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European Labour Market and Welfare Systems Jean Monnet Chair in European Integration Studies Prof. PASQUALE TRIDICO

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Page 1: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

European Labour Market and Welfare Systems

Jean Monnet Chair in European Integration Studies

Prof. PASQUALE TRIDICO

Page 2: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously
Page 3: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Globalization

What are the characteristics of the globalization phenomenon?

What are the components of the globalization process

How does this relate to history

The same trend does not always have the same impact everywhere

What are the pros and cons of Globalization?

Page 4: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Globalization-Something New?

It’s been a long time coming, but now it is happening furiously fast—and that is part of the problem.

So, to “what is it?” and “why is it happening?” we have to add: “is the pace of globalization accelerating—and the answer is a definite “yes”

Page 5: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

WHAT IS GLOBALIZATION?

1) Whole world interconnected

- interdependence of all parts of world

2) Intensification of world-wide phenomena

3) Trans-national relations

- erosion of national boundaries

4) “Domino effects”

- events have long-distance ramifications e.g. September 11

Page 6: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

WHAT IS GLOBALIZATION? 5) Alteration of space

- distances shortened

- technological changes

6) Alteration of time

- things happen quicker

7) Sense of “globality” /

Global consciousness

- experience all places as interdependent

- “the whole planet”

- “the whole of humankind”

Page 7: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Early Globalization

Page 8: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Key Elements: THEN

Page 9: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Key Elements--NOW

Page 10: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

What are the Components? 1.

Broad Category: Technology

Instant, cheap Worldwide Communications—cell phone, www(availability at the individual level)

International (instant)financial and capital transfers

Increased scale and frequency of air transport

Container ships

Page 11: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Definitions of Globalization

Political, economic, social and cultural aspects

“an immense enlargement of

world communication and a

world market” (Fredric Jameson)

- capitalist market spreads everywhere

- the negative consequences of capitalism spread globally

Page 12: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Definitions of Globalization

“the intensification of world-wide social relations” (Anthony Giddens)

- - “stretching” of social relations across the globe

- - communications and media technologies

“the compression of the world and the intensification of consciousness of the world as a whole” (Roland Robertson)

- - world becomes “smaller”

- - world is experienced as “one place”

Page 13: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

0

2000000

4000000

6000000

8000000

10000000

12000000

1980 1985 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2006

FDI in Developed countries and in the World

world FDI inward stock (millions US$)

world FDI outward stock (millions US$)

DevC FDI inward stock (millions US$)

DevC FDI outward stock (millions US$)

Page 14: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Global trade intensification

World Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)

World Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)

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0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

4,5

Foreign Direct Investments in percent of World GDP

FDI, net inflows (% of GDP)

Page 16: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Definitions of Globalization

Deterritorialization:

“a process (or set of processes) which embodies a transformation in the spatial organization of social relations and transactions - assessed in terms of their extensity, intensity, velocity and impact - generating transcontinental or inter-regional flows and networks of activity” (David Held)

1) Processes across and beyond nation-states

2) Processes across whole regions e.g. European Union

Page 17: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

History of Globalization Last 30 years

- Electronic communications technology

- Cheap air travel

- Spread of capitalism after fall of Communism in 1989 and 1991

- Development of a truly “global” capitalism

Page 18: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Component 2

Broad Category: Information

Instant dispersal of news by satellite TV, www, fax (but what news and whose?)

Competition is worldwide, not local or national

Very hard to keep a secret

Page 19: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Components 3

Broad Category: Culture

Increasingly a “global village,” but a Western one watching the same TV, music videos, news, soaps. Reaction to this?

Rise of a “global language.” Why? Whose?

Smaller cultures may feel threatened

Page 20: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Component 4

Broad Category: Environment and Health

Global environmental problems (Ozone, global “warming,” sea-level change

AIDS, Ebola, ??

Global plunder of common pool resources—ocean, forests…..

Page 21: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Component 5

Broad Category: Crime and Terrorism

“International” crime, Russian Mafia

Terrorists in caves in Afghanistan threaten lower Manhattan

International crime does not play by the rules of “states,” and may be better organized than some, and “own” others.

Page 22: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Component 6

A global population?

The rich countries remain rich, and a declining proportion of world population

The poor countries remain poor, and a rapidly expanding part of the worlds population (95% of the growth)

Hence the pressure to move to the rich countries, legally or illegally

Page 23: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

The Information Revolution

The Internet

The WWW

Instant Dispersal of News & Information

The Rise of a Global Media Village?

The Personalization of communications: the cell/mobile phone system, and its increasing capacity.

Page 24: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Information: Downside?

But, what information is becoming global? But whose news is becoming global?

What is this doing to cultures and communities?

Does Globalization = Westernization =Americanization? Does it matter?

Are we evolving a global language? What are the consequences of this?

Page 25: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Is This Globalization?

Page 26: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Trans-national mobility of:

1) money & wealth

- through computer technology

2) jobs, goods & services

3) business-people

“Trans-national business class” (Leslie Sklair)

A new global elite

Page 27: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Trans-national Corporations (TNCs)

- e.g. Coca-Cola, Nike, Gap, Nokia, News International

Investment in countries

- cheap labour, low taxes

Mobility of capital:

- pull out of one country and move elsewhere:

Page 28: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Increasing World Trade (Billions of

US$)

20 33 21 53 94 154574

1.972

3.824

7.465

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

1913

1928

1933

1948

1958

1963

1973

1983

1993

2001

Year

Wo

rld

Exp

ort

s (

US

$

Bil

lio

ns)

Page 29: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Merchandise Exports as percentage of GDP in 1990 prices, world and major regions, 1870-1998 ______________________________________________ 1870 1913 1950 1773 1998 ______________________________________________ Western Europe 8.8 14.1 8.7 18.7 35.8 Eastern Europe & former USSR 3.3 4.7 3.8 6.3 12.7 Latin America 9.7 9.0 6.0 4.7 9.7 Asia 1.7 3.4 4.2 9.6 12.6 Africa 5.8 20.0 15.1 18.4 14.8 World 4.6 7.9 5.5 10.5 17.2 ______________________________________________

Page 30: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Who Manages Globalization?

There is no world government, so who regulates and controls the process? Mostly UN agencies, but they require the compliance of all member states, and the UN does not make law.

Do states ever put the global priority ahead of their own? Plus, we have rich, strong states, and poor weak ones.

Page 31: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Free trade: no national barriers to trade

Neo-liberal ideology:

free markets = no State interference in economy = wealth for all

World Trade Organisation (WTO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

Reduction of a government’s control of its country’s economy

Page 32: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

The “Real” World and the “Political” World

This

Or

This-----------

The big difference is, of course, that the one on the left will still be going in 2 billion years; the one on the right, well, don’t put money

on it.

Page 33: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Globalization—The Really Scary Part Part 1—the Good Old Days

Plague Famine

Page 34: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Globalization—The Really Scary Part Part 2—Today

AIDS

SARS

EBOLA

?

Melting Ice Sheets, Flooded Coasts, Global Warming?

Terrorism

Page 35: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Globalization—The

…poverty…...

Page 36: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously
Page 37: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

For Lucas (1993), international trade contributes to stimulate economic growth through a process of structural change and capital accumulation Capital accumulation is determined by “learning by doing” and “learning by schooling” in a process of knowledge and innovation spillovers. A country that protects its goods from international competition by raising tariffs on goods made with intensive skilled work will have as an effect a domestic increase in the price of goods that use intensive skilled work. Skilled workers’ wages will increase and R&D will be more expensive. Consecutively, investments in R&D will decrease, and growth will be affected negatively. On the contrary, deleting tariffs on those goods will cause a reduction in the price of goods that use intensive skilled work. R&D will cost less, and investments in R&D will increase, with positive effects on growth (Lucas, 1993). Policies should therefore address such problems and should create conditions for effective and substantial R&D investments.

Pro and cons…. Advantages of globalisation

Page 38: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

uneven development is caused mainly by liberalisation and trade intensification via wage differentials. This risk was already raised by Stolper and Samuelson: according to the Stolper-Samuelson theorem, market integration increases economic inequality and vulnerability because increased international trade raises the incomes of the owners of abundant factors and reduces the incomes of the owners of scarce factors. Since advanced industrial countries are more capital-intensive economies and abundant with skilled labour, trade is expected to be beneficial for capital-intensive economies and skilled labour and detrimental for unskilled labour, increasing income inequality, and for labour-intensive economies, increasing regional disparities.

…but inequality increases… Why? in theory

Page 39: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

…BUT inequality…..

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Page 46: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Compensation financial sector and other sectors

Avg compensation financial sector

Avg Compensation other sectors

Source: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (2011)

Page 47: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Ratio between manager and average workers

compensation in USA Fonte: ILO 2010

Page 48: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Scarier Still

We have global crime—financial, drug-related etc., perhaps the largest single element in international trade

A Man in a cave in Afghanistan can kill 3000 people in lower Manhattan

International crime does not play by the rules of states—or anyone else—and may be better-equipped.

Page 49: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

To Recap: Globalization

Is Driven by Technology

Is seen as threatening cultures because it is equated with Westernization

Increases the pace at which everything happens: capital transfers, spread of disease, change of culture…

May be changing our global environment, but can states manage the globe?

Who runs the world????

Page 50: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Globalization of Economy

Right-wing view (e.g. Francis Fukuyama):

- free trade benefits all countries

- poorer countries’ economies develop and citizens get richer

- capitalism brings with it the benefits of

consumerism

democracy

human rights

- “Global Village”

Page 51: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Left-wing view

e.g. Noam Chomsky, Zygmunt Bauman

World united in some ways

- especially economically: world-wide capitalist market

- Habermas: world-wide capitalist system; colonizes local life-worlds

World divided in other ways

- increasing wealth in Developed World, increasing poverty in Developing World

- globalization works in Western interests

Page 52: European Labour Market and Welfare Systemshost.uniroma3.it/centri/jeanmonnet/pdf/Globalization.pdf ·  · 2014-05-08European Labour Market and Welfare Systems ... happening furiously

Immanuel Wallerstein: World-Systems Theory

1) Globalization = new form of imperialism

2) Not direct but indirect

Not political but economic control

3) Globalization based on rich “core”

nations and poor “periphery” nations

4) Developing world debt

5) Job insecurity in core nations:

- Decline of manufacturing

- “off-shoring”