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Portfolio Review – First Quarter 2018
Q1
Portfolio Review – xxx Quarter 20xx
Evolution 40i60e Model Portfolio
22
Portfolio Review – First Quarter 2018 as at March 31, 2018
Evolution 40i60e Model PortfolioStandard geographic asset allocation and blend of investment styles including alpha
OverviewDiversified portfolios capture gains from asset classes and security types that are performing well, while limiting exposure to those that are underperforming. Evolution’s portfolios are diversified not only across asset classes such as equities, bonds and real estate, but also by country, market capitalization, industry sector and investment style. CI Multi-Asset Management combines its portfolio construction expertise with ongoing comprehensive research and recommendations from State Street Global Advisors, one of the world’s largest investment management companies, to create portfolios designed to capture evolving opportunities in the various asset classes. Each Evolution portfolio consists of a number of United and CI mutual funds. The information in the Portfolio Performance and Activity sections below is an aggregate of the underlying funds that make up the portfolio.
Portfolio PerformanceBased on net returns and representative of Class E shares of the underlying United Funds and Class A shares of the underlying Cambridge Canadian Equity Corporate Class, Synergy American Corporate Class and Signature Emerging Markets Corporate Class funds. Returns are rounded to one decimal place.
1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years Since Inception (September 2008)
-0.4% -1.0% 2.0% 3.2% 4.0% 8.0% 7.6%
ActivityThis report is designed to provide you with an up-to-date look at the Evolution 40i60e Model Portfolio, including the allocations by type of underlying investment and geographic region. The arrows indicate whether the allocation for each category has increased or decreased since the previous quarter-end.
24.8%17.2%16.0%11.8%11.4%7.9%4.9%3.5%2.5%
— — — — — — — — —
79.8%18.9%1.3%
— — —
33.2%31.9%17.9%4.3%3.9%3.4%1.4%1.4%1.3%1.2%
— — — — — — — — — —
— — — — — — — — — — ——
24,8 %17,2 %16,0 %11,8 %11,4 %7,9 %4,9 %3,5 %2,5 %
— — — — — — —— —
79,8 %18,9 %1,3 %
— — —
33,2 %31,9 %17,9 %4,3 %3,9 %3,4 %1,4 %1,4 %1,3 %1,2 %
— — — — — — — — — —
— — — — — — — — — — ——
Equity Market Cap
Underlying Investments
Equity Industry Sector
Geographic Regions
Capitalisation boursière
Placements sous-jacents
Actions par secteur
Régions géographiques
18.6%13.2%12.6%11.4%
9.3%9.3%7.2%6.5%6.1%4.0%1.6%0.2%
18,6 %13,2 %12,6 %11,4 %
9,3 %9,3 %7,2 %6,5 %6,1 %4,0 %1,6 %0,2 %
▲ Large-cap▼ Mid-cap▼ Small-cap
▲ Financial services▲ Information technology▲ Real estate▲ Industrials■ Energy▼ Consumer discretionary▲ Consumer staples▼ Health care▼ Materials▼ Utilities■ Telecommunication services▼ Other
▼ Canada▲ U.S.▼ Cash and other countries▼ Emerging markets▲ U.K.▼ Japan▲ Germany▼ Cayman Islands▼ Switzerland▼ Bermuda
▲ U.S. equity■ Canadian bond▼ Canadian equity▲ European equity▲ Foreign bond
■ Cash■ Asian equity▼ Emerging markets equity▼ Other equity
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Portfolio Review – First Quarter 2018 as at March 31, 2018
Evolution 40i60e Model PortfolioStandard geographic asset allocation and blend of investment styles including alpha
Portfolio Target Allocations
Income and Real Estate 40%
Canadian Fixed Income Corporate Class 21%
Real Estate Investment Corporate Class 7%
Global Fixed Income Corporate Class 6%
Enhanced Income Corporate Class 6%
Canadian Equity 23%
Cambridge Canadian Equity Corporate Class 8%
Canadian Equity Alpha Corporate Class 6%
Canadian Equity Value Corporate Class 5%
Canadian Equity Small Cap Corporate Class 4%
U.S. Equity 18%
Synergy American Corporate Class 6%
US Equity Value Corporate Class 4%
US Equity Alpha Corporate Class 4%
US Equity Small Cap Corporate Class 4%
International Equity 19%
International Equity Growth Corporate Class 5%
Signature Emerging Markets Corporate Class 5%
International Equity Alpha Corporate Class 5%
International Equity Value Corporate Class 4%
Top Ten Holdings
Ontario Province 3.5% 02Jun24 1.1%
Ontario Province 2.4% 02Jun26 1.0%
Ontario Province 2.6% 02Jun25 0.9%
Quebec Province 2.5% 01Sep26 0.8%
Athene Holding Ltd. 0.8%
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. 0.8%
Microsoft Corp. 0.8%
Canada Gov't Bond 1.25% 01Feb20 0.7%
Atco Ltd. 0.7%
SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. 0.7%
24
Portfolio Review – First Quarter 2018 as at March 31, 2018
Evolution 40i60e Model PortfolioStandard geographic asset allocation and blend of investment styles including alpha
Portfolio CommentaryThe portfolio declined 1% during the quarter, slightly underperforming its
benchmark (40% FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index, 30% S&P/TSX
Composite Index, 30% MSCI World Index C$), which fell 0.9%.
In the equity portion, Canadian information technology and energy stocks
made positive contributions to relative performance, while international
consumer staples and industrials holdings detracted. In the income portion,
global bonds and U.S.-dollar exposure made positive contributions to
relative performance, while diversified exposure to global listed real estate,
infrastructure and dividend-paying equities detracted.
Global equity markets soared in January, continuing 2017’s gains. In early
February, however, market volatility resurfaced and stocks declined, as
very positive U.S. economic data prompted investor concerns about rising
inflation. Valuations recovered during the ensuing weeks, but markets were
roiled again in late March by rising international trade tensions.
The North American energy and materials sectors were among the weakest
during the quarter. Information technology was a top performer, although
gains achieved early in the period were reduced by later losses. The S&P/
TSX Composite Index lagged global equity markets due to its heavy
weightings in the resource sectors and its under-representation in sectors
that outperformed, including information technology. The Canadian dollar
depreciated against its U.S. counterpart, which created positive returns in
foreign markets for Canadian investors after currency conversion.
Central banks worldwide continued to weigh their options for scaling back
monetary policies designed to stimulate the economy. Despite continuing
economic growth, the Bank of Canada in early March maintained the
target for its key overnight interest rate at 1.25%, citing international
trade uncertainties. The U.S. Federal Reserve, under new Chairman Jerome
Powell, raised its target range for the federal funds rate by one-quarter of
a percentage point, based on a stronger economic outlook. This was in
line with market expectations. Government bond yields rose early in the
quarter, reflecting the market’s optimism for continued global growth and
expectations of higher interest rates.
In the income portion of the portfolio, our core goals remain preserving
capital and outpacing inflation over a three-year period. We focus on
careful portfolio construction and asset allocation, built on a foundation of
government bonds for safety and income. Interest rate sensitivity is hedged
by diversifying into other asset classes, such as gold bullion, corporate
bonds and stocks. Within the corporate bond portion, we maintain a short
term to maturity as we near the latter stages of the economic cycle, when
credit defaults could become more frequent.
Currency hedging detracted from relative performance during the quarter,
after playing a positive role in 2017 when it mitigated some foreign
investment losses. Nonetheless, we continue to attempt to limit the effects
of exchange rate fluctuations by maintaining our long-standing, partial
hedge on the portfolio.
Our market outlook has not changed from the previous quarter, and we
believe equity valuations are nearing their peaks. While we believe it is
possible for corporate earnings to continue to grow, market prosperity could
be threatened by macroeconomic developments in such areas as global
trade, credit conditions, sovereign and household debts, and central bank
policies. We will monitor these threats closely and will continue to use
derivatives to help manage the risk of stock market decline.
The U.S. deficit and debt expansion are significant concerns, as we believe
these will weaken the U.S. dollar. We are decreasing our U.S. exposure by
selling assets denominated in the greenback and increasing our hedge ratio.
With correlation increasing between asset classes (equities and bonds)
and declining among stock prices, true active management – employing
both asset allocation and security selection – is more important than
ever. Moreover, active management thrives during periods of high market
volatility, while a passive approach is exposed to the fluctuations of the
entire market.
Our equity allocation is more diversified than that of the Canadian economy
and the S&P/TSX Composite Index. Our largest underweight allocation
relative to the index is in the financials sector and the positioning within
the sector is more diversified than the benchmark. We had overweight
exposure to defensive sectors, such as health care and consumer staples,
and were underweight in cyclical and interest-rate-sensitive sectors, such
as energy and telecommunications services.
25
Portfolio Review – First Quarter 2018 as at March 31, 2018
Evolution 40i60e Model PortfolioStandard geographic asset allocation and blend of investment styles including alpha
Despite our underweighting in Canada, holding domestic assets nonetheless
caused some downside, as investors were focused on negative economic
issues, such as high household debt, low oil prices and trade uncertainties.
However, we consider this a very restrictive view of domestic equities,
which we see as increasingly offering better value than other markets. We
continue to look for opportunities in areas that have been out of favour
and under-bought, but in which investment fundamentals remain strong.
The Canadian equity portion outperformed the market. The portfolio
has underweight allocations to the resources and financials sectors, and
overweight positions in other areas such as utilities and consumer staples
– positioning that we believe enhances risk-adjusted return potential.
Cambridge Canadian Equity Corporate Class’s exposure to the U.S. dollar,
overweight allocation to the information technology sector and stock
selection in energy added relative value.
The U.S. equity portion underperformed the broader U.S. markets. The
portfolio has overweight allocations to the materials and financials sectors,
and underweight positions in other areas such as consumer discretionary
and health care. The U.S. Equity Alpha pool’s underweight allocation
to information technology and consumer discretionary as well as stock
selection in financials detracted from relative value.
We held a market hedge through S&P 500 derivatives to limit portfolio
volatility. This hedge remains in place and will be removed only when the
risk-return trade-off becomes favourable.
The international equity portion underperformed the broader international
equity markets. The International Alpha Equity pool’s holdings in consumer
staples and industrials detracted from relative value. Currency hedging
detracted from performance as the Canadian dollar depreciated against
most major currencies. An allocation to emerging markets added value
over the quarter.
This portion had an overweight allocation to information technology, and
was underweight industrials, real estate and utilities. Geographically, we
had overweight exposure to emerging markets, mainly in Asia and Latin
America, and were significantly underweight Australia and Japan.
Alfred Lam, CFA, Senior Vice-President and Chief Investment Officer Yoonjai Shin, CFA, Vice-President and Portfolio Manager Marchello Holditch, CFA, Vice-President Milica Stojanovic, Associate Director Andrew Ashworth, MBA, CFA Desta Tadesse, Analyst Zoe Li, Junior Analyst
Portfolio management teamsIn the Evolution Private Managed Accounts program
Evolution Private Managed Accounts is a program that provides strategic asset allocation across a series of portfolios comprised of United and CI mutual funds and is managed by CI Investments Inc. (“CII”). Evolution Private Managed Accounts is not a mutual fund. CII provides portfolio management and investment advisory services as a registered advisor under applicable securities legislation.
Evolution Private Managed Accounts is available through Assante Financial Management Ltd. and Assante Capital Management Ltd., affiliates of CII. The principal business of CII is the management, marketing, distribution and administration of mutual funds, segregated funds and other fee-earning investment products for Canadian investors. If you invest in CII products, CII will earn ongoing asset management fees in accordance with applicable prospectus or other offering documents.
All commentaries are published by CII, the manager of all the funds described herein. They are provided as a general source of information and should not be considered personal investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Every effort has been made to ensure that the material contained in the commentaries is accurate at the time of publication. However, CII cannot guarantee their accuracy or completeness and accepts no responsibility for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on the information contained herein.
This report may contain forward-looking statements about the funds, future performance, strategies or prospects, and possible future fund action. These statements reflect the portfolio managers’ current beliefs and are based on information currently available to them. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these statements as a number of factors could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement, including economic, political and market changes and other developments.
All indexes quoted in this document are reported on a total return basis, which assumes the reinvestment of all dividends and other cash distributions.
Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments and the use of an asset allocation service. Please read the prospectus of the mutual funds in which investment may be made under the asset allocation service before investing. The indicated rates of return are the historical annual compounded total returns assuming the investment strategy recommended by the asset allocation service is used and after deduction of the fees and charges in respect of the service. The returns are based on the historical annual compounded total returns of the participating funds including changes in share unit value and reinvestment of all dividends or distributions and do not take into account sales, redemption, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any securityholder in respect of a participating fund that would have reduced returns. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. ™Signature Global Asset Management, Signature Funds and CI Multi-Asset Management are trademarks of CII.® Evolution, Cambridge, CI Investments, the CI Investments design, Harbour Advisors and Harbour Funds are registered trademarks of CII. Cambridge Global Asset Management is a division of CII. Certain funds associated with Cambridge Global Asset Management are sub-advised by CI Global Investments Inc., a firm registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and an affiliate of CII. ™1832 Asset Management L.P. and the 1832 Asset Management design are trademarks of The Bank of Nova Scotia, used under licence. All trademarks used under licence. Published May 2018.
1804-0713_E (05/18)
For more information on Evolution Private Managed Accounts, please contact your advisor or visit www.assante.com