final-präsentation german racing concept challenge - 2. platz: "digital natives"
DESCRIPTION
Präsentation der Finalteams der GERMAN RACING Concept Challenge. Studentischer Konzeptwettbewerb. Weitere Infos unter www.concept-challenge.de. Das Team "Digital Natives" (Anna Heid, Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich) belegte den 2. Platz.TRANSCRIPT
Concept Challenge Digital Innovations in the Horse-Racing Industry Digital Natives Baden-Baden, August 2012 Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Contents Page
A. Introduction 3
B. Business Models and Recommendation 4
C. Product Design and Functionalities 11
D. Market Research 13
E. Value Creation 16
F. Marketing 20
G. Financials, Roadmap and Success Factors 22
Contents
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
The horse-racing industry has constantly lost revenues, attraction and customer reach during the last 10 years.
Introduction
All important indicators for the viability of the German horse breeding, training, racing
and betting went down during the last few years.
It is difficult to get
engaged/attract new persons
into horse-racing
Horse-racing only accounts
for a small proportion of the
sports broadcasting time
3
Business Models and Recommendation
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
In the initial phase three business models were developed which transfer current digital mega trends into the horse-racing industry.
buyyourhorse.com
• The race-club enables customers to buy micro-shares of specific horses.
• Owners of micro-shares can participate in the success or failure of the horses by receiving
part of the price money in accordance to their amount of shares.
• Owners can follow their feedings and meet the horses “live”.
• The concept is based on a mingle of crowdfunding and classic investment.
bettingpool.com
• The race club collects bets from distinct betting-interested members.
• The bets are pooled into one bet, including all information given from the single bets.
• The diverse information possibly has higher predictive quality and therefore raises the
overall profits.
• The concept is based on the “wisdom of the crowds”.
wikihorse.com
• The race club offers persons interested in horses the opportunity to create profiles on a
central webpage, ranking from amateurs to professionals.
• The platform allows interchange in the community between the different parties.
• Members can publish self-written news about regional horsing-competitions similar to
netzathleten.de
Business Model Overview 5
Business Model Assessment
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Business Models
Innovativeness
Profit Potential
Implementation
Result
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Qualitative Assessment
Even though buyyourhorse.com is difficult to implement, it shows the highest potential to be successful.
1
2
3
hard easy
low high
low high
buyyourhorse.com
bettingpool.com
wikihorse.com
1 2 3
1 2
1
3
3 2
buyyourhorse.com
7
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
To study the end-user acceptance of the business models a survey was conducted supporting the results of the previous assessment.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Quantitative Assessment
• Participants were end-users.
• Participants were interviewed via phone.
• Business model descriptions were read to
the participants.
• Intention to Use was measured with a 7-
Point Likert Scale (Davis 1989).
• Perceived Interest included as possible
antecedent of usage behavior, also
measured with a 7-Point Likert Scale.
• Participants were given the possibility to
comment on the business models.
Description of the Study
• n = 21
• buyyourhorse.com has the highest
intention to use, followed by
predictiveanalytics.com
• Perceived interest correlates highly with
intention to use, indicating a high external
validity of the measurement.
Results of the Study
Means of Perceived Interest and Intention to Use
buyyourhorse.com
bettingpool.com
wikihorse.com
8
Business Model
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
buyyourhorse.com enables customers to buy micro-shares of competitive racing-horses.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid buyyourhorse.com
• The race-club enables customers to buy
micro-shares of specific horses. Owners
of micro-shares can then participate in the
success or failure of the horses, can
follow their feedings, meet the horses
“live” or get tickets to races, depending on
their sum invested. The profits of the
customers depend on the success or the
failure of the horses. Micro-shares can
be bought as gift or for personal usage.
Name: buyyourhorse.com
Description
Customer Segments
Value Proposition Key Activities and Partners
• Running website as main platform.
• Filming horses and races.
• Enabling customers to “meet” the horses
“live”.
• Developing and supervising the complex
investment-
• Promotion of Platform.
• Facebook as primary technological
partner.
• Stakeholders in the horse-racing
ecosystem.
Infrastructure
Industry: Horse-Racing / Crowdfunding / Internet
Value Propositions Customer:
• “Own” horse for relatively little money,
especially interesting as gift for children
and teenagers.
• Profit expectation.
• Low financial barrier and ease of use.
• Excitement in following the “own” horse
in races.
Value Propositions from Studs:
• Shift of risk of financial investment from
provider to customer.
• New source of funding.
• Relatively low financial investments for a
large scale customer reach.
• Children, teenagers and generally young
people which are interested in horses.
• Young people which do not want to bet,
but still want to feel the excitement of
horse racing.
• All age ranges which are interested in
innovative, high-risk investment
strategies.
• Development of a service-oriented IT
infrastructure platform to enable smooth
integration of different components.
• Development of an easy-to-use plug-in for
Facebook access .
• Development of a trading system with
legal compliance.
10
Revenue Generation
• Revenues are generated through
transaction fees based on the transaction
volume.
Functionalities and Product Design
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Live Meeting
Name as Sponsor
on Jockey*
Tickets
The mashup shows the design of the webpage inspired by the principles simplicity and intuitive usage.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Mashup 12
FURY
Play
FURY is a strapping, healthy looking gelding that will participate in many races this year.
source of webdesign: kickstarter.com
Horses Baden-Baden
Video Access
Micro Share
Personal
Certificate
Live Meeting
1 2 3 4
€1
€10
€25
€75
Rewards
5 6
€150
€500
*1,5 x 1 cm
Market Research
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Crowdfunding is one of the emerging global mega trends, with an worldwide crowd funding volume of €1.2B in ´11.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Secondary Market Research
“A new and emerging way of funding new ideas or projects by borrowing funding from the crowds.
In these markets, any individual can propose an idea that requires funding, and interested others can
contribute funds to support the idea. These markets have recently emerged as a viable alternative for sourcing
capital to support innovative, entrepreneurial ideas and ventures.” (Financial Times Dictionary)
fuer-gruender.de
Average funding volume per
project is € 3.7T
Kickstarter.com has raised
€235M of funding until 2012
for 63,382 projects fuer-gruender.de
14
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
There are five competitors with similar business models, however they all focus on classical investment, not on crowdfunding.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Primary Market Research
• Investments as low as €1 to highlight the
crowdfunding character of the business
model.
• Integration of key partners by providing a
clear value proposition to the breeders and
studs.
• Similar functionalities as
ownaracinghorse.co.uk, except for live
transmission of feeding sessions.
• Customer profiles to strengthen the
community-like characteristics, eventually
micro-decisions with “horse communities”.
buyyourhorse.com • Investments start at €114.
• 6-15 available race horses in training.
• Functionalities like gift, horse visiting, etc.
ownaracehorse.co.uk
15
• Up front costs of €2550 plus €255 per month.
• 16 race horses in training with six trainers.
• No special functionalities, only information.
favourites.co.uk
• Yearly costs of €3200.
• 19 race horses in training with eight trainers.
• Owner’s badges, full involvement, etc.
henryponsonby.com
Value Creation
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
The platform will have significant direct and indirect impacts on the horse-racing ecosystem by reaching new customer segments.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Value Propositions 17
Customer
Platform brings studs
and customers
together by providing
two-sided value
Studs
• Easy way to raise money
for new horses
• Shift of risk to the
customers
• Higher interest on equity
capital due to leverage
effect
• Realisation economies of
scale by fully using the
stud‘s capacities
• Raising the stud‘s
competitiveness on the
global market
• Possibility to “own“ a race
horse
• Customers which do not
like to bet can indirectly
“bet“ by investing into one
horse
• Specials like visiting the
studs or races where your
horse lives
• Feeling as part of a
community
• Personal footprint
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
The business case for customers and studs suggests financial benefits for both sides.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid ROI Calculation 18
• Starting investment of €70T
• Lineage is important in breeding –
even less successful mares can
return profits
• Product (conservative):
• .5% of earnings in races per 1%
of shares
• 1% of earnings in breeding per
1% of shares
• 1% of earnings of sale per 1%
of shares
Mares
• Starting investment of €70T
• Breeding fees highly dependent on
the success of the stallion
• Product (risky):
• .5% of earnings in races per 1%
of shares
• 1% of earnings in breeding per
1% of shares
• 0.5% of earnings of sale per 1%
of shares
Stallions
• Starting investment widely ranging
depending on parents’ bloodlines
• Even the best parents don’t
guarantee for a good racer
• Product (high risk):
• .5% of earnings in races per 1%
of shares
• 1% of earnings in breeding per
1% of shares
• .5% of earnings of sale per 1%
of shares
Foals
ROI*: 0.6 to 4.3 ROI*: 0.1 to 6.7 ROI*: 0.1 to 164
*Top 50 studs have about 20% winning horses in their stables with the top 100 race horses earning about €56T
a year in German price money – this does not include international price money (Source: www.galopp-sport.de)
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Besides the advantages for both directly involved sides, the concept adresses the major key indicators of horse racing.
• More horses will be breeded
• Possibility to breed with high quality stallions
financing the projects by crowdsourcing
• More horses in training
• Higher competition in Germany and worldwide
• More and new racing enthusiasts through
involvement with their own horse
• Search of new outlets to compete in
• More horses are breeded, trained and traded
• Through crowdsourcing higher budgets are
available and prices could rise
• All four key indicators
will be positively
influenced
• Money from new interest
group for the community
• Larger community and
more interested parties
could raise TV coverage
of major events
• Possibility to escape the
“cycle of death“
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Horse-Racing Ecosystem 19
Marketing
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
To establish high customer reach our marketing plan consists of four general building blocks.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid ROI Calculation 21
104 weeks Follow Up
Establishment Mainstream Fame
Phase I Phase II
• Affiliate Marketing with
other horse-racing sites
• Sponsorship of regional
tournaments
• Advertisements in
specialized journals
• Facebook plugin
• Cooperation with
betting portals – bet on
your “own” horse
• Sponsorship of
national tournaments
• Sponsorship of jockeys
• Sponsorship of international tournaments
• TV – advertisement during horse racing events
Underlying effects
Building Awareness 3 1 2
• Reporting about the concept
• Social networking
Financials, Implementation Roadmap and Success Factors
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
In the base case scenario, buyyourhorse.com reaches the break even point in 2016.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Business Case
• Revenues
– Revenues are generated through fixed
purchasing fee of 7% of the trade volume with
an average investment of €30.
– We assume 40.000 transactions in 2014, after
the platform has been implemented, with a
CAGR of ~50%.
• Costs
– Professional Fees: Attorneys, etc.
– Technology Costs: Hosting, Computers, etc.
– Administrative Costs: Rent, Desks, etc.
– Sales and Marketing Costs
– Wages and Benefits
Revenue and Cost Calculation
23
Scenario Analysis
• Best Case
– 35 % higher revenues and constant costs.
– Break even in 2015.
• Worst Case
– 30 % lower revenues and 30 % higher wages
and marketing costs.
– No break even in investigated time-frame.
Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast
L.C. in €T 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Revenue - 84,0 168,0 226,8 306,2
Cost of sales - - - - -
Gross profit - 84,0 168,0 226,8 306,2
Professional Fees (1,4) (0,2) (0,2) (0,2) (0,2)
Technology Costs (13,8) (8,5) (9,7) (10,9) (10,8)
Administrative Costs (6,4) (5,2) (5,2) (6,5) (6,3)
Sales and Marketing Costs (7,5) (10,0) (27,0) (27,0) (27,0)
Wages and Benefits (66,0) (66,0) (66,0) (85,5) (85,5)
EBITDA (95,1) (5,8) 60,0 96,8 176,4
Financial income/(expense) (5,5) (6,0) (3,0) - -
Depreciation and goodwill amortisation (0,9) - - (0,3) -
Income before taxes (101,5) (11,9) 57,0 96,5 176,4
Provision for corporation tax - - - - (24,7)
Net income (101,5) (11,9) 57,0 96,5 151,7
Key ratios
Sales growth % 100,0 35,0 35,0
EBITDA margin % (7,0) 35,7 42,7 57,6
Financing/Debt (i=0,05) 110,0 120,0 60,0 - -
Income Statements
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
It will approximately take 1 year to go live with buyyourhorse.com.
Phases Time required Project features
Design of Market Plattform Marketing and Sales Phase I
Conceptual
Phase
Phase II
Implemen-
tation
Phase
Implementation
Go Live Phase III
Go Live
35
weeks
10
weeks
4
weeks
• Market Mechanism
• Layout / Ease of Use
• Service Consumerization
• Legal Compliance
• Revenue Generation
• Distribution Channels
• Partnering
• Marketing Campaign
• Installation IT Services
• Development of Facebook Plug-In
• Programming of Plattform
• Legal Contracts
• Servers Running
• Services Running
1 2
3
4
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Implementation Roadmap 24
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Winning the studs to cooperate with the platform is crucial to succeed.
Success factors
Convince Studs to lower
risk of imitation
Bring customers and
studs together
Perfect user experience
/ Features
Gaining market share
quickly
Managing these factors will improve the chances that buyyourhorse.com will be successful.
Gaining affiliates for
marketing
Gaining successful
studs as premium
partners
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid Conclusion 25
Thank you for your attention!
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
APPENDIX
27
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
predictivebettingpool.com collects bets from distinct members and places one mass bet including the information from all single bets.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid bettingpool.com
• The race club collects bets from distinct
betting-interested members. These bets
are then mingled and pooled into one bet,
including all information given from the
single bets. The diverse information
possibly has higher predictive quality and
therefore raises the overall profits. This
concept is based on the “wisdom of the
crowds”, which has been shown to be a
powerful tool for predictions.
Name: bettingpool.com
Description
Customer Segments
Value Proposition
Key Activities and Partners
• Bringing people together on a platform.
• Bringing the right people together.
• Setting up betting rules and analytic
design.
• Finding algorithms for better predictive
quality.
• Giving people a nice lounge for trading
thoughts.
• Cooperating with other betting platforms.
Infrastructure
Industry: Horse-Racing / Betting / Internet
• Profits from higher predictive quality.
• Low initial investments for participating in
the community.
• Innovative social get-together.
• Interesting results.
• Betting interested male persons above 18
years of age.
• No age limit.
• The IT infrastructure is not trivial to
establish, as it several legal issues have
to be included into the automatisms of the
system. For instance the allowance to
mingle the single bets has to be granted
in advance. Additionally one infrastructure
difficulty is the integration of the system
with other betting platforms.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
amateurhorseracing.com is a social networking platform organizing amateur tournaments.
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid wikihorse.com
• The race club offers persons interested in
horses the opportunity to create profiles on
a central webpage. The participants can
range from amateurs to professionals. The
platform allows interchange in the
community between the different parties
and offers participants the possibility to
publish articles on the topic, with the most
interesting being published in the news
section and/or specialized magazines.
Further amateur racing series can be
organized for members to build up a talent
pool.
Name: wikihorse.com
Description
Customer Segments
Value Proposition Key Activities and Partners
• Offering the community a central platform
to stay connected.
• Bringing the right people together.
• Ensuring the future of German horse
racing sport by building up a talent pool.
• Importance to get all players at one table
ranging from amateurs to professionals
and officials.
• Partnership with major studs and
breeders.
Infrastructure
Industry: Horse-Racing / Wikimedia / Internet
Value Propositions from Customer
Perspective:
• Possibility to easily get connected in the
German horse racing community.
• Opportunity to find sponsors
• Opportunity to stay in touch with the
community.
• No financial barrier and ease of use.
• Excitement in feeling “in touch” with
popular jockeys and officials.
Value Propositions from Provider
Perspective:
• Opportunity to heighten the community’s
loyalty.
• New source of promoting minor events
attracting more (paying) customers.
• Advertisement platform for betting
platforms and producers of horse racing
accessories etc..
• Creation of a web based platform similar
to netzathleten.de.
• Setting high standards on profile safety
and credibility to allow for recruiting and
networking in a professional way.
• Importance to get officials and
professionals on the platform
• Everyone interested in horses
• Young amateurs looking for sponsors
• Horse owners looking for talented riders
• Professional jockeys who are willing to
share their experience and that are
looking for sponsors and/or fans
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Revenue Estimation
Average Price:
Share of overall
transactions
Age Range Average
Transaction
25 % 18-27 €15
50% 28-37 €30
25 % 28-80 €45
0.25 x 15 € + 0.5 x 30€ + 0.25 x 45€ = 30€
# of Transactions Estimation:
Segment
Estimation in Mio.*
Age Range Market
Penetration**
# of
Transactions
10 18-27 0.1 % 10000
10. 28-37 0.2 % 20000
43 38-80 ~0.023 % 10000
10000+20000+10000 = 40000 Transactions p.a.
* Assumption: Equal Distribution
** Assumption: Reference Crowdsourcing Market
*** ~ 50 transactions per day (conservative calculation)
30 €/Transaction x 40000*** Transaction x 0.07 = 84000
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Break-Even Analysis Best Case
Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast
L.C. in €T 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Revenue - 113,4 226,8 306,2 413,3
Cost of sales - - - - -
Gross profit - 113,4 226,8 306,2 413,3
Professional Fees (1,4) (0,2) (0,2) (0,2) (0,2)
Technology Costs (13,8) (8,5) (9,7) (10,9) (10,8)
Administrative Costs (6,4) (5,2) (5,2) (6,5) (6,3)
Sales and Marketing Costs (7,5) (10,0) (27,0) (27,0) (27,0)
Wages and Benefits (66,0) (66,0) (66,0) (85,5) (85,5)
EBITDA (95,1) 23,6 118,8 176,1 283,6
Financial income/(expense) (5,5) (6,0) (3,0) - -
Depreciation and goodwill amortisation (0,9) - - (0,3) -
Income before taxes (101,5) 17,6 115,8 175,9 283,6
Provision for corporation tax - - (4,5) (24,6) (39,7)
Net income (101,5) 17,6 111,3 151,3 243,9
Key ratios
Sales growth % 100,0 35,0 35,0
EBITDA margin % 20,8 52,4 57,5 68,6
Financing/Debt (i=0,05) 110,0 100,0 - - -
Income Statements
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Break Even Point Worst Case
Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast
L.C. in €T 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Revenue - 58,8 117,6 158,8 214,3
Cost of sales - - - - -
Gross profit - 58,8 117,6 158,8 214,3
Professional Fees (1,4) (0,2) (0,2) (0,2) (0,2)
Technology Costs (13,8) (8,5) (9,7) (10,9) (10,8)
Administrative Costs (6,4) (5,2) (5,2) (6,5) (6,3)
Sales and Marketing Costs (9,8) (13,0) (35,1) (35,1) (35,1)
Wages and Benefits (85,8) (85,8) (85,8) (111,2) (111,2)
EBITDA (117,2) (53,9) (18,4) (5,0) 50,8
Financial income/(expense) (5,5) (6,0) (3,0) - -
Depreciation and goodwill amortisation (0,9) - - (0,3) -
Income before taxes (123,6) (59,9) (21,4) (5,3) 50,8
Provision for corporation tax - - - - -
Net income (123,6) (59,9) (21,4) (5,3) 50,8
Key ratios
Sales growth % 100,0 35,0 35,0
EBITDA margin % (91,6) (15,6) (3,2) 23,7
Financing/Debt (i=0,05) 130,0 190,0 210,0 220,0 170,0
Income Statements
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
CAGR Estimation - Hints
Average Price: Crowdfunding market 2011 – 2012 growth over 700 %
Even E-Commerce as saturated market 9% CAGR
40% CAGR for Big Data Market From 2010 to 2015
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Legal Form
• Limited Corporation Liability
• Registered Office in Germany
• Only German Company and Tax Law
• Only German Formalities
• High Acceptance and Trustworthiness within Germany
• High Credibility for Investors
GmbH
• No Tax Advantages if Business mainly in Germany
• Registered Office in GB or Wales
• In between two legal Company and Tax Systems
• Lawsuits in UK (expensive)
• Both, German & UK Formalities
• Low Acceptance and Trustworthiness in Germany
• Low Credibility for Investors
Limited
• Equity 25.000€
• Minimum Deposit 12.500€
• Higher Costs Foundation
• Equity 100£
• Minimum Deposit 1 £
• Lower Costs Foundation
• Limited Corporation Liability
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Risks
Growth Risk
• Studs concerned about their
Reputation
• Small Market
• Trust in Investment
• Feasibility of predicted Sales
• Subsitution Products &
Competitors
• Leasing Contract
• Major Maintenance/Repairs
• Loss of Receivables
Operating Risk
• Horse Injury & Performance
• Lawsuits
• Natural Hazards
• Human Risks
Team & Management Risk
• Illness
• Inability to work
• ‘Getting Oder ‘
Legal Risks
• Revolution of Gambling
Regulations & Laws
Technology & Marketing Risk
• Less likely
Financial Risk
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Professional Fees
Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast
Expenses in € 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Lawyer/Consultant/Tax Accountant 500 200 200 200 200
OHIM 900 0 0 0 0
Professional Expenses 1400 200 200 200 200
Professional Expenses
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Technology Expenses
Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast
Expenses in € 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Computers 2100 0 0 700 0
Printers 400 0 0 0 0
Software Applications 1400 0 0 0 0
Hosting 1200 1440 1728 2070 2484
Website Development 5000 1200 2000 2000 2000
Internet Access 1200 1360 1472 1630 1816
Cameras 2500 2500 2500 2500 2500
Maintance 0 2000 2000 2000 2000
Technology Expenses 13800 8500 9700 10900 10800
Technology Expenses
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Administrative Expenses
Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast
Expenses in € 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Rent 4200 4200 4200 5040 5040
Insurance 599 599 599 699 699
Stationary 720 360 360 480 480
Office Supplies 900 50 50 250 70
Administrative Expenses 6419 5209 5209 6469 6289
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Marketing and Sales
Expenses in € 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Affiliate Marketing 0 2000 2000 2000 2000
Regional Tournaments 2500 2500 2500 2500 2500
Ads in specialized Journals 2500 2500 2500 2500 2500
Facebook Plugin 0 0 0 0 0
Cooperation Betting Portals 0 0 0 0 0
National Tournaments 2500 3000 3000 3000 3000
Sponsorship Jockeys 0 0 2500 2500 2500
Sponsorship International Tournaments 0 0 2500 2500 2500
TV Ads 0 0 12000 12000 12000
Reporting about Concept 0 0 0 0 0
Social Networking 0 0 0 0 0
Technology Expenses 7500 10000 27000 27000 27000
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
Wages
Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast Fcast
Expenses in € 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Salaries 60000 60000 60000 78000 78000
Workers Insurance & Payroll Taxes 6000 6000 6000 7500 7500
Wages 66000 66000 66000 85500 85500
Wages
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
ROI
Products Best Worst Best Worst Best Worst
Investment1 70 70 70 70 5 5
Race Earnings² 100 0 150 0 150 0
Breeding³ 200 20 600 10 600 0
Sales4 50 20 40 5 70 1
ROI 4,3 0,6 6,7 0,1 164,0 0,2
Average ROI*
1) According to Mr. Eisele
2) Top 100 race horses earning about €56T a year in German price money – this does not include international price money (Source: www.galopp-sport.de)
3) According to Mr. Eisele
4) According to bbag-sales.de
* According to Mr. Eisele and galopp-sport.de about 20% of professionally selected horses will be successful and about 1% of German foals are successful
Administrative Expenses
Mares Stallions Foals
1,3 1,4 1,8
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
The business has low initial investments with decent profit potential.
• Revenues
– Revenues from yearly membership fee of 10 €
– We assume a customer base of 15.000 in the first year,
with a CAGR of 20%.
• Cost Structure
– Development of the betting system, integration into
other betting systems, personnel etc. will account for the
highest costs with around 100.000 € in the first year.
– Initial IT investment costs are low as service is running
on cloud product enabling quick scaling and high
elasticity “on-demand”. Assuming all-in-all transaction
costs of 2 € per customer per year (activity accounting).
L.C. in Thousand 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Revenue 0.0 150.0 180.0 216.0 259.2
Cost of sales (0.0) (30.0) (36.0) (43.2) (51.8)
Gross profit 0.0 120.0 144.0 172.8 207.4
Expenses (100.0) (50.0) (75.0) (75.0) (100.0)
EBITDA -100.0 70.0 69.0 97.8 107.4
Earnings in Equity investments -15 -15
Financial income/(expense) 0 0
Exceptional items 0 0
Depreciation and goodwill amortisation 0 0 0
Income before taxes -115.0 55.0 59.0 92.8 107.4
Keyratios
Sales growth %
20
20
20
Profit margin %
20
27
35
34
30
Income Statements and Financing*
-10
0
0
-5
0
0
0
0
0
Financing
Debt
Interest (i=10%)
100 50 0 150 150 10 5 0 15 15
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid bettingpool.com
* Tax for profit margin /cash flow calculation estimated with 0.035*4*EBT
4
2
Comments
0 0
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid
The business case shows relatively low profit potential, however, the business model is associated with little initial inivestments.
• Revenues
– Monthly revenues are mainly generated through
advertisement on the platform (0.2€ per user)
– After going live we expect about 20.000 profiles in the
first year. Exponential growth during the first 5 years,
following an s curve reaching a market share of 20% of
horse enthusiasts (about 200.000).
– Further revenues are generated by the amateur racing
series through starting fees and advertisements on the
tournaments (20 participants, 50€ starting fee, 20
tournaments each year, 1.500€ advertisements).
• Cost Structure
– Development of the social networking platform will
attribute for 25.000€ one-time costs.
– Monthly server and traffic costs in the cloud dependent
on the usage (0.1€ per user).
– Marketing and networking to establish
amateurhorseracing.com as a social network for horse
riding enthusiasts of 50.000€ in the first year.
– Price money for tournaments (1.000€).Tournament
organization costs are born by the racing tracks.
– Staff to manage the platform and tournaments (50.000€)
L.C. in Thousand 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Revenue 0.0 . 98.0 117.2 144.1 181.7
Cost of sales (0.0) (24.0) (33.6) (47.0) (65.9)
Gross profit 0.0 74.0 83.6 97.1 115.2
Expenses (75.0) (70.0) (70.0) (70.0) (70.0)
EBITDA -75.0 4.0 13.6 27.1 35.2
Earnings in Equity investments -10 -10
Financial income/(expense) 0 0
Exceptional items 0 0
Depreciation and goodwill amortisation 0 0 0 0
Income before taxes -85.0 -6.0 3.6 17.1 26.2
Keyratios
User growth %
40
40
40
Profit margin %
40
3
10.4
12.7
-6
-10
0
0
-10
0
0
-9
0
0
Financing
Debt
Interest (i=10%)
100 90 0 100 100 10 9 7 10 10
Team Digital Natives: Sebastian Walther, Philipp Wunderlich, Anna Heid wikihorse.com
0
70
* Tax for profit margin /cash flow calculation estimated with 0.035*4*EBT
43
Comments Income Statements and Financing*