evaluation of recovery options for cheakamus river steelhead josh korman carl walters steve martell...
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Evaluation of Recovery Options for Cheakamus River Steelhead
Josh Korman
Carl Walters
Steve Martell
Eric Taylor
Key Components to Develop a Science-Based Recovery Strategy
• Define Problem– Extent of mortality due to spill– Time to recovery
• Clarify Objectives – Recover population to pre-spill abundance– Wild population, fishery
• Identify Recovery Actions– Habitat enhancement, hatchery supplementation, fishery closures, do nothing
• Analyze and Screen Recovery Actions– Probability of success, risks, costs
• Implement and monitor
The Problem
McCubbing, Melville, Wilson, and Foy, 2006 (Draft)
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1 3 4 5 6 8
Reach
Fis
h p
er 1
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2 u
nit
(F
PU
)2000
2001
2005
The Problem (con’t)
Re
ach
3 S
ite B
, 0
Re
ach
3 S
ite B
, 0
Re
ach
8 S
ite A
, 0
Re
ach
8 S
ite A
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Re
ach
8 S
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, 0
Re
ach
8 S
ite A
, 0
Re
ach
8 S
ite A
, 0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
14 July2005
18 July2005
25 July2005
2 Aug2005
7 Aug2005
14 Aug2005
21 Aug2005
29 Aug2005
5 Sept2005
12 Sept2005
Date
Fis
h/m
2
Reach 3 Site B
Reach 8 Site A
McCubbing, Melville, Wilson, and Foy, 2006 (Draft)
The Problem (con’t)
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1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Sp
aw
ne
rs
CN Spill2003 Flood
?
?
Pessimistic(35 yrs, 2041)
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1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
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1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Sp
aw
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rsOptimistic(15 yrs, 2021)
Recovery Objectives
• Wild population recovery (don’t count hatchery fish).
• Minimize recovery time to reduce risks to population viability.
Bad Good Natural Recovery
Wood Fertilize Angling Closure
Hatchery
Time to Recovery
slow slow slow fast
Genetic risk low low low low
Population risk due to low abundance
moderate moderate moderate low
Feasibility low low high high
Community Impact
high high high low
CN Cost high low low high
Relative Fitness of Hatchery-Origin Fish Spawning in the Wild
Winter Run Steelhead on Hood River (Blouin 2003)
• Hatchery-born breeders averaged 93% of fitness of pure wild breeders over 3 brood years (one generation).
• Hatchery would have provided major demographic boost as each wild fish taken into hatchery produced 5 to 14-fold more wild-born fish than did a wild fish left to spawn naturally.
Smolts/spawner Marine survival rate
Adult returns per spawner
Adult returns per spawner after fitness adjustment
Wild 45 4% 2 2
Hatchery 1000 1.3% 13 12
http://www.certc.ca/Meeting/CERTCOpenHouseInfoPanels8-Feb-2006.pdf
Conservation Fish Cultureas defined by MoE Policy
• “a specialized and experimental form of hatchery intervention designed to prevent extinction of a population or species…..the primary focus of conservation fish culture is to protect the natural genetic integrity of the population. Such a program requires a carefully designed breeding plan and release strategy to mimic what would happen in the wild. These programs are planned to be “temporary”, usually lasting for one generation.”
Key Elements of Experimental Short-Term Hatchery Supplementation Program
• 30-40 wild spawners taken in both 2006 and 2007 (?)
• Smolts released in 2007 and 2008 (@ 1 yr) producing adult returns in 2009-2011
• Repeat 2-yr cycle with brood from 2011-12 if necessary based on return rate of wild fish and science objectives
• Independent panel to design and evaluate program
• Predetermined ‘hatchery stopping’ rules and criteria to determine when recovery has occurred
Large Woody Debris and Fertilization
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
Spawners
Sm
olt
s
No Fertilization (BY 76-94) Best-Fit (BY 76-94)Fertilization (BY 95-01) Best-Fit Slope (BY 95-01)
Replace (@ MS=0.17) Replace (@ MS=0.03)
B. Ward, MoEKeogh River
Arithmetic of Proposed 2-Yr Hatchery Program in 2010
Hatchery Wild (with hatchery)
Wild (without hatchery)
Spawners (2006) 40
Smolts (2007) 40000
Returns (2009/10) 470 40 40
F1 Smolts (2011/13) 6,900 590 1,200
Monitoring Elements of Hatchery Plan• Genotype all fish spawned in hatchery
• Matrix-spawn and ensure representative releases for each cross by sampling juveniles (rear in aggregated groups)
• Continue escapement estimates
• Determine wild:hatchery ratio of returns and obtain DNA samples for natural spawners via coordinated angler program
• Determine reproductive success of natural spawning hatchery-origin fish from outmigrant surveys, and DNA samples
• Radio tag wild and returning adults (spawning behaviour, wild-hatchery interactions, improved escapement estimates)
• Radio/acoustic tag hatchery smolts to evaluate residualization and improve outmigrant estimates for steelhead
Feasibility of Proposed Habitat Improvements for Cheakamus is Very Low
• Likelihood of structures remaining in place
• Scale of habitat additions is too small
• LWD-boating conflict
• River is already productive• Average invertebrate density across all seasons and locations was 31,151animals/m2 in 1996, and 52,959
animals/m2 in 2000. • Densities are very high and are at the top end of values found in other oligotrophic systems receiving some
level of nutrient enrichment (Perrin 2001)
• Nutrient addition? Conflict between proposal and Whistler STP upgrade-Squamish residents
Those that support use of a short-term steelhead hatchery program to speed recovery and/or more
transparent, science-based decision making
Squamish First Nation District of SquamishBC Federation of Drift Fishers CN EnvironmentBC Wildlife Federation Dept. Fisheries and OceansNorth Vancouver Outdoor School Sport Fish Advisory BoardPacific Salmon Foundation Sport Fish InstituteSquamish River Watershed Society Resort Muni. of WhistlerSouth Coast Steelhead Coalition Squamish Anglers AssociationSquamish StreemkeepersWhistler Angling ClubSquamish Environmental Conservation Society
The Problem (con’t)
0%
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25%
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Size Range (mm)
% o
f F
ish
McCubbing, Melville, Wilson, and Foy, 2006 (Draft)
Be careful of making an “Apples to Oranges” comparison re. Cheakamus and other evaluations