optimal aggregators of distortions in GTAP

09:40-10:00

Anna Maria Falzoni, Federica Maggi, Giulio Bosio Does economic complexity matter for job polarization? Evidence from the Italian local labor market.

Huan Yang Cross-border M&A and the performance of acquirer: in the presence of the origin effect and heterogeneous treatment

Alexander Jaax, Enrico Vanino The link between FDI in services and trade diversification: evidence from Mexico

Pamela Bombarda, Elisa Gamberoni Diagonal cumulation and sourcing decisions

Marius Brülhart, Klaus Desmet, Gian-Paolo Klinke The shrinking advantage of market potential

Sotiris Blanas, Catherine Fuss, Maurizio Zanardi International sourcing, domestic labour costs and producer prices

Haiou Mao Value-added trade potential between EU and China: magnitude and factors

10:00-10:20

Qianqian Wang Trade liberalization and regional wage inequality: with Firpo, Fortin and Lemieux (FFL) decomposition method

Gerard Masllorens, Peter Egger, Katharina Erhardt The impact of investment treaties on firm ownership

Marta Bisztray The effect of FDI on local suppliers: evidence from Audi in Hungary

Hirofumi Okoshi, Hiroshi Mukunoki Tariff elimination versus tax avoidance: free trade agreements and transfer pricing

Magdalena Słok-Wódkowska, Katarzyna Åšledziewska The EU’s regional trade agreements and the challenges of international electronic commerce

Lena Sheveleva Minimal model of multi-product firms

Joschka Wanner, Mario Larch, Aiko F. Schmeißer A tale of (almost) 1001 coefficients: deep and heterogeneous effects of the EU-Turkey customs union


10:20-10:40

Lourenco Paz, John Ssozi The effects of Chinese imports on female workers in the Brazilian manufacturing sector

Alexandros Ragoussis, Trang Thu Tran Growing differently? Origins and growth paths of multinational enterprises in developing countries

Carlo Altomonte, Tommaso Sonno, Domenico Favoino, Monica Morlacco Market power under heterogeneous financial frictions

Blanca Jimenez-Garcia Do bilateral trade agreements promote trade unevenly? Evidence from 102 bilateral trade agreements.

Katharina Erhardt, Peter Egger, Davide Suverato Jobs come and go: trade, labor markets, and the age trap

Porjai Chalermsook Skills and export wage premium: evidence from Finnish manufacturing firms

Anne-Celia Disdier, Lionel Fontagné, Enxhi Tresa International trade and public procurement-related protection


11:10-12:50 F1 LABOUR F2 FDI, MNE + FIRM

ORGANIZATION F3 FIRM

HETEROGENEITY F4 TRADE POLICY

F5 ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY

F6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY F7 TRADE POLICY

11:10-11:30

Simon Galle, Linnea Lorentzen The unequal effects of trade, automation, and labor reallocation

Nihal Yildirim Mizrak The evolution of foreign direct investments in Turkey and its effects on employment: a comparative analysis

Ruben Dewitte, Glenn Rayp, Bruno Merlevede Gains from trade: demand, supply and idiosyncratic uncertainty

Carmen Fillat-Castejon Thresholds on demand-enhancing and cost-increasing effects of technical barriers to trade

Marta Santamaria The gains from reshaping infrastructure

Jun Du, Jim Love, Enrico Vanino Learning by intermittent exporting: transaction level evidence from France

Mathieu Parenti, Gonzague Vannoorenberghe A simple theory of deep trade integration

11:30-11:50

Louise Johannesson, Hildegunn Kyvik Nordã¥S Trade and gender wage gaps in services and manufacturing: the case of India

Daniel Steffen, Preetha Kalambaden The effect of outward foreign direct investments on home employment: evidence using Swiss firm-level data

Michael Henry, Pavel Chakraborty, Rahul Singh Mark-ups and quality adjustments to Chinese import competition: evidence from India

Lorenzo Trimarchi, Chad Bown , Paola Conconi, Aksel Erbahar Trade Protection along Supply Chains

Ron Davies, Igor Bagayev, Dieter Kogler Innovation and the technological content of trade

Aya Elewa Mixed market structure and product-mix of exporters

Agelos Delis, Christos Ioannidis, Michalis Stamatogiannis The effect of foreign demand and the exchange rate on UK exports

11:50-12:10

Carsten Eckel, Stephen Ross Yeaple Too much of a good thing? Labor market imperfections as a source of exceptional exporter performance

Armando Rungi, Greg Morrison, Fabio Pammolli Global ownership and hierarchies of firms: that which is essential is invisible to the eye

Dea Tusha, Shawn W. Tan FDI spillovers and the role of labour market restrictions in Moldova

Lucile Henry, Ole Boysen From UK land-bridge to sea route: Irish agri-food exports to the EU, transport modes and Brexit

Thi Thanh Ha Doan, Huong Quynh Nguyen Trade reform, economic decentralization and the evolution of agglomeration in Vietnamese manufacturing

Glenn Rayp, Ruben Dewitte, Michel Dumont, Peter Willemé Gains from parameters? Heterogeneity in the productivity distribution and international trade

Nihal Tuncer Terregrossa, Ferda Karagöz The structural transformation of bilateral trade relations between Germany and Turkey

12:10-12:30

Krisztina Kis-Katos, Feicheng Wang, Minghai Zhou Gender effects of trade liberalization: manufacturing job creation in China

Bin Ni, Yang Liu Outward FDI and firm-level employment dynamics in Japanese manufacturing firms

Cristian Ugarte, Marco Fugazza, Monika Mrazova, Marcelo Olarreaga On the heterogeneous effects of market-access barriers: evidence from small and large Peruvian exporters

Florian Hälg Mutual recognition and exporting: evidence from Swiss-EU trade integration

Enrico Vanino Spatial externalities of trade defence instruments

Dennis Cremers, Marcel Van Den Berg, Charles Van Marrewijk, Tom Notten, Leen Prenen Import behavior and export performance: firm-level evidence from the Netherlands

Francesco Paolo Conteduca, Ekaterina Kazakova Assessing the role of FDI restrictions in emerging market economies

12:30-12:50

Stefano Meneto Does import competition affect regional labour market performance? Empirical evidence from France

Manuel Tong Koecklin, Iulia Siedschlag The impact of the UK's EU exit on the attractiveness of Northern Ireland to FDI and associated job creation effects

Thang Nguyen-Quoc Does local industrial structure matter for export survival?

Laura Hering, Sandra Poncet, Julien Gourdon, Stephanie Monjon Trade policy repercussions: the role of local product space: evidence from China

Guzin Emel Akkus The sectoral employment effects of international trade and productivity in the manufacturing industry of Turkey

Andrea Ariu Fighting gravity: goods and services traders against distance

Wolfgang Lechthaler, Mariya Mileva The dynamic and distributional aspects of import tariffs

12:50-14:00 Lunch, Ground Floor

14:00-15:40 G1 LABOUR G2 FDI, MNE + FIRM

ORGANIZATION G3 MIGRATION G4 TRADE POLICY

G5 ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY

G6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY G7 TRADE POLICY

14:00-14:20

Hedieh Aghelmaleki, Ronald Bachmann, Joel Stiebale The China shock, employment protection, and European jobs

Nevine El-Mallakh, Maria Bas The effect of FDI liberalization on manufacturing firms’ technology upgrading

Barthelemy Bonadio Migrants, trade and market access: an analysis of US states

Loe Franssen, Ahmed Boutorat, Tommy Span The impact of trade missions on export market entry

Javier Quintana Gonzalez Import competition, regional divergence and the rise of the skilled city

Astrid Krenz The gender gap in international trade: female-run firms and the exporter productivity premium

Angie Mounir, Ahmed Boutorat, Loe Franssen, Marcel Van Den Berg Exporting for better or for worse? Occasional exporters in the Netherlands

14:20-14:40

Giulia Sabbadini, Léa Marchal Import competition, firms’ growth and immigrant workers

Apoorva Gupta, Richard Kneller, Maria Garcia-Vega Fire-sale FDI and firm performance: evidence from Spain

Tobias Mueller, Andrea Ariu, Tuan Nguyen How do labor markets adjust to immigration? The role of firm heterogeneity in a regional setting

Giulia Felice, Emanuele Forlani, Giorgio Barba Navaretti, Paolo Giorgio Garella Non-tariff measures and competitiveness

Helge Zille The effect of violent conflicts on trade with third-party countries: evidence from a country-triadic analysis

Per Botolf Maurseth, Hege Medin Internet use, intermediaries and international trade

Christian Soegaard, Robin Naylor The effects of entry in oligopolistic trade with bargained input prices


14:40-15:00

Tibor Besedes, Seung Hoon Lee, Tongyang Yang Trade liberalization and female welfare: dimensions of adjustment in the United States

Vladimir Tyazhelnikov, Edwin Jiang Shadow offshoring and complementarity in product space

Lea Marchal, Claire Naiditch, Betül Simsek How aid impacts migration flows once again

Sofia Gouveia, Anthony Macedo, João Rebelo A fractional econometric approach applied to wine exports

Dennis Novy, Holger Breinlich, João Santos Silva Trade, gravity and aggregation

Yoshinori Kurokawa, Zhe Chen Do exporters respond to both tariffs and nominal exchange rates? Evidence from Chinese firm-product data

Volodymyr Shportyuk, Veronika Movchan The impact of TBT harmonization with the EU norms on Ukraine’s international trade

15:00-15:20

Jeanne Tschopp, German Pupato, Ben Sand Estimating the gains from trade in frictional local labor markets

Domenico Favoino Vertical integration and relational ties: the case for Italian consortia

Eva Hagsten, Martin Falk Potential of European universities as hosts for Marie Curie grantees

Christophe Charlier, Patrice Bougette Subsidies and countervailing measures in the EU biofuel industry: a welfare analysis

Wolfgang Keller, Simon Janssen, Hale Utar, Ehsan Vallizadeh Technology hub or periphery? An analysis of structural change in the German coal belt

Lu Han The mutable geography of Firms’ international trade: evidence and macroeconomic implications

Amrei Stammann, Julian Hinz, Joschka Wanner Bias-corrected dynamic fixed effects estimation of the extensive margin of trade

15:20-15:40

Leandro Navarro Uncertainty in global sourcing: learning, sequential offshoring, and selection patterns

Robert Owen, Bernard Franck Human Capital Formation, International Migration and Incentives in a Heterogeneous

Oleksandr Shepotylo, Karen Jackson Risky business: trade and political stability along the Belt and Road

Mario Larch, Matthias Flückiger, Erik Hornung, Markus Ludwig, Allard Mees Roman transport network connectivity and economic integration

Selim Cagatay The impacts of the possible TTIP agreement on Turkey’s foreign trade


16:10-16:15 Conference announcements, Plenary Room, Second Floor

16:15-17:00 PLENARY SESSION 3, Plenary Room, Second Floor Chair: Joseph Francois Cecilia Bellora, Lionel Fontagné

Shooting oneself in the foot? Trade war and global value chains

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