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  • 8/10/2019 Exchange Magazine 1

    1/18Exchange 2008 I 2nd Quarter I 1

    Quarter 2Issue 2008

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    VOLVO

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    vsop & xo

    Distributed by Distell Kenya Ltd [email protected] (Nairobi) or [email protected] (Mombasa)

    ELEGANCE

    Style is rarely ever spoken of

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    Tea, a major contributor to Kenyas

    GDP under the agricultural sector

    Taking you away from the office will bring a leap into your creativity. Immersing you into ourexperience will inspire you. Meet the world as you unwind.

    Let all your worlds connectThe world blends here.

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    Letter

    fromthe

    Chairman

    In recent years, there has been much made of the rise in the

    economic and political clout of China and India. The global

    commodities boom kick-started by surging demand from

    China and India has benefited Africas resource-rich states.

    At the November 2006, Beijing Summit of the China-Africa Cooperation

    Forum, leaders of China and 48 African countries agreed to establish

    and develop a new type of strategic partnership, featuring political

    equality, mutual trust, mutually beneficial economic cooperation and

    cultural exchanges. Chinese President Hu Jintao, announced at the

    summit 8 steps to consolidate the new type of strategic partnership

    between China and Africa, including further opening Chinas markets

    to exports f rom Africas least developed countries by increasing the

    number of products receiving zero-tariff treatment from 190 to 440.

    The measures also included building three to five trade and economic

    cooperation zones in Africa in the next three years, providing $ 3.0 billion

    dollars in preferential loans and $ 2.0 billion dollars in preferential buyerscredits to African countries and training 15,000 African professionals.

    To implement the summits commitment, President Hu chose to visit 8

    African countries as his first overseas tour at the beginning of 2007.

    The 2008 India-Africa Summit was held from April 4-8, 2008 in New

    Delhi. It was the first ever such meeting between the heads of state and

    government of India and 14 countries of Africa chosen by the African

    Union. The summit adopted two documents, the Delhi Declaration and

    the Africa-India Framework for Cooperation, with an aim to enhance the

    true partnership to achieve the Millennium Development Goals. The Delhi

    Declaration is a political document that covers issues of bilateral, regional

    and international interest to India and Africa, including their commonpositions on UN reforms, climate change, the World Trade Organization

    (WTO), and anti-terrorism, to name afew. The Framework for Cooperation

    covers agreed areas of cooperation in many sectors including education,

    science and technology, agricultural productivity, food security, industrial

    growth, infrastructure and the development of the health sector.

    In his inaugural address, Indian Prime Minister Manohan Singh announced

    India will double financial credit to Africa to $ US 5.4 billion dollars in the next

    five years, and provide preferential market access for exports from all 50 least

    developed countries, including 34 of Africa. Prime Minister Singh described

    Africa as the land of awakening, adding that the two billion people of India

    and Africa could set an example of fruitful partnership. The India-Africa

    trade volume has increased by 285 percent to $ US 25 billion dollars in thelast four years. According to the latest survey conducted by the Federation

    of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, this has raised Africas share

    in Indias global trade from 5.8 percent in 2002-03 to 8 percent in 2006-07.

    The articles in this edition intend to inspire debate on how African

    policy makers, and businesses can position themselves to take up

    the arising opportunities and to successfully mitigate accompanying

    challenges - soaring food, energy costs, environmental degradation

    and reserving/conserving resources for Africas own people.

    Thank you for your attention.

    CHAIRMAN OF THE EDITORIAL COMMITTEE OF THE EXCHANGE

    Chairmans Noteword from the chair

    Simon Rutega

    Chief Executive Officer

    Uganda Securities Exchange

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    This optimistic economic outlook is

    premised on the governments commitment

    to redirect public investment to the critical

    growth sectors, the finance minister

    said. Although the country has seen

    economic progress over the past decade,

    it has unfortunately been largely buoyed

    by external support, leaving the nations

    growth prospects bound in a numberof ways by its external supporters.

    On inflation, Uganda has had a strong track

    record of maintaining price stability with

    inflation at an average of about 4.8 per cent

    for the past 12 years. The governments

    objective has been to keep inflation

    below five per cent and this has been the

    cornerstone in achieving and maintaining

    macroeconomic stability. Dishearteningly

    though, annual headline inflation (all items)

    and core inflation (excludes electricity, utilities,

    food and fuel) inflation in February 2008

    were at 7.8 and 7.9 per cent respectively.Still, last Decembers political crisis in

    neighbouring Kenya the countrys

    gateway to the sea, significantly affected

    the movement of goods and services,

    especially petroleum products.

    Consequently, this exerted pressure on most

    goods and services. By the end of April 2008,

    there was also an increase in regional demand

    for food items particularly from Southern

    Sudan and this coupled with low supplies and

    the increase in the retail price of soda to cater

    for the increased cost of production, whichled to a rise in monthly headline inflation.

    This trend has persisted. As of May 2008

    Ugandas inflation soared to double

    digits of 11.8 per cent a rate that was

    last encountered over a decade ago.

    Regional Analysis

    the

    integrat ion

    agenda

    Market Movement

    Story by Dennis KawumaKampala

    Even in the face of rising food and fuel

    prices across the globe, with most

    forecasts looking grim, Ugandas

    economy can still be ably described as

    one that is filled with hope and promise.

    Needless to say, the bear realities still do

    exist for Ugandans to contend with.

    Conversely though, all these exist as progress

    even though modest, being made withplausible consistency. Presenting the 2008/09

    budget speech to Parliament, Ugandas

    Finance Minister Dr Ezra Suruma said the

    countrys economy grew at 8.9 per cent.

    This is considerably higher than the growth

    rate of 6.5 per cent which we projected

    in last years budget, Dr Suruma said.

    The countrys 2008/09 total budget is at

    UgSh 6.1 trillion and this represents a 28 per

    cent rise from the previous year. Uganda

    is one of those countries that have a good

    prospect to cash in on the global food deficit.

    In gearing up for the opportunity, thecountrys National Agricultural Advisory

    Services (NAADS) has seen a 62 per cent

    increase of its budget by government. The

    additional funding is meant to help buy

    inputs for small farmers who cannot afford to

    purchase the necessary agricultural inputs.

    In the next fiscal year, Ugandas real GDP

    is expected to grow by 8.1 per cent. The

    countrys 2008/09 budget also reveals

    that its internal revenues will be able

    to finance 70 per cent of its budget for

    the next financial year. That indeed is aconsiderable landmark in the countrys bid

    to become economically self-sustaining.

    According to analysts, this development

    is bound to have positive wide-ranging

    economic implications for the country.

    Some of these factors are expected to

    continue through the rest of 2008 and

    at least up to the first half of 2009. Thisimplies that headline inflation is projected

    to remain above the governments five

    per cent target during the said period

    although it has committed to getting it

    back under control. On the stock market

    front, the countrys bourse is yet to become

    a major player in economic growth.

    In terms of contribution to GDP, there

    is nothing significant yet because the

    stock market is still fairly new around

    here, says Uganda Securities Exchange

    (USE) CEO Mr Simon Rutega.He adds: What the USE is currently doing is

    to concentrate on medium and long-term

    financing. At the close of trading on the USE

    on June 10 2008, its market capitalization

    was about $4.4billion on average. The

    USE began formal trading in 1998 and it

    just celebrated its 10thbirthday early this

    year. Currently the products listed on the

    exchange include nine equities and bonds.

    Three of the equities are cross listings, which

    include Kenya Airways, East African Breweries

    Limited and Jubilee Holdings Limited.

    The USE helped to give East Africa its firstever cross border listing with the listing of

    East African Breweries Ltd (a Nairobi Stock

    Exchange listed company) onto the USE in

    March 2001. The growth and public interest

    into the stocks market was particularly

    boosted last year when Stanbic Bank Uganda

    listed on the USE following a successful IPO,

    which was oversubscribed by 200 per cent.

    The USE witnessed its first Rights Issue early

    this year in February, courtesy of Uganda

    Clays Limited. It was highly successful and

    it registered a 10 per cent over subscription.Another Rights Issue is due before this year

    is out and more companies are awaiting

    the countrys Capital Markets Authority

    (CMA) approval as they look to get listed

    onto the USE in the not so distant future.

    Ugandas rise and rise against the tide

    How the EAC markets and their economies

    are doing, the quarterly trends on each market

    and their likely impact on other markets.Uganda

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    Regional Analysis

    How the EAC markets and their economies

    are doing, the quarterly trends on each market

    and their likely impact on other markets.Tanzania

    Market Movement

    the

    integrat ion

    agenda

    to unfolding global events.

    In the second quarter, overall inflation

    only rose marginally from 9 per cent

    at the end of March to 9.1 per cent.

    However food prices rose by 11 per cent

    in the last 12 months to May 2008, while

    transportation went up by six per cent.

    Like all other poor countries, food accounts

    for over 50 per cent of Tanzanias Consumer

    Price Index as inflation basket.

    Fuel and Power rose by 12 per cent on

    account of increasing global fuel prices.Projections are that in the medium term,

    inflation levels could continue rising on

    the backdrop of higher energy costs but

    a good harvest in the third quarter could

    ease inflationary pressure. In line with

    government efforts to improve credit

    access and support. The macroeconomic

    environment, interest rates on government

    securities were contained. The average 182-

    day treasury bill rate closed the quarter at 7.9

    per cent while the two year Treasury bond

    declined from 14.9 per cent to 12.8 per cent.The Tanzania shilling strengthened by 4.6

    per cent against the US dollar during the

    second quarter, despite huge disparities

    in international trade.

    The second quarters rally was boosted by

    gains on key stocks as Tanzania Breweries

    Limited and Tanzania Portland Cement

    Company market caps rose by Tshs41

    Billion and Tshs7 Billion respectively.

    Notable is the fact that the Dar market

    remains inaccessible to foreign investors,

    due to the governments foreign exchange

    currency restriction. However, this has not

    detered companies with a regional focus

    on crosslisting. KCB will be joining Kenya

    Airways, Kenya Breweries and JubileeInsurance which are cross listed in the three

    exchanges and bringing to 11 as the total

    number of listed companies at DSE. Four

    out of this are cross-listed firms from NSE.

    Once successfully completed, the move

    will boost DSE market capitalization,

    which increased by 7.1 per cent to

    $2,841 million in the second quarter.

    Overall, Tanzanias economy grew by 7.1 per

    cent in 2007 and is projected to sustain the

    growth momentum to eight per cent in 2008.

    Inflation basketOn the inflation front, Tanzania

    looked to have done well in relation

    The current account worsened as exports

    declined by 14.6 per cent and imports rose by

    17.5 per cent in the 12 months to March 2008.

    BoTs May monthly economic review

    attributes the strengthening in second

    quarter due to strong budgetary

    support receipts towards the end of the

    fiscal year and which could continue

    into remaining months of 2008.

    The integration agenda,at Tanzanias door.

    Notable is the fact that the Dar market remains inaccessible to foreigninvestors, due to the governments foreign exchange currency restriction.

    KCB will be joiningKenya Airways, KenyaBreweries and JubileeInsurance which arecross listed in thethree exchanges andbringing to 11 as thetotal number of listedcompanies at DSE.

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    The research also shows that between

    2005 and 2006, imports from the EAC

    total Frw64 million (KSh7.6 million).

    Kenya was the main source of the imports,

    supplying about Frw31 million (KSh3.8

    million) worth of goods. Uganda was thesecond important supplier with Frw28

    million (KSh3.4 million). Kenya and Uganda

    accounted for a combined share of 93

    per cent of all imports from the EAC.

    Tanzania supplied imports worth about Frw6

    million (KSh740,000) or 6.9 per cent of total

    imports, the remainder being from Burundi.

    the

    integrat ion

    agenda

    Regional Analysis

    How the EAC markets and their economies

    are doing, the quarterly trends on each market

    and their likely impact on other markets.Rwanda

    Market Movement

    Like Uganda, Rwanda suffered

    heavily during the post poll violence

    in Kenya early in the year.

    Notably is the fact that, Rwandas

    cost of living is expected to rise

    9.5 per cent in 2008, before easingslightly to eight per cent, in 2009.

    However, on the economic front,

    GDP is expected to hit six per cent

    in 2008 and 6.5 per cent in 2009,

    owing mainly to improvements in

    services, construction and mining.

    The country expects to be admitted

    to the Commonwealth club in 2009,

    joining the other three East African

    countries, Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda.

    Rwandan Government estimates that the GDP

    could actually be higher than experts project,estimating a seven per cent growth in 2008.

    Seven percent real GDP growth (for 2008),

    and in 2009 we are expecting 7.5 and

    eight per cent in 2010, Finance Minister

    James Musoni told Reuters in June on the

    sidelines of the World Economic Forum

    for Africa meeting in South Africa.

    However, agriculture will remain the main

    obstacle to a faster economic growth rate.

    The reason advanced for the weakness

    (agriculture accounts for around one-

    third of GDP), is due to poor weather.

    To add on to that, will be the persistent

    high international oil prices.

    It is worthy to note that Rwandas vulnerability

    to increasing oil prices was also compounded

    by the recent post election crisis in Kenya

    that forced the government to negotiate for

    a transfer of its imports route to Tanzania.

    Oil products had to be brought in from

    the Tanzanian port of Dar es Salaam,

    which increased transport costs.On the budgetary front, the Rwandan

    government anticipates higher public

    spending this year due to increased donor aid.

    The increased donor aid, is expected

    to contribute to faster GDP growth for

    2008 than its current forecast range of

    6.5 per cent to over seven per cent.

    In the Letter of Intent to the International

    Monetary Fund (IMC), the government

    argues that it can increase real GDP growth

    by using aid to increase spending by two

    per cent of GDP, with the aim of improvingsocial services, public infrastructure and

    supply-side capacity in order to respond to

    anticipated increased domestic spending.

    Trade in the regionOn regional trade Kenya remains

    Rwandas main trading partner but

    Uganda seems to be to be catching up.

    In 2007, trade between Uganda

    and Rwanda tripled, according to

    Ugandas Export Board (UEB).However, a study commissioned by Rwanda

    Revenue Authority (RRA) and the Ministry

    of Infrastructure shows that, Kenya is still

    Rwandas leading business partner.

    Looking AheadClub status and stable growth in Rwanda

    Seven percent real

    GDP growth (for2008), and in 2009we are expecting 7.5and eight per cent in2010, Finance MinisterJames Musoni toldReuters in June on thesidelines of the WorldEconomic Forumfor Africa meetingin South Africa.

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    How the EAC markets and their economies

    are doing, the quarterly trends on each market

    and their likely impact on other markets.

    Kenya

    the

    integrat ion

    agenda

    manager at AIG Investment said.

    The figure is one percentage point

    above its earlier projection of 3.5 per

    cent growth rate based on first quarter s

    events and prevailing sentiments.IMF projected a four per cent growth rate

    in what it termed as a respectable result

    given the events of the first quarter.

    Government projects a growth rate of

    between four per cent in the worst-case

    scenario and an optimistic six per cent.

    The recovery is mainly pegged on

    agriculture and tourism sectors,

    infrastructure development,

    manufacturing and implementation of

    business process outsourcing (BPO).

    The latter is expected to provide a minimum

    of 10,000 jobs annually, as businessoutsourcing takes shape in the country.

    The bourseAt the stock market, the second quarter

    reversed January-March meltdown to

    gain 5.6 per cent in US dollar terms, riding

    on positive investor sentiment due to

    the return of political calm. In the first

    quarter, the market shed 11.1 per cent.

    Market turnover hit the Sh33.9 billion mark

    compared to Sh16.3 billion for a similarperiod last year on account of robust sale of

    Safaricom shares after it debuted at NSE.

    The Safaricom share, offered at Sh5 per

    share closed the quarter at Sh7.40, a 48

    per cent upside on the offer price.

    The twin issue of post poll violence and

    raising global fuel prices has had a negative

    impact on the Kenyan economy.

    Government figures put the economic

    growth rate at negative 1.3 per cent infirst quarter with an accelerated cost of

    living recorded in the second quarter.

    Inflation hit a 15-year high in May 2008

    after recording 31.5 per cent. Food

    and fuel prices directly contributed

    to a bigger chunk of the rise.

    Presently, experts say that the inflation

    outlook is still negative although it is

    expected to ease on account of an

    improved political climate to average

    about 25 per cent by year-end.

    A fact well informed by Junes figure

    which shows the cost of living to haveeased down to 29.3 per cent.

    The second quarter also saw the

    launch of Kenyas Vision 2030 which

    will seek to fast track economic

    growth to +10 per cent by 2012.

    Indicators of economic performance for

    second quarter are noted to have shown

    signs of return to high economic growth

    experienced over the past five years.

    Such a rebound was earlier in July

    confirmed by economic estimates by

    the International Monetary Fund (IMF)and AIG Investment, both revising their

    earlier low growth projections upwards.

    We are quite confident that a growth

    rate of 4.5 per cent is achievable, Mr

    Edward Gitahi, a senior investment

    Regional Analysis Market Movement

    When the tough times roll, the NairobiStock Exchange hits its best of times

    Revenue collectionDespite the difficulties experienced in

    the first quarter of 2008, Kenya Revenue

    Authority (KRA)continued to register astellar performance collecting nine billion

    shillings above its target of Sh389 billion.

    The effect of this, is the hope that the taxman

    will be able to meet a high target set this

    year of collecting Sh468 billion, a 20.2 per

    cent increase of last years Sh389 billion.

    Hopefully, this will ease concern of a high

    interest regime after the government laid out

    a historical budgetary spend of Sh760 billion

    supported by budget deficit of Sh127 billion.

    The Kenya Shilling weakened by 3.7 per

    cent during the second quarter to settle at

    Sh65.20 reversing first quarter gains thatresulted from the signing of the peace accord

    and in the run up to the Safaricom IPO.

    The earlier gains reversed concerns of

    a widening current account deficit and

    portfolio outflows after the Safaricom

    allocations, AIG Investment says.

    Market sentiment for a weaker shilling is

    swirling within the range of Sh66 - 68 to

    the USD baring any external shocks.

    Going forward, experts say, key risk to

    economic growth will remain the inability of

    the coalition government to hold togetherand reach consensus on important national

    issues like constitutional and land reforms.

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    Policy SmeX

    The role of the Nairobi Stock Exchange(NSE) in the Kenyan economy is bestdiscerned by examining the mandate of

    the Exchange to all its key stakeholders.

    Companies use the NSE to raise funds

    for expansion and growth (without the

    interest burden of funds borrowed from

    lending institutions), optimizing their

    capital structure and lowering their cost

    of capital. The secondary market improves

    the liquidity of their securities. The capitalmarkets also increase public awareness

    about the company and its products. For

    the government of Kenya, the Exchange

    provides a venue for the implementation

    of government policy, privatization and

    capital raising. The Exchange surveillance

    systems assist financial services regulators

    in first line market regulation.

    Exchange trading platforms provide a

    centralized, accessible, and transparent

    avenue for price discovery; this coupled

    with the opportunity for risk diversification

    offered by the choice of securities from

    different issuers, facilitates the wealth creationand management process for the investor.

    For market intermediaries, robust capital

    markets infrastructure enables them extend

    the reach and scale of their businesses.

    The NSE has three active segments through

    which issuers who meet their eligibility

    requirements can raise capital. The Main

    Investment Market Segment (MIMS) and the

    Fixed Income Market Segment (FISMS) both

    require a minimum, authorized issued and

    fully paid up share capital and net assets

    of Ksh. 50.0 million and Ksh. 100.0 million

    respectively, immediately before the Initial

    Public Offer (IPO). The prospective issuer

    should have recorded after tax profits inat least three of the last five accounting

    periods prior to seeking a listing. For the

    Alternative Investment Market Segment

    (AIMS) for small capitalization companies,

    the share capital and net asset requirements

    Chris Mwebesa explains NSE CEO

    A Nairobi Stock Exchange Market Segment for Small and MediumEnterprises makes Strategic and Commercial Sense.

    The NSE has realized that its existing market segments donot effectively serve the needs of the Small and Medium SizedEnterprises (SMES) - a signicant sector of Kenyas economy.

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    are Ksh. 20.0 million and Ksh. 20.0 million

    respectively. The prospective issuer must

    have been engaged in the same business for

    a minimum of two years, one of which should

    reflect a profit with good growth potential.

    The NSE has realized that its existing market

    segments do not effectively serve the needs

    of the Small and Medium Sized Enterprises

    (SMES) - a significant sector of Kenyas

    economy. Indeed, sources of capital for

    new ventures and entrepreneurial talent

    which are the backbone of the SME sector

    are very limited in our region. Even after

    having in place a proper business plan,

    books of accounts, two major challenges

    SMEs seeking to raise capital face are not

    having a long enough operating history toprovide comfort to prospective investors

    and the constraints on managements

    capacity to expend resources and time

    to adhere to the continuing listing

    obligations of a securities exchange, whilst

    also focusing on growing the business.

    The NSE has identified the need to serve

    a significant sector of the economy that

    dominated by SMEs. Besides providing

    a public good, it makes commercial

    sense. These types of markets have been

    very successful in other jurisdictions.

    Compared to a listing on the Main Board,

    the issuer seeking to list on the SMEx Market

    Segment, would have less discretion in the

    utilization of the proceeds of the capital

    raised and is usually expected to demonstrate

    they will be used solely for building and

    expanding the business. However, unlike

    on the Main Board, and in cognizance of

    the earlier stage of their development, the

    requirement for a lengthy trading record

    and profitability is removed. An abridged

    prospectus would only be required when

    a company is raising capital. A pragmatic

    approach to regulating younger, smaller

    companies and assuring investor confidencecould be done through a new market

    participant called a financial advisor.

    The financial advisor would have devolved

    authority to decide whether a company

    is suitable for admission and to provide

    ongoing advice to the company once it is

    listed. The advisor guarantees that based on

    all available information and to the best of

    their knowledge and belief, the application

    or public document constitutes a full and

    true disclosure of all material facts aboutthe issuers offer. The advisor must confirm

    that they are satisfied that the forecast/

    estimate of projection has been made after

    due and careful enquiry of the directors of

    the applicant. The advisor will also make

    up for the SME managements lack of

    experience in running public companies,

    providing oversight. Without an advisor the

    listed company is effectively unregulated.

    Therefore, the company must have an advisor,

    at all times and in case a listed company loses

    its advisor, it must get a new advisor withinthe time specified in the rules otherwise

    its shares are suspended and ultimately

    could be delisted. In order to assure investor

    confidence, there would be a minimum

    period after listing for which the same advisor

    continues to act for the issuer before they

    can be replaced. The advisor must disclose

    any possible areas of conflict they might

    experience in the course of carrying out their

    duties and put in place rules and procedures

    to minimize such instances. Corporate

    governance facilitates investor confidence.

    The NSE proposes a compulsory mentorship

    programme for all executive and non-

    executive directors of SMEx companies

    covering corporate governance that is

    facilitated by the Exchange and the Capital

    Markets Authority with the advisor alsoplaying a fundamental role. The NSE proposes

    to partner with the Institute of Directors

    (IoD), Centre for Corporate Governance and

    ICPAK to provide the Directors Induction

    Programme (DIP). Once the company is

    listed, there needs to be a healthy interest

    in the companys shares and sufficient stock

    to satisfy that demand. The companys

    investment bank/stockbroker will publish

    research where necessary and act as a

    market maker. Broker and analyst support is

    important for further fundraising after an IPO.It provides necessary support to share trading

    in the secondary market (liquidity) and

    ensures the profile of the public company

    consistently remains in the public domain.

    Prior to listing, venture capitalists and

    government start up schemes are essential

    to SMEs. When listing, higher standards

    should apply to SMEs, and the listing sponsor

    should have an essential role. A strong retail

    market is important to back up listed SMEs.

    Investor confidence should be built mainlyon corporate governance and surveillance.

    It is also crucial to encourage research on

    SMEs; a third of the listed companies are

    covered by a research scheme in Singapore.

    In the case of the NSE, the AIM could be

    restructured as a SMEx Market Segment to

    also provide support to those sectors of the

    economy that the government of Kenya

    considers crucial in achieving Vision 2030.

    PolicySmeX

    1. The Alternative Exchange (A ltX) of the JSE Limited in the South African Development Community (SADC)

    2. The Irish Enterprise Exchange of the Irish Stock Exchange in the European Union (EU)

    3. The TSX Venture Exchange of the Toronto Stock Exchange Group in the North American Free Trade Area (NAFTA)

    4. The Mesdaq Market of the Bursa Malaysia in the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN)

    The NSE has identied the need to serve a signicant sector of the economy that dominated by SMEs, besides providinga public good, it makes commercial sense. These t ypes of markets have been very successful in other jurisdictions.

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    SY (Smart Youth)Following Up with the kids

    For Nairobi Stock Exchangeand for its most promisingyouth bait, the NSE Smart YouthInvestment challenge, the weeksince the premier of this onlinesimulation of the boursestrading activities on June 3rdhas seen extraordinary times.

    The success of the virtual game has

    also lifted its promotor, Catherine

    Gitonga, knowingly or unknowingly

    into the stock market stratosphere.

    Already, the NSE board and its chief

    executive, Chris Mwebesa, want the

    game, which started off with university

    students, extended to cover other

    academic institutions to tap an even

    wider audience of potential investors.

    They are even considering strategies on

    how capital markets education can be

    inculcated in secondary school curriculum.

    It is this innovation, courage, promise

    and financial instinct shown byMs Gitonga that has unleashed

    speculation about her future role.

    Since the three-month long online

    investment challenge started in

    June, it has attracted 3,340 full-time

    undergraduate students in the countrys

    private and public universities.

    Technically, it started on the third day

    of June since the first two days were

    public holidays and the NSE trading floor

    opened on the third, says Ms Gitonga.

    But so far, we have 835 registered teamsand each team has 4 university students

    hence a total of 3,340 participants.

    There are at least 17 institutions of

    higher learning in her program.

    They include Africa Nazarene University,

    Catholic University of Eastern Africa,

    Daystar University, Egerton University

    and Jomo Kenyatta University of

    Agriculture & Technology.

    Others are Kabarak University, Kenya

    Methodist University, Kenyatta

    University and Kiriri Womens University

    of Science & Technology.

    There is a great demand from the

    youth in the need to know about

    investing, observes Ms Gitonga.

    The inquiry emails we get every day, which

    average about 100 per day, are from young

    Kenyans drawn from various ages and

    stations in life, who want to know of the

    opportunities in the Kenyan market. They

    want to know where they can invest, what

    is involved in these investments and how

    much return they can get, she notes.

    With such encouraging interest from a young

    market that has largely been left out in the

    countrys mainstream economic activities,

    Smart Youth then refers them to licensed

    investment advisors, stock brokers and

    investment banks for further mentoring.

    It is this interest that has caught

    the NSE executives eye.

    A month after the commencement of

    the competition, the leading team as

    at the last trading day of that month

    was awarded in the June mini draw.

    Wizzybiz Investors and Figga Niggaz teams,

    both of the University of Nairobi, won

    the first phase of the NSE, Bank of Africa

    and Centum Ltd sponsored challenge.Team members bagged Sh5,000 each that

    was a total of Sh20,000 for a prize that was

    proudly sponsored by Centum Investment.

    The cash was deposited into their

    respective accounts in Bank of Africa.

    The next mini draw will be announced

    at the end of July and the grand

    price at the end of August.

    All teams started with a virtual capital of

    Sh500,000. The teams also got a price feed

    from NSE via an authorized data vendor.

    Now, the Exchange seeks to have

    trading in securities incorporated into

    the schools learning curriculum.

    During the awardingceremony, NSE chiefexecutive, Chris Mwebesa,said the move was partof a strategy aimed at notonly roping in investorswhile they are young,but also developing apool of well-informedinvestors for the market.

    NSE first vice chairman, Bob Karina, has

    also been on record saying that the

    challenge had shown the great demand

    among the youth for information on

    investment opportunities in the country.

    Their interest should be harnessed and

    channeled through practical experiences.

    They can then learn the fundamentals to

    enable them become real investors, said

    Mr Karina, who also doubles up as the Faida

    Investment Bank managing director.

    Ms Gitonga admits that in every university

    they ventured into, the reception was

    warm and encouraging. Response from

    the respective deans of Student affairs

    and from the students themselves

    was equally commendable.

    Our approach to marketing the

    competition was that we gave investment

    talks in each university and in some of

    these talks we were accompanied by

    our sponsors. Among them are the NSE,

    Bank of Africa, Sterling Investment Bank

    and Centum Investment, she says.

    But all this has not come without challenges.

    Despite the hunger for investment

    knowledge from the youth, Ms Gitonga feels

    that investment firms, stockbrokers included,

    are not doing enough for that market.

    I would like to encourage the companies

    providing investment services in the

    market to pursue the youth aggressively in

    encouraging them to invest their money

    as this little money now is what becomes

    billions in the next 10 years, she pleads.

    According to her, and despite the perception

    that the youth are a broke lot, she thinks they

    still have a useful chunk of disposable income.

    By communicating with the youth through

    this competition, I have realized that the

    young people have lots of money. They knowhow to make money through innovative

    ways. What they sometimes lack is proper

    means to re-invest their money, she admits.

    She feels they also lack an information stream

    as to what is available for investment.

    Smart Youth may be providing an avenue

    for such and she believes they shall have

    a lot of young people in universities

    investing in the NSE. In the meantime,

    where does that leave the rest?

    In the next competition we shall be covering

    a wider group of youth both in universitiesand in other academic institutions so that

    we can be of learning assistance to more

    young people who are very interested

    in investing in shares, she reveals.

    Young Investor The NSE investment challenge

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    Another challenge in the competition

    that Smart Youth will have to deal with is

    matching the need for information with the

    number of mentors available to offer help.

    Although the game handlers have ensured

    they have provided mentors who are persons

    drawn from organizations licensed by theCapital Markets Authority, the questions to

    the mentors keep coming and they vary.

    Sometimes the questions to the

    mentors are so many that they have had

    to share this voluntary work with their

    professional work, she confesses.

    She hopes that increasing the number

    of mentors will reduce the workload

    on the existing mentors and will the

    burden of handling the inquisitors while

    enhancing the quality of advice received.

    In the meantime, all she can say is that she

    is very grateful to the mentors for their

    support in educating the participants.

    Her new prominence in the stock

    market notwithstanding, Ms Gitonga

    becomes a pivotal link for her efforts to

    link the bourse to the future market.

    Perhaps, she might also get a call from

    curriculum developers at Jogoo house just in

    case the Education ministry wants her insightsand are looking to consider NSEs proposal.

    I would like to encourage the companies providing investmentservices in the market to pursue the youth aggressively in

    encouraging them to invest their money as this little moneynow is what becomes billions in the next 10 years,she pleads.